GOLD → Formation of a trading range. 3345?FX:XAUUSD confirms support for the local range. A false breakdown has formed and the price has returned to the buying zone. We are waiting for the bulls to take the initiative...
Gold is trying to recover after falling to $3302, remaining under pressure ahead of key events in the US: the publication of GDP data and the Fed's decision on interest rates. Support is provided by a pause in the dollar's growth, expectations of an extension of the US-China trade truce, and growing demand for safe-haven assets amid a surge in oil prices due to the threat of new sanctions against Russia. However, the sustainability of growth is in question: the dollar may strengthen thanks to optimism about the US economy and progress in negotiations.
A false breakdown of the support range is forming. Focus on 3310-3320. If the bulls keep the price above this zone, gold will have a chance to grow. BUT! If the price starts to contract and stick to 3310, we can expect the decline to continue...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287
The two-day movement has most likely exhausted its potential, or the market has decided to recover slightly due to the unpredictability factor. A false breakdown of support could trigger a pullback to the strong level of 3345, from which a rebound could form (either before growth or before the continuation of the decline; it is necessary to monitor the reaction and the market background...).
Best regards, R. Linda!
FLAT
GOLD - Price can continue to decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After exiting a prior wedge formation, the price entered a prolonged phase of sideways movement.
This established a wide flat channel, with a clear resistance zone near $3400 and a strong support base around $3255.
For an extended period, the asset rotated within this range, making several attempts to breach both the upper and lower boundaries.
The most recent rally was forcefully rejected from the resistance area at $3400, indicating strong selling pressure.
This rejection initiated a significant downward impulse, which has now positioned the price in the lower half of the consolidation range.
I expect that after a brief upward retest, the bearish momentum will resume, pushing the price down to its primary target at the $3255 support level.
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BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and then start riseHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a significant period, the price of Bitcoin was trading upwards within the confines of a rising channel.
Strong buying pressure led to a breakout above the channel's upper boundary, signaling an acceleration of the uptrend.
After this breakout, the upward momentum stalled, and the price entered a new phase of horizontal consolidation, forming a wide flat range.
The price recently tested the upper resistance of this range near $122800 and was rejected.
As a result, the asset is currently in a corrective move downwards, approaching the key support area located between $114000 and $115000
I expect that the price will find support at the bottom of this flat range, reverse its course, and begin a new rally back towards the top of the range at $122800
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USDCHF → The resistance retest ended with a false breakoutFX:USDCHF tested resistance at 0.805 - 0.806 and formed a false breakout without the possibility of continuing growth. The global trend is downward...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth (reaction to news), the currency pair also moved to distribution to 0.8050. The price failed to break through resistance, forming a false breakout. USDCHF is consolidating below resistance, and a breakdown of the local structure could trigger a decline.
The dollar index is also facing fairly strong resistance and may continue its downward trend, which will also affect the decline in the USDCHF price.
Resistance levels: 0.805, 0.806, 0.81
Support levels: 0.800, 0.794, 0.791
If, within the current consolidation, the price begins to fall and break the local structure, then we can expect the decline to continue towards the specified targets!
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakdown 3310. Consolidation ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of support at 3310, thereby confirming the boundaries of the trading range. The dollar is testing strong resistance within the global downtrend. And in the near future, we can expect more economic news...
Gold is trading below the key resistance level of $3345, remaining in a narrow range ahead of the Fed's decision and US GDP data for Q2. Weak data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar. The Fed is likely to keep rates at 4.25–4.5%, with markets pricing in a 64% chance of a 25 bps cut in September. Investors are waiting for signals from Jerome Powell, with a possible split within the Fed: some members may support calls for easing, which would be a driver for gold.
Technically, the situation on D1 is quite interesting. Gold is still below the previously broken trend resistance, but there is no continuation of the momentum. Buyers are reacting to support at 3310, but the market is stagnating due to uncertainty ahead of the news...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287
Thus, from a technical analysis perspective, I expect a retest of 3345, followed by a pullback to support at 3320, from which gold could move higher (if the bulls take the initiative), but if 3320 breaks and 3310 comes under pressure, gold could test 3287. Again, the emphasis is on trend support (the upward line) in the 3335-33450 zone. If the price can consolidate in this zone, we will have confirmation that the price has returned to the boundaries of the upward trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURJPY → Retest support before growthFX:EURJPY has been correcting since the opening of the European session. The movement was triggered by yesterday's news related to the trade deal between the US and Europe...
EURJPY is reacting to news related to the deal between the US and Europe. A correction is forming amid the fall of the euro, but against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, the currency pair has a chance to rise if the bulls keep the price in the buying zone relative to the support level of 173.08.
The dollar is rising, and against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is falling. Bulls have every chance of holding their ground above the previously broken resistance. If the market confirms support, we will have chances for growth.
Resistance levels: 173.87
Support levels: 173.082, 172.47
The currency pair may form a liquidity trap relative to the previously broken consolidation resistance. A false breakdown of support and price consolidation in the buying zone (above 173.1) could trigger further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction within a downward channel. 112K or 125K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. However, a local downward trading range is forming relative to the current setup. What is the probability of a correction continuing to 112K or growth to 125K?
Daily structure: a local correctional channel within a global bullish trend. We have cascading resistance at 119.2, 119.6, 120, and 120.8. It will be quite difficult to break through this zone on the first attempt, but MM can use it to form traps and collect liquidity.
At the bottom, everything is simpler — a breakdown of the local bullish structure, the formation of an intermediate minimum, below which there is a void down to 112K.
Yesterday, relative to 115-116K, mm staged a massacre (trap) on both sides of the market.
Liquidity collection, return to the range, and growth. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is quite strong. Since the opening of the session, Bitcoin has been heading towards resistance, but there may not be enough potential to break through the upper resistance conglomerate, so I expect to see a pullback or decline to 116-115-114.
Resistance levels: 119.2, 120.1, 120.85
Support levels: 116.37, 115.67, 112
Technically and fundamentally, I do not see any drivers that could support the market (I am talking about Bitcoin, since the driver for altcoins is the decline in Bitcoin's dominance). It is possible that this may appear later. In the current situation, I am considering a false breakout and correction, as the market has not yet finished consolidating or correcting, and the current downward trading range may be extended.
PS: As the price moves towards resistance, it is necessary to monitor the reaction. The market itself will show what it is preparing for...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Countertrend correction, retest of 3345 before growthFX:XAUUSD , undergoing a deep correction after a false breakout of local resistance at 3433, has reached the support of the upward trend. Will the bulls be able to maintain the trend?
Gold held below $3,400 on Friday, rebounding from $3,350, and is poised to end the week higher. Investors are watching the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, and are also awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan next week. The markets received additional support from US trade deals with Asian countries and progress in negotiations with the EU, easing fears of a tariff war.
As part of the correction, gold is testing trend support and the 3345-3337 zone of interest. A false breakdown, lack of downward momentum, and bulls holding prices above 3345 could trigger growth and a continuation of the main upward trend.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383
Support levels: 3345, 3337, 3330
Technically, the support level of 3345 plays a fairly important role in the market. If, during the correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above this zone, the prospects for recovery will be high, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical problems.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Retest of previously broken resistance...FX:GBPUSD has entered a correction phase after breaking through the local downtrend. If the price remains in the 1.3450–1.346 zone, this will confirm the formation of a new trading range...
The market is entering a correction phase due to the dollar. A countertrend retest of the support zone is forming. Earlier, the currency pair broke the local trend and is entering a flat phase. The retest of support may end with a recovery. If, within the local movement and after a false breakout of the 1.345 - 1.3467 zone, the bulls keep the price above the buying zone, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to continue.
Support levels: 1.3467, 1.345
Resistance levels: 1.35, 1.3584
A false breakdown of support at 1.3467 will confirm a change in the local trend (correction). The market may return to the recovery phase of the global trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ARTYUSDT → A breakout of resistance could trigger another rallyBYBIT:ARTYUSDT is forming a cascading bottom as part of consolidation before a possible breakout of resistance. The decline in Bitcoin's market dominance gives altcoins a chance.
( (Idea from September 29, 2024!) We previously discussed this coin before its 300% rally. The root causes of its emergence from accumulation and readiness for strong growth were correctly identified).
The dump phase is coming to an end, a cascading market bottom is beginning to form, and a pre-breakout base relative to the triangle resistance is forming, which overall hints at a bullish behavior pattern.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after the rally, and the Bitcoin dominance index is declining, which generally indicates a flow of funds into altcoins. The situation is such that the altcoin market has another chance for the season. The correction across the entire market may end in the near future, and under favorable conditions (the fundamental background is strengthening, Trump has announced another important event for cryptocurrencies), the market may return to strong movements...
The focus in ARTY is on the intermediate resistance at 0.1770 and the consolidation resistance at 0.2368. Consolidation above this range could trigger a rally.
Resistance levels: 0.2368
Support levels: 0.1235
Technically, a few days ago, the coin tested the consolidation resistance, but the decline did not continue, which generally indicates that buyers are showing interest and holding the market. Consolidation in the near term may end with a retest of 0.1770, 0.2368, a breakout, and further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump...
After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold.
Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted.
Resistance levels: 3433, 3446
Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375
As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDJPY is changing its local trend and succumbing to global pressure. The market is seeing a change in price movement following the decline in the dollar index...
The trend has broken and the price movement has turned bearish. The fall in the dollar index is allowing the Japanese yen to strengthen, which is generally negative for the currency pair. The decline may continue after a slight correction.
Fundamentally, the dollar is correcting amid uncertainty due to the tariff war, as well as expectations of interest rate cuts.
Resistance levels: 147.20, 147.89
Support levels: 145.85, 145.23
As part of the correction, the price may test the liquidity zone of 147.7 or 0.7f. A false breakout and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may trigger a further decline in both the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors?
On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum.
Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible).
The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side.
additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth
Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index.
Resistance levels: 120100, 120850
Support levels: 117000, 116230
Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:GBPUSD is forming a countertrend correction towards the liquidity zone amid a correction in the dollar. Are there any chances for a trend break?
The currency pair is taking advantage of the opportunity to test the trend resistance and consolidation amid the dollar correction. Focus on the nearest resistance level of 1.3467, behind which lies a pool of liquidity relative to the local trend.
Based on the overall market sentiment (bearish), a breakout of the 1.3467 resistance could trigger a downward pullback.
Resistance levels: 1.3467
Support levels: 1.3370
If, during the retest of the specified liquidity zone, the market is unable to continue its upward movement and the price returns below the level, we will have a chance to catch a decline within the current trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up from support line to $125000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a long time, the price was trading sideways inside a wide flat range between the $99000 support area and the $112000 resistance level.
After accumulating volume, bitcoin made a strong upward impulse and performed a breakout, pushing above the top of the flat.
Following this movement, the price action began to form a rising wedge pattern, moving between its clear support and resistance lines.
Recently, price tested the resistance line of the wedge and then started a predictable correction back down towards support.
Now, BTC is approaching the support line of the wedge, which aligns with the important horizontal support area around $112000-$113500.
I expect that the price can test this support line and then bounce up to the $125000 resistance line of the wedge.
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GOLD - Price may bounce up to $3375 level from support lineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Initially, the price action was confined within a descending channel before a decisive bullish breakout occurred.
This first breakout triggered a strong upward impulse, setting the stage for the current market structure.
The price is now consolidating in a wide flat range, bounded by support near the $3285 level and resistance at $3375.
An ascending support line is providing dynamic support within this consolidation pattern, indicating underlying buying pressure.
I expect a brief retest of this support line, which should act as a launchpad for the price to move higher.
The primary target for this long setup is the $3375 resistance level, marking the top of the current flat range.
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GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue...
A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone.
The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline
Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823
Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255
Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend.
Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen.
Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763
Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795
The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Correction to 2900 before growth BINANCE:ETHUSDT is entering a correction after a strong breakout of resistance. At the same time, Bitcoin is falling from 123K to 116K, triggering a pullback across the entire market...
On D1, ETH is facing strong resistance and is not yet ready to break it (it lacks strength after the rally). The most likely scenario after a false breakout is a correction to support. But the main focus is on Bitcoin — will there be a correction or a reversal of the local trend? If the flagship continues its decline, the cryptocurrency market will humbly follow suit.
ETH has a nearest zone of interest at 2913, where liquidity capture could attract buyers, but I do not rule out the possibility that the correction could go much deeper before further growth, for example to 2879-2827 (support on D1).
Resistance levels: 2992, 3041
Support levels: 2913.7, 2879, 2827
Technically, consolidation against a bullish trend. Confirmed support area 2913 - 2879. As part of the correction, the market is interested in capturing liquidity. If, against the backdrop of the current correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the specified support, ETH may still surprise us with its growth :)
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance.
The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend.
Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382
Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375
Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us?
On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign.
Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market.
Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8
Support levels: 149.36, 147.93
In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XRPUSDT → Resistance ahead. Correction before growthBINANCE:XRPUSDT is rising after breaking through consolidation resistance. Bitcoin's rally supported the overall market momentum, but a new resistance zone lies ahead...
Bitcoin is testing its ATH and updating it, but is facing pressure and forming a false breakout. A correction in the flagship coin could trigger a correction in XRP, but if Bitcoin continues to storm the 112K area without a pullback, followed by a breakout, the market could find support and continue to rise.
After XRP broke through resistance, the coin entered a distribution phase and is testing an important resistance zone of 2.4488 - 2.4772. The inability to continue growth, a false breakout, and price consolidation in the selling zone could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 2.4488, 2.4772, 2.6524
Support levels: 2.3587, 2.3375, 2.2455
Despite breaking through resistance, XRP is still in a local downtrend. Pressure on the market is still present. The formation of a false breakout will indicate that growth is limited for now. However, if the price consolidates above 2.4772 and begins to break out of the local structure, we can expect growth to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!