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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 17- Ford Motors - (5th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing Ford Motors (F), starting from the 4-Month chart. - R2F
NYSE:F
by Road_2_Funded
Ford Motors Shifts Three-Row Electric SUV Launch In a strategic move reflecting the dynamic landscape of the automotive industry, Ford Motors ( NYSE:F ) has announced a delay in the launch of its new three-row electric SUV on Friday after market close. The decision comes amidst evolving consumer demands and a reevaluation of the company's electric vehicle (EV) strategy. Originally slated for release in 2025, the electric SUVs will now roll out of Ford's Oakville, Ontario, factory in 2027. This delay underscores Ford's commitment to allowing the consumer market ample time to mature and adapt to the burgeoning EV segment. CEO Jim Farley emphasized Ford's unwavering dedication to manufacturing in Canada, citing a long-term vision for building a profitable and sustainable business. Farley iterated, "We are committed to scaling a profitable EV business, using capital wisely and bringing to market the right gas, hybrid, and fully electric vehicles at the right time." This decision follows Ford's staggering $4.7 billion loss on EVs in 2023 and a strategic reallocation of resources announced last year, which included a reduction in planned EV spending by $12 billion. Despite robust demand for hybrids in the first quarter of 2024, Ford's financial challenges in the EV sector necessitated a reassessment of its approach. While the delay may appear as a setback, Ford's focus on bolstering its hybrid electric vehicle offerings signals a nuanced approach to navigating the transition towards electrification. This shift aligns with the company's commitment to prudent capital allocation and strategic timing in introducing EVs to the market. Shares of Ford Motors (F) remained steady following the announcement, reflecting investor confidence in the company's ability to adapt to market dynamics. With a gain of more than 12% in 2024, Ford ( NYSE:F ) continues to navigate the evolving automotive landscape with resilience and strategic foresight. Ford Motors ( NYSE:F ) stock closed at a 0.535 gain at a share price of $13.28 with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60 indicating investors' confidence in the stock. As the automotive industry undergoes a transformative shift towards electrification, Ford's recalibration of its EV strategy underscores the complexities and challenges inherent in this transition. By prioritizing profitability and strategic timing, Ford positions itself to emerge as a formidable player in the rapidly evolving EV market landscape.
NYSE:F
by DEXWireNews
Ford Motors and Forever 21 Collaborate on Capsule CollectionFord Motors (NYSE: NYSE:F ) emerges as a beacon of resilience and innovation. While the automotive industry faces uncertainty, Ford's strategic initiatives and overlooked strengths position it for long-term success. Ford's Collaboration with Forever 21 Marks Strategic Diversification Efforts One such initiative is Ford's collaboration with fashion giant Forever 21, marking a bold foray into the world of apparel. The recent launch of a capsule collection featuring nostalgic iconography of classic Ford cars demonstrates the company's commitment to diversification and tapping into new markets. By leveraging its iconic brand image, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) aims to connect with consumers beyond the realm of automobiles, tapping into the intersection of fashion and automotive culture. Ford's Strengths in Commercial Business and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Despite prevailing pessimism surrounding the automotive industry, Ford's commercial business, particularly Ford Pro, stands out as a lucrative segment. With impressive earnings and revenue growth, Ford Pro's success highlights the company's ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the commercial vehicle market. Moreover, the continued growth of Ford Pro's software subscriptions and mobile repair services further solidifies its position as a key driver of future profitability. Ford's Strong Dividend Yield and Financial Discipline Furthermore, Ford's commitment to improving return on invested capital (ROIC) signals a proactive approach to enhancing operational efficiency and financial performance. With targeted efforts to streamline operations and optimize costs, Ford aims to elevate its ROIC from 14% to 20% in the coming years, underscoring its commitment to creating long-term value for shareholders. In addition to its operational prowess, Ford's strong dividend yield offers investors a compelling opportunity for income generation. With a forward yield of nearly 5% and a robust dividend distribution policy, Ford provides shareholders with attractive returns even amidst market volatility. The company's solid adjusted free cash flow further reinforces its ability to sustain dividend payments and deliver value to shareholders.
NYSE:F
by DEXWireNews
Ford's Shift to Electric Vehicles Sparks Job Cuts in GermanyFord Motor Company (NYSE: NYSE:F ) has announced plans to streamline its operations, leaving a wake of job losses in its German plant. The decision, prompted by the company's strategic pivot towards electric vehicles, signals a seismic shift in the traditional automotive landscape. Amidst burgeoning demand for electric vehicles, Ford ( NYSE:F ) has inked a deal with union representatives to slash approximately 2,700 jobs from its Saarlouis plant in Germany. This restructuring comes as Ford prepares to transition its electric vehicle production to Spain, leaving the Saarlouis facility grappling with an uncertain future. The announcement, which follows Ford's earlier decision to assemble its next-generation electric vehicle in Valencia, underscores the profound challenges facing traditional automakers in adapting to the burgeoning electric vehicle market. With consumer preferences veering towards eco-friendly alternatives, automakers are compelled to realign their manufacturing strategies to remain competitive in an evolving industry landscape. The ramifications of Ford's decision reverberate through the Saarlouis community, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the livelihoods of thousands of workers. The impending job cuts, slated to coincide with the cessation of Ford Focus production at the plant next year, signal a pivotal juncture for the region's industrial landscape. Union officials, while acknowledging the inevitability of job reductions, have negotiated fiercely to mitigate the impact on workers. Under the agreement, around 1,000 jobs are slated for retention post-2025, with assurances against forced redundancies until 2032. This concerted effort aims to cushion the blow of the workforce transition and uphold the dignity of affected employees amidst the tumult of change. Joerg Koehlinger, the district manager of IG Metall Mitte union, articulated the union's stance, stating, "After the best solution could not be realized, we opted for the second-best solution: to make job cuts as expensive as possible for Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ). The result is impressive. Employees have the opportunity to leave the company through a very attractive program." However, the fate of the negotiated agreement hangs in the balance as union members prepare to cast their votes in a pivotal referendum on February 22nd. Their decision will shape the trajectory of Ford's restructuring efforts and determine the contours of the social compact between management and labor. In response to inquiries, a Ford spokesperson emphasized the company's commitment to navigating the restructuring process with sensitivity and transparency. "Subject to the formal steps for implementation, this marks an important milestone in the negotiations with the social partners on the social collective agreement, reconciliation of interests, and social plan that have been ongoing since last year," the spokesperson remarked. "A key component of these agreements is the planned gradual reduction of around 2,700 jobs through socially responsible, voluntary redundancy programs." As Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) embarks on this transformative journey towards electrification, the repercussions of its decisions ripple far beyond the confines of corporate boardrooms, profoundly impacting communities, livelihoods, and the very fabric of industrial societies. The intersection of technological innovation and labor dynamics underscores the imperative for stakeholders to navigate this transition with empathy, foresight, and a steadfast commitment to safeguarding the welfare of workers amidst the winds of change.
NYSE:FShort
by DEXWireNews
Ford at a Crossroads: Assessing the Road Ahead for Investors In the ever-evolving landscape of the automotive industry, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) stands at a crossroads, grappling with challenges that have impacted its stock performance. While the last two months of 2023 brought about a commendable surge of over 20%, Ford's overall annual gain of 5% pales in comparison to the S&P 500's impressive 24% climb. Investors, however, remain cautiously optimistic, raising questions about the viability of Ford as a smart buy in the current market. Challenges and Setbacks: Ford's journey in 2023 was fraught with challenges, most notably a labor strike that temporarily led to the withdrawal of guidance. The estimated $1.7 billion earnings impact and an additional $8.8 billion in expenses over the life of a new contract have certainly raised eyebrows. The third-quarter results, missing Wall Street estimates, further underscored the difficulties faced by the automaker. Macro headwinds, such as higher interest rates, added to the complexity of an already tough environment for the industry. EV Ambitions and Setbacks: In the face of adversity, Ford pinned hopes on its electric vehicle (EV) ambitions, exemplified by the Model e. Despite a 26% revenue climb in the last quarter, weaker-than-anticipated demand prompted a delay in approximately $12 billion of EV-related investments. This strategic move, however, raises concerns about Ford potentially lagging behind competitors in the rapidly evolving EV market. Evaluating the Bigger Picture: Amidst these challenges, a critical analysis of Ford's long-term investment potential comes into focus. One prominent argument against including Ford in one's portfolio is the absence of an economic moat. Despite its household name status, Ford competes in a crowded market with numerous auto brands, limiting the influence of its brand name on financial performance. The lack of scale advantages and consistently low operating margins present additional hurdles. Ford's mass-market approach, while ensuring widespread accessibility, requires continuous heavy capital investments in manufacturing capabilities, workforce maintenance, advertising, and research and development. Warren Buffett's disapproval of such capital-intensive requirements, especially in inflationary times, adds weight to concerns about Ford's investment appeal. Shareholder Returns and Valuation: Examining Ford's track record of shareholder returns over the past decade reveals a total return of 19%, inclusive of dividends. This figure, however, pales in comparison to the S&P 500 index, which would have more than tripled your investment with a 213% total return. While Ford's current price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 might be alluring to some investors, skeptics argue that the cheap valuation alone is not reason enough to expect market-beating returns in the long term. Conclusion: Ford's journey in 2023 has been marked by both challenges and moments of optimism. As investors weigh the company's prospects, the absence of an economic moat, lack of scale advantages, and historical underperformance in shareholder returns raise valid concerns. While the stock's recent surge may inspire hope, the cautious investor may find themselves hesitating to embrace Ford as a compelling long-term investment in the dynamic landscape of the automotive industry. As the company navigates the road ahead, only time will reveal whether Ford can successfully address these challenges and emerge as a resilient player in the market.
NYSE:F
by DEXWireNews
Ford Motor's Resilience in 2023: Navigating Problems & Prospects Ford Motor has emerged as a resilient force, reporting its best annual auto sales in the United States since 2020. The Detroit automaker's success in 2023 can be attributed to sustained demand for its crossover SUVs and pickup trucks, reflecting the prevailing trend of American consumers favoring larger vehicles for their safety and utility. A Year of Triumph Despite Headwinds: 1. Robust Sales Performance: Ford Motor's vehicle sales witnessed a notable uptick, rising by 7.1% to 1.99 million units in 2023. While this figure represents a slight dip from the 2 million units achieved in 2020, it signals a commendable rebound in the face of market challenges. 2. Consumer Shift to Larger Vehicles: The American automotive landscape has seen a distinct shift towards larger vehicles, such as crossover SUVs and pickup trucks, at the expense of sedans and hatchbacks. Ford's strategic emphasis on these segments aligns seamlessly with consumer preferences, contributing to its robust sales performance. 3. Electrification Success: Ford's foray into the electric vehicle (EV) market has proven successful, with sales of its EV models, including the F-150 Lightning pickup truck and Mustang Mach-E crossover, surging by nearly 18% to 72,608 units. The company's EV models now account for a noteworthy 3.6% of its total sales, showcasing a growing appetite for electrified options among consumers. 4. Hybrid Momentum: In addition to its electric offerings, Ford's hybrid vehicle sales experienced a remarkable growth of more than 25%, reaching 133,743 units and constituting about 7% of its total sales. This signals an effective dual-strategy approach by the automaker, catering to both electric and hybrid preferences in the market. Industry Dynamics and Challenges: 1. Market Trends: The broader U.S. new vehicle sales market concluded the year at around 15.5 million units, with electrified vehicles, including hybrids, making up nearly 17%. This underscores the industry's gradual shift towards cleaner and more sustainable transportation options. 2. Consumer Caution Amidst Interest Rates: Analysts have raised concerns about the potential impact of high-interest rates on consumer appetite for new vehicles in the future. Ford's ability to navigate this challenge will be critical, as economic factors continue to play a pivotal role in shaping the automotive landscape. Ford's Market Position and Technical Analysis: Market Standing: Despite the challenges, Ford Motor solidified its position as the third-largest automaker by sales in the United States, trailing behind industry giants General Motors and Toyota. This underscores Ford's enduring presence and competitiveness in a dynamic market. Technical Analysis While the stock has faced challenges, breaking through support at $11.70, it is essential to note that Ford has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term. This suggests a slower initial falling rate, and an established break predicts a further decline. Conclusion: In summary, Ford Motor's performance in 2023 showcases resilience, adaptability, and strategic foresight in navigating an ever-evolving automotive landscape. The success in the sales of larger vehicles, coupled with a strong showing in both electric and hybrid segments, positions Ford well for the future. However, the company must remain vigilant amidst economic uncertainties, particularly concerning interest rates, and continue to innovate to stay at the forefront of the rapidly changing automotive industry. As consumers increasingly embrace sustainable and technologically advanced options, Ford's commitment to electrification could be a key driver of its future success.
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Ford dips below $11 continues to attract buyers.Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.15 (stop at 10.55) Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers. 11 continues to hold back the bears. We look to buy dips. With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07 Resistance: 11.95 / 12.50 / 13.15 Support: 11.44 / 11.00 / 10.61 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:FLong
by VantageMarkets
Ford's Rent is DueThe RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence on the RSI. As we see on the daily, there are three lower highs on the RSI combined with higher highs in price action. This is bearish. We also see overextensions on the weekly and monthly RSI. Moving averages have not been catching up which suggests there will at least be a correction to them and they will be tested as support levels. Volume indicates that Ford is going to tank though because there is a high amount of selling pressure at these levels. Even though Ford is green, earnings are around the corner and my guess is that even if there is a beat there will nonetheless be a tank. Any good news has been priced in. Bad news would tank the stock even more. In short, RSI suggests a major downtrend beginning shortly. Volume spikes support this idea. Moving averages also suggest a correction is coming. Ford has failed to overcome a 24.95 price level as well on the shorter timeframes. Let's also remember how overextended the broader market is and how tethered it has become to the indexes doing well. All of the indexes have been recovering a little bit but that does not mean Ford will do well. DYODD. This is only my idea not financial advice. Also: this is pretty much just TA. I did not look at Ford's financials but I imagine they're not doing great because most car companies are not very good financially. Demand for cars is probably not going to be good. There's too much hype in the auto space and the cost to transition to EVs will be immense. Tesla did not just switch the lights on and neither will Ford. I anticipate a bounce at a large consolidation level. That is the horizontal line.
NYSE:FShort
by nathanielandrep
16