EURUSD: Double Top Rejection. Short to fill the gap.The price has made a Double Top on the 30M chart a 1.1485 and has already been rejected. Technically if should fill the 1.1403 gap on 1H (CCI = 12.4859, Highs/Lows = 0.0000), which also concurs with the Higher Low spot on the 4H Channel Up (RSI = 60.440, Highs/Lows = 0.0028, MACD = 0.002). A break below this level should quickly test 1.1350 and 1.1300 in succession.
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Forex-currency
GBPCAD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY (1H & 4H CHARTS) GBPCAD POTENTIAL SHORT
I was doing my pre-market analysis for the week and something about this pair had caught my eye. I was looking at global correlation between the currency pairs and the market had showed me that the CAD gained a lot of strength last week across the market. Due to this it had led to a CAD strengthened market which has now led into some trading opportunities. If you look at this pair on the 4H timeframe you can see the market make an attempt to make a new high and come into structure around 1.71600. This had immediately been followed by a very strong seller momentum push to the downside; not only moving to the downside but breaking the recent structure and swing low on the 1H and 4H charts. Lets take a look at where the trading opportunity may be.
4H Chart:
*on this timeframe chart you can see that the market had come into structure around 1.71600 and was immediately followed by a very strong seller push to the downside
*when the market had been pushed to the downside it not only was very strong but it also had broken structure on the 1H and 4H charts (showing seller control)
*the sellers are a lot stronger than the previous buyer in this case and therefore led to a potential short opportunity
*watch for a weak re-test by the buyers into structure if we see one
1H Chart:
* on the 1H timeframe look for a weak pullback by the buyers AS WELL AS a strong seller interest to show up again
*we want to see that because it will show to us that the seller is still interested in taking prices lower
*use this timeframe for a good risk/reward ration setup!
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GBPJPY SHORT POST ANALYSIS (NY SESSION TRADE) GBPJPY NY SESSION TRADES
I had been looking for some day trading opportunities during the New York session this morning and GBPJPY was showing some good potential short signals. When trading such a short timeframe the best way to approach it is to see what the VERY NEXT move the market is showing its trying to make is the one you have to capitalize on. This morning is was displaying a potential short. On the 15M-1H charts there was a very strong seller momentum push to the downside as you can see on the left hand side of the chart. The push had been a new low and the buyers had brought price all the way back up into the price level of 142.900 where the original move had started. This relief back into structure had been very weak compared to the downside push by the seller showing me that this was a 100% discount for the seller essentially. Which who wouldn't want a 100% discount ? ;) Let's take a look at this.
1H Chart:
*on this time frame GBPJPY had been in a sellers trend for some time almost since the beginning of November.
*watching the momentum it had showed mt that the sellers were still very interested in this pair to short
15M Chart:
*during the NY session when I'm looking for a potential trade opportunity I look at 1H for bigger picture and 15M for the details of what it is trying to show me the next move will be
*I had seen a very weak push to the upside and then a top started to form, showing seller interest again
*risk/reward was fantastic and decided to take the trade for 100 pips profit
REMEMBER TO ALWAYS IMPLEMENT PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT WHEN TRADING. STAY DISCIPLINED TO YOUR TRADING STYLE AND PROCESS.
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USDCHF POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY 1D TIMEFRAME USDCHF POTENTIAL SHORT
I had posted last week on USDCHF displaying how it is sitting at very significant structure. This last week the market had showed me a move that peaked my interest and that supported the short bias on this pair. On the daily timeframe this pair was recently moving to the upside, formed structure, then came crashing down failing to make a new high and breaking that newly formed structure level. The sellers came in with strong momentum and this led to my belief that the market is trying to tell me something. Remember to always let the market tell you what it wants to do rather than you telling the market. Follow who makes money and that is who moves the market (driving forces). This drop I think could be a lead in into a future potential downward move. Lets check it out.
1D Chart:
* Price is sitting around the significant price area of 1.000
*The market attempted to make a new high after forming new structure and was immediately pulled down with seller strength
*The seller showed strong interest in this price area not allowing it to go higher
*watch for weak buyer pullback to display seller control/power
4H Chart:
*on this timeframe look for a weak buyer pullback back into that recent significant structure
*watch for strong seller interest again once price pulls back into the structure point
*use this timeframe for better risk/reward on this pair
REMEMBER TO ALWAYS USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND BE DISCIPLINED IN YOUR APPROACH. STICK TO YOUR TRADING PLAN. I UNDERSTAND NOT EVERYBODY IS GOING TO LIKE HOW I TRADE AND I AM NOT HERE TO APPEAL TO EVERYBODY. I AM HERE TO CHANGE AS MANY LIVES AS I CAN AND I UNDERSTAND ITS EASIER WHEN WE TRADE SIMILAR. BUT THE PRINCIPLES AND FOUNDATION ARE ALL THE SAME.
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USDCAD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY (1H AND 4h CHARTS) USDCAD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY
This setup is going to be similar to the GBPCAD setup that was posted this week as well. If you look at this pair you can see that recently the market had a very dominant seller move to the downside. The biggest tell if the selloff is legit or not is going to be the RE-TEST. The re-test is a huge tell sign of whether or not that move was legit or not. As traders we must trade high probable setups so that our potential of winning is greater than of losing. This is how we will become consistent over time and it takes strong discipline to do so. Let's take a look at this USDCAD setup.
4H Chart:
* on this timeframe we can see that the market had come to a high point and was followed by a very strong seller push to the downside
*you only want to sell the market at high point and sell at low points. This may sound very obvious for most people but that's not the problem. The problem is that most people do not apply it to their trading
*look at this timeframe for a weak re-test by the buyers to confirm the seller is in control
1H Chart:
*use this timeframe to watch the pullback on a more specific level
*use this timeframe also to watch and see if seller interest comes back in on the re-test (if it doesn't we wont be looking to trade this currency pair)
*make sure to have good risk/reward based on this timeframe
MAKE SURE TO ALWAYS IMPLEMENT PROPER RISK. NO SETUP IS A GUARANTEE THAT IT WILL GO THAT WAY. WE ARE TRADING BASED ON PROBABILITY AND YOU SHOULD ALWAYS USE PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT.
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AUDNZD LONGThis afternoon the Aussie released its monthly employment change which happen to be over 4 times greater than last month. This is a strong indication for short term spikes to the upside for Australian pairs. The technicals point towards a bullish engulfing candle on the 1 hour timeframe along with plenty of other factors ( too many to name) such as the recent double bottom around 1.0614 support on the 15 minute timeframe. I'll be looking to take this pair up as much as 500 pips in the longer term, but ill take my first profits once the short to intermediate term target is reached around 1.0900 resistance.
AUDUSD POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY (TRADE UPDATE) AUDUSD TRADE UPDATE
Okay so last week I had done analysis on the AUDUSD currency pair for a potential long opportunity. The market had showed me that this was a potential opportunity because on the daily timeframe the market failed to make a new low and that was followed by a strong momentum buyer strength. It had also broken structure on the 4H timeframe and based on the momentum it is showing me that it is a legit breakout above that structure. This opportunity seems to have more of a potential to go to the upside then it does to the downside, also leaving us with a better risk/reward ratio.
Watch the daily timeframe and the 4H timeframe for a potential continued weak pullback into that structure zone down at .71400 area. If we see the continued weak re-test (showing buyer control) and we see strong buyer interest come back in after this pullback then we can look to take this pair to the upside up into .74400
Keep an eye out and always remember to let the market show you what it wants to do next! ALWAYS make sure to use proper risk with your trading setups as well and stay disciplined to your trading structure and habits. Lets see how it plays out!
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Mexican peso back to green.The Mexican peso seems to be recovering and although it is important to see how it reacts to the supports, everything indicates that it will remain positive until the end of December.
It is important that I keep an eye on the news and reactions to the new president, but in general the analysis gives enough information to be reliable.
Follow you own plan.
Best wishes all.
USD/CHF, Daily Chart Analysis 11/5Technical Analysis and Outlook
Swissy is in a completed state within upper inner Currency Dip 1.0093 since Oct 31; we have couple strategic pivotal points: retested Mean Support 0.9973 on the downside and Key Resistance 1.0085 on the upside. Current bias is bullish.
USD/CAD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/12 Technical Analysis and Outlook
Current steady to lower momentum and failure to close above vital Mean Resistance 1.3068 will be signaling lower prices in interim and drop to Mean Support 1.2951 (Stage 2). If the currency pair extends the descend by closing below Mean Support 1.2951 , this would confirm that a mid to long-term bearishness.
On the contrary, closure above Mean Resistance 1.3068 will advance the price action (Stage 3) to Mean Resistance 1.3185 and 1.3268 respectively, while Key Resistance 1.3139 as well as completed Currency Rally 1.3342 outcome needs to be retested.
NZD/USD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/12Technical Analysis and Outlook
Current steady to lower sentiment and failure to close below vital Key Support 0.6413 is a signal advocating mildly higher prices in the interim. Mean Resistance 0.6593 will be a probable target (Stage 2), while Key Resistance 0.6684 is an open target for the bulls.
Drop to Key Support 0.6413 (Stage 3) will send the currency pair lower causing the descend to fulfill the law of probabilities of Currency Dip 0.319 .
AUD/USD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/12Technical Analysis and Outlook
Current steady to lower sentiment and failure to close below vital Key Support 0.7056 is a signal advocating mildly higher prices in the interim. Mean Resistance 0.7223 will probable target (Stage 2), while Key Resistance 0.7292 is open for business.
Drop to Key Support 0.7056 (Stage 3) will send the currency pair lower causing the descend to fulfill the law of probabilities of Currency Dip 0.6998 .
USD/CAD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/26 Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Lonnie finished higher coming from of Mean Support 1.3060 and progressing to significant Mean Resistance 1.3185 , Mean Resistance 1.3268 , Key Resistance 1.3339 as well as a retest of the inner Currency Rally 1.3342 , while the downside sentiment might experience a short journey to Mean Support 1.3060 .
USD/JPY, Daily Chart Analysis 10/26Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Yen finished slightly higher coming from of Mean Support 111.7 7 while progressing to major Key Support 109.54 , as well as Currency Dip 109.80 , while the upside re-performing Dead-Cat-Bounce to Mean Resistance 112.82 is very unlikely.
USD/CHF, Daily Chart Analysis 10/12Technical Analysis and Outlook
Mildly bullish momentum signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible interim. If the currency pair extends the ascend by closing above Mean Resistance 0.9927 , this would confirm that a short-term bullishness has been positioned.
The next upside target is Mean Resistance 0.9968 , and revisit the Key Resistance 1.0048 along with completed Currency Rally 1.0055 . On the downside, the first support is Mean Support at 0.9840 (Stage 2), second Mean Support is crossing at 0.9724, while Key Support is looming at 0.9586.
British Pound (GBP/USD), Daily Chart Analysis 10/25Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Sterling finished lower coming from of Mean Resistance 1.3016 and progressing to significant Mean Support 1.2816 , inner Currency Dip 1.2801 and finally towards Key Support 1.2699 , while the upside Dead-Cat-Bounce to Mean Resistance 1.3916 is possible.
EUR/USD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/25Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Euro Dollar finished lower coming from of Mean Resistance 1.1514 and progressing to major Key Support 1.1344 , as well as inner Index Dip 1.1314 , while the upside re-performing Dead-Cat-Bounce to Mean Resistance 1.1456 is likely.
EUR/USD, Daily Chart Analysis 10/20Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Euro Dollar finished higher on Friday session as it consolidates much of the declines in between Mean Resistance 1.1606 and Key Support 1.1344 threshold. The latest move establishes the signaling from slightly bullish to a bearish sentiment which is likely to occur in near term, while the 'VERY MAJOR' Yearly Low and significant Currency Dip are resting below.
GBPjpy: False Breakout OpportunitiesFOREXCOM:GBPJPY -0.11% Been in a range the past 3+ weeks and its about time this pair breaks out ... but first the false break as I fully expect the pair to rise up through the top end of the range, hit some resistance; maybe see a pull back; but ultimately achieve the 150+ price level (see red zone), showing yet another false breakout. Once there will look for patterns for a shorting opportunity, down through the previous range to new LO's (see green zone).
However, should today's gap down open continue its decent, I am looking for buying opportunities (green zone) up through the previous ranges to new HI's.
These are some very large zones and of course many pips can be made between the above scenario. If other opportunities present for smaller swing/day trades, I will post them if/when I see them as well. For now, I like this setup for potentially a 300-500 pip move.
Will update as the week unfolds.