GOLD → The calm (consolidation) before the storm ⚡︎OANDA:XAUUSD closes Wednesday's session with a minimal range of motion. The market is getting tighter and tighter every day, volatility as well as volumes are decreasing. The calm before the storm.
Today, at 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims are published, at this time the dollar in the correction phase is testing the consolidation area and in all likelihood may strengthen if the market supports the index.
Gold makes a false break of the resistance area 2039-2042 and forms a consolidation in a narrow range in the phase of waiting for news. Technically, the market continues to stand still. On D1 there is a global flat, but the borders of a symmetrical triangle are present, volatility is decreasing and the range is narrowing. It is interesting that trading volumes are decreasing, but the profile shows a different situation. The market is consolidating liquidity, because at the moment investors do not know what to expect and in the medium term they are aiming to hear some news about the interest rate reduction. Such consolidation may continue until March-April. But the distribution in one side or the other will be very strong, but when it will happen, nobody knows yet :)
Resistance levels: 2039, 2042, 2048
Support levels: 2029, 2016, 2004
There is a chance to see bullish news for the dollar today, which could negatively, within a range, affect gold. But, before a possible fall, the price of the metal may test the resistance
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
FLAT
EURUSD → How long will the bearish trend continue?FX:EURUSD tested downtrend resistance earlier, bears are keeping the price down and forming a tight stance amid a strengthening TVC:DXY .
On the high timeframe we see the current bearish trend, within which the price movement will continue until more favorable times. The target in the medium term may become the area of 1.06300 - 1.0450
On H4 we are interested in the support at 1.0780. Since this is a local risk area for sellers, a strong downward impulse may be formed if this area is broken and the price consolidates below it. But, no less important level is 1.0724 from which a rebound may follow, as it is the lower boundary of the range. But another retest of this zone may lead to a breakout and further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.0830, 1.0887
Support levels: 1.0780, 1.0724
In the long term, with a negative fundamental background and bearish trend, the price may continue its decline to the above targets.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → Consolidation after the rally. What's next?BINANCE:BTCUSD is in the uptrend phase, actively and quite confidently holding back all negative news. The price is forming a retest of 43250, realizing price consolidation above the 50-day moving average.
Pic: Uptrend. Price is testing the trend boundaries, but continues trading inside the range
The market continues to form an uptrend since the formation of the bottom in the market. At the moment we see the formation of a sideways range 44500 - 40225, which at the moment plays the role of consolidation. Short and long squeezes, shakes relative to the range boundaries indicate a phase of strong accumulation of potential before further movement in one or another direction. Based on the technical and fundamental component, the market seems to be preparing to continue its growth.
The area of 42000 is technically important for the market in the medium and long term, as evidenced by the 2-month sawing ( consolidation ) of this area, which divides the market plane into two areas ( bearish and bullish ), but as we see the price is trying to strengthen above this area to form a strong support area before further growth.
Pic: Level 42,000. Price consolidation at the level.
Fundamentally, BTC is quite a strong asset.
GBTC outflows continue but in much smaller volume, net inflows into ETFs are higher than outflows.
A new problem in the US, which can play into the hands of BTC, is the situation in the US banking sector, the topic again concerns bankruptcies.
In March 2023, the Fed started printing in response to problems in the banking sector, and BTC was perceived as a safe haven. Accordingly, the restart of the Fed's printer will increase interest in BTC, which may favorably affect the crypto asset's capitalization.
Support levels: 42000, 40222, 38500
Resistance levels: 43250, 44500
The trend is bullish, technically the asset is quite strong - this conclusion can be made based on the strong consolidation after the rally. The market is starting to prepare for halving, against this background, the price may test the support zone before further growth. But, based on the overall data, in the medium and long term, the growth of the crypto asset may continue.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CME:BTC1!
Regards R. Linda!
EGLDUSDT → Growth may resume after the correction stopsBINANCE:EGLDUSDT is trying to finish the technical phase of correction and continue the global uptrend amid the realization of 2-year accumulation.
Since the middle of last year, the coin was in hibernation, or rather in the consolidation phase. Formed a bottom, a narrow corridor allowed the formation of a strong support area. On the background of cryptocurrency market recovery, the growth of the flagship - bitcoin, EGLD revives, but at the same time forms trend resistance. On D2 the resistance is broken and for a few weeks the price forms a consolidation above the line, on H6 it is a descending range (correction).
On the main chart we see an attempt by price to break the correction resistance. Consolidation of price above 53.45 will form a bullish potential that could resume the uptrend.
Support levels: 53.45, 51.4, 47.11
Resistance levels: 60.1, 68.48
I expect the continuation of the global trend, but for this the bulls need to finish the correction phase, which is within the current descending channel. A breakout of the resistance and consolidation above this level will be a good signal
BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Trading intra-range.. The price continues to stand stillFOREXCOM:XAUUSD has simply been standing still for months now. At least on D1 the range is narrowing and this could lead to something in the medium term.
The dollar is forming a correction after a false breakdown. Fundamentally, the index is strong and continues to be supported by US regulators. At 19:00 GMT Bowman FOMC speaks, it is worth paying attention to his comments.
Gold at 1 is still in a range. It is quite difficult to anchor an entry point to something because there are no safe zones to open orders inside such consolidation. The good news is that the range is narrowing and the denouement of the situation is approaching.
On H1, the price is inside the local range 2039 - 2016 and gold can continue trading inside this consolidation for quite a long time. The resistance was tested earlier, a retest is possible, but on a negative fundamental background and a strong dollar, gold may decline a bit.
Resistance levels: 2039, 2042, 2057
Support levels: 2029, 2016, 2004
A retest of the resistance is possible before a further decline within a range trading strategy. It is worth paying attention to the range 2039 - 2029. Breakout of the boundary and price consolidation above resistance or below support will form a signal for price movement in the corresponding direction.
COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - Inside flat from resistance to support Gold is trading inside the flat. The standard situation of price movement inside the range - from resistance to support and vice versa. Accordingly, the price is testing the resistance area of the sideways trend and is apparently now heading towards support. We are waiting for a decline to 2022
Reasons for further decline:
1) Price is in sideways movement (flat)
2) Resistance is tested
3) Liquidity below 2023 becomes the target after the retest
4) Strong dollar negatively affects gold
🇺🇸USDJPY🇯🇵 - Currency pair is preparing for growth USDJPY may show strong growth on the background of weakening Japanese Yen and strong dollar. The price is testing the resistance. Consolidation is forming. If the price returns to the resistance again, the chances of a breakout will increase. The target in our case will be 151.7
Reasons for further gains:
1) Strong dollar
2) Consolidation forming without any strong decline
3) False break of support forms a retest of resistance
4) Upward trend
5) Price does not reach risk zones from below
GOLD → A retest of support will lead to a breakout FOREXCOM:XAUUSD under the influence of negative fundamental background is testing the support, from which it is forming the rebound we were waiting for. At this time the dollar is strongly strengthening and overcoming local boundaries.
On D1 the price of gold is testing the ascending support, a small rebound and a possible retest of the support may be a signal that the market is ready for further decline. There is no strong news today, several FOMC representatives will speak, but the outlook for inflation and rates is the same. On the XAU graphee, we should pay attention to the support at 2021 and 2016. A retest, price squeeze and pre-breakdown consolidations would indicate that the market is ready for a breakout of this zone for a further decline towards 2004. However, price may still test resistance at 2031, 2039 before further decline. Moving averages are trying to form another line crossover.
Resistance levels: 2028, 2031, 2039
Support levels: 2021, 2016, 2004
At the moment, the dollar is ready to grow further, except that a small correction may follow. But fundamentally, the outlook is the same. Gold in this case may break the nearest support and head towards 2000
TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Falling to a strong liquidity area. Retest of D1 supportFOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been losing ground since the opening of the session on the negative fundamental background, which has persisted since last week. The price continues trading inside the range.
On the high timeframe the price is declining towards the ascending support line, most likely this area will be tested in the near future. But, as this support plays a rather important role in the market, we should expect a rebound from it, as there is no clear trend in the market and the range trading strategy has the advantage at the moment.
On H1, the price has been declining since the opening of the session and is heading towards 2016, from this area, technically, a correction to the strong liquidity area of 2031 may follow. The retest of 2031 and the price reaction will show the further direction, but the prospect is that the fall from this resistance will continue with the target at 2004.
Resistance levels: 2031, 2039
Support levels: 2016.8, 2004
As long as the price is inside the range and there is no definite trend in the market, gold may continue to hang around in this channel, trading between the same levels. At the moment there are no such prerequisites, so, for the time being, we should focus on the continuation of trading inside the sideways channel
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → What could free the price from the sideways range?FX:GBPUSD is in a flat range condition. The whole market has been standing still lately, which complicates trading due to the lack of safe zones to open trades.
Yesterday was an interesting trading day in terms of outlook. The news from FED & FOMC defined a rough medium term outlook for the dollar, so we can use this information. There is just as much important news today.
Technically, the odds are higher for the currency pair to change its trend from a sideways market to a downtrend. This scenario will be able to realize a break of the support at 1.2615, but, within the range, the price may stay for a long time, until a stronger factor appears, which will free the price.
Resistance levels: 1.2784
Support levels: 1.2615
Today's news could also raise the volatility in the market. If the Dollar ( TVC:DXY ) continues to get support, but the pound will break the area of 1.2615 and the price may head towards our targets.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - Waiting for a rebound from strong support Gold is declining and may continue to decline through 2016. This support has a proven strength, and in the absence of a clear trend, this level may push the price up with the help of buyers. The target in this case is 2027
Reasons to bounce:
1) Key level 2016
2) Price is trading inside a global flat pattern
3) 2016 is a strong support with a proven history
4) A distribution to support reduces the chances of a breakout
5) A bounce from 2016 could foment a correction to 2027.8
GOLD → Friday sales, price in sideways movement FOREXCOM:XAUUSD was ready to overcome the resistance of the 2062 range, but Friday's NFP, with sharply unexpected data of 353K ruined the temporary plans of buyers. The dollar is building strong momentum and continues its strengthening trend.
pic: Long-term bullish trend. The price is trading at its maximum values
On the 2-week timeframe we see a strong bullish trend, price is trading at its highs and is likely to continue to test the extensive resistance area for a breakout. The reason for this is the high interest in the world during the geopolitical instability, banking crisis, and the huge interest from the world Central Banks, which continue to buy the asset.
Fundamentally, gold is no longer actively reacting to the conflicts in the Middle East, but investors continue to buy the metal as a safe haven.
Last week Powell made it clear that they will cut the interest rate, but not in March, which disappointed investors a bit, but Friday's NFP, which was apparently bogus, formed a strong sell-off at the end of the week ( high NFP with high jobless claims... ).
In the coming week, we should expect the FED chief to speak, as well as other members of the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, Initial Jobless Claims is worth paying attention to.
pic: Sideways price movement in the gold market. Neutral position between bears and bulls
Locally, on H1, gold is in the 2064-2016 range. Also, there is a strong support area at 2031 from below, after a false break of which the market is buying back the decline a bit. Technically, gold is strong and quite confidently can defend its positions on the background of the dollar growth, but on the background of panic and imbalance from the support, the Market Maker can form another long-squeeze relative to the lower levels. It is also worth paying attention to the fact that the price is still in the range. It is difficult to trade inside the range, so I advise you to look for strong levels or zones.
Resistance levels: 2057, 2064, 2040
Support levels: 2031, 2020, 2016
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → How can NFP affect the price of gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is updating highs but continues to be inside a sideways movement limited by resistance at 2065 and support at 2020. The market is in the waiting phase for NFP.
Quite an interesting situation this week. The asset is forming a retest of 2062 resistance on D1, but below is a strong support at 2050-2048, which hides a large pool of liquidity behind it. There is a chance that the price may retest this area before or on the backdrop of the news. In the mid-term, it is expected to rise as we have a chance to see NFP below 216K published in December. Technically, gold is in consolidation between 2058 - 2048, a classic situation where the market does not know what will happen.
The price is restrained by the resistance of the range 2058-2064, if this area is broken, the distribution to 2078-2088 may be formed. And already below 2030 a panic zone is formed, which, from a theoretical point of view, the price can also test in order to get rid of an unnecessary passenger before further movement of the train.
Support levels: 2048.8, 2039.4, 2030
Resistance levels: 2058.3, 2064
Based on the data, we have a high but not 100% chance that NFP may show bearish data for the US market, which could be positive for gold. But! The unpredictability of the news is not canceled!
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
🇬🇧 GBPUSD 🇺🇸 - Waiting for distribution from consolidationGBPUSD may show further growth. There are several reasons for this, including the positive geopolitical and fundamental background for the Pound. NFP could be bad on the back of US jobless claims increasing, which could affect the employment rate.
Reasons for further gains:
1) Today will be NFP. Expect the data could be bad for $
2) Price breaks local resistance
3) Consolidation of price above PDH and above 1.2750
4) Bullish trend and strong consolidation
GOLD → The sideways movement continues. What's going on?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to be in global and local sideways movement, which is already annoying. The difficulty of trading lies in the fact that it is more difficult to identify strong zones to enter positions than in a trending market. It is allowed to trade from strong borders or zones, otherwise the market will simply tear up.
Technically, gold continues to push up to the 2048 resistance. After the false breakdown, there is no fall and we see that the price is slowly but approaching the boundary, but at the same time volumes continue to decline. Or, hidden accumulation of potential is formed and if the price continues slow approach to 2048.7 in the future, the level may be broken soon. But it is too early to say about it. The price makes a false breakdown of 2048.8 and on the retest makes it clear that bears are not letting up yet. On the background of the news, the price may head towards trend support, either from 2048.8 (after another retest), or after a break of 2040, as there are no local reasons for growth beyond 2048.8 at the moment.
Support levels: 2039.4, 2030.9, 2020.8
Resistance levels: 2048.8, 2058.3
There are still some important news ahead, most likely the market will not change much, except for some highly volatile movements, but in general the price will remain in a range, probably until tomorrow's NFP
TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Traders are panicking. Growth amid low volumesOANDA:XAUUSD has been trading in a very narrow range lately with low volatility, while the dollar index is standing still. Something very turbulent is coming.
A stalemate and confusing situation is forming on D1. On the background of retests of resistance areas and attempts to break the upper trend boundaries, trading volumes are decreasing in the market. Technically, the price is gradually pushing towards the resistance at 2039.4 to break it. After a false breakout, there is no fall and the price is testing this level again. Volumes are falling at this time. There is strong news ahead. In the mid term, traders are waiting for news that could weaken gold. But amid the initial reaction, the XAU price may test the resistances. And after stabilization of the situation, the fall (which is waiting for the market, judging by the volumes) may continue.
Resistance levels: 2039.4, 2048, 2058
Support levels: 2033, 2029, 2020
There is news ahead, which will come gradually. The strength of the news is high. Technically, gold may strengthen temporarily, but fundamentally and on the background of weak purchasing power, the price may fall in the future. Everything is determined by the actual fundamental background.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Pre-break consolidation. Lots of news aheadFX:EURUSD is forming a trend change amid the strengthening of the TVC:DXY . Important news is expected today, which can affect the market in different ways.
On D1 we see the formation of a strong accumulation at the dollar index. Earlier and still the dollar index is supported by rather strong comments from the US regulators, which negatively affects the euro. The currency pair in turn breaks strong daily support and is gradually heading downwards. From a technical point of view, the fall may continue as the key area has not yet been tested. On the chart, it is clear that the 1.0700 area is an interesting zone at the moment.
Resistance levels: 1.083, 1.0887
Support levels: 1.082, 1.0724
On H4, support is formed, which restrains the market - 1.082. A breakout and price consolidation below the level could form a bearish momentum that could continue the trend. But, as there is a lot of news today, try to trade safely!
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → False breakdown and obvious bearish pressure FX:GBPJPY is forming a false break of the resistance at 188.3 and is forming a consolidation, within which it can be seen that the market is under pressure from sellers.
On D1 we see the formation of the global range 188.3 - 179.9. The price is forging a retest of the resistance of the range in the format of a false breakdown. After that consolidation will be formed. So far it is difficult to call it a pre-breakdown consolidation, because on local timeframes the price movement is preparing for a price drop. Local highs are gradually decreasing and the probability of breaking through the base of consolidation - 187.38 level is increasing. In this case there is a probability of starting correction to 185.9, 184.3. Globally the market has no trend, because the price is in sideways movement, and locally it is still bullish, but when breaking through the base of 187.38, the market phase may change.
Resistance levels: 188.3, 190
Support levels: 187.37
Indices of GBP, JPY currencies are standing still, GBP looks more optimistic, but on the background of geopolitics it gives prerequisites for correction, which can negatively affect the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance breakout in the absence of volumesOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking through several resistance lines. But there are a few nuances that hint that this breakout may be false.
Pic: Global range and no clear strength among buyer or seller
On the two charts from the high timeframe, we see a breakout of resistance. Technically, we should expect further growth. But I am very much confused by the lack of volumes . This fact suggests that traders do not support this movement, which can be formed with manipulative sense before the flow of strong news on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
Pic: Growth and resistance breakout amid weak volumes
Technically, the Market Maker may test 2045 and 2048.8 as this zone is also an area of interest. But there is still a high chance of a false breakout with further decline.
Resistance levels: 2039.4, 2045, 2048.8
Support levels: 2035, 2030, 2025, 2020
The situation is tense. The market continues to stand still before strong news. Within the current range, we should expect trading to continue inside its boundaries. However, at the moment, there is still pressure from sellers on the back of a strong dollar
TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Why the 42K level is important to usBINANCE:BTCUSD is not reacting to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges, and and the recovering interest allows the market to redeem the correction a bit.
Pic: Idea: BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?
The correction phase is not over, as the price has not yet left the boundaries that can confirm the end of this phase.
The market is recovering from a false break of the 40181 range support. Long-squeeze eliminated the buyers' orders in the support zone and within the range the price is testing one of the important 42K levels.
At the same time:
BTC for the second few days did not react to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges
Flagship absorbed the news that the US government intends to sell the coin for $130 million
Increased ineterest to BTC from traders and investors in China, who are looking for salvation in crypto instead of unstable stock and real estate markets within the country.
Pic: Important level. Demonstration on the chart
Interest in bitcoin is high, but there is quite an important event ahead for the market. Halving is expected in early April and statistically the market is shedding ahead of a possible rally. Whales have an interest to get in on more favorable positions, but at the same time the positive fundamental and technical background attracts investors even at current price levels.
Price positioning relative to the 42000 level will determine the future outlook for the market.
The consolidation of BTC above 42K may form the potential for strengthening the price to the range boundary - 44500, and the consolidation of the price below 42K will continue the decline to retest the support.
Pic: Value of the level for further perspective
When will the correction end?
At the moment this phase is still active, a break of support 40700 - 41K will form a continuation of the decline, which in the medium term may head towards 48K, then 37K and 34K, where there is a huge pool of liquidity from buyers. The market may be interested in liquidating some passengers before further rally.
But, in the current position, the correction phase may be over as the asset still has high interest. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 42K may confirm the market's intentions that it is ready for further growth in the near future, and Breakout and consolidation of the price above 44.5 - 45K will confirm the end of the correction. In this case the further target will be 48.2K and higher.
CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Pressure on XAU price. Consolidation below MA-50FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to forge a bearish correction amid a localized decline in interest due to a strengthening dollar index.
Pic: Bearish pressure on the 2025 level
On D1 we can observe the sawing of 2025 level on the background of strong struggle, buyers have formed quite a huge pool of liquidity below 2025-2020. But on the background of market pressure the price still enters the range 2025 - 1984. And we can see it on the background of confirmation in the form of price consolidation below the resistance.
There is a lot of strong news in the coming week, starting from the FOMC, FEC speech, which will obviously discuss the further situation with inflation and interest rate, and NonFarm Payrolls on Friday. This period is expected to be quite volatile, but only in its second half.
Pic: The priority trend on H1 is bearish. Downward price channel
Technically, on the local timeframe we see the formation of a bearish price channel, earlier the price overcame the 2035-2020 consolidation support, at the moment the market is in the correction phase and retesting the previously broken area.
On D1 the gold is consolidating below the daily MA-50 and essentially opens us a new path for a possible decline, as now the market and whales may be interested in the 2000-1984 area, before a possible further rise. From the opening the market may form another retest of the 2020-2025 resistance area before continuing the local trend
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP - Price can bounce from support area and continue fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURGBP, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to flat, where in a short time it fell to support level, which coincided with support area.
After this, GBP made strong upward impulse to resistance area, thereby exiting from flat and later it turned around.
Price started to decline in falling channel, where it first broke $0.8700 level and fell to support line of channel.
Then price bounce continued to decline and soon reached $0.8555 support level, which recently it broke.
Next, GBP fell lower but soon backed up, and at the moment British Pound trades in support area.
Possibly, price can bounce from this area and continue to decline to $0.8450 support line of channel.
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HelenP. I British Pound will continue grow to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you British Pound analytics. A few moments ago price rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the support zone and rose to 1.2735 points, but then it turned around and made impulse down to 1.2500 points, thereby breaking the 1.2600 level. After this, the price in short time rose back to this level and also broke it, after which GBP made an impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Then price bounced from this level and started to trades inside consolidation, where the price declined to the support level, after which turned around and made impulse up to the resistance zone, and even higher. But soon GBP fell back, making a fake breakout, and later rose again to a resistance level. After this movement, GBP rebounded down from the 1.2775 level to the support level and soon bounced back, but a not long time ago British Pound rebounded from the resistance level again and it trades below. For my mind, GBP will make a small movement down one more time and then continue to grow to the 1.2775 resistance level, which coincides with the top part of the consolidation. For this case, I set my target at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️