GTRA - FLAT BASEI bought my positions today
January 15, 2024
Reasons:
1. Low-risk entry point
2. Confirmed stage 2 uptrend
3. Develops a mini cup and handle with VCP characteristics
4. Dried-up volume, indicating all the selling has been exhausted
5. Huge volume on breakout
6. High relative strength stock
7. More stocks are setting up and breaking out
Flaws:
The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 31% of total stocks above the 200-day MA
Flatbase
SMMT - FLAT BASEI bought my positions today
September 18, 2023
The reasons:
1. The stock offers a low-risk entry point
2. It developed a textbook flat base setup
3. It has VCP characteristics
4. It has a high relative strength
5. It outperforms the general market
6. Volume dries up and huge volume on the breakout
Flaw:
The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 33.8% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
Nice 10w Flat Base, but substantial resistance overheadI like the base that is forming in OLED 165 pivot point. Notice 5 weeks of tight weekly closes - good sign of potential accumulation is happening.
Overall structure looks mid-term bullish to me and my ElliotWave analysis (EW). Although, one shall be mindful of important resistance in 171-180 area, that my cause price to correct to back to 152-141 support zone, before it moves to higher resistance targets (>190).
One important caveat to EW: I use it solely to have an idea about sentiment and overall context to support, but not guide my investing decisions. Price and volume is the key, and only price pays, not the fibonacci resistance or any wave count.
Short-term trading thesis : quick scalp longs could be considered if price breaks above 165 pivot with volume support. 171-179 area could be used as profit taking target to at least to finance the risk.
AUTO - FLAT BASEI bought my positions today
June 8, 2023
The reasons:
1. The stock offers a low-risk entry point
2. It developed a small cup-and-handle pattern
3. It outperformed the general market
4. It has a high relative strength line
5. It has VCP characteristics
6. It breaks out with a huge volume
Flaw:
1. The market is still in a correction
2. Lack of setup in the market
$ABNB - Episodic pivot shortAfter a negative reaction to last earning of Air Bnb, a short episodic pivot has formed on the daily chart.
It still could need a day or two, until the 10day MA has caught up with the price.
Entry:
- break of 104.55 level (pivot point)
- Aggresive: touch of 10 ma (if it goes up tommorow)
Stop loss:
- Break of 10 ma
-Aggresive: upward break of pivot point
ZYME - broke up from baseZYME peaked @ 59 in Jan2021 and had been generally on the downtrend since. It began to bottom around Feb 2022 (after a 90% plunge!) and had been consolidating in a sideway range until the 200 day MA began to come down and flatten out.
Today it gapped strongly out of this range high of 9.28, a possible breakaway gap that will increase the odds of a valid breakout. However, the volume isn't too great at the moment hence the verdict's still out if it will soon retrace to retest neckline 2 (or even to close the gap in the worst case). Hence I will put the initial stop loss just underneath this gap @ about 8.5
The trend is in early days yet, could still be choppy until a stronger trend is apparent.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Clearfield, Inc. Growing.Fundamental (reason why I am putting this stock in my watchlist): Their EPS growth and Revenue Grotwh (between Q3 2021 to Q3 is 109% and 84% respectively. ROE is 33%. This is what I define as a potential growth stocks.
Technical : It is correcting after its 6 day rally. It will be interesting if it reverts back to the mean (50,100 and 200 EMA). it is testing the 20EMA right now.
Action : Wait and see if it goes to the mean and/or form a flat tight base.
$ARIS ready to move higher?* Nice up trend
* Resisted the current bear market really well
* Looks good on all time frames
Technicals:
* Sector: Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Water
* Relative Strength vs. Sector: 3.09
* Relative Strength vs. SP500: 13.1
* U/D Ratio: 1.06
* Base Depth: 24.41%
* Distance from breakout buy point: 0.1%
* Volume 72.3% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter now as the price is just breaking out of its base
* Or if you're looking for a better entry you can look for one around the $18.19 area as that should serve as a level of support.
* Looking at $XLU it does seem like Utilities are ready to move higher and ARIS seems to be a leader in this space.
WM is one to keep an eye on!* Great earnings
* Very strong up trend
* High 3-month relative strength of 2.55 in the Industrial sector
* Pays out dividends
* Has been in a tight range of ~3.94% for the past 5 to 6 weeks
* Held up incredibly well during this time of market uncertainty
Trade Idea:
* There are a few plays you can do here since the 4% stop is quite a distance away:
1) Enter now if you can stomach a little volatility
2) You can look for a buying opportunity once it has broken and closed above $166.23
3) You can wait for a discounted entry near the $164.22 area
4) You can wait for a bounce from the $161.24 area.
Any thing below $161.24 would negate this idea.
NSA breaking out of a flat base!* Good earnings
* Very Strong up trend
* High 3-month relative strength in the Real Estate sector
* Breaking out of a flat base of roughly 6 weeks with higher than average volume
* Pays out dividends quite generously since it's a REIT
Trade Idea:
* Now's a great time to enter as the price is just breaking out and is very close to the broken resistance.
* The REITs sector is also doing pretty well at the moment
* If you're looking for a discount you can look for a buying opportunity near the $62.50 to $63.30 area
Caution:
* A daily close below $62.50 would negate the idea
OMCL showing signs of moving higher with a pocket pivot?* Great earnings
* Strong up trend
* Very high 3-month relative strength in the Healthcare sector of 10.44
* Trading at higher than average volume creating a pocket pivot
* Trading in a tight range of ~5% range
* Little to no overhead resistance
* Has held up incredibly well during this correction with little to no downside at all.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter as indicated before the breakout from the range.
* This entry will net you a better risk/reward ratio but with the risk of not breaking out just yet.
* If you want to be conservative given the current market conditions, it may be better to wait for the breakout (a daily close) above $182.73 before entering.
Note/Caution:
* This is a pocket pivot entry and although it has little to no resistance, it may not break out immediately.
* Pocket pivots indicate institutional interest in the stock.
🚀 Target with next Leg up ? 🚀 NYSE:TGT
Today I want to talk a little bit about Target. As one can see this stock is in a strong upward moving trend. Since the last 52 weeks high which is around 267,23 the stock corrected by 5% and created a base between 267,23 and 253,98.
Trading Idea:
Long above 264,20 with as Stop Loss below 252,42
Important:
- Pay attention to the earnings and dividends date which are on 17th and 18th of August
Gaming Plan Best Case:
If TGT breaks out above 264,20 one can place first profit target order at 287,76 and self half there. If the first profit target order is hit, one can move the stop to breakeven. My second profit target would be around 300. Of course one can only use one profit target to sell half and use the other half to play for a bigger move.
Gaming Plan Worst Case:
If the stock squats i would prefer to sell half of the position around 258,60 and the second half at 252,42
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P.S: For educational purposes only, not trading advice