XAUUSD, GoldGold is in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through the $3429 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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Forex-gold
GOLD - Price can exit from triangle and continue to fall nextHi guys, this is my overview for GOLD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside a triangle, where it made a strong upward impulse from support line to resistance line.
Price broke $3185 and $3345 levels, after which it started to decline from resistance line, making gaps.
In a short time, Gold broke $3345 level again and fell to support line triangle, after which it exited from this pattern.
Next, price started to trade inside another triangle, which it broke the $3345 level two times and then dropped to the support area.
Later, Gold turned around and, in a short time, rose to the resistance area, but recently made a correction.
In my mind, Gold can exit from this triangle pattern and then continue to fall to $3220
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Gold Future Move Prediction By Mythic TraderGold Future Move Prediction By Mythic Trader. Gold will 100% touch 3396 by today or by tomorrow. I will let you know the Upcoming Exact targets of it if it bReaks by TP.
This is very exclusise knowledge which no one knows about. Everyone is stucked in 1:2, 1:3,1:5,etc.
No one know or have the Guts to hold or Predict the 1:20,1:30 Trades....
MarketBreakdown | GOLD, USDCAD, GBPNZD, GBPJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GOLD #XAUUSD 4H time frame 🥇
I see some clear signs of bullish accumulation on intraday time frames.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern.
Its neckline represents a significant resistance.
Its violation and a 4H candle close above will provide
a strong bullish confirmation signal.
A growth to higher structures will be expected then.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Do not forget that today is the official banking holiday in Canada.
For that reason, CAD pairs might be slow.
USDCAD is currently consolidating within a narrow range on a daily.
I believe that for now, a consolidation is likely to continue.
3️⃣ #GBPNZD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿
The price successfully violated a falling trend line - a
strong vertical resistance last week.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its retest.
I believe that the pair will continue growing, it will likely
test a current high first and violate that, setting a new one then.
4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
The price is texting a significant support cluster at the moment,
probabilities will be high that a growth will resume from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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HelenP. I Gold can break resistance level and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. At the moment, price is forming a tightening triangle structure, and the market appears to be respecting both the horizontal support levels and the rising trend line that frames the lower boundary of this pattern. After bouncing strongly from the support zone around 2970 - 2940 points, the price rebounded right off the trend line, confirming it once again as a key structural level. Recently, XAU approached the resistance zone between 3205 and 3230, which has acted as a cap for the price several times before. But this time, the move into resistance comes from a place of strength. Momentum is building steadily after each pullback, and buyers have consistently stepped in near the ascending support. Given the context sustained higher lows, compression within a triangle, and a base forming just under resistance, there’s a strong chance the price could push through the 3205 level on a renewed attempt. A clean breakout above this resistance, followed by a retest, would offer strong confirmation that bulls are ready to extend the move. That’s why I’ve set my current goal at 3320 points, which almost aligns with the upper range of the triangle projection. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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XAUUAD UPDATE 15-5-2025This chart is a technical analysis of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) with a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Patterns:
1. Falling Wedge Pattern:
A clear falling wedge is outlined with blue trendlines converging downward, typically a bullish reversal pattern.
The price has tested the lower boundary multiple times, suggesting a strong support zone.
2. Projected Breakout:
An upward arrow indicates a possible breakout from the wedge.
The breakout zone appears to aim for the 3,473.994 level, marked with a red line.
A potential rally target is highlighted in a yellow zone, between approximately 3,400 and 3,500.
3. Support & Resistance:
Support: Around 3,122.690 (green line at the bottom).
Resistance: Approximately 3,261.270, with further resistance near 3,473.994.
4. Volume:
There’s steady volume activity, which could indicate accumulation before a breakout.
5. Fib Level:
A Fibonacci retracement level around 0.793, often used to confirm reversal zones.
6. US Economic Events:
Two U.S. flag icons suggest important economic data releases, which might trigger volatility and influence the breakout.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bullish outlook for gold, expecting a breakout from the falling wedge and targeting the 3,400–3,500 zone. However, the movement could be influenced by upcoming economic data, so it’s essential to watch for confirmation before acting.
Would you like an interpretation in a different format (e.g., simplified summary or trading plan)?
USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
HelenP. I Gold can decline to trend line and then start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price after several failed attempts holds in a support zone. The structure of this correction has formed beneath the previously broken trend line, and the price is now approaching it from above. What’s important is that buyers previously stepped in around this level, forming a bounce that allowed the market to reach toward the resistance zone near 3350. This area still remains unbroken, making it a magnet for future bullish targets. Currently, price action shows signs of local weakness, but the broader context favors a potential rebound. The confluence between the horizontal support zone and the descending trend line adds extra technical weight to this level. If price can stabilize here, I expect a retest of 3205, and a potential breakout above it could open the way toward my goal at 3260. This scenario assumes continued respect of the trend line as dynamic support. A clean bounce from it would signal renewed bullish interest, especially if backed by momentum on lower timeframes. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from support line, which coincided with support level.
Price rose to resistance line, breaking $3400 level, but soon turned around and dropped below, breaking this level again.
Next, Gold made a gap and continued to fall in a triangle, and later it reached $3215 level, after which bounced up.
Then price exited from triangle, rose to $3400 level and made fake breakout, after which started to decline in falling channel.
In channel, price fell to $3215 level, where at the moment continued to trades close and trying to break this level.
I think Gold can break this level and continue to fall in a falling channel to $3140
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GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3338.10
Sl - 3330.1
Tp - 3353.0
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip?
The spotlight has shifted.
As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom.
🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters
Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence.
➡️ Result?
The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment.
While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week.
📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility
Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky.
For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored)
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
SL: 3,370
TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area)
Entry: 3,380 – 3,382
SL: 3,386
TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support)
Entry: 3,322 – 3,320
SL: 3,316
TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340
📌 Strategy Notes:
The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours.
If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone.
Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control.
With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive.
✅ Focus on clear levels.
✅ Trade with confirmation.
✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty.
📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action.
Overview of Market Structure:
BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency.
At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market.
Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence:
As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases.
Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption.
The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down.
Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets:
The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows.
Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower.
Internal Structure Observation:
The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone.
Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs.
Conclusion:
This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside.
This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.
Dollar Doomsayers Are Dead Wrong: Why USD Will Crush It in 2025.Road To a Million fam! It’s your boy, back from the wilderness after a hiatus that felt longer than a bear market in a crypto crash. I’m pumped to be here, ready to drop some truth bombs, dissect the markets, and—most importantly—help us all make some serious bank. Buckle up, because there’s a ton to unpack, and we’re diving headfirst into the biggest elephant in the room: the U.S. dollar (USD). Spoiler alert: it’s not dead, it’s not even close to dead, and anyone saying otherwise is probably shorting it while crying into their latte. Let’s get into it!
The Dollar Drama: What’s the Deal?
If you’ve been anywhere near a financial newsfeed in 2025, you’ve heard the doomsday choir singing, “The dollar is done! Kaput! Finito!” The Dollar Index (DXY) is down 8% this year, and the Twitter (sorry, X) finance bros are out here proclaiming the end of the greenback’s reign as the world’s reserve currency. They’re screaming about de-dollarization, BRICS taking over, and gold mooning like it’s 1971. Meanwhile, I’m over here sipping my coffee, looking at the charts, and laughing. Why? Because the dollar’s obituary is the most exaggerated piece of fan fiction since Twilight.
Let’s cut through the noise and get to the meat. The USD has taken a beating, sure, but an 8% drop in a year doesn’t mean it’s packing its bags and moving to the Bahamas. The dollar is still the king of global trade, the backbone of international commerce, and the currency you need if you’re, say, India buying oil from Saudi Arabia. No one’s trading rupees for barrels, folks. They’re selling rupees, buying dollars, and getting that black gold. That’s the reality, and it’s not changing anytime soon.
So, why the panic? Why is everyone acting like the dollar’s about to be replaced by Dogecoin or a shiny new BRICS coin? Let’s break it down, roast the naysayers, and then talk about how we’re gonna make money off this drama. Because, let’s be real, that’s why you’re here.
Why the Dollar’s Down (But Not Out)
First, let’s address why the DXY is down 8% in 2025. The Dollar Index, for those new to the game, measures the USD against a basket of major currencies—56% euros, plus some GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, and a sprinkle of others. It’s like a currency Thunderdome: one dollar enters, a bunch of others try to take it down. When the DXY drops, it means the USD is weakening relative to these currencies. But why?
Interest Rate Shenanigans: Central banks are the puppet masters of forex markets, and their interest rate moves are like plot twists in a soap opera. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.25–4.5% on December 18, 2024, signaling a slightly dovish stance. Meanwhile, the Eurozone slashed its rate to 2.25% on April 17, 2025. That’s a 2% differential in favor of the U.S., which is huge in forex land. But the market’s been spooked by the Fed’s cut, thinking it’s the start of a softening cycle, while other central banks (like the ECB) are also cutting, creating a weird global rate limbo.
Inflation Tug-of-War: Inflation in the U.S. is at 2.4%, while the Eurozone’s at 2.2%. That means U.S. investors are getting a real return of about 2% (4.25% interest minus 2.4% inflation), while Eurozone investors are basically breaking even (2.25% minus 2.2% inflation). Money flows where it’s treated best, and right now, the U.S. is the VIP lounge. But short-term traders are freaking out over inflation fears and potential rate cuts, which has pressured the USD.
Trump’s Tariff Tantrums: Oh, Donald. The man’s back in the White House, tweeting (X-ing?) up a storm about “Making America Great Again” with tariffs left, right, and center. His trade war threats—10–20% tariffs on imports, 60% on Chinese goods—have markets jittery. A stronger dollar could make U.S. exports pricier, so some traders are betting on a weaker USD to balance things out. Spoiler: I think they’re wrong, and I’ll explain why later.
De-Dollarization Hype: The BRICS bloc (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and friends) has been pushing for a non-USD trade system, with talks of a new currency or gold-backed system. This has fueled the “dollar is doomed” narrative. But let’s be real: a BRICS coin? Good luck getting China and India to agree on anything, let alone a unified currency. And gold? It’s ripping higher (more on that later), but it’s not replacing the USD for global trade anytime soon.
So, yeah, the dollar’s been punched in the face a few times this year. But it’s like Rocky Balboa—it’s taken worse beatings and still comes out swinging. The question is: Is this the end of the dollar’s dominance, or is it just warming up for a comeback? Let’s look at the big picture.
The Dollar Ain’t Going Anywhere (Here’s Why)
Listen up, because this is where I get on my soapbox and preach. The dollar is not dead. It’s not even on life support. If anything, it’s doing push-ups in the gym, getting ready to flex on the haters. Here’s why I’m so bullish on the USD, and why you should be too.
1. The Reserve Currency Superpower
The USD is the world’s reserve currency, and that’s not just a fancy title—it’s a superpower. Over 88% of global transactions (SWIFT data, 2024) are settled in USD. When Russia wants to sell gas to China, they often price it in dollars. When Brazil buys soybeans from Argentina, guess what? Dollars. Even countries with beef against the U.S. (looking at you, Iran) hold USD reserves because it’s the only currency universally accepted for trade.
Why does this matter? Because every country needs USD to play in the global sandbox. India’s not paying Canada for oil in rupees. They’re converting to USD or dipping into their dollar reserves. This creates constant demand for the greenback, and that demand isn’t vanishing overnight. Could it fade in a decade? Maybe. But in 2025? No chance.
And let’s talk alternatives. Bitcoin? Ha! It’s a speculative asset, not a stable currency for trade. Gold? It’s mooning (up 25% in 2025, per Bloomberg), but you’re not paying for a tanker of crude with gold bars. A BRICS currency? Good luck getting 10+ countries with conflicting agendas to agree on a logo, let alone a monetary policy. The USD’s reserve status is a fortress, and it’s not crumbling anytime soon.
2. Interest Rate Domination
Let’s talk money—specifically, where it flows. The U.S. has a Fed funds rate of 4.25–4.5%, while the Eurozone’s at 2.25%. That’s a 2% gap, which is like the Grand Canyon in forex terms. If you’re an investor, where are you parking your cash? In the U.S., where you’re earning a 2% real return (4.25% minus 2.4% inflation), or in the Eurozone, where you’re getting a big fat zero (2.25% minus 2.2% inflation)?
This is why the Eurozone’s in trouble. The ECB’s stuck in a trap—low rates to prop up struggling economies like Spain and Italy, but that makes the euro less attractive. Meanwhile, the U.S. is the cool kid at the party, attracting capital like moths to a flame. And don’t forget: the Eurozone’s a mess of 20 countries with one monetary policy but wildly different fiscal policies. Spain’s productivity isn’t Germany’s, no matter what the ECB pretends. The euro’s gonna weaken against the USD, mark my words.
3. Trump’s Dollar Rocket Fuel
Love him or hate him, Trump’s policies are about to light a fire under the USD. His “America First” agenda includes bringing manufacturing back to the U.S., which means building factories from scratch. Those factories need raw materials—steel, copper, you name it. And guess what currency they’ll use to buy that stuff? Ding, ding, ding—USD!
Plus, Trump’s tariffs (10–20% on imports, 60% on China, per Reuters) will reduce U.S. imports, meaning fewer dollars flowing out of the country. But foreign countries still need USD to repay their dollar-denominated debts (global USD debt is $13 trillion, per the BIS). Less USD supply, same demand? That’s a recipe for a stronger dollar. Trump’s shaking markets like a toddler with a snow globe, but in this case, it’s bullish for the USD.
4. Contrarian Goldmine
Here’s a little trading wisdom: when everyone’s screaming the same thing, they’re usually wrong. Right now, 99% of the finance world (or at least the loud ones on X) is saying the dollar’s toast. That kind of extreme sentiment is a red flag. Markets love to screw over the crowd, and when everyone’s shorting the USD, it means the bottom is either in or damn close.
I’m calling it: the DXY’s either bottomed already or will soon, probably around 97. When sentiment’s this bearish, it’s like the market’s handing you a gift-wrapped opportunity. And I’m not about to let it pass.
The Charts Don’t Lie: DXY Technical Breakdown
Alright, enough macro talk—let’s get to the fun stuff: charts. I’ve been staring at these squiggly lines for 20+ years, and they’re telling me the USD’s about to go on a tear. Let’s break it down, from the big picture to the nitty-gritty.
Long-Term View: The 20-Year Monthly Chart
Zoom out, fam. When in doubt, zoom out. I’m looking at the DXY on a monthly chart, going back to 2005. Each candle is one month, and the trend is crystal clear: up. The DXY’s been cruising in an ascending channel for two decades, like a train chugging along at 200 miles an hour. Sure, it’s hit some bumps—2008, 2011, 2020—but the direction’s undeniable.
Right now, the DXY’s sitting around 100, down from its 2024 highs. But it’s still within that bullish channel. I’m drawing trendlines here: a lower trendline connecting the lows (around 97–98) and an upper trendline around 120–125. The price is hugging the lower end, which screams “buying opportunity” to me.
My big-picture call? The DXY’s heading to 115–117 by late 2026 or early 2027, maybe even sooner (Jan 2026, anyone?). Why? Because a 20-year trend doesn’t reverse overnight. The dollar’s not dying—it’s just taking a breather before the next leg up. If you disagree, hit the comments. Let’s duke it out.
Short-Term View: The 4-Hour Chart
Now, let’s zoom in to the 4-hour chart for the past couple of months. The short-term trend’s been down, no question—DXY’s been sliding like a kid on a waterslide. But here’s where it gets juicy: I’m seeing a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. For the newbies, that’s a bullish reversal pattern, and it’s already played out like a charm.
Pattern Breakdown: The left shoulder formed in early April, the head hit a low around April 10, and the right shoulder wrapped up by April 21. The neckline (resistance) was around 99.8–100, and guess what? The DXY broke it like a champ.
Trendline Break: On top of that, the DXY smashed through a short-term downtrend line, confirming the bullish vibes.
RSI Divergence: Check the Relative Strength Index (RSI). From April 10 to April 21, the price made lower lows, but the RSI was making higher lows. That’s a classic bullish divergence, screaming, “The momentum’s shifting!” We jumped in when the trendline broke, and boom—profits are rolling in.
Price Targets and Trading Plan
Here’s the game plan, fam. The DXY’s already broken the neckline, so we’re in. Now, we’re watching these levels:
Immediate Target: 100.28
The DXY needs to close above 100.28 by the weekend (May 2–3, 2025). If it does, it’s go time. I’m telling you, go all in (responsibly, of course). This level’s key because it’s a minor resistance from prior price action. A close above it confirms the breakout.
Next Target: 103–103.5
This is the big one. The 103 zone is a major inflection point—tons of price action and clutter from earlier this year. If the DXY breaks 100.28, it’s got a clear path to 103. Expect some resistance around 100.27 (a support-turned-resistance level), but once it clears that, it’s smooth sailing to 103.
Probability: I’m giving this an 80% chance of heading higher, 20% chance of a pullback. Those are odds I’ll take any day.
Long-Term Goal: If the DXY follows its 20-year channel, we’re looking at 115–117 by 2026–2027. That’s not a pipe dream—that’s history repeating itself.
Trading Tip: We’re already positioned from the trendline break. If 100.28 breaks, scale up. If it pulls back to 97 (the lower trendline), that’s a dream buy zone. But don’t get caught in the daily noise—Trump’s tweets, CPI reports, whatever. Focus on the big picture.
Gold, Tariffs, and Trump: The Side Characters
I know you’re itching to talk gold, tariffs, and Trump’s wild ride. I’m saving the deep dive for another post (stay tuned!), but here’s the quick and dirty.
Gold: Gold’s up 25% in 2025 (Bloomberg), and everyone’s like, “See? Dollar’s dead!” Nah, fam. Gold’s ripping because of tariff fears, geopolitical chaos, and central banks hoarding it like Smaug. It’s not a dollar killer—it’s just doing its own thing. We’ll break it down soon.
Tariffs: Trump’s tariff plans (10–20% on imports, 60% on China) are shaking markets. They’ll make imports pricier, reduce USD outflows, and boost domestic demand for dollars. Bullish for USD, bearish for emerging markets. More on this later.
Trump: The man’s a market wrecking ball. He’s out here calling for lower rates one day, tariffs the next, and probably tweeting about aliens by Friday. But his manufacturing push and tariff policies are USD rocket fuel. Ignore the noise—focus on the policy.
Why You Should Care (And How to Profit)
Look, I get it. You’re not here for a PhD in economics—you’re here to make money. So, why should you care about the USD? Because it’s the backbone of the forex market, and where the DXY goes, opportunities follow. A stronger dollar means:
Forex Trades: Go long USD/EUR, USD/JPY, or even USD/CAD. The euro’s toast with that 2.25% rate, and the yen’s stuck in Japan’s low-rate purgatory (0.25%, per BOJ).
Stock Market Impact: A stronger USD could pressure U.S. multinationals (exports get pricier) but boost domestic firms. Think Walmart, not Apple.
Commodities: Oil and metals (priced in USD) could dip as the dollar rises. Short crude if you’re feeling spicy.
Emerging Markets: Countries with USD debt (like Turkey or Argentina) are gonna feel the heat. Avoid their currencies like the plague.
Here’s how we’re playing it at Edge-Forex:
Long DXY: We’re in at the trendline break, scaling up if 100.28 breaks. Target 103, then 115 long-term.
Risk Management: Keep stops tight below 99.5 (short-term) or 97 (long-term). Don’t bet the farm—markets love surprises.
Stay Nimble: Watch for Fed signals, ECB moves, or Trump’s next X rant. We’ll adjust as needed.
The Big Picture: Don’t Get Lost in the Noise
I know it’s tempting to get sucked into the daily drama—Trump’s latest outburst, a hot CPI print, or some X influencer shilling a “dollar crash” thesis. But trading’s about cutting through the noise. Zoom out. Look at the 20-year DXY chart. Look at the interest rate gap. Look at the USD’s reserve status. The dollar’s not going anywhere, and it’s about to remind everyone why it’s the boss.
My advice? Get out of the short-term clutter. Stop refreshing X every five minutes. Focus on the trends that matter: central bank rates, capital flows, and technical setups. The DXY’s setting up for a monster move, and we’re gonna ride it like surfers on a tsunami.
Wrapping It Up: Let’s Make Some Freaking Money
Alright, Edge-Forex fam, that’s the deal. The dollar’s not dead—it’s just been napping, and it’s about to wake up with a vengeance. The DXY’s forming a bottom, the charts are screaming “buy,” and the macro setup (rates, Trump, reserve status) is a bullish trifecta. We’re already positioned, and if 100.28 breaks, we’re going big.
I’m back, baby, and I’m here to drop regular updates, roast the haters, and help us all stack some serious profits. Got questions? Drop ‘em in the comments. Disagree with my DXY call? Bring it on—let’s debate. Just don’t be that guy shorting the dollar while the rest of us are cashing checks.
Stay tuned for the next post (gold’s getting its moment soon), and let’s make some freaking money together. Out!
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an extended bullish phase that pushed the price higher within an upward channel, the market has started to show signs of weakness. Initially, gold moved steadily from the lower support zone, climbing through the channel and forming higher highs. Each pullback was supported by the rising trend line, reinforcing the bullish sentiment throughout the move. However, after reaching the peak near 3570, the price sharply reversed, breaking the trend line and shifting the overall structure. Sellers took control, leading to a breakdown below the channel, and now the price is consolidating near the 3260 - 3285 support zone. Recently, Gold tested the trend line from below but failed to reclaim it, which signals strong resistance overhead. Currently, gold is trading around 3319, just above the lower boundary of the broken channel and inside the support zone. I expect a small upward correction, breaking the trend line, and then followed by a continuation of the downward movement. So that's why I set goal is 3200 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold may continue fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong bullish impulse, the price of Gold reached a local peak and started to reverse. Before that, the uptrend was developing within a clearly defined ascending channel, where the trend line acted as dynamic support multiple times. Each time the price touched this line, it rebounded and continued climbing higher. However, the most recent upward movement ended with a sharp pullback, which marked the beginning of a potential correction. At the moment, the price is trading below the recent high and has already started forming a corrective downward move. XAUUSD is now heading toward the important support zone between 3190 and 3160 points. This area is not only a key horizontal level but also intersects with the trend line, making it a strong confluence zone that may act as a magnet for the price during this phase. I expect that the Gold will make a minor upward move before continuing to decline, targeting the support zone at 3190 points, which is my current goal. Given the recent price rejection from the resistance and the bearish momentum building, a move toward 3190 looks like the most probable path. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold will start to decline, after long upward moveHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Recently, price has shown a powerful rally after breaking out from a prolonged consolidation phase that lasted several days. This sideways movement was confined inside the buyer zone near 2855 - 2835 points, which acted as a reliable base for bulls. After forming a solid structure in that area, the price started to move higher, eventually breaking through the resistance of the range and forming a clear uptrend supported by a well-defined trend line. After climbing steadily, the price reached the 3160 support level, which turned into a retest zone later on. A strong impulse followed, pushing Gold above the trend line and into a new higher range. The bullish momentum continued, bringing the price above the 3180 - 3160 zone, and establishing a new local high. Currently, XAUUSD is trading near 3327 points after forming a local peak. It’s showing early signs of a pullback from the top, and the structure suggests a potential correction. I expect the price to decline toward the trend line and reach the 3265 points, which coincides with the trend line. That's why it's my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. The price has a chance to test the 3342 level. If the price cannot break through the 3342 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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HelenP. I Gold may make correction and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Following a deep correction that pushed the price down to the support zone between 2975 and 2950 points, Gold made a strong bullish reversal. This zone had already acted as a key accumulation area in the past, and once again, buyers stepped in aggressively. The reaction from support 2 at 2975 points was sharp, with the price bouncing and forming a clear impulse move. As XAU continued to rise, it broke back above the trend line and retested it, turning former resistance into support. Shortly after, the price pushed above the local support zone between 3165 and 3185 points, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. This zone is now acting as a base for further growth. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and support zone, holding near the 3230 area. The recent bullish momentum, strong impulse structure, and consistent reaction to technical levels indicate that buyers remain in control. Given the breakout, successful retest, and strength from key support zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward my goal at 3300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics
What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions?
In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing.
Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size.
🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk.
With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders.
With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods.
🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks.
🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk.
With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome.
That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital.
🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk.
With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak.
Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken.
The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot.
Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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