ECB Gasping for air.European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane said on Wednesday that the current transition will require the ECB to continue to raise interest rates over the next several meetings, as reported by Reuters.
"Encouraging market intermediation of government deposits remains desirable in the long term."
"Most measures of longer-term inflation expectations currently stand at around 2%."
"If energy costs were to decline or demand were to weaken over the medium term, it would lower pressures on prices."
"Rate hike has been well transmitted to money market rates."
"Eurozone inflation drivers are of a different nature compared to demand-driven overheating dynamics."
"The appropriate monetary policy for the euro area should continue to take into account that the energy shock remains a dominant driving force."
"Inflation dynamics associated with the energy shock component, to which the euro area is particularly exposed, are of a different nature compared to demand-driven overheating dynamics."
EUR/USD is struggling to preserve its recovery momentum after this report and was last seen gaining 0.25% on the day at 0.9995.
Flippa
KIWI ON SALE!Like I previously mentioned in my other published idea title BOLD GOLD, because of the hawkish fed and raising inflation The USD is stronger than most if not all G7 currencies. As a result commodities & commodity currencies across the board is selling off such as the NZD & AUD, they may be the weakest currencies crossed w the USD. Last week I sold this pair at 0.61875 and took profit at 0.59986 a -3.05% move (-189 pips).This week I reopened a sell position w some of the profits from the trade I closed out last week at 0.60697 and at the present moment market is down -1.24% (-75 pips). My current take profit is 0.58793 ( -190 pips) but the market can definitely pull lower if the USD strength persist as I suspect it will, at least until the next rate decision on the 22nd of this month. If or when NZDUSD breaks & close below the 4 month trend line found on the D1 I can definitely see this pair heading towards 0.57000 a -4.8% (-287 pips) move from market current price. Lastly, in less than 1 hour the USD PPI YOY & PPI ex Food & Energy numbers will be released , the consensus is 8.8% & 7.1% respectively, a surprise higher than a expected number could fuel another USD rally, a lower than expected number can cause a temporary retest. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.