Oatly | OTLY | Long at $0.64NASDAQ:OTLY : A pure technical analysis or future acquisition play. While the company is unprofitable and only has about 1 year left of cash, the bottom "may" be in... unless an offering is announced (tread lightly). But my historical simple moving average (SMA) is approaching the price. Typically, when this happens, there is a sudden jump in the price to "meet" the SMA. It may take weeks or months, but for a pure gamble, odds are in my favor (again, unless bad news emerges). Thus, at $0.64, NASDAQ:OTLY is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $1.00
FOOD
Celsius Holdings | CELH | Long at $30.00Celcius Holdings NASDAQ:CELH suffered quite a drop over the last 5 months, but it was highly overvalued. While I still view it as fairly overvalued with a P/E of 28x, it's reporting itself as a healthy company, almost no debt, with a bright growth future. Going into earnings, it could have a nice run, but I am staying highly cautious.
From a technical analysis perspective, it fell through my selected long-term simple moving average (white line) and may have a nice bounce from here off the next major support level (blue lines) into earnings. If it does, I expect resistance near $40. Thus, at $30.00, NASDAQ:CELH is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $39.50
Target #2 = $43.00
Target #3 = $47.00
Target #4 = $72.00 (long-term view if no recession...)
Fries and Deep Fry Oil consumption Stock for the savingBeyond Oil - Boil.cn stock (Candian market) an Israeli company that has made significant Oil refreshing powder that gives more life X3 for cooking and better cleansing for Deep fried oily food. looking today looks like a good Buy for a portfolio.
Nestlé (consumer goods): A stable company with a strong global pNestlé (consumer goods): A stable company with a strong global presence in consumer goods. It’s a defensive choice, less subject to economic fluctuations.
Rewards
Trading at 49.4% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 5.74% per year
Earnings grew by 15.8% over the past year
Pays a reliable dividend of 3.62%
Risk Analysis
Has a high level of debt
Is Your Summer BBQ in Jeopardy?The seemingly innocuous drought in Brazil could have far-reaching consequences for global food supply chains. As the world's largest soybean exporter, Brazil's weather patterns significantly influence the availability and affordability of various food products.
The delayed planting of soybean crops due to dry conditions in Brazil is raising concerns about potential shortages and price hikes. This could have a ripple effect on the production of meat, poultry, and other food items that rely on soybeans as a key ingredient.
Beyond the immediate impact on soybean prices, the drought could also have broader implications:
Increased Food Costs: The shortage of soybeans could lead to higher prices for animal feed, ultimately affecting the cost of meat and poultry.
Disruptions in Food Processing: Industries that rely heavily on soybeans, such as food processing and biofuel production, may face disruptions due to limited supply.
Global Economic Impacts: The drought could have economic consequences beyond the food sector, affecting trade, transportation, and employment in related industries.
The question now is: How will the global food system adapt to this challenge?
As the world grapples with the implications of Brazil's drought, it is crucial to explore sustainable solutions and strategies to mitigate the potential impacts on food security and economic stability.
Can Corn Conquer Climate Change?The global food system is under siege from the escalating climate crisis, and corn, a pivotal commodity, is facing a particularly formidable challenge. Rising temperatures, erratic rainfall patterns, and the increased prevalence of pests and diseases are all conspiring to undermine corn production. This article delves into the intricate relationship between corn and climate change, examining the potential consequences for food security, economic stability, and social well-being.
Beyond the immediate threats posed by climate change, the impacts on corn production can have far-reaching consequences. Reduced yields can lead to price volatility, making it difficult for low-income households to afford basic food staples. This can contribute to food insecurity and malnutrition, particularly in vulnerable populations. Moreover, corn production is a major source of income for many farmers, especially in developing countries. Climate change-induced crop failures can have devastating consequences for rural livelihoods and economic stability.
However, the challenges are not insurmountable. By adopting sustainable agricultural practices, investing in climate-resilient crop varieties, and fostering global cooperation, we can safeguard the future of corn and ensure a more sustainable and equitable food system for generations to come. Climate-smart agriculture, which includes practices like crop rotation, cover cropping, and precision agriculture, can improve soil health, reduce water use, and enhance resilience to climate change. Additionally, breeding for resilience can develop corn varieties that are more tolerant to heat, drought, and pests.
Furthermore, promoting crop diversification can help reduce the risk of crop failures and ensure food security even in the face of climate-related challenges. Governments can also play a crucial role in supporting farmers by providing financial assistance, access to climate information, and investments in agricultural research and development.
In conclusion, the future of corn is inextricably linked to our ability to adapt to a changing climate. By embracing sustainable practices, investing in innovation, and fostering global cooperation, we can ensure that corn continues to play a vital role in feeding the world. It's a call to action, a challenge to rethink our approach to agriculture, and a reminder that the future of food is in our hands.
Is This the Beginning of a Global Food Crisis?Wheat, a cornerstone of global food security, is facing unprecedented challenges.
Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and geopolitical tensions are converging to create a perfect storm for wheat production. The result? A significant wheat rally that could have far-reaching implications.
Climate Change's Impact:
As the planet warms, wheat-growing regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable. Extreme heat and unpredictable weather patterns are disrupting harvests and reducing yields. This is especially pronounced in Europe, where persistent rainfall and heatwaves have devastated crops.
Global Supply Chain Disruptions:
The war in Ukraine, coupled with export restrictions and transportation challenges, has further strained global wheat supplies. This has led to a surge in demand for wheat from other regions, exacerbating the price increase.
The Looming Food Security Threat:
The rising cost of wheat, a key ingredient in many staple foods, poses a significant threat to food security, particularly in developing countries. As prices continue to climb, access to affordable food becomes increasingly difficult for millions.
The Road Ahead:
The future of wheat production and global food security is uncertain. The world must adapt to the changing climate, invest in sustainable agricultural practices, and develop strategies to mitigate the risks posed by geopolitical tensions. The stakes are high, and the time for action is now.
NESN - Nestlé - NSRGYTrading at 42.9% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 6.49% per year
Earnings grew by 15.8% over the past year
Pays a reliable dividend of 3.44%
NSN stock has been consistently outperforming expectations, showcasing impressive growth and stability. With strong financials and innovative strategies, it’s a smart investment choice for long-term gains. Highly recommended! 🙃🙃🙃🙃
I don't want to talk about all the scandals Nestle has been involved in over the past few weeks.
Kraft Heinz | KHC | Long at $32.00Kraft Heinz NASDAQ:KHC currently has a 4.88% dividend and anticipated earnings growth (though modest) through 2027. Inflation benefits the food industry and Kraft Heinz may do well moving forward. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart is in the accumulation zone around my selected simple moving average and may be preparing for a larger move up. Currently in a personal buy zone at $32.00.
Target #1 = $42
Target #2 = $47
Gold multiplied because of stepped forward marketplace sentimentWorld gold charges extended slightly, presently buying and selling round 2,370 USD on the time of writing. Yesterday, gold became down after drawing near its maximum stage of the week withinside the European session, achieving approximately 2,395 USD, nearly achieving the 2,four hundred USD mark. The important cause for this decline comes from stepped forward marketplace sentiment, meditated in investors` choice for riskier assets.
However, falling US authorities bond yields additionally contributed to weakening the USD, making it hard for gold to fall sharply immediately. However, gold's decline can be constrained via way of means of growing geopolitical tensions withinside the Middle East, mainly after americaA assertion of enforcing new sanctions on Iran.
The short-time period outlook for gold charges stays uncertain. Middle East tensions and Fed economic regulations can be key elements to watch. If Middle East tensions expand or the Fed turns into greater hawkish, gold ought to rise. However, if marketplace sentiment maintains to enhance and US authorities bond yields increase, gold can also additionally fall further.
Libstar soon to rocket to R5.00?These Penny type stocks are very difficult to analyse technically.
There is little volume, high volatility and almost no liquidity.
You can see this by jumping candlesticks between ranges (bids and offers).
So we can deduct a few things but with less certainty than with Blue Chips.
1. Downtrend broken
2. Price ready to break above 200MA - Bullish trend
3. Price to break above the Rectangle formation - Bullish.
If we get a strong push above the range, the next target could be well to R5.00.
If it breaks down, then things will change to bearish.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Libstar Holdings Limited, a prominent player in South Africa's food and consumer goods industry:
Established in 2005:
Libstar was founded to acquire and grow businesses in the consumer packaged goods sector, aiming to create products that enhance family unity.
Headquartered in Plattekloof, South Africa:
The company operates from its headquarters in Cape Town but has a presence across several provinces in South Africa.
Wide Range of Products:
Libstar boasts an extensive portfolio of over 9,000 products, including dairy and meat products, fresh produce, groceries, and more.
Segments of Operation:
The company operates through various segments, including Perishables, Groceries, Snacks and Confectionery, Baking and Baking Aids, and Household and Personal Care.
B2B and B2C Focus:
Libstar serves both business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) markets, offering outsourced manufacturing solutions and food service solutions alongside its consumer products.
$IPI Potash Fertilizer Play Fertilizer stocks like this one and MOS are highly cyclical. Fertilizer has taken a beating lately, if things get uglier this stock could get cut in half. If things go okay it could easily double and outperform others in the group like the bigger MOS. IPI could also get bought out any time.
MISHTANN FOODS - 2 YEARS HIGH BREAKOUTCan enter at CMP 23₹
or enter at 21₹
Target - 35.55
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Long Tyson TSNThis is a weird one for me. Saw a x post about them heavily investing in bug proteins and had to check the chart out. Monster megaphone pattern. Beautiful chart. F the bugs but have to punt. Buying some here for the culture. At this time I am allocating most of my capitol now to btc and high beta crypto shit coins and stocks ill probably lose everything on....but this is to good a long not to get in on. Not advise, good luck.
Looming Threats to Food and Energy SecurityThe global food and energy markets face growing uncertainty and volatility in the coming years due to converging factors that could lead to supply shortages, price spikes, and potential shocks.
One concern is the impact of declining sunspot cycles on the climate. Scientists predict that a grand solar minimum could occur in the coming decades, causing global cooling and disruptive weather patterns, negatively affecting grain production in key agricultural. With grain supplies tightened, any further demand increases would send prices a lot higher.
Global grain consumption has grown steadily, increasing by over 2% in the last 25 years. Rising disposable incomes in developing countries have enabled consumers to add more protein foods like meat and dairy to their diets. However, this dietary shift puts pressure on grains, since over 8 pounds of grain is needed to produce just 1 pound of beef. Hence, increased meat consumption indirectly leads to higher demand for grains.
The ongoing war in Ukraine has severely impacted global grain markets, compounding the risks. Combined, Russia and Ukraine account for nearly 25-30% of worldwide wheat exports. With both countries blocking or threatening to destroy grain shipments, the conflict poses a huge threat to food security especially in import-dependent regions like North Africa and the Middle East. Export restrictions like India's recent rice export ban to protect domestic food security are also tightening global grains trade. As supplies dwindle, agricultural commodities become more vulnerable to price shocks.
These supply uncertainties make soft commodities like cocoa, coffee, and sugar especially at risk of price spikes in coming years. Prolonged droughts related to climate cycles like La Niña and El Niño could severely reduce yields of these crops grown in tropical regions of Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America. For instance, a drought in West Africa's prime cocoa-growing areas could significantly impact production. Cocoa prices are already trading near 6-year highs in anticipation of shortages. If drought hits key coffee-growing regions of Vietnam and Brazil, substantial price increases could follow.
Similar severe drought potential exists in the U.S. Midwest this summer. Lack of rainfall and moisture could cause severe yield reductions in America's corn and soybean belts. Since the U.S. is the world's largest corn and soybean exporter, this would cause severe upward price pressures globally. The rise in agricultural commodities ETF Invesco DBA likely reflects investor concerns about impending supply shortages across farming sectors, and its price might be leading the spot price of agricultural commodities.
Fertilizer prices also contribute to food market uncertainty. In 2021-2022 fertilizer prices skyrocketed due to energy costs rising, directly raising the cost of food production. When fertilizer prices surge, it puts immense pressure on farmers' costs to grow crops and indirectly influences food prices. However, falling fertilizer prices do not necessarily translate into lower food costs for consumers. Fertilizer prices have dropped substantially over the last year, without that meaning everything is fine with fertilizer production. Dropping fertilizer prices could actually indicate a slowdown in agriculture, as, lower demand for fertilizers could mean fewer farmers are investing in maximizing crop yields. In that case, food production may decline leading to higher prices due to supply and demand fundamentals. At the same time, if other farm expenses like machinery, seeds, or labor rise due to factors like high energy costs, overall production costs could still increase even as fertilizer prices decline.
The energy markets face a similar mix of uncertainty and volatility ahead. Despite substantial declines in prices, the energy sector ETF XLE has held up well, suggesting investors anticipate a rebound in oil and natural gas. Fundamentally, both commodities could trade a lot higher in the long term, however in the medium term I believe that oil is poised to drop further to the $55-60 area before tightening supplies lead to much higher prices. Essentially what’s missing is a capitulation to flush bullish sentiment, and then lead to much higher prices. At the moment the market has found a balance between a weakening global economy and OPEC+ supply cuts.
A key uncertainty is China's massive oil stockpiling in recent years, now totaling nearly 1 billion barrels. If oil exceeds $80-85 per barrel, China could temper price rallies by releasing some of these reserves, as it did in 2021. With China's economy in turmoil, further reserve releases may be needed to stimulate growth, but it’s unclear whether its economy will be able to come back easily. Weak demand from China is already an issue for the oil market, and releases from the Chinese SPR could restrain oil prices over the next year. However, on the bullish side, the world remains heavily dependent on fossil fuels lacking viable large-scale alternatives, even as ESG trends continue. OPEC's dwindling spare production capacity raises risks of undersupply. Even an economic recession may only briefly dampen oil prices before supply cuts by major producers again tighten markets.
Ultimately, sustained high energy prices will restrain broader economic growth by reducing demand across sectors. The outlook for food and energy markets remains uncertain, with significant risks of continued volatility over the next few years. Multiple converging factors point to potential supply shortages and price spikes across agricultural commodities and fossil fuels. While prices may fluctuate in the short-term (6-12 months), the medium-term trajectory appears to be toward tighter supplies and higher costs for food and energy (2-5 years). To close on a more positive note, I believe that food and energy prices will see significant deflation as extreme technological progress pushes prices down in the long term (5+ years).
Kroger: Bearish Crab with an Ascending Broadening WedgeKroger has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge and blasted pass the 1.618 PCZ leading to an ultimate test of the 1.902 HOP level, now KR is trading below the PCZ and has tested it as resistance multiple times this year and has broken below the Demand Line of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. From here out I think the target will be a minimum of $22.32 which would be the 0.886 fibonacci retrace but it could go as low as $17.37 as that would be the standard target of the Ascending Broadening Wedge.
In addition to that, the PPO may soon break below its Demand Line.
CORN is trying to establish a base for an upside counter-swingAfter a long period of sideways trading within MJT and MNT lines , Corn is trying to establish a base for an upside counter-swing. A clear close above 508 will confirm it and clear the path for an extended rally. Today USDA will release the weekly export sales report which could be the catalyst that ignite this counter-swing.