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FOOD

JSE 30-Day challenge: Day #4 QFH4th Day. Today we bought some FOOD stocks. I have the idea to start some high-risk/high return game. The main object to post one idea per each day for 30 days in a row. Goals: 1. Buy stocks every day. 2. Keep balance at least of ZAR150.000 on 20 June 2. At least 30% of picked up stocks need to hit 25% profit gain. Rules: Only JSE stock exchange. The initial budget is ZAR300.000 Limit per one trade from ZAR5.000 to ZAR10.000 Spend no more than 1 hour per day to buy any stock and publish the idea. Last day to buy stocks - 20 May Last day to sell stocks - 20 June Log: 1st day is JSE:MCG ~9100 2nd day is JSE:NHM ~8325 3rd day is JSE:PBG ~191 4th day is JSE:QFH ~362
JSE:QFHLong
by Kopachelli
1
SHIPPING INDUSTRY of EARTH? “Door-to-Door” SHIPPING INDUSTRY of EARTH? “Door-to-Door” “THE LAST MILE” of FREIGHT? One of the most important ideas in the shipping industry is the idea of “universal balance”. (for example Exports compared to Imports or from an economic-philosophical perspective imbalance in credit or “debt”). Shipping is perhaps one of the most important industries still here on Earth. Unfortunately, most of our Earths “most critical industries” surprisingly have some of the lowest levels of profit for example foods and shipping typically makes less then a few 1% or 2% profit (7% at most). However, the reason maybe because profits go naturally where they should be and not into the stock market or (even) businesses themselves. For example much of the profit goes to the cost of “labor” in shipping or foods services. For the poor, its actually a healthy sign “low profits”. Problems in our Shipping or Foods industry spell some of the most central and “universal” problems of our entire economy. When shipping on Earth stops its a sign of major problems even with the latest” modern version” of capitalism (developed in the “far east” and “far west”)? The main problem historically with the shipping industry is how we understand our future here and perhaps on another planet or moon. Do we (to the) full realize how important shipping is on Earth? Simple Facts about the Shipping Industry on Earth? Most goods are not shipped by “road” in fact about 70% of all goods are (not surprisingly) shipped by sea, and only 18% by road, 9% by rail, 2% by inland waterways and less than 0.25% by air? I was personally very surprised by these numbers, again its an example of how fundamentally “weird transport” (cars?) is to everything on Earth. Somethings are so important that sometimes the price doesn’t matter anymore? UPS is involved in “Door-to-Door” shipping. Its the most difficult and even very dangerous type of shipping (when you think about shipping things internationally). UPS provides “this service” to help people today ship just about anything anywhere? They quoted you a price of this service and it includes all shipping, handling, import and customs duties, making it a hassle-free. So what are the details of UPS: (one of the largest “door to door” shipping companies on Earth?) Employs about 500,000 people. Ships about $70 billon dollars a year (revenue). Net Income about 7% Typical Price of Stock to Earnings Ratio: 20 to 1 (perhaps way way too high and too little profit) Details of Historical Problem of UPS: Perhaps "the most serious" problems for UPS in the "modern history" started in September of 2007 The important fact about this problem at UPS was that this started BEFORE the “other” 2008 housing market loan crash. For UPS this crash lasted only about one year and turned around in February of 2009. Stock prices dropped by ½ going from about $75 dollars per share to a low of $41 per share for UPS (see graph). Biggest Growth Period at for UPS Shipping?: From February of 2009 (after the serious bank crash of 2008) UPS grew and had some of its most important positive years for almost one full decade (thats 10 years of growth for UPS! Doubling and then TRIPLING the price of UPS stock values…?). By 2018 the price of the UPS stock reached very high levels relative to UPS earnings and started to show some of the most “wild price swings” in the history of UPS. How did this effect the rest of the shipping industry? The real question is something “different’ was going on in “shipping” globally by January of 2018. Its possible that something or “too much” was being shipped globally and there was something “in the environment” of Earth itself that effected life on earth and shipping at the start of 2018? This was well before the major (virus) crashes started in Feb of 2020. UPS had “one final peak of priced grace” in October of 2019 and then suddenly started to drop by about 30 points much of which was prior to our recent global crash... I’ve often wondered if it would make sense for UPS to mostly focus on shipping goods to warehouses only? Why would UPS want to do this? This would thereby possibly cause more pollution in the short term but less Carbon Fuel Pollution in the long term? Because people themselves would need to pickup the shipments. However, if you look at whats going on globally in the shipping industry “MOST” (70%) of all goods already are shipped mostly by sea and this would force people to live closer (together) and nearer to larger cities along the coasts forcing customers to “pickup” goods at a local warehouse. Land or "ground" shipping can be made by train or by truck. However, one thing to worry about for the future of companies like UPS is that only 18% of all goods are shipping by land. Logically it maybe makes sense to only focus on moving big items “like the moon or an astroid”? Ground transport is typically more affordable than air, but more expensive than sea, especially in developing countries, where inland infrastructure may not be efficient or even possible? Many goods today are shipped by “intermodal freight transport” which are basically “normal” shipments that involve more than one mode. Because most goods are “ship by sea” they might also be shipped when they arrive by rail or plane and finally truck a UPS truck? One of the most important problems in shipping is called the “Last Mile”. This is a term used in supply chain management and transportation planning to describe how important real people (real door delivery problems) are in moving goods from a transportation hub to their final destination… typically “our front doors”… GLOBAL COMPETITION FOR “DOOR TO DOOR” SHIPPING? Major competitors in the United States include the “government” United States Postal Service (USPS) and FedEx, along with regional carriers. In addition to these domestic carriers, UPS competes with a variety of international operators, including Canada Post, TransForce, Deutsche Post (also known as DHL), Royal Mail, Japan Post Service, India Post, China and *many* other regional carriers in each country, national (or forging government) postal services and air cargo handlers. It maybe wise for UPS (or any shipping company in the world) to not ship “the last mile” and instead when starting up new operations in for example Indo-China or (India, Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, or Vietnam) Historically, just about everything has been used in transport. Camels, Dogs and Wolves, Donkey, Elephant, Homing pigeons, Horses, Llamas, Ox, Santa’s Reindeer… and even our heads to carry water for miles and miles? However, less and less is being shipped by humans and surprisingly less and less shipments today are “door to door”. Because there is so “little” profit in Foods and Shipping this has created perhaps the largest “black market” for “unconventional” shipping system. We maybe are not ready yet for the truth. On Earth whats going on is very complex … especially if we are shipping “everyone” someday into the deep Cosmos? It maybe that many private shipping companies need to refocus. There business isn’t about profit? And most of it mysteriously is by or on the “sea”? There are many possibilities for new shipment strategies even DHL is offering a way for people to “buy certain routs” and “invest in a specific route” and get profits from “specific supply chain investments” as a simple person who just “likes that shipment route”. So a new centralized “warehouse” approach to shipping maybe will not work alone. Localized services today are very important and are also international. Finally? What is the future of the shipping industry here on Earth? UPS is perhaps one of the most important practical examples of non-governmental private enterprise in (our) (future) fields of shipping. They have (already) been around for as little as 100 years? What does it mean when the Moon, Jupiter, Saturn and Mars will all be aligned this year or even (so I read in the news) “this week in April”? Its almost like the entire universe is stopping for a moment here on earth and “aligning” with something really really far out? What does does this have anything to do with trillions of packages shipped here on Earth? Perhaps the success of the shipping industry will point us someplace far far away? Anyway, I hope you've really enjoyed my discussion on “the future of shipping”… ;) The Cosmos is perhaps “our man’s” “final frontier”.. we don't really have a lot of control over the universe… there is a lot of things moving around out there someplace in our universe.. and today we cant “ship” to many-places “off earth”? Our entire planets future might just depend on “shipping companies” like UPS? To the moon to another star system (or galaxy?)? however, this doesn’t stop us from trying to get involved in shipping all types of strange things all over the world and or even to just look at the next full moon with new possibilities. Hope this helps everyone! Asher
NYSE:UPS
by idasuperman
The Future of Food (Wholesale Foods)The Future of Food (Wholesale Foods) is very important on Earth! The price of food today is about 7 to 10x what it use to be in the middle of this past 20th century (1972ish). Just before the the beginning of the 1990's there was a sudden "wholesale foods" boom. The value of "wholesale" food companies like Costco doubled after one time around the sun and then went up by nearly 20x value in the early 1990's and then value of "wholesale" foods suddenly dropped? After an almost complete collapse of the "wholesale" foods industry in the early 1990's was perhaps the most important time in the history of "modern food" on earth. Its likely that food prices need to go up because grocery stores are making so little money.. Many people are use to walking into a grocery store and seeing it full of food. I was really surprised that a certain large grocery store made almost $200,000 dollars per employee per year. Grocery Store profit (however) are less then say 5% in actual profit and sometimes as little as 2%. Many grocery stores are billion dollar and certainly million dollar businesses. When you think about it the food economy should be and is a multi trillion dollar a year industry. When "wholesale" foods started going up in the mid 2000's they went up about 1000% times and then 2000% up!? Today the value of the stock is about 12200%+ more than the value that "wholesale" started at in the 1980s. If you study very very carefully the entire history of "wholesale" foods, the "first" ideas of "wholesale foods" was not accepted. "wholesale foods" had one full year of problems before it started. These early problems with "wholesale" foods are (clearly visible on the exponential graphs in the late 1980's) Its likely that our actual virus and health problems are actually cased by buying and selling "strange foods" particularly in Wuhan China and perhaps even a larger problem in Indo China and Costal Asia and Pacific Islands. Its likely that the problem we are seeing is with “wholesale foods” globally. The problem is not just with the "sick animals" its "water pollution" along the Yangtze River which is one of the most important fresh water rivers on Earth and the central river in China. For several decades NASA imagery of China and India and Thailand has shown so much air pollution in these areas that its viable on live “NASA Worldview” Imagery every day for years and years. In many places around the world you cant even see the ground from a satellite image because there is so much air pollution. The foods market in Asia and in Wuhan was actually called the Huanan SEAFOOD WHOLESALE Market. Although the COVID-19 Coronavirus is a “respiratory” virus the market actually had a lot of “seafoods” and was also a “wholesale” “fast foods” market place. It maybe that one of the key problems is actually a "wholesale" foods marketplaces problem? Environmental problems are perhaps the key to understanding modern economic collapse. Hope this helps you! Asher!
NASDAQ:COST
by idasuperman
Companies that control the world’s foodConsidering the global scenario I wanted to put together a quick chart to visualize trends on the price of the companies that control the world’s food. The health of the global supply depends on companies like these so I think it might be good to keep an eye on them. I want to add companies that also provide other types of basic nutrition including: fruit, vegetables and other types of food. If you have any ideas happy to consider them and add them to the graph.
NYSE:GIS
by gotomars
8
A few opportunities are emerging for long-side tradersConsumer staples have sold off along with the rest of the market, but if grocery store shelves are any indication, this sector should have a pretty good quarter. With people eating out less and eating at home more, expect several months of strong demand and good free cash flow in this sector. RHS looks to me to be finding support, and the big volume spike today implies that we've possibly reached a reversal level. Now that the news environment around travel bans and quarantines has settled somewhat and we know what the next month or so will look like, I'm starting to see signs of divergence between the winners and the losers. There's going to be a lot of stock picking and a lot of attention to sector-specific economic data and company-specific guidance and financials. There are starting to be a few reasonable long plays, including consumer staples (RHS), video games (ATVI), streaming services (NFLX), direct-to-consumer shippers (FDX, UPS), and remote working software (CSCO).
AMEX:RSPSLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
3
Biggest bear market in dollar that could lose it's statusI believe the biggest bear market in the dollar is coming soon and because of that dollar could potentially won't the world reserve currency in the future. Holding the dollar right now is the dangerous thing you can do even though everyone seems to be taking their money out of the banks. Might be safer to put some in miners, gold, silver and all commodities. Eventually all commodities prices will mean revert due to being suppressed down for so long. Paper is trash. GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR IMO!
TVC:DXYShort
by BigPippinSpendingGs
3
YUM BRANDS BUYING WENDY'S..? SEE ARTICLE..GREAT FIT!Hello folks.. This morning we were sent an article from a Wall Street friend dated December 27, 2019, approx. 4 weeks ago. Here's the link... www.restaurantbusinessonline.com Wendy's is in an uptrend moving into earnings. YUM Brands, with a market cap of over $30 Billion, could buy Wendy's without hesitation. Keep a close eye on Wendy's because YUM buying Wendy's we feel would be a great fit. Best of luck with your trades!
NASDAQ:WENLong
by UnknownUnicorn3159981
Beyond Meat: Lower buy opportunity exists.BYND topped yesterday following an impressive comeback from the November - December lows, which gave a strong bullish signal as the RSI was on a Bullish Divergence. This turned 1D extremely overbought (RSI = 85.585) and it was only natural to see investors booking profits first chance they got, and that was near the 137.00 Symmetrical Resistance. With the rest of the technical indicators pointing towards a healthy uptrend (MACD = 6.860, ADX = 32.540, Highs/Lows = 29.3471) the trend seems sustainable. Investors however should first see a clear new low (higher low) before re-entering. By our projections this will most likely be 97.50 - 91.00 Symmetrical Support Zone. 108.00 is also a candidate (but a weaker one) so tight SL is needed there. Medium term TP Zone: 160.00 - 172.00. ~~~ Our last Buy Call on Beyond Meat: ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by InvestingScope
HEINZ: Strong Value for 2020; Wait for ConfirmationOver my past several ideas I have been discussing about "value for 2020" and here is yet another example of one. Contrary to some of my other sectors that I have touted (which have already built momentum), HEINZ still has quite a bit of short interest and negative momentum. However, this is an example of a stock that got slaughtered in 2019 and due for quite a drastic run up - when that happens is anybody's guess specifically but with a new CEO, a stock thats heavily undervalued and a juicy dividend, its hard to resist buying and holding. With a likely short coming sometime in 2020 in Q1, I see little reason why the stock doesn't close the gap to just below $29.00, in which case the stock would be a good buy. If not, we would want to wait for a further push above this month-level consolidation before putting in a buy. - zSplit
NASDAQ:KHC
by PaulDeep19131
Bearish on grains & wheatBeen a while since I posted about agri. Price is around its average now, I see no reason for it to skyrocket. I don't think this little rally is a new trend, I see it as a correction. And the short term uptrend is probably just noise that kindly comes fill my shorts. Technically the price around 490-495 is a sweet spot to short this which makes it interesting. We let the amateurs trade everything to make sure they don't miss out. Market can stay irrational longer than you stay solvent so use a stop loss. And also, it's not 100% sure the price is supposed to go down, might be wrong. So in any case, stop loss (or something else) is good.
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by MrRenev