What to do the week America votes?The dollar and the Euro depending on the future president of the USA.
The most important week, both for the United States and the rest of the world, and also for the currency markets.
The choice between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is key for the future of the United States, as well as for the development of economies around the world.
On November 5, 2024, Tuesday is the election in the USA.
The election of Kamala will definitely not affect the dollar well, while the election of Trump would have a positive effect. But there is one very big BUT. In both elections, unrest is very likely to follow, which would adversely affect the United States.
Thus, the "elections 2024" drama will not end with the final decision of the voters.
Betting on Gold is much safer in these absolutely uncertain times.
Even more so with the news that more and more millionaires are trying to leave the United States.
After the employment data, this week, fundamentals will generally be left for later trading when the passions surrounding the election die down.
Our advice is to choose gold instead of the dollar or euro. You can't go wrong with gold for medium to long term trading.
This week, trading will start neutral in anticipation of the news surrounding the elections, but it is possible that individual players will be quite aggressive in the markets. The probability of very large trade turnovers is very high.
In addition to the US election, on Tuesday you can watch the ECB's President Lagarde speech, as well as data on the ISM Services PMI (Oct).
On Thursday after the election, pay attention to the Fed Interest Rate Decision, where a 25 basis point cut is expected.
If everything around the election goes smoothly (although it is unlikely), then the expected lowering of interest rates in the United States will be the main driving event for the week.
Forecast
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURUSD.
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SPX500USD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5,736.0.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 5,643.6 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.083.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.099 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on SILVER right now from the support line below with the target of 34.523 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
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EUR/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
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Bearish trend on EUR/NZD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.796.
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ETHUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2,518.27.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2,238.74 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.291.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.287 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 197.624.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 191.203.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 158.543 area.
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DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 103.924.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 103.688 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURCAD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.513.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.509 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDCAD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.833.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.830 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDCAD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.914.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.910 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the BITCOIN with the target of 65,608 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD is making a bullish rebound on the 4H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.506 level.
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USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USD-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.865.
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USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.373.
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