Forex-currency
USDJPY Still downward channel but bullish signal emergedThe pattern on the USDJPY pair is a Channel Down since the trend reversed on October 21st. As long as the price stays inside this Channel, the trend will remain bearish with each lower Fibonacci level a potential target.
The MACD though has pushed the first major buy signal of this downtrend as it made a bullish cross last Friday. As a consequence, if USDJPY breaks above the Channel Down, we will most likely see a (counter?) rebound to the 1D MA100 (green) and 1D MA50 (blue). This will be the most important test to see if this new bearish trend will be sustained. Break above will invalidate it, rejection will confirm it.
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EURUSD No long term rebound starts until the 1W MA100 breaksThe EURUSD pair is rising non stop since the end of September and this week broke above the 1W MA50 (blue line) for the first time since June 2021. Though technically a major break out, history shows that this alone is not enough to justify a continuation of the uptrend.
Since 2015, EURUSD extends the rise only when the 1W MA100 breaks (green line) and even then, it first makes one last fall before a new high. The 1W RSI in fact is similar to the massive rise of early 2015, which consolidated for nearly 2 years before finally breaking to the upside.
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EURUSD: Buy above the 4H MA50, sell below.The price is now rebounding exactly on the 4H MA50 (1.04416), which is a short-term bullish signal that can target 1.05320. If it breaks below the 4H MA50 though, sell and target the Higher Lows trend-line around 1.03750 of the Bullish Megaphone pattern that started on the Nov 21st Low. As mentioned before, the best buy entry on a 1D scale will be when the 1D RSI hits 60.000 (now is 63.51 with the MACD: 0.013 and ADX: 41.482). Notice how the 1D MA200 is also now 1.03561, which was formerly the strongest Resistance of the Bear trend of 2022. This pattern is invalidated and turns bearish medium-term if we close below 1.03280, and targets the 1D MA50 (1.00680), which is where we will be buying for the long-term.
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EURUSD Rejected on 1W MA50. Pullback test of 1D MA50 possible.The EURUSD pair is trading inside a Channel Up, having established the 1D MA200 (orange line) as Support. The rejection on the 1W MA50 (red line) yesterday however can turn the trend downwards on the short term as the rally since late September may be in need of relief. The RSI is a testament to this as it has been trading sideways since Nov 11, unable to break above 70.00 while the price was inside the Channel Up.
We expect a rejection either now or on the 0.618 Fibonacci (1.07566) to the 1D MA50 (blue line). There is also a Higher Lows Support even lower than can sustain this uptrend long term. Be bullish long term but either buy more comfortably lower or scale the buys if it moves higher. Our target by March is the 0.786 Fibonacci (1.10887).
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AUDNZD Shorts (H1)Huge Shorts incoming for AUDNZD, H1/H4. First target is 1.07, when H4/daily support zones for next targets.
Lower highs formed, and price has been ranging, though on multiple occasions with strong rejections from supply/res zone. Bears are dominating and will push the price further down.
TRADING IDEA --- NOT AN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!
A double top forms on EUR/USDA bearish outside candle has formed on the daily chart, which is part of a double top at the 1.0482 high. The candle also has a large upper which to suggest strong supply at those highs, and a bearish divergence has also formed on the RSI (14). We are now looking for prices to retrace towards 1.0200 as part of a countertrend move, near the 38.2% Fibonacci level.
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CADCHF up then DOWNCADCHF is clearly in a down trend with a bear channel.
We can expect a bit of upside where price could breakout of an Ascending Triangle. Then it will test the top of the channel at 0.7344 before it comes down to the next target around 0.7068.
Concerns: The 7MA looks like it wants to cross above 21MA - Bullish.
However, price is still below the 200MA so I'm bearish with this analysis...
✅GBP_JPY TIME TO SELL|SHORT🔥
✅GBP_JPY is about to retest a key structure level
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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CHF/JPY SHORTShorting Potential:
- Double top
- Price has rejected major resistance.
- Price came back to re-test local up trendline and rejected it.
- Price rejected the 618 level.
- Evening Star pattern + Now we have just closed with an engulfing bearish candle signalling a shorting potential.
- Divergence in RSI on 2HR TF and slowing buying momentum signalling a change in price.
** Stop Loss just above the 618 fib level and Targets at 50% of the way down from the 2nd August Low.
GBP-NZD Breakout Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD was trading in a local downtrend
But now we are seeing a bullish breakout
Of the falling resistance which makes us
Locally bullish biased so I think
The price will go further up
Buy!
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