POSSIBLE CRASH CONTINUATION AT DOW JONES (US30)Hey Friends in this analysis we want to present you a possible Sell Continuation on the Dow Jones.
Important for this to play out is to have the Daily Candle closed below 20.000 which is a very powerfull psychological Area.
As soon Daily Candle has closed below that we should see the 17.000 Level very soon as it is the next Area where the market could drop.
CURRENCYCOM:US30
Flashcrash
CADJPY monthly short We have had a great time trading this (always shorting) the gap took our profit target and the oil crash during the Asian session gave us more pips.
However, now what as the market begins to calm during London or even becomes more volatile?
The monthly looks to break through to the downside.
We will post a daily chart too for further trades.
Bitcoin price moving into 4th head and shoulder of February 2020Bitcoin price movement heard the cries when Bitcoin BTC broke past the $1000 psychological barrier. However, it appears that the hard time is not just over yet as Bitcoin price is moving into the fourth consecutive head and shoulder pattern within a short span of 20 days. If the pattern forms, a new low is coming below the critical $9500 support. Bitcoin is considered in safe hands as long it is holding the $9500 support level. Read More
OANDA pricing blip?Look at the Weekly chart on the left. Is this a sign of manipulation or a just a system blip? Or is this showing signs of sudden huge pending orders of the big banks? Another flash crash in the making and Oanda shown it to their charts instead of hiding it until at the right moment?
S&P Failed Breakout of Trading Range In a previous post I talked about this being a risky time to buy for a long term investment in the S&P, Emini, SPY, or MES. Despite what the media may want you to believe - this market is no longer in a strong bull trend. If it was, prices would break out strongly above previous highs. But what is happening instead? Prices go mostly sideways to down, signalling bull profit taking.
This is because the strong bulls bought lower; they know what is happening. They do not want to buy high because the risk is too large and the probability is too low. This is also where strong bears start looking to sell and will scale in higher if they need to. They understand the probability is in their favor. What happens when both strong bulls and strong bears sell? Well, there is only one direction for the market to go..
The bulls who bought the all time high (last weeks close) are currently trapped. The bulls who bought the breakout on July 12th are also trapped on the daily chart. This is very similar to the Jan 22, and Sep 17 bull closes. Look and see what happened next. Sharp selloffs as the bulls exit in a panic. It took months for prices to get back to a level where they could get out at break even, and they had to sit through a long enduring pullback in order to avoid a loss. Furthermore they risked money to essentially break even, which is extremely dangerous. This is what is known as the "thank you god price." Where those bulls are thankful just to get out without a significant loss.
If this week closes as a bear bar, it will be a bear setup for a wedge reversal and failed bull breakout of a trading range. If it fails, and there is another new all time high, the bears will likely try for a second entry in the coming weeks. In either case, the bulls only have a 40% chance of a strong bull rally and measured move up based on the trading range. The bears have a 60% chance of two legs sideways to down and a test of the middle of the current trading range, or the bottom of the trading range around 2400.
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New All Time High - Risky BuyS&P New All Time Highs - Risky Buy
The Emini and S&P 500 made a new all time high again today, leading many to believe this market is still strong. In some ways it is, but it is more important to realize it is also in a bull flag trading range. This makes it a risky place to buy up here. This is where strong bulls who bought lower will start looking to take profits, and strong bears will start looking to sell for a move down.
Why is it risky to buy now? There is only a 40% chance of a measured move up based on the height of the trading range. And the risk needed to enter now is large (below the bottom of the trading range). There is at least a 50% chance of a test down soon, back into the range. The middle of the trading range is a magnet and will likely get tested before the bull trend continues. Furthermore, if the bears are soon able to create a strong reversal bar for the large wedge, it could increase the probability to 60% for two legs down. If there is a quick and large move up in the next few weeks, it would likely act as a climax and final flag reversal, increasing the likelihood of a sell off.
Dont think just because there is no reversal yet that the market cant or wont sell off. Look at the past two sell offs from this area. They began from bull bars (Jan 18 two bar reversal), or small inconspicuous bars (Sep 18 doji to outside bear bar). But the follow through was strong and fast. Of course, this does not mean a shorter term trader cant buy and make money. Day traders can do many things investors do not or should not. But as far as a long term investment, this is simply not a safe one to buy at the current price level unless you are willing to sit through a deep pullback and scale in. And if you are - why not just wait and buy then?
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VIX - Market Crash Cycles | Indices | Macro Trends*Please support this idea with a LIKE if it helps you. Thanks!
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VIX should be able to resume the down-trend soon and complete the "greed" cycle, which in turn would translate bullish momentum for Indices and a postpone on the inevitable Market Crash sequence.
If however a break-out would occur, then a proper spike could be in play, translating into a prolonged "fear" period.Nevertheless, these are crucial times and the movements will be epic.
Just need to be on top of it and keep on tracking, confirm and then tap into the real trend.Eat, sleep, trade and visualize those pips piling up.
AUDNZD Short Trade Idea Aussie / Kiwi
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Currently is sitting at Weekly Supply Zone, this pair received a push to the upside due to Rate Decision news by NZD last week.
However, since AUD and NZD react almost always the same to news, we expect heavy bearish pressure tomorrow from AUD interest rate decision.
But we know already from supply and demand analysis, we see that being in weekly supply zone, we expect sellers to be coming into the market.
In addition, this area has seen bearish rejection in past few weeks.
Sell @ Market Execution
SL ~50 pips
TP ~250 pips.
One important thing to note:
After this bearish move, price is almost near where the "Flash crash" had happened at the start of the year and so the bearish correction would now be complete and I suspect there will be bullish momentum from henceforth earlier this year
Flash Crash before Pump and DumpI think YOYOBTC was a candidate for a pump and dump. In the two months prior, YOYO had been pumped almost exactly 50% on two separate occasions before losing its new value. On Monday this week YOYO climbed and fell 20% during US business hours which I think this was accumulation. Thursday came around and at 4pm EST the pumpers were ready to send the market into a frenzy. But the market tanked 90% instead, recovering instantly. I think the pumpers pressed the wrong key and market sold instead of market buying lol. From what I can tell they sold the entire Binance order book out. The next day, the machinery of the pump was too late to stop, and the pump ran 20% in 3 hours. But having no coins and no incentive to continue driving the price higher, it fizzled again.
I don't know if this is true or not, but man I hope some idiot scammer got rekt.
USDJPY- REVISTING FLASH CRASH LOWS? SPX RISK SENTIMENT RETURNINGOverall multifaceted analysis leading me to short USDJPY
SPX has entered a period of constrained volatility as we could see risk sentiment return to the market?
What does this mean for the so called "flash Crash" that we had in the Yen earlier in the year? Well at 700 Pip rally in less than a quarter is a massive move, but can we sustain that momentum?
SPX
SPY
USDJPY
FXY
XDN
BTCUSD Flash Crash Possibilities! Here's a three-dimensional volume analysis of BTCUSD on Bitfinex memory pool. This is pure VOLUME ANALYSIS based off VPA (Volume Price Analysis). These are the major support levels I'm looking at for the long of a lifetime, cheers guys. Major FUD may be required to reach these levels ie exchange hack or greater crypto takeover(flippening).
H&S Pattern Complete On 4Hr EURJPY Chart. Await Trendline Break!The head and shoulders pattern on 4 Hour chart is completed although not that clearly. But it certainly shows that the price is likely to head Northwards. The neckline has been broken rather unconvincingly and together with the neckline lies the 4 hour 50 EMA which can often strongly act as potential dynamic support and resistance. For our trading odds to increase, the price needs to break this EMA sharply to the upside.
Furthermore just above the EMA lies another trendline that has been respected more than 2 times, therefore taking this trade LONG at the moment might not be the smartest of ideas as it can easily reverse. Have a look at the main chart that displays all the above chart pattern and trendline. Its advisable for the trendline to break so we can finally enter a LONG trade. Our target would be the DAILY 50 EMA that lies at the region of 127.000 level.
Have a look at the above daily snapshot of the chart. it shows the price is confined in a triangle after the flash crash that took place a few days ago. it has clearly respected the triangle trendline and as it seems the price is showing further evidence that its headed up after rejecting the lower trendline of the triangle.
Shall there be any updates i will post them in a new thread. this is just the analysis behind this trade setup although it goes deeper than this i have just put some important technical picture only. cheers and happy trading
USDJPY in a complicated situation after flash crash of 3 august Hi pros!
Price flash krash the 3 august due to multiple bearish signs in techical analysis like a bearish channel , bearish triangle, H&S, etc
and there is bearish signs in fundamental analysis like apple falling because selling less phones
now price just forms a big daily pinbar showing short term bullish momentum and close above a strong structure between 108.1 and 108.5
so there is a good long setup with target 112
and sl below the major support
Then if price reach the major support, we can take profit and short with sl nearly the top of the last shoulder
This is just a possible scenario, price can fall instantly too I don't know
Trading plan:
-2 or 3% MM
-move sl to break even when 1:1
What is Flash Crash
A flash crash is an event in electronic securities markets wherein the withdrawal of stock orders rapidly amplifies price declines. The result appears to be a rapid sell-off of securities that can happen over a few minutes, resulting in dramatic declines. A flash crash, like the one that occurred on May 6, 2010, is exacerbated as computer trading programs react to aberrations in the market, such as heavy selling in one or many securities, and automatically begin selling large volumes at an incredibly rapid pace to avoid losses. Flash crashes can trigger circuit breakers at major stock exchanges like the NYSE, which halt trading until buy and sell orders can be matched up evenly and trading can resume in an orderly fashion.
Preventing Flash Crashes
As securities trading has become a more heavily computerized industry driven by complicated algorithms across global networks, the propensity for glitches, errors and even flash crashes has risen. That said, global exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq and the CME have put in place stronger security measures and mechanisms to prevent them and the staggering losses they can lead to. They cannot eliminate them altogether, but they have been able to mitigate the damages they can cause.
src: www.investopedia.com
Safe Haven YEN Stuck in a Triangle After Flash Crash!Had the FED kept on raising the rates, this pair would have shot higher and higher, however the outlook for 2019 does not look good for the USD as the FED come under increasing pressure from the US president. Currently according to the projections of dot plot the FED plane to raise the rates 2 times this year, however this may not even happen due to many factors. The flash crash that happened a few days ago was triggered due to the risk aversion by the market players which left the USDJPY trapped in a triangle.
The price may break to the either side and target the red line support and resistance as indicated in the charts. its advised to not make any move until the pair breaks the triangle on the weekly charts to either side. The fate of this pair is balanced on numerous things including the trade talks between china and the US. Should the talks go well and both parties can come to a stable agreement the pair would likely accelerate to the upside. On the flipside, if talks do not go good for both parties, expect this pair to break to the downside. depending on what happens then we can place a swing trade accordingly.
If you wish to day trade, then its advisable for the flash crash to settle and form clear price action that can support claims based on technical analysis. at the moment on the daily charts and 4 hour chart the price action is forming but it is still not clear. the target to day trade would be based on the either side of the triangle trendline.
It remains to be seen what will happen to this pair fundamentally in the coming days. shall there be any updates i will post them here
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Jan19,Wk2On the Daily Chart, market breaks the sideways consolidation and break towards the downside.
With the Wed 2 Jan Asian Market Flash Crash, the market touches the Major Support on the weekly chart and provide a potential selling opportunity on the 1-hourly Potential Sell Zone.
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