TELL ME HOW YOU TRADE THE FOMCTomorrow is FOMC and Federal Funds Rate.
Previous - 1.50%
Forecast - 1.75%
Tradeable Deviation - 0.25%
If Actual - 1.50% weak dollar
If Actual - 1.75% strong dollar
EURUSD can move in 2H after news 70+ pips
EURUSD 90%+ directional match following news direction
FOREX TRADERS - DO YOU EVEN TRADE FOMC IF SO HOW DO YOU DO IT?
Fomcpositioning
$ilver Technical Analysis: Bulli$h Breakout$ilver is trading inside of a symmetric triangle. These triangles are continuation patterns 75% of the time. The triangle should break higher or lower within the next couple of weeks. In addition, an inverse head and shoulders is also in play. My play on this move is TAHO, BCEKF, FSM and HL. LOCKED AND LOADED BABY. FOMC day is next Wednesday at 2:00pm ET. This decision could decided which way $ilver will breakout. I am BULLI$H.
Here is information on symmetric triangles and inverse head and shoulder patterns:
Symmetric triangle: stockcharts.com
Inverse head and shoulder:https://www.investopedia.com/…/i/inverseheadandshoulders.asp
Watching 1300-1295 area for a long entry before FOMC meeting.Blue vertical lines are a day before FOMC interest rate raises.
Seem to be stuck under the .382 of the fib channel, which could signal more downside.
RSI in the middle but pointing down.
TSI under zero which signals to stay short.
I am short looking towards the 1300-1295 area to enter a long position before we go up after FOMC announcement (based off of past interest rate increases, and if the FED decides to raise).
However, the blue lines show correlation and not causation.
This means that even though gold rallied after the FED raised interest rates during their FOMC meetings, it does not mean that it will do it this time as well, or that the rallies were directly caused by the interest rate increases–even though the charts seem to be biased towards this effect.
EUR/USD FOMC ForecastHello Traders,
The market is in a range with price action lacking a firm direction and clearly waiting for a fundamental factor to drive it in either direction. The FOMC meeting tomorrow will be such a driver and we have two outcomes below along with our rationale.
Outcome 1 - Rate Hike and Bullish Press Conference - 65% Likelihood: We favour a bullish statement and press conference from the FED given Donald Trump has signalled pro business policy and major infrastructure spending. We believe that this will put pressure on the FED to act now and raise rates to accommodate expected economic growth over Trumps first 100 days in office where his policies will be announced and actioned.
Outcome 2 - No Hike and Dovish Press Conference - 35% Likelihood: Looking at the chart the market is waiting for direction. In the face of Trumps bullish growth ambitions the market is still undecided on the direction of the FOMC. We then keep our options open on a surge in the Euro as this outcome would mean the FED don't follow the President-Elects view of increased economic growth through infrastructure spending and pro business policies.
How to trade: We suggest orders placed on the fringes of the blue box in either direction with small risk stop losses, it's likely price will surge in either direction on the rate decision and statement.
Price will then fluctuate during the press conference however it is likely the comments in the conference will be supportive of whichever direction price moves after the rate decision.
POSSIBLE BEARISH CONTINUATION AUD/USD A break of the counter trend line that has formed on AUD/USD could lead to a downside continuation to make new lows. The move also has the possibility to offer a decent risk reward as well. Targets would be 0.71571 and then on to 0.69609 . Could this be a look into the future for this market ahead of the FOMC tomorrow? Only time will tell.
AUDUSD could retrace to 0.73/0.725 on a close below 0.7450Australia dollar is starting to retrace its gains after flirting with 0.750 resistance. A bearish close today below 0.745 could see the declines extending back to the price zone of 0.73 - 0.725. Establishing support here could pave way for a new leg in the rally back to 0.745 and eventually to 0.76.