(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH.
There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend.
Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range.
**This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
Flatpattern
EXPANDED FLAT PATTERN : Elliott Wave theory ( Elliott BABA)A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC • Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level of wave A • Wave C ends substantially beyond the ending level of wave A
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 123.6% of wave A
• Wave C = 123.6% – 161.8% of wave AB
CXO ( potential swing trade long - April 2023)CXO looks to be forming a running flat in the short term. C-wave is incomplete so a little patience is required before considering an entry. Any move to the golden zone will need to be scrutinized. The 92c and 89c level represent sturdy resistance and support zones. Could also possibly become an expanding flat in the future. A tight stop loss here (5 to 7%) is required if there is a decision to play.
Bitcoin Movement Prediction Based On Elliot WaveIn this scenario I think we are still on Wave IV of big Wave.
Chances of the pattern are:
- Flat
- ZigZag
- Expanded Flat
The invalidation of Flat & Zig Zag is at 18125
The invalidation of Expanded Flat is at 15575
If these 2 major invalidation line is broken then the scenario is invalid.
Expecting More Pain But It All Depends On The Federal ReserveThe downtrend on the daily timeframe is in tact and there was a close below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This leads me to believe that we will see the continuation of the downtrend to the 50% Fib retracement level. All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve meeting this week as that will be the ultimate deciding factor.
Bitcoin Bullish FlatHi all,
Im bullish on 30 min TF.
Why ?
. Impulse wave 1 to 5 complete.
. Flat - Combination of Abc's complete
. Abc Combination = WXY complete.
. Buying Volume Above 50.
. And lastly Rejection at 61.8 FIB RT zone Complete.
So because of all the reason's specified that is why im bullish on BTC on 30 min TF.
running flat CorrectionThe running flat has a three-wave structure, labeled A-B-C. Waves A and B consist of three waves. Wave B travels to a new extreme, exceeding the starting point of wave A of the pattern. And here comes the major difference between the two flat corrections. In an expanding flat, wave C travels beyond the starting point of wave B. Within the running type, it does not. In other words, a running flat wave C is not going to reach the termination point of wave A.
Read more at: ewminteractive.com
GOLD short term updated 14/Jan/221)On Charts : Charts consist of 3-Dimensions - The X-factor ( Time or Cycle ), The Y- factor ( Price Geometry ), AND The Z-factor ( The Speed ).. 2)On Elliot Wave / Market Structure : Unlike Textbook written rule : ALL Impulsive wave comprise of ONLY a-b-c sub-waves NOT 1,2,3,4,5 waves.. AND there is NO Truncated 5th wave BUT ONLY wrong wave counts...
Flat Pattern in BitcoinHello,
Currently sitting in extreme fear (15 of 100) and daily divergences on macd.
Bitcoin is going to hold around 39k to jump many stop losses and accomplish the objective for breaking the big lateral (51,000 - 45,000).
A flat pattern is a very strong one. No one expects to reverse the trend on Bitcoin. As no one expected to fall at current levels 3 months ago.
Market always does the unexpected, and this time will not be different.
Good luck!
💨𝙀𝙡𝙡𝙞𝙤𝙩𝙩 𝙒𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙋𝙖𝙩𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙣: 𝙁𝙡𝙖𝙩🌊 ●●● 𝙁𝙡𝙖𝙩 (FL)
❗❗ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙧𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨
● A flat always subdivides into three waves.
● Wave A is always a zigzag, flat or combination .
● Wave B is always a zigzag.
● Wave C is always an impulse or a ending diagonal.
❗ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙜𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨
● Wave A is usually a zigzag.
●● 𝙀𝙭𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙙 𝙁𝙡𝙖𝙩 (Exp.FL)
❗❗ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨
● Wave B always ends after the start of wave A .
● Wave C always ends past the end of wave A .
❗ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨
● Wave B usually retraces 123.6 or 138.2% of wave A , less often — 161.8% .
● Wave C is often equal to 161.8% of wave A , less often — 261.8% .
● The most common type of flat.
●● 𝙍𝙪𝙣𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙛𝙡𝙖𝙩 (Runn.FL)
❗❗ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨
● Wave B always ends after the start of wave A .
● Wave C never goes beyond the end of wave A .
❗ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨
● Within such a flat wave B should end well above the origin of wave A and that means wave C might reflect a 61.8% or even a 100% relationship to wave A .
● A running flat indicates that the forces in the direction of the larger trend at next higher degree are powerful.
● Wave B is usually no more than twice the length of wave A .
● Keep in mind that a running flat is rare.
●● 𝙍𝙚𝙜𝙪𝙡𝙖𝙧 𝙛𝙡𝙖𝙩 (Reg.FL)
❗❗ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨
● Wave B never goes beyond beyond the start of wave A .
● Wave B always retraces at least 90 percent of wave A .
● Wave C always ends past the end of wave A .
❗ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨
● The rarest type of flat.
Elliott Wave Principal 2005 & QA EWI .
BTCUSD - Mid Day OutlookLooks like we are dealing with some type of Flat Correction. Leg C has printed at the 1.115% Fobonacci Extension and now is pulling back. However caution should be given as Bitcoin is in a very deceptive corrective pattern. We could end up with a much deeper Expanded Flat. Overall Bias remains Bearish.
Good Luck and Safe Trading!
EURUSD - Elliott wave – crucial area 1.2244 – minuette c or iiicrucial price area 1.2244 – minuette c or iii
from 1.2051 minimum an upside motive wave is running
micro subwave ((4)) of subminuette c or iii unfolding in expanding flat
crucial price area 1,2244
if zigzag c prevails --> on a daily basis - (b) is over – starting wave down (c) target 1,1970 area
ALT: wave iii of (iii) unfolding upside motive – target 1.2362 (1.681 fib)
critical price area
previus daily close 1.2221
PP 1.2195
FIB: 1.1244 extention i=iii or a=c - 1.2193-1.2167 (fib ret 0.236/0.382)
static S/R 1.2244 critical R
volatility D 1.2192-1.2284