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Forex-technical-trade-analysis

USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level. If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward. 2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00. US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend. 3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection. Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish 4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower. Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength. 2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in. If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout. 3. Lower High Formation If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally. Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure. 4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline. 2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K). 3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+. 4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146. However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing. A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+. 2. Support Holding at Higher Levels Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation. If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher. 3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure. If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend. 4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels. The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection. Conclusion Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300) The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher. If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone. 2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum. Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward. 3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend. A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market. 4. Market Sentiment Shift The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move. If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPJPY weekly analysis (Gbpjpy)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Breakout Above Resistance at 190.070 The chart suggests rejection from 190.070, but if price breaks and holds above this level, it could signal further upside momentum. Instead of a bearish move, price could consolidate above 190.165 and push toward 191.003 or higher. 2. Strong Accumulation in the Support Zone (187.800) The support area at 187.800 has already been tested multiple times, and each time, price has rebounded. This could indicate a strong demand zone, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively. If buyers push price back to resistance and break through, a new bullish trend may emerge. 3. Liquidity Grab Below 188.000 The previous dip below 188.000 may have been a liquidity grab to stop out weak hands before a bullish reversal. If this assumption holds, price may now aim for higher highs rather than another rejection from resistance. 4. Market Structure Shift Instead of forming a lower high at resistance, a higher low formation could suggest an uptrend. If price finds support around 189.000 instead of dropping to 187.800, a bullish continuation pattern would be confirmed
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Support Strength at 2820 The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal. 2. Potential False Breakdown The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally. If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection. 3. Trend Line Reversal The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation. A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels. 4. Economic Events Impact The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility. If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets. Conclusion While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation. 2. Support Might Not Hold The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level. 3. Range-bound Market Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move. 4. Fundamental Factors Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
2
Btcusd strong analysis opportunity 1. Breakout Possibility Above Resistance The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, but Bitcoin could break above it instead, leading to a bullish continuation rather than a reversal. 2. Stronger Support Holding The projected drop might not occur if the support zone proves stronger than expected, leading to a bounce instead of a decline. 3. Market Volatility & Fundamentals Bitcoin often moves based on macroeconomic factors, news, or liquidity shifts. A sudden surge in demand could invalidate this technical setup. 4. Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation If price action forms a higher low, it could indicate accumulation rather than a sell-off, meaning a push toward new highs instead of a decline
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong bullish analysis opportunity 1. Support May Not Hold – The chart assumes price will respect the support zone and reverse upwards. However, given the strong bearish momentum leading into this level, a breakdown is possible. A break below the support could trigger further declines instead of the expected rebound. 2. Resistance Might Not Be Reached – The analysis predicts a move towards the resistance zone around 2,940, but if selling pressure remains strong, price could stall at the intermediate resistance (around 2,910-2,920) before reversing downward again. 3. Trend Continuation Instead of Reversal – The market is currently in a downtrend, making a continuation of lower lows and lower highs more probable than an immediate bullish reversal. Any short-term bounce might be a liquidity grab before further decline
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD strong down opportunity to big falling 1. Resistance Zone Validity – The marked resistance zone appears strong due to multiple rejections. However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong bullish momentum, a further rally may occur instead of the expected drop. 2. Support Strength – The lower support around 2,890 is a key level. However, if buyers aggressively step in before reaching it, the price could consolidate or reverse prematurely, invalidating the expected bearish move. 3. Market Context – Fundamental factors like economic data, interest rates, or geopolitical events could impact gold prices, overriding this technical setup. 4. False Breakdown Risk – Price could briefly dip below intermediate support and then reverse sharply, trapping sellers in a bear trap
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
2
GU BIAS: SHORT; ANALYSIS CHART: H1 & H4Hello traders, I believe some of you lost money yesterday thinking the cable would continue the bullish move, but unfortunately, the cable changed the direction. Today, the question is, will the cable continue the down move? Yes, there is an 85% probability that the pair could down to the level of 1.19418 or below. The bearish reversal signal is expected from the level of 1.20295. I think a resistance zone Is expected to occur around this level. I mean fake out, big banks, and smart money manipulation for the stop-loss hunt. Be careful when selling there. Look for the opportunity to sell from this level in the H1 or the smaller timeframe like M15 or M5. Finally, we remain bearish in the cable market as long as the price is below the trendline.
Short
by OraclePips