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EUR/USD: Anticipating Downside Movement Amid Market ImbalanceFollowing our previous analysis of the EUR/USD pair, the price has approached the 1.0900 round level, which is significant as it is forming a potential double top pattern. This movement includes a retest of the previous high reached last Wednesday. Currently, there are no major news events impacting the market, which indicates that the price may experience a bearish outcome as it seeks to cover the imbalance observed in the previous week. To support this analysis, I have included a Footprint analysis on a daily timeframe of the Euro futures. This detailed analysis shows that the price has started to exhibit a negative delta, and the cumulative delta has turned red, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Additionally, the volume profile analysis clearly identifies areas with inefficiencies, suggesting that there is an underlying weakness in the recent upward movement. Given these technical indicators, we are expecting a bearish reversal in the near term. The absence of significant news today aligns with this outlook, as the market may be poised to correct the previous week's imbalance without external influences driving volatility. This confluence of factors strengthens our confidence in anticipating a downward movement for the EUR/USD pair. In summary, the technical evidence from the Footprint analysis and volume profile, combined with the lack of impactful news events, points to a likely bearish reversal for the EUR/USD. We recommend closely monitoring these developments and adjusting trading strategies accordingly to capitalize on the anticipated market correction.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
GBP/JPY: A Closer Look at Recent Market DevelopmentsThe GBP/JPY Futures have demonstrated seven consecutive days of growth, characterized by a consistent retesting of previous market inefficiencies and increasing volumes. Each day, the price has closed above the volume range of every candle, while also maintaining its position above the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Additionally, the Delta has consistently closed positively at the end of each daily session. Tick volumes have remained below the 20-day Moving Average, indicating a sustained rally trajectory towards the 199.895 area to address buyer and seller inefficiencies. Notably, the current candle exhibits an imbalance between buyers and sellers, reflected in a negative delta. However, it's important to note that this data may fluctuate following the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) today, introducing additional volatility to the pair. British Pound / Japanese Yen Futures
Long
by FOREXN1
3
GOLD Futures: H4 Footprint Insights and Daily Chart DynamicsGold Futures Footprint Analysis on the H4 Timeframe reveals an intriguing market dynamic. Monday's opening saw a bearish candle, characterized by a spike that retraced to the previous Point of Control (POC) volume of the preceding candle. This retracement occurred concurrently with a block of previous bullish orders (513+535), suggesting a potential area of resistance. Despite the presence of sellers, there appears to be a notable imbalance favoring buyers, indicating underlying support for a price increase. Although the Delta reflects a bearish sentiment, the sellers' efforts do not seem to exert a significant downward pressure on price movement. This phenomenon aligns with a classic interpretation of price action in CFD trading, commonly referred to as a "retest." Zooming out to the daily chart, we observe that buyer volume slightly surpasses that of sellers, accompanied by a lower Delta compared to the previous candle. This discrepancy implies that a relatively small effort from buyers may yield significant results. Moreover, the POC on the daily chart currently resides on the upper side of the candle, indicating that the majority of transactions or market battles are occurring at higher price levels. This observation further strengthens the case for a bullish continuation. In summary, the Footprint Analysis highlights a nuanced interplay between buyers and sellers in the Gold Futures market. Despite initial bearish signals, the presence of buyer imbalance and strategic positioning on the daily chart suggest a potential bullish momentum continuation. Traders may consider these insights when formulating their trading strategies. Daily Footprint Analysis
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD Retreats: Understanding the Factors at PlayGBP/USD underwent a technical correction, retracing to approximately 61.8% from the previous swing high before concluding Thursday's session in negative territory. The pair has continued its downward trend early into Friday. Comments made by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials on Thursday contributed to a rebound in US Treasury bond yields and bolstered the US Dollar (USD). Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic acknowledged progress in inflation for April but emphasized that the Fed had not yet initiated policy easing. Similarly, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester remarked on the adequacy of current monetary policy, indicating a need to review additional data. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin echoed these sentiments, stating on CNBC that recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data did not align with the Fed's objectives for inflation. Meanwhile, the US Department of Labor reported 222,000 weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 11, down from 232,000 the previous week. From a technical standpoint, there is potential for a bearish correction in the GBP/USD price, targeting the lower end of the chart to address inefficiencies stemming from the preceding bullish rally. This area has been highlighted in the Footprint chart for reference. Footprint chart
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GOLD: H4 Double Top Patterns and Impact of Economic DataOn Wednesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) saw an upward trajectory following the release of notable economic data. Specifically, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales data for April came in lower than economists' expectations. This unexpected downturn in economic indicators has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may take measures to cut interest rates sooner than previously anticipated. Lower interest rates, or even the expectation of their reduction, typically have a positive effect on gold prices. This is because lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost associated with holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Investors are less inclined to hold assets that generate little to no return when interest rates are high, but as interest rates decline, the attractiveness of gold as an investment option increases. In addition to the macroeconomic factors influencing gold prices, technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart reveals the formation of a H4 Double Top pattern. This pattern suggests a potential reversal in the upward trend of gold prices. Notably, within the footprint of the previous H4 chart, there is an observable imbalance of sellers, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards bearishness. Further supporting the bearish outlook is the presence of red Deltas, which signify selling pressure within the market. This convergence of technical indicators suggests the possibility of a short bearish setup for gold prices in the near term. In summary, while the release of disappointing economic data may have initially spurred a bullish trend in gold prices, the presence of technical patterns and indicators points towards a potential reversal in the upward trajectory. Investors should carefully monitor both macroeconomic developments and technical signals to make informed decisions regarding gold investments. Footprint Chart
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
2
GOLD Price Stability Amid Rising Global TensionsOn Tuesday, the price of gold stabilized as mounting geopolitical tensions spurred demand for the safe-haven asset. Escalating protests against Israel’s presence in Gaza, Russia’s initiation of a new conflict in Ukraine, and concerns regarding potential disruptions in global trade have heightened the perception of geopolitical risk. The decision by BRICS nations to reduce reliance on the US Dollar for international trade transactions has bolstered interest in gold as an alternative. Consequently, there has been a notable increase in non-Western central banks' demand for gold, accompanied by a corresponding decrease in US Dollar reserves. Gold is being considered as a viable substitute for the US Dollar as a secure store of value in international trade agreements involving nations with volatile domestic currencies, as per insights from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington-based advisory service. From a technical standpoint, analysis of the H4 timeframe reveals a divergence in the cumulative delta, with the preceding candle exhibiting a negative cumulative delta while the current candle shows a positive delta. The previous candle effectively absorbed all inefficiency orders from sellers, forming an absorption candle characterized by a long spike, while the current candle is endeavoring to elevate buyer volume. There is potential for the current candle to retest the previous candle's point of control (POC) to attract new buyers at a discounted rate. Our strategy revolves around a long setup with a target aimed at the previous fair value area.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FOREXN1
2
New Volume Footprint option on TradingViewHi all, This is the first (stream replacement) educational video with a very quick overview of volume. Tradingview just released the new Footprint Beta tool. It's something I asked them for a long time ago, so I am glad it's finally here! In this video I cover the time-price-opportunity tool as well as visible and fixed range. Leading into footprint. This is not a deep dive, it's more an intro to and how these things come together. If there is enough interest in this idea I will create a sequence based on trading volume in depth. Thanks for watching! See you on the next stream/idea.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
11
Ethereum: Past Successes and Future ChallengesSince its inception in July 2015, Ethereum has undergone a remarkable ascent in value, surging from a mere $0.31 to its current price of $3,000. This represents an extraordinary return on investment of nearly 10,000 times, potentially transforming modest investments into substantial fortunes. However, the pivotal question remains: does Ethereum still harbor the potential to elevate investors to millionaire status? While Ethereum's past performance speaks volumes, the prospect becomes more ambiguous when considering its future trajectory. Upon its introduction in 2015, Ethereum held an unrivaled position as the premier smart contract blockchain platform, benefitting from a significant first-mover advantage. It wasn't until 2020, with the emergence of blockchain competitor Solana, that Ethereum faced its first credible challenger. Consider this scenario: visualize a prominent Silicon Valley tech giant enjoying an unparalleled five-year lead over its rivals. After such a substantial period, it would likely have solidified its dominance in market share, intellectual property, and customer loyalty, appearing virtually invincible. However, applying this analogy to Ethereum's situation reveals the daunting challenge of replicating its past success. The landscape has evolved considerably since Ethereum's inception, with numerous competitors vying for prominence. Unlike in 2015, Ethereum now contends with formidable competition, with three of the top 15 cryptocurrencies directly challenging its supremacy. Moreover, enthusiasm for Ethereum's ongoing blockchain upgrades has somewhat diminished. While the 2022 blockchain upgrade, known as The Merge, was undoubtedly impressive—comparable to changing the engine of a plane mid-flight—it also marked a turning point. Although The Merge notably enhanced Ethereum's performance, making it faster, more cost-effective, and efficient in transaction processing, the relentless pursuit of upgrades raises concerns about Ethereum's stability and long-term viability. Nevertheless, Ethereum's initial promise of delivering 1 million transactions per second remains unfulfilled, with the network relying on a complex array of Layer 2 blockchains to address scalability and functionality issues. The core Ethereum blockchain, known as Layer 1, struggles with speed and efficiency, necessitating several more upgrade cycles to introduce new adjustments and enhancements. While incremental innovation is commendable, there exists a notable distinction between incremental and truly disruptive innovation. This is where apprehension regarding Ethereum lies. The Merge may have marked the end of disruptive innovation, potentially paving the way for agile competitors to challenge Ethereum's dominance. Adding to the uncertainty is ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Following The Merge, the SEC has yet to determine whether Ethereum should be classified as a commodity or a security. The transition to a proof-of-stake blockchain could have regulatory implications, particularly concerning the staking process, which some may interpret as an investment with profit expectations derived from others' efforts. This legal ambiguity holds significant implications for investors, as Bitcoin maximalists revel in Ethereum's regulatory uncertainty. There is a tangible risk that the SEC might classify Ethereum as a security, deterring many investors. Consider this scenario: achieving millionaire status from a $1,000 investment in cryptocurrency today would necessitate a 1,000-fold return on investment. Consequently, the pivotal question regarding Ethereum's potential as a millionaire-maker cryptocurrency revolves around whether it can appreciate by 1,000 times its current value of $3,000. Such a monumental rise would imply a staggering $3 million price per Ethereum coin in the foreseeable future. With Ethereum's circulating supply standing at 120 million coins, this would translate to a total market capitalization of $360 trillion—exceeding the current total market capitalization of the S&P 500, which is approximately $50 trillion. In essence, solely relying on past performance for investment decisions is akin to driving a car while fixating on the rearview mirror. It's imperative to shift focus towards Ethereum's potential to generate value in the future, rather than dwelling on its historical track record. Now, regarding the volume analysis and the chart provided: The price of the Future is currently under bearish pressure, characterized by low tick volumes. However, the price is above the 70% retracement from the previous swing, indicating a discount area for potential buying opportunities. Our strategy involves setting buy limits within an area of inefficiency, with stop losses positioned below. We anticipate the price to retrace to the Fair Value Point of Control (POC) and continue its upward trajectory.
CME:ETH1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
BA Buy Zone Triggers Short-term ProsNYSE:BA is definitely below its current fundamentals for the 1st quarter of 2024. This was the biggest gain of all the Dow 30 components yesterday. It was an obvious reversal point at a prior Buy Zone at October's lows. Yesterday was driven by pro traders with a run up at open rather than an HFT gap up at open. We can also see the pro trader nudge pattern in the candlesticks before yesterday's move up. It may consolidate before running up, but this support level is now established for the next move up.
NYSE:BALong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
A View From The Institutional Perspective This is usually on a range chart when I use them so I hope I converted them over alright. This gives you a Market Makers view of the market. Usually I would invert the scales like the top indicator is. Does it look familiar to anyone? Just wondering ho many use things like this. Personally I find Realtime volume footprint chats to be fascinating. Also this maker maker style chart is a great tool to see why the market moves the way it does, especially if you use it to see what happened on a losing trade. I admit I there is still so much to learn when it comes to this and VFPA but supply and demand is as simple as it gets. Hope this helps someone. Try looking at it on ranged charts as well. It looks different and I prefer the bars to any style candle but I couldn't get this to work with the bars not in ranged charts. I mainly us it to see where I went wrong in a trade and learn from it but it can be use for so much more. Footprint charts will show you exactly where the market is moving to at any given time if used properly. Free tools I use in conjunction: bitcoinwisdom.io aggr.trade I use many more such as Sierra Charts, Motive Wave, Hyblocks, Bookmap and a few more but they can get pricy. The above are free and paint a nice picture. Bookmap is sort of free but it is my least favorite but is easy to use and well supported. I sort of hope the bear market is not over because I like to use that time to study and learn new things as well as prepare for next bull. According to cycles I don't see how it could be over. Usually a bear lasts at least a year and crypto usually 2. I mean it is never always bearish there are some bullish moves in them but the majority is downtrend and sideways range. Sideways markets are a great time to truly test your trading skills. It seems easy just looking at it but in my experience it is anything but and very hard to extract profits from. It is why I expect to see the markets reverse very fast to really wreck reckless less experienced traders. As soon as you get comfortable in a nice long BAM! The DROP! That is a terrible way to think and I still have problems with it personally. is a terrible way to think when this is happening cause you miss out on a lot of opportunities waiting on the other shoe to drop. I hate that I have grown some bearishness in my older age. I guess like everything there must be balance. I hate these but here it is: None of this is financial advice because I am not getting paid to provide it and am not your financial advisor. This is all for fun and educational purposes and only intended to assist you on your trading journey not keep losing in the markets. Anyone who says its easy and quick is full of crap or got really lucky once and will eventually end up where they were before. The only way to succeed in finance and trading is to learn all you can and progress slowly. Not the most fun but the only way I have seen truly work long-term. Remember we are competing with some of the smartest minds on the planet and it's not necessary to beat them. We can work with them or grab profits from their gains. Going against them is not something I ever recommend doing. They are not the enemy anyways, just made out to be, I believe we our are own worst enemies in trading especially in the beginning. This is something I will continue to be learning probably right up to the day I die or eventually retire but doubt I would stop trading even then. Also I will never ask you for money or crypto for anything. You should keep all your assets and never pay anyone for signals. Learn to see your own and if you are going to pay for something pay for good education from a real professional. It is easy to check their references and most don't share their trades till after the trade is over. Everything I do I do for free, no premium, no telegram or discord. Had a free telegram group but no time to maintain it. It was for fun Cryptoholics Anonymous and G3N3S1S TR4D3ING but I just closed them as it was too time consuming. Please be very careful and do not lose your hard earned assets to scammers or become liquidity for some random group offering trade signals. Personally I don't have much free time so I am not on as much as I would like to be but I try to check in as often as I can. Enjoy. I suggest you seek out as much information as possible if this interests you. It has made a difference i my trading, added an edge but it is hard to chart for others to see. At least it is for me anyways. Remember Capital Preservation is key and risk management is key to capital preservation. I know everyone is screaming that now and they usually do during a bear market but that all goes away when the market turns bullish. Just something to keep in mind.
Education
by Z3R0-G3N3S1S
1
Reason for the BTC Drop to $29000 and where to from here?In yesterday's video I spoke about why I thought Bitcoin could drop back down to $29000. 1. Volume was decreasing with price going up 2. Big longs were opening up at resistance In today's video I look at where BTC could go to in the next few days and see on the TPO and imbalance charts why price fell like it did. I am looking for a small retracement back to the POC and if we have strength in that area I will be going long. TP - back up at $31000 and if we break out, hold the position to $35000. Have a look at the video for an in depth analysis. Not financial advice, DYOR. Papertrade before using real money. If you liked this idea, please give a thumbs up and follow. Safe trading. Shawn
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by zartraderguy
PEOPLEUSDT URGENT Update - We're in a critical area!!BYBIT:PEOPLEUSDT BINANCE:PEOPLEUSDT KUCOIN:PEOPLEUSDT People Crypto Coin URGENT UPDATE PEOPLEUSDT is at a critical Fib Golden Pocket area. Price could bounce here or break down. I give you my analysis and how I'm trading this. A pennant has developed - the video explains scenarios for trading it and I look at a few areas of confluence. I look at a TPO chart and explain the reasoning for how I'm trading this today. The 30m Imbalance chart is possibly telling us what is ahead. Tight stops if you are entering at this region. Place stops in profit as soon as you can. The lower the risk, the better Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money.
by zartraderguy
GBPUSD - Supply or Demand ⁉️Here are my zones and levels for this morning, please update them as you go through the day. Bears are likely to push price past the Asian low to fill the remaining imbalance (Blue Box) before returning to the supply gap. In my mind, there is no way that we will see bullish continuations until this blue box is filled so I will avoid trading at this current demand and focus on the zones below. I am open to trading both the supply and demand but I certainly won't be taking any trades between them. Be careful trading around round numbers, this is where we tend to see some manipulation because retail is using these levels as areas of support and resistance. We have no real high impact news events today so we can trade freely. Have a great day traders 🚀
by AlkalineFX
6
Order Blocks Order Blocks : Candles opposite of trend direction right before the trend Ex GF : 2 huge candle same size with opposite color starts and ends at same place with huge opposite volume ( u can track volume on footprint charts ) why price react to these areas ? market is 2 way street , big boys love to enter the market when lots of ppl either have to exit or make wrong prediction .. for example when everyone think price will go down .. institutions will provide liquidity to them and buy their shorts . price will go down few pip but main direction is still direction of big boys ( Central banks, institutions and hedge funds ) meanwhile there are some small hedge funds and institutions who also think price will go up .. big boys have to provide for them too so that price can move to desired location faster ! that means big boys will be in loss when they provided liquidity for buyers , so now they either have to close in loss or break even .. when is best time for that ? when is best time to close orders with profit ( buy scenario ) ? after taking prev high and grabbing liq from stop losses or buy stops , there is always liquidity above or below recent price structures sometimes this liquidity moves a little but u can track it with help of advanced ATR indicators when is best time to close books in break even ? after reaching prev order block . like i said they were providing liq to sellers and buyers at those order blocks .. means they have to close those orders that were opposite direction . why they provided liq for winners ?? price must clear all the orders at one price levels in order to move to another price level also its so easy to track strength of buyers and sellers with help of Gann look how most important block orders created near the Gann lines . its all mathematically driven ! its all Algorithm !
by apix7
BTC Sell Off Here is What Happened and what you can learnHello and Thanks for stopping by, this is my first tutorial post so go easy on me haaaaa Ok well all is self explanatory really as you can read by the chart . Lessons that can be learned from this can be repeated over and over again but the truth is we will always see the same scenario playing out over and over again because that is what feeds those who are succesfull at trading . Simply put what you see on the chart is a example of greed and stupidity, Ok we have seen it all 1000s of times before but someone out there does not want to make the same mistakes again and this post is designed to help you better prepare yourself for this eventuality and give you some positive guidelines to improve as a trader . 1, Do not Long Tops and dont short bottoms . FOMO might work some of the time but most of the time you will regret it 2, Plan the Trade and trade the plan or you will only plan to Fail 3, Patience always pays * wait for the Retrace or the breakout depending on the trade you want to take with a solid plan in mind 4, Always use a SL and know when and where you are wrong. Risk management is so important learning to protect your capital keeps you in Business 5, There is a time and a place for Leverage learn this without going BUST 6, Understand the importance of Position size and use a Position size Calculator if that makes it easier 7, Learn the power of Footprint Charts and how to use that candle Data to your advantage. Seeing Millions at the top or bottom really is a great advantage 8, Take profits on the way up or down at strategic points , Locking in profits guarantees you get paid and you wont get caught out being Greedy 9, The market has no emotions only traders do ! If you are emotional you are probably taking too much risk of your capital... 10, Accept that being wrong in Trading is Normal, provided you calculate every trade you will only lose the minimum and live to trade another day 11, Most of the time There will always be that grab Liquidity move, up or down, remember that ! Rather than placing a SL where its crowded. Don t think Like the Herd 12, Learn why Open Interest is important and how funding impacts you ! This is probably overlooked by many whom trade BTC Perpetuals I will leave you with this Quote " The Market does not know you exist. You can do nothing to influence it. You can only control your behaviour" Thankyou for reading my post and I hope it helps somebody .
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2