SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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SILVER uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 29.085 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the SILVER pair.
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Forecast
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
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AUD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.675 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
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USD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 15H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.361 area.
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USD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
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We are going short on the USD/JPY with the target of 141.931 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EURUSD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 15h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 101.074.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 102.576 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,619.66.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,573.71 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 143.738.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.878.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPAUD Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.950.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.962 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
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We are now examining the GOLD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2,586.807 level.
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CAD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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The BB upper band is nearby so CAD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 102.499.
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AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 95.765.
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NZD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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NZD/JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 87.871 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/JPY pair.
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QQQ: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the QQQ pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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SPX500USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,711.6.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,801.4 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
SPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 556.18 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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CAD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CAD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.622 area.
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S&P500 ForecastingS&P 500 Forecasting: A Complex Task
Forecasting the S&P 500 index is a challenging endeavor due to the multitude of factors that influence its movement. These include economic indicators, corporate earnings, geopolitical events, investor sentiment, and market psychology.
Key Factors to Consider:
Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: A strong economy generally supports stock prices.
Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can put downward pressure on stock prices, while falling rates can boost them.
Inflation: High inflation can erode corporate profits and investor confidence.
Corporate Earnings:
Profit Growth: Strong corporate earnings are often a positive sign for the stock market.
Earnings Expectations: The market's expectations for future earnings can influence stock prices.
Geopolitical Events:
Global Conflicts: Political instability or geopolitical tensions can create uncertainty and impact market sentiment.
Trade Wars: Trade disputes or tariffs can disrupt global supply chains and affect corporate profits.
Investor Sentiment:
Risk Appetite: Market sentiment can shift rapidly, influenced by factors like economic data, geopolitical events, and market psychology.
Fear and Greed Index: This indicator can provide insights into investor emotions.
Forecasting Methods:
Fundamental Analysis: This involves analyzing economic indicators, corporate earnings, and geopolitical events to assess the underlying value of the S&P 500.
Technical Analysis: This method uses historical price data and charts to identify patterns and trends that may predict future price movements.
Quantitative Analysis: This approach employs statistical models and algorithms to analyze large datasets and identify correlations between variables that may influence the S&P 500.
It's important to note that no forecasting method is foolproof. Stock markets are highly volatile, and unexpected events can significantly impact the S&P 500. A combination of fundamental, technical, and quantitative analysis can provide a more comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
Would you like to explore any of these factors or methods in more detail? I can also provide information on specific forecasting tools or resources.
USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week!USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week (Sept 23-29, 2024)
As we look ahead to the coming week, USDJPY appears poised for a potential slightly bullish bias. This outlook is based on a confluence of fundamental factors and current market conditions that favor USD strength relative to the Japanese yen. Below is a breakdown of key drivers supporting this outlook, along with insights that could influence price action.
1. Federal Reserve's Hawkish Stance
One of the key drivers for a potential bullish bias in USDJPY next week is the persistent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Although the Fed opted to pause rate hikes in September, policymakers have indicated that they are open to further tightening if inflationary pressures persist. Recent inflation data in the U.S. showed a slight uptick in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggesting that the Fed may still consider additional rate hikes in 2024. Higher U.S. interest rates would continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, driving demand for USDJPY as traders seek yield differentials.
2. Bank of Japan's Dovish Policy
In stark contrast to the Fed, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control. The BoJ's dovish approach continues to weigh on the Japanese yen, especially in an environment where other major central banks are tightening monetary policy. While some market participants expect the BoJ to consider policy changes in the future, there have been no concrete signals indicating a shift in the near term. This widening policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ is a key factor supporting a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
3. Safe Haven Demand Waning
The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, particularly during periods of global market volatility. However, recent market stability, coupled with optimism surrounding global growth prospects, has reduced demand for the yen as a haven. As risk sentiment improves, investors are more likely to allocate capital into higher-yielding assets, which could further weaken the yen.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions that previously supported yen demand have eased slightly, making USDJPY more likely to drift higher in a low-risk environment.
4. U.S. Treasury Yields Rising
Another factor contributing to the bullish bias in USDJPY is the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Higher yields on U.S. government bonds make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors, adding upward pressure to USDJPY. The correlation between USDJPY and U.S. Treasury yields is well-documented, and as yields rise, so too does the currency pair. Traders will be closely monitoring U.S. economic data next week, including durable goods orders and GDP figures, to gauge the potential for further yield increases.
5. Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading within a well-defined range, but with a slight bullish bias as long as it holds above key support at the 147.50 level. A break above the psychological 150.00 level could open the door to further upside, with resistance seen at 151.50. On the downside, failure to hold above 147.50 could lead to a test of lower levels around 146.00. Momentum indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are currently neutral but leaning slightly toward overbought territory, suggesting room for further gains before a pullback.
6. U.S. Economic Data Next Week
Next week, market participants will pay close attention to several high-impact economic reports out of the U.S., including the Durable Goods Orders on Tuesday and GDP Growth on Thursday. Positive readings on these metrics could fuel further gains in USDJPY, reinforcing the bullish bias. Conversely, any disappointing data could dampen USD strength and lead to some consolidation in the pair.
Conclusion
Given the combination of hawkish signals from the Fed, the BoJ's ongoing dovish stance, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and waning safe-haven demand, USDJPY appears to have a slightly bullish bias heading into next week. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected economic data that could alter this outlook. The key levels to watch are 147.50 for support and 150.00 for resistance.
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