Forex-trade
GBPJPY - Retest of the top, sell opportunity?The GBP/JPY chart shows an intriguing setup as price has recently rebounded from its early April lows near 184.00 to approach the 191.50 level, which now represents a significant local high. If we see another break of this level followed by rejection, the pair could be forming a classic double top pattern at the highlighted resistance zone between 191.50-192.00. This technical formation would be particularly noteworthy given that this resistance area previously served as support in late March before the sharp April selloff. The red zigzag line on the chart suggests a potential path where price might make one more push up before reversing lower. Traders should watch for bearish price action confirmation at this resistance zone—such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or momentum divergence—which would strengthen the case for a short position with a reasonable stop above the double top formation and targets potentially toward the lower support zone around 187.00.
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NZDJPY short oportunityWatch for end of retracment trade!
I think this can be good RR oportunity, the Target is to Low of previousextension.
On 4 chart we are already see some bearih divergances, But still in uptrend. Soo wiat for some kind of confirmation.
Trade safe ;)
AUDUSD - Resistance Test Points to Imminent Price CorrectionThe AUD/USD pair has shown impressive upside momentum in recent days, recovering sharply from its early April lows near 0.5900 to now testing the key resistance zone highlighted in blue around 0.6400. After such a substantial rally of approximately 500 pips, technical indicators suggest the pair is becoming overextended in the short term. We anticipate a corrective pullback as price encounters this significant resistance level, which previously acted as support in mid-March. This correction would be a healthy development within the broader market structure, potentially setting up better entry opportunities for those still bullish on the Australian dollar in the medium term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/JPY testing critical zoneThe GBP/JPY is testing a critical resistance area between 189.20 to 190.00. For as long as this area holds as resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Should the selling resume from here, we could see the Guppy trade down to test the key support range between 185.00 to 186.00 again.
However, if the GBP/JPY breaks decisively above the 189.20 to 190.00 range, then that could potentially pave the way for a short-squeeze rally towards the next major resistance in the 193.00 to 194.20 range, where we also have the 200 day MA converging.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY - Bearish Momentum Points to Further Downside PotentialBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, the higher probability move appears to be to the downside. The pair has established a clear downtrend since early February, with lower highs and lower lows, and recently broke below the significant support level around 144.00. The recent steep decline from late March to early April shows strong bearish momentum, with price now hovering near 143.50 after a modest retracement. The charted projection suggests further downside movement with potential targets around 142.00-141.00 in the short term, while the highlighted support zone around 142.00 and major support at 139.64 could attract price action. With resistance firmly established in the 147.00-148.00 region and the overall bearish structure intact, sellers appear to have control of this market for the foreseeable future.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) – April 08, 2025 – 1-Hour Timeframe
Key Observations:
1. Trend and Price Action:
- The price of Gold is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the red trendline showing lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently broken below the previous support level, signaling a continuation of the bearish movement.
- The resistance zone near 3,141.64 remains a significant barrier for any upward movement, while the support level at 2,960.00 is holding the price from falling further.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The order block located at 3,138.95 to 3,141.64 has been a key area where price rejection occurred. The price approached this area but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. This …
ChatGPT: - The target for the current bearish setup is 3,021, which aligns with the support level near 2,987.47. If the price continues to decline, this target could be reached soon, with further downside movement expected.
- If the price holds at the support level and forms a bullish reversal pattern, it may head back towards the resistance zone. However, until the support level holds, the price is likely to continue the downward trajectory.
4. Volume and Market Sentiment:
- The volume shows a consistent decline, confirming the selling pressure. The recent spikes in volume near the support level suggest that the market is reacting to the critical support area.
- Market sentiment remains bearish, with the price currently below its recent highs and the resistan…
ChatGPT: - Bullish Reversal Scenario: If Gold finds support at 2,960 and forms a bullish pattern (such as a reversal candle or engulfing candle), the price might move towards 3,141.64 again.
Conclusion:
The price of Gold is currently in a downtrend, facing resistance around 3,141.64 and support near 2,960. Traders should watch for price action near these levels to assess the next move. The target of 3,021 is the key level to focus on, and a breakout below this could lead to further downside. If the support level holds, there could be a potential for a bullish rebound towards resistance.
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown
The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD.
Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur.
Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target.
2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone
Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD).
Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction.
Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD.
3. Weak Rebound from Current Level
The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery.
Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding.
Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution.
4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk
Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC).
Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices.
Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility.
5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels
The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones.
Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones.
Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
USDCAD - Hunting for Bullish Entries?The USD/CAD pair has experienced a notable correction from the 1.4400 resistance level, with price currently being at the 1.4215 area. If a correction happens like the one highlighted by the arrows, traders may find an attractive buying opportunity on smaller timeframes, aligning with the larger bullish trend that's been in place since February. The recent pullback could provide an ideal entry for those looking to capitalize on the prevailing uptrend, targeting a potential move back toward the orange horizontal resistance at 1.4400. However, caution is warranted – should price sharply break below the blue support box with conviction, the bullish thesis would be invalidated, suggesting instead a strategy of selling any minor retracements as the pair could then accelerate to the downside. This critical juncture demands close monitoring of price action for confirmation of either scenario in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY - Critical area for the pair!The USD/JPY pair currently sits at a critical technical juncture, trading around the 149.84 level, where market participants are closely watching for directional cues. The price action has been respecting an ascending trendline since early March, suggesting underlying bullish momentum, while simultaneously testing the lower boundary of a significant resistance zone highlighted in blue on the chart. This confluence creates a decisive moment for traders – a break below the trendline could trigger another downward leg toward support near 149.00, while sustained strength above the current level might signal continuation of the uptrend toward the upper resistance band at 151.00. The chart's annotated projection suggests the possibility of one more pullback before resuming higher, making this a pivotal area for determining whether bears will gain temporary control or if bulls will maintain dominance without further consolidation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD SELL NEXT MOVE STRATEGY DOWN Potential Bullish Scenario
The analysis assumes a strong downward move, but buyers could defend key support levels, especially near strategy support and double-top strong support.
If the price holds above these levels and forms a reversal pattern (like a double bottom or bullish engulfing candle), we could see a rally back to sell zone and double top resistance.
2. Market Structure Shift
The assumption here is a continuation of the downtrend, but a breakout above the resistance zones could invalidate this bearish bias.
A fake breakdown below support could trap sellers and fuel a short squeeze rally.
3. Fundamentals & News Events
If there’s any fundamental catalyst (e.g., Fed announcement, inflation data, geopolitical tension), the market could reverse direction unexpectedly.
Gold tends to react strongly to macroeconomic events, so technical analysis alone might not be enough to predict the next move
USDCAD - Higher Probability Upside Within Broader CorrectionThe USD/CAD 4-hour chart displays a complex price structure with recent upward momentum after finding support in the blue reaction zone (approximately 1.4250-1.4280). Currently trading around 1.4350, the pair appears poised for continued upside movement, with the higher probability scenario being a break above the orange resistance line at 1.4402. This view is supported by the recent series of higher lows and the bullish reversal from the support zone. However, traders should approach this opportunity cautiously, as we remain within a larger corrective structure in the broader market context. This suggests that while the immediate bias favors upside movement, price may still experience downward swings before a definitive breakout. A prudent approach would be to take this trade piece by piece, using smaller position sizes and tighter risk management to navigate potential volatility until the orange resistance is decisively broken.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones:
The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance.
However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern
2. Trendline Support:
The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce.
3. Expected Price Movement:
The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable.
However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility:
The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement.
A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum.
2. Overextended Trend:
The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely.
The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately.
3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop:
Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend.
The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone.
4. Fundamental Factors:
If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
BTCUSD 15MINTS CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE..This chart shows a potential bullish move for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
The price is currently in a support zone (blue area) around 81,800-82,000.
A breakout from this level is expected, leading to a rise toward 83,224 (resistance level).
If momentum continues, BTC could reach 84,457.
The blue arrows indicate the expected bullish movement.
Gold buy Target 3050 on this analysis Contrarian Perspective (Bearish Case)
Instead of a breakout, the price could fail to sustain above the resistance and reverse downward.
The double top formation suggests a potential bearish reversal rather than a continuation.
If price breaks below the support level, it could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a decline towards 2,900 or lower
2. Fundamental Disruptions
Macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes, inflation data, or geopolitical instability could change the trend unexpectedly.
Unexpected news (such as central bank decisions on gold reserves) could cause volatility, disrupting the predicted movement.
3. Market Manipulation Risks
Whale activity or institutional traders might push the price in the opposite direction to trap retail traders.
False breakouts could occur before the actual move, stopping out early traders.
4. Alternative Technical Patterns
Instead of following the expected support bounce, price might consolidate in a range.
The resistance zone might turn into a supply zone, leading to a prolonged sideways movement
GBPJPY - Higher Probability Favors Upside ContinuationThe GBP/JPY pair is displaying strong bullish momentum as it trades near 192.25, having recently tested but failed to break through the key resistance level at 193.05. After forming a higher low structure within an ascending trendline since late February, the pair shows notable strength with buyers stepping in at each pullback. Technical analysis suggests that the higher probability move is a continuation to the upside, with price likely to break above the horizontal resistance at 193.05 after a possible minor retracement. If this bullish scenario plays out, we could see the pair extend toward the 194.50 level before potentially reaching higher targets as indicated by the upward-pointing arrow on the chart. The ascending trendline and the support zone marked by the blue box near 191.00 should provide solid foundations for this anticipated upward move, keeping the overall bullish bias intact as long as price remains above these key structural levels.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY - Bullish pattern towards descending trendlineThe USD/JPY pair appears to be forming a potential reversal pattern after reaching a low around 146.50 in early March. Having bounced from this support level, the price is now hovering near 148.60 with indications of a larger corrective move ahead. Technical analysis suggests we are expecting a bigger correction in this area, with the price likely to test higher levels before encountering significant resistance. The initial price target will be the upper boundary of the blue box area (approximately 150.50-151.00), with potential to go toward the descending trendline that has been capping price action since January.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Price Analysis March 14⭐️Fundamental analysis
Optimistic comments from the White House and Canada, along with news that enough Democrats have voted to avoid a US government shutdown, have boosted investor sentiment. However, gold's gains were capped by a stronger US dollar, which was bought for the third consecutive session.
However, expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates multiple times this year could limit the strong recovery of the US dollar. In addition, concerns about former President Trump's tough trade policies and their impact on the global economy continue to support gold prices. This suggests that any correction in gold could be a buying opportunity, helping the precious metal maintain its upward trend for the second consecutive week.
⭐️Technical analysis
any pullback today is considered a reasonable buy 2970 is the area where the European session Gold can find deeper and 2953 are the two BUY zones today. The sell zone is still noticeable around the 3000 round resistance and the 3015 border is considered resistance today. When gold has ATH, the FOMO is very high, so this is a difficult time to trade. Pay attention to volume and good capital management.
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk)
The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection.
The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike.
2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation)
The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback.
If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable.
3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern)
The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down.
A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower.
4. Momentum Shift
RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path):
If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840:
Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760.
Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view:
Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario:
Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher.
Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks.
This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse.
2. Support Weakening:
The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times.
Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense.
A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets:
First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support).
Extended target: 2880–2885 zone.
3. Volume Divergence:
Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher.
Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950.
4. Potential Bearish Formation:
Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
USDCAD - Bullish ProspectsUSD/CAD's 4-hour chart suggests that if we see a nice correction in the current area around 1.434, we may experience a continuation to the upside as indicated by the arrow on the chart. The pair has been showing volatility since early March, reaching a peak of approximately 1.4540 before pulling back. The projected path illustrated with the zigzag line indicates a potential corrective move down followed by renewed bullish momentum. This potential upside continuation would likely target levels beyond the recent high, with the current consolidation possibly serving as a base for the next leg up. The highlighted blue box area represents a support zone that could contain the correction before the anticipated upward move materializes. Traders should watch for price action confirmation within this region to validate the bullish scenario.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY - Bigger correction on the daily timeframeUSD/JPY's daily chart indicates we're expecting a larger correction in the near term, followed by a likely continuation of the downtrend toward the blue box target area (143.50-146.00). After reaching peaks near 162.00 in July 2024 and 158.00 in December 2024/January 2025, the pair has established a series of lower highs, creating a clear downtrend pattern. Currently trading around 148.05, the price sits at a critical juncture, with the projected path suggesting a temporary bounce (as illustrated by the zigzag line) before bearish momentum likely resumes. This outlook is supported by the consistent lower highs since mid-2024, the price's position near a historical support/resistance level, February's failed attempt to sustain prices above 150, and the overall downward momentum that has dominated since December 2024.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
