USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 154.516.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 152.426 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Forecast
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
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We are going long on the USOIL with the target of 75.80 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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GBP/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
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It makes sense for us to go long on GBP/JPY right now from the support line below with the target of 193.736 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
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$BTC MACD on weekly show a bearish trend. Read.You can see on the chart that in May 2024 I issued a warning, and look at what happened over the next five months.
The same pattern is repeating now, and there’s a high probability we’ll see a similar result.
Back in May 2024, the usual crowd—MMCrypto, That Martini Guy, Ash, Crypto Rover, etc.—were all saying things like, “We’re going to 110k,” “To the moon,” or “A huge bullish breakout is coming.”
What did we actually get? Five months of consolidation and an -80% drop for most altcoins.
So consider this a warning. The MACD on the weekly chart is a reliable indicator of the trend. Exchanges aren’t going to go against the trend. Even if there’s a ton of liquidity at 107k, they won’t risk buying billions worth of Bitcoin just to get wrecked by the prevailing trend and be forced to sell at a lower price than they purchased.
Those pointing to the liquidity map at 107k are missing the point. Exchanges take the easier path. Going from 97k to 107k is plausible in an uptrend, but in a downtrend? No chance.
What to Expect Now?
Since this chart is on the weekly timeframe, there will be daily bounces. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains if you time the bottom and top correctly.
However, for holders, this is not a good time to hold.
Is Invalidation Possible?
Yes, but consider this: they’ve tried to break the trend five times and failed. The chance of a reversal now is about 1 in 9. It’s possible, but unlikely.
Key Support Levels
Support levels to watch are 95k, 91k, 85k, and 70k. While we might not drop as low as 70k, it’s better to be prepared.
What’s Next?
By May 2025, we’ll likely reach the end of this bearish trend, followed by a one-month altseason and a big BTC pump. However, starting in July 2025, we’re likely to face another five months of bearish consolidation.
The introduction of ETFs has shifted the crypto cycle into a new paradigm of five months of consolidation followed by one month of pumping.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 107.486.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 108.791 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,869.381.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,897.141 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CADCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.631.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.627 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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GOLD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,840.287 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GOLD pair.
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EUR/AUD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
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EUR/AUD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.665 area.
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EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
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We are targeting the 163.408 level area with our long trade on EUR/JPY which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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EUR/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
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EUR/CAD is making a bearish pullback on the 10H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 1.496 level.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.905.
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SPX500 Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,976.37.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,081.10.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVER Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 31.579.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 33.065 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 86.948.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 86.145 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 190.722.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 191.990.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.622.
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USD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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USD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 154.530.
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CAD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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CAD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 106.159 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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