Force
XAUUSD - Watch Out! - H4/H8 - NICE OPPORTUNITYThe story starts the 31st May 2021 with a M1 Force pushing the market down from 1900 to 1700.
While the M1 force is on its way, it meets a W1 force the 29th Sep. 2021 at 1724 (Thick Demand Zone on D1). The energy of the W1 force should bring the price up to 1800. Then the energy fades because M1 weakens the W1 force by 4. TP is 1800 instead of 1900.
From 1800, price is resuming its M1 direction, to target finally 1700.
Now what you should be expecting on a lower time frame: The momentum
It will happen on H8.
We are looking for either:
- H8 REJECTION CANDLE + H2 ENGULFING PATTERN OR DEPLETION CANDLE
(ENTRY JUST AFTER THE H2 PATTERN FORMED)
OR H4/H8 ENGULFING PATTERN
(STARTING WITH A REJECTION CANDLE)
(ENTRY JUST AFTER PATTERN FORMED)
OR TWO H2 ENGULGING PATTERNS
(ENTRY JUST AFTER THE 2nd PATTERN FORMED)
The more you wait for the momentum, the better your reward risk will be.
Expect minimum 7 to 10 RR for this opportunity.
Price Action Analysis - XAUUSD - GOLDThere is an ongoing M1 force on the way down, starting on June 2021 from 1900 that will be ending at 1700.
During this time, there was a 5 Bar acceleration on D1 from 11th to 17th of June 2021. This is also a M1 force, due to its large SL amplitude (M1 SL). This new M1 force started soon after the 5Bar, from 15th July 2021 and is ongoing. It will also be completed at 1700, like the 1st M1 force.
Right now, there is D1 force on the way up (trendline on D1). This force is weak, will fail to profit people who are long.
I expect the D1 development to end at 1762.5, as this D1 force was strong for 1ATR. Because of the M1 force against it, D1 force will only go up to 0,25ATR. So TP of D1 is expected at 1762.5.
Next, there is only a M1 game left, to push the D1 players to be stopped out. So now, D1 candles should be going down from now on, to reach 1700.
I suggest an entry at 1762.5 SL 1771, second entry at 1786, SL 1800, TP 1700
For intraday opportunities, I will update you as soon as I see anything relevant to follow the downward trend dynamic.
Stay tuned...
EUR/USD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS - D1There is an ongoing M1 force on the way down, from 1.2250 (1st Jan 2021) to 1.1000.
During this time, M1 force meets a W1 force on the way up, that started on 16th Aug 2021 from 1.1700 and is on its way till 1.1970 (ongoing).
During this time, W1 meets a D1 force that started on 3rd Sep 2021 from 1.1875 and reached 1.1700 on 22 Sep 2021.
Now that the D1 force is completed, W1 force is the only force on at the moment.
So market is going to go up from 1.1700 till 1.1970 with W1 candles closing up from now on.
You can think on swinging this position to secure a 4RR profit.
Orselse, find intraday opportunities once they happen. I will provide you short term momentums on H1/H4 or H2/H8 once I see something interesting.
Stay tuned...
EURUSD - Price Action Analysis - H4/H1Reasons for entering on this market structure:
- There is an ongoing D1 force on the way down, due to a D1 downtrend plotted in red. This force is supposed to go down for 135pips (2ATR on D1 from the red arrow).
Because there is also an ongoing W1 force on the way up, this D1 force will be jeopardized, and will travel 1ATR distance only (current market level)
- Price will go to the half mark and will turn up to hit the D1 players SL (1.1970). The D1 SL is also a market structure support/resistance.
Regarding the setup for the entry, once the rejection candle on H4 is confirmed, you need to look either for:
- a depletion candle on H1 or H2 (candle with long wick closing up)
- a engulfing candlestick pattern (upward engulfing, green candle closing above previous red candle high)
EUR/AUD - Prediction of price movementPrice hit the upward trendline and is fading around 1.6035.
The energy on the way up is over. Price is now bearish all the way to 1.5730.
The trendline game is a D1 game. The market has reached its end point. W1 players are going to force the D1 players to get stopped out by pushing down against D1 bulls.
This is the current downward rally to be expected.
Each D1 candle from 1.6072 till 1.5730 are going to close down (red).
I would suggest you try to find a way to get in the bearish swing on H4 or H1. This tutorial is for direction purpose only.
As a D1 player, placing an entry @ 1.6030 with a 1 ATR SL, I would be expecting to achieve 6RR (6$ profit for 1$ loss).
eth try tuching 3500 ... Hope to meet bulish marketMarket pressure is high.
This is exactly what happened in 2018.
Understand the purchase of whales and movements.
This is the law of the market . They lick the bowl to the end
I'm sure we will have one up
Because that is exactly what the behavior of the media and whales says
Crypto Trading idea 2 - FORBTCIncredibly nice retest after a really strong pullback. I think this one will see some further uspide. Pontential zone near this zone before making an even stronger move up.
GNPNZD soon in place to sellGBPNZD really close to trendline resistance, long term TP can be dark blue line.
Keep in mind that GBP pairs can make some unexpected moves.
Trade safe, Good luck.
Pluss I have small telegram chat where post instant updates for my charts: t.me
Un es esmu forex traderris no Latvijas un mekleju biedrus, kas butu ar mieru pievienoties citai telegram grupai, kur varetu mainities tirdzniedzibas idejam.
Links uz grupu: t.me
Wyckoff, Elliot Wave, Heikin Ashi, FibsBTCUSD Analysis
Harmonics:
- An AB=CD pattern seemed to be forming, but the ratios were not respected.
Elliot Wave:
- There is an Elliot Wave ABC correction that may be followed by an impulse.
Heikin Ashi:
- Bullish Trend.
Wyckoff Arsenal (The Wyckoff Method):
- Force vs Price Bullish Divergence;
- Technometer Clearly Oversold at 37.52;
- followed by a higher low at 40.24;
- and a small Bullish divergence with Price action.
Interested Target ares: 13618, 16618
Stop Loss level: 8960
______________________________________
Wyckoff Arsenal indicators:
- Optimism Pessimism Index Multi-Timeframe
- Force Index Multi-Timeframe
- Technometer Multi-Timeframe
- Momentum Multi-Timeframe
ZRX/BTC (Ox token exchange/Bitcoin) Down Move In Progress. ZRX/BTC analysis by Michael Mansfield, 05/15/18 written 8:30 PM EST published 9:28 PM
Ox decentralized exchange token, ZRX/BTC, has had a nice run during two significant up waves since November, 2017. However, this last wave up looks like the up move is over or now, or possibly one more up wave to complete this bull market runup. Either way, it is likely to continue lower for now, with minimum downside targets 0.0001693, the lower channel support lines sloping down (black), with 0.0001550 being the Andrews Pitchfork's lower fork support line (green forks sloping up), that should hold for at least a bounce at one of those price points. Supporting this view is that the 192 bar moving average
on the 12 hour chart (720 minutes) should be at the area of the lower fork by the time the market gets there.
ELLIOTT WAVES:
If you include the candlestick wicks (chart on the right), the two large up moves and intervening down move are ugly, with many overlapping highs and lows. That should mean that this entire set of moves is just a large ABC correction in Elliott Wave terms, with the recent high a large Wave (C) top. Without the wicks, it is more debatable, but still not perfectly clear. Such is the case with many young crypto tokens.
CYCLES:
The shorter-term cycle (red) has topped while the longer-term cycle (blue) is in the topping window now. So, we are at or close to a major top in this digital token.
Could that mean that the general crypto market is about to enter another bear phase, or is it that another exchange is about to steal clients away or reduce customer growth at this exchange? We shall see which one it is.
VOLUME FORCE:
The Klinger Volume Force Oscillator says volume on the last leg up and the final few waves were very weak volume wise. So the last leg up was likely just a fluffy ABC upward correction without a lot of new buying. Apparently there were fews profit takers so it simply floated higher, not because up volume was increasing.
Traditional analysis says lower prices are coming, at least to the 0.00016-0.0001550 area. A bounce from there is likely, but how big that bounce it will be, and the wave structure and volume, will be the key for a future projection up or down from there. Don't count on much, unless dramatically more up volume develops to take ZRX to one more high.
NOTE: There was decent momentum on the last up move. But, without volume to confirm a move, do not count on much more follow through.
ANGULAR MOMENTUM:
Look at the dashed green and dashed red trend-lines on the chart on the right. They show changes in what I call "Angular Momentum," that I got from quantum physics. Note that typically at market lows, the lower red trend-lines will change slopes to show a slowing of the downward angular momentum. Conversely, at as the market moves up, the dashed green trend-line shows that angular momentum off the swing highs will tend to increase on the way up, until typically the last one or two swing highs, where we will usually see the slope angle drop off sharply. However, rtis did not
occur at the recent high, leaving the possibility of one more high.
The same thing happened with the January high in the SP500, leaving the possibility of one more high there as well, but not the certainty of one.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Michael Mansfield CIO