Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere's a detailed technical breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD), 1H timeframe chart using Volume Profile, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), and ADX:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3395.88
Value Area Low (VAL): 3311.18
Point of Control (POC): 3381.67 (recent) / 3311.18 (previous)
High-volume nodes: Concentrated around 3380–3390 and earlier at 3300–3320, suggesting strong buyer interest.
Low-volume gaps: Between 3350–3370, indicating weak resistance and potential for swift price movement.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters: Around 3400 (recent swing high), and 3310 (swing low/POC) — potential liquidity sweep zones.
Order Absorption: Strong delta buildup near 3380–3390 indicates heavy buying pressure and potential large-position accumulation.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3395.88 – recent high with strong breakout volume.
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3311.18 – confirmed reversal point with heavy absorption.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend (confirmed by multiple bullish CVD bars and higher highs).
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- ⇒ Confirmed uptrend.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD with bullish price action = Strong demand confirmation. Market is led by aggressive buyers.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3311.18
POC: 3381.67
Swing Low with Absorption: 3310
Resistance:
VAH: 3395.88
Swing High: 3400–3410 zone
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Gann Swing Low: 3311
Gann Swing High: 3395
Key Retracements (From 3311 to 3395):
1/2 level: 3353
1/3 level: 3339
2/3 level: 3367
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish
Supported by rising price structure, channel breakout, and rising CVD.
b) Notable Patterns:
Bullish channel forming (highlighted in purple).
Breakout above previous consolidation range (POC breakout).
Retest of POC at 3381.67 acting as support now.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Confirmed by CVD + ADX):
Entry Zone: 3381–3385 (retest of POC/support).
Targets:
T1: 3410
T2: 3440
Stop-Loss (SL): Below swing low at 3350
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (Wait for breakdown of trend):
Entry Zone: 3310 (if price breaks below support).
Target:
T1: 3275
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 3350 (last high-volume rejection)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Flag
Bitcoin Dominance Update (4H)It appears that Bitcoin Dominance is preparing for one final upward move.
I believe this could be the last dominance rally before a major bullish breakout across the broader market.
For a more detailed perspective, please refer to my previous analyses on Bitcoin Dominance and the "Others" market cap.
— Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Price is currently moving within a small ascending channel after rejecting the red zone (IFVG 1D), but this move might be a bear trap.
⚠️ A downside breakout is likely, aiming to sweep liquidity lower.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🔍 The market could drop toward the grey support zone (below $91,500) before a potential bullish recovery.
📅 Overall structure remains dependent on a key macro catalyst, particularly Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟥 IFVG 1D: Clean rejection from this zone, increasing selling pressure.
📉 Suspicious ascending channel: Often a corrective pattern before continuation downward.
🟩 FVG 1D below: A potential liquidity zone, likely to trigger a reaction if tested.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Favored bearish scenario:
Channel breakdown
Liquidity sweep
Retest of the grey support area (~$91,000)
📈 Bullish reaction possible afterwards, depending on how price behaves at support and macro conditions.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: Highly anticipated by the market.
💸 A rate cut could support BTC, but short-term uncertainty keeps pressure on price.
🔎 Until then, expect high volatility as the market seeks clarity.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Current price action suggests a bear trap with a likely liquidity grab to the downside.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Grey support zone (~$91,000)
Green FVG 1D (~$89,000)
Market reaction post-FOMC
⏳ Until the FED decision, the market remains fragile and liquidity-driven.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere is a full professional breakdown of the attached XAU/USD 1H chart (Gold Spot) using Volume Profile, Gann levels, CVD + ADX structure.
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights
Value Area High (VAH): $3,364.00
Value Area Low (VAL): $3,314.00
Point of Control (POC):
Current session: $3,314.78
Previous key zone: $3,257.03
Volume Node Analysis:
High-Volume Nodes: Around $3,314 and $3,257 – shows strong institutional interest and base-building.
Low-Volume Gaps: Between $3,285–$3,305 – fast move zones, expect volatility on re-entry.
b) Liquidity Zones
Buy-side Liquidity (stops above): Near $3,364 and projected $3,400+
Sell-side Liquidity (stops below): $3,314 (POC), $3,257 (previous POC), $3,245
Absorption Zones: Heavy volume observed near $3,314 and $3,257
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows
Swing Low Support: $3,257 (confirmed with POC and structure)
Swing High Resistance: $3,364 (local high tested)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis
Trend Direction: Uptrend – confirmed by rising price action + volume support
ADX Strength: > 20 and DI+ > DI- → Confirmed Uptrend
CVD Confirmation: Strong uptrend alignment – CVD is rising with price → indicates strong demand
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels
Support:
$3,314 (POC – session)
$3,257 (Major POC)
$3,245 (historical volume cluster)
Resistance:
$3,364 (recent high / VAH)
$3,400 (psychological round number + potential stop cluster)
b) Gann-Based Levels
Recent Swing Low (Gann): $3,257
Recent Swing High (Gann): $3,364
Retracements from $3,364 High:
1/3: $3,328
1/2: $3,310
2/3: $3,292
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish Trend – Higher highs and higher lows with volume confirmation
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation at $3,314
Potential Bullish Flag/Wedge forming inside the channel
Retest possible near $3,314–$3,292 for continuation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry
Entry Zone: $3,314–$3,292 (retest of breakout and channel base)
Targets:
T1: $3,400
T2: $3,440–$3,480 (upper channel bound)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below $3,257
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry
Only valid on break and close below $3,257
Entry Zone: $3,257
Target: $3,220
Stop-Loss (SL): Above $3,292
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
BNB Bull Flag Activated — Watching for $794 CRYPTOCAP:BNB is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding off the marked support zone. This level, which previously acted as resistance, is now holding firmly as support following the breakout.
As long as BNB sustains above this zone, the bullish structure remains intact — and the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) around $794 is wide open. The 50 EMA continues to act as dynamic support, further strengthening the setup.
DYOR, NFA
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,312
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,230
Point of Control (POC):
High-Volume Nodes: Dense cluster near 3,229–3,250 and again around 3,312
Low-Volume Gaps: Noticeable void between 3,260 – 3,290, suggesting possible fast movement zone
b) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Pools:
Order Absorption:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,312 – area of rejection with reduced follow-through
Swing Low (Reversal Support): 3,230 – heavy volume absorption followed by rally
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently shifting bullish after a prolonged downtrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- (early bullish momentum building)
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing Low: 3,230
Retracement Levels:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Turning bullish (CVD rising, ADX > 20, price forming HLs)
b) Notable Patterns:
Reversal Base formed near 3,230 with upward breakout
Forming ascending channel – prices respecting the lower boundary support
Retest of breakout zone (POC + lower trendline) acting as potential launchpad
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,240–3,250 (near lower trendline + POC retest)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,225 (below POC + swing low)
RR: Approx. 1:2.5
b) Bearish Entry (Only if trend reversal confirmed):
Entry Zone: Below 3,225 (loss of POC/VAL with CVD breakdown)
Target: T1: 3,200 (psychological + historical support zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,255 (back above POC)
RR: Approx. 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Use 1–2% capital per trade to manage downside risk
CreditAccess Grameen (CREDITACC) – Bullish Breakout SetupStock Name: CreditAccess Grameen (CREDITACC)
Trend : Bullish
Timeframe : Daily
Trade Setup
Entry Point: ₹1,163
Stop Loss: ₹1,089 (Risk: ~6.4% from entry)
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,205.70
Target 2: ₹1,248.75
Target 3: ₹1,294.15
Target 4: ₹1,337.15
Final Target: ₹1,385
Technical Rationale for Breakout
Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout: Price has broken out of a Bullish Flag pattern, signaling a continuation of the prior uptrend.
200 DEMA Support: The stock crossed above and retested the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), now acting as strong support.
RSI Strength:
Daily RSI: Above 60 (indicating bullish momentum).
Weekly RSI: Also above 60 (confirms broader bullish bias).
Volume Confirmation:
Breakout day volume: 4.0M (extremely high vs. previous day’s 406.05K), validating the breakout’s strength.
Key Observations
The combination of a Bullish Flag breakout, volume surge, and RSI strength suggests a high-probability trade.
The 200 DEMA support adds confluence to the bullish structure.
Risk Management Tips
Strictly adhere to the stop loss.
Trail stops as price progresses toward targets.
Consider partial profit booking at each target level.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading in equities carries inherent risks, including the potential loss of capital. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The author assumes no responsibility for financial losses or gains based on this post. Volume, price, and indicator data are subject to market volatility and may change rapidly.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you watching this setup? 📈🔍
EURUSD update and new bearish view
FX:EURUSD one more view on EU, we can see long zone and break of same how currently looks, two bounce on sup zone 1.13500, price now pushing till crucial zone 1.12700, if we see break here we will have confirm.
Currently how everything looks, its expected to see stronger fall here.
SUP zone: 1.14000
RES zone: 1.11700, 1.11200
FLAG AND POOL PATTERN - XAUUSDXAUUSD
📊 Price Summary:
Low: 2951
High: 3498
Current Price (as of 3 May 2025): 3240
Pattern Identified: Flag and Pole, with potential breakout
Possible Pullback: To around 3175 before breakout
🧠 Technical Analysis View:
The flag and pole is a bullish continuation pattern, especially when the prior trend (the "pole") is steep and strong — which it is in this case (2951 → 3498).
A pullback to 3175 would represent a healthy retracement (~50% of the flag range), allowing the market to reset before a potential breakout.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support zone: 3175 – 3200 (watch for rejection or consolidation here)
Resistance (breakout zone): ~3255–3275 (if broken with volume, confirms breakout)
Target after breakout:
Measured move projection = Height of pole (~547 pts) → 3498 + 547 ≈ ~4045 (longer-term target if clean breakout)
Conservative target: 3350–3450 area
⚠️ Risks:
If 3175 breaks down with volume, pattern might fail — watch next support near 3120–3100.
Gold often reacts to macroeconomic events, USD strength, and interest rates, so keep fundamentals in mind.
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY looks bullish after a test of a recently broken resistance.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
after its test and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern then.
I believe that the pair will continue growing.
Goal - 145.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
Gold Technical Update (4H Time Frame) / Gold BullishAs we mentioned last week, gold was consolidating on the 4H time frame. After the breakout, all our projected targets were successfully achieved as of yesterday.
Currently, gold is forming a bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart — a continuation pattern that often signals the potential for further upside.
If gold sustains above the 3275–3280 zone, we may see renewed bullish momentum with the following potential targets:
Target 1: 3300
Target 2: 3340
Target 3: 3360
Target 4: 3400
⚠️ This is a technical analysis-based outlook. Traders are advised to manage their positions with proper risk-reward strategies and stay updated with market developments.
Mastering chart patterns - How to use them in trading!Chart patterns are visual formations created by the price movements of a financial asset—like a stock, currency, or cryptocurrency, on a price chart. Traders use these patterns in technical analysis to predict future market direction based on historical behavior. The main chart patterns are the reversal and continuation patterns.
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What will we discuss?
- Bullish reversal patterns
- Bearish reversal patterns
- Bullish continuation patterns
- Bearish continuation patterns
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Bullish reversal patterns:
Double bottom
A double bottom in trading is a bullish reversal pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It forms when the price of an asset falls to a low, bounces back up, then drops again to roughly the same low before rising once more. This creates a "W" shape on the chart.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break back above the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bullish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline.
Inverted head and shoulders
An inverted head and shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend and signals a possible shift to an uptrend.
It consists of three parts:
* The left shoulder, where the price makes a low and then bounces.
* The head, which is a deeper low followed by another bounce.
* The right shoulder, a higher low similar in level to the left shoulder.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break above the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential upward move. After the breakout, it's important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to manage risk.
Falling wedge
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend.
It appears when the price is moving lower but within a narrowing range, creating two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are falling, but the lower highs are coming down faster than the lower lows, which shows that selling pressure is losing strength over time.
How to trade it:
Wait for the falling wedge to break above the downward trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent lower high. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly above the trendline without making a higher high, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear higher high and then look to enter on the retracement that follows.
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Bearish reversal patterns
Double top
A double top is a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
It forms when the price reaches a high, pulls back, then rallies again to the same or similar high but fails to break above it. This creates an "M" shape on the chart. The neckline is the support level at the low point between the two peaks. When the price breaks below this neckline with strong volume, it confirms the pattern and suggests that selling pressure is taking over.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bearish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline.
Head and shoulders
A head and shoulders is a bearish reversal pattern that typically forms after an uptrend and signals a potential shift to a downtrend.
It consists of three peaks:
* The left shoulder, where the price rises and then falls.
* The head, which is a higher peak followed by another decline.
* The right shoulder, a lower high that is roughly equal in height to the left shoulder.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential downside move, After the breakout, it’s important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just above the right shoulder to manage risk
Rising wedge
A rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an downtrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend.
It appears when the price is moving higher but within a narrowing range, creating two upward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are rising, but the highs are increasing at a faster rate than the lows. This suggests that buying pressure is weakening over time, and the market may be preparing for a downturn.
How to trade it:
Wait for the rising wedge to break below the upsloping trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent high low. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly below the trendline without making a lower low, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear lower low and then look to enter on the retracement that follows.
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Bullish continuation patterns
Bullflag
A bull flag is a continuation pattern that signals the potential for a price to continue moving upward after a brief consolidation or pullback.
It forms when the price experiences a strong upward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or a slight downward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes downward or moves sideways, and the consolidation phase usually occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangle or slight downward channel.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward from the breakout point.
Bullish pennant
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that indicates the potential for a price to continue its upward trend after a brief consolidation. It forms when a strong upward move (the flagpole) is followed by a period of consolidation, where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, and the pattern suggests that the market is taking a "breather" before continuing its upward momentum.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward form the breakout point.
Ascending triangle
An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that typically forms during an uptrend, signaling that the price is likely to continue moving higher.
It is characterized by a horizontal resistance line at the top, formed by a series of peaks at roughly the same price level, and an ascending support line at the bottom, formed by higher lows. This creates a triangle shape, where the price is gradually compressing between the horizontal resistance and the rising support.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the horizontal resistance level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area.
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Bearish continuation patterns
Bearflag
A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern that suggests the price is likely to continue moving downward after a brief consolidation or upward pullback.
It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or slight upward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes upward or moves sideways, and the consolidation occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangular or upward-sloping channel. This pattern shows that, despite the short-term pullback, the overall downtrend remains intact.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point.
Bearish pennant
A bearish pennant is a bearish continuation pattern that signals a potential continuation of a downtrend after a brief consolidation.
It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, indicating that the price is taking a pause before continuing its downward movement.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point.
Descending triangle
A descending triangle is a bearish continuation pattern that typically forms during a downtrend, indicating that the price is likely to continue moving lower after a period of consolidation.
The pattern is characterized by a horizontal support line at the bottom, formed by a series of lows at approximately the same price level, and a descending resistance line at the top, formed by a series of lower highs. The price contracts between these two trendlines, creating a triangle shape with a downward-sloping upper boundary and a flat lower boundary.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the horizontal support level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area.
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ETHUSD – Breaker Block Rejection in Play?Ethereum has been consolidating in a rising channel after failing to break below the 1754 support zone for weeks. Yesterday, price tapped into the 1854 resistance — which also aligns with a bearish breaker block — but failed to close above, showing two strong rejections so far.
Current Observation:
The 1854 level is holding up as resistance, and the most recent candles show weakness at that zone. If price fails to break and close above it, we could see a move back down toward the 1687–1694 support area.
What I'm Watching:
– A confirmed close below the breaker block zone around 1854 could trigger a short setup, with 1754 as the first target.
– If 1754 breaks, I’ll be eyeing the next zone between 1686.8 and 1694.1 for a potential take-profit zone or reaction.
Key Levels:
– Resistance: 1854 → 1881
– Support: 1754 → 1694 → 1687
If 1854 continues to reject price, I’ll be looking to go short on confirmation, targeting a drop back into the lower support zones.
But if we get a strong close above 1854, I’ll reassess for possible upside continuation.
Let’s see how it reacts.
Trade safe.
pClem Trades