EURGBP Bearish Retest|Weekly S/R|Low Volume|Oscillators ExtendedEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURGBP respecting its .618 Fibonacci leading into an impulse move, price action is currently testing weekly S/R where a rejection is probable.
Points to consider,
- Macro trend range deviation
- Bearish Retest (Weekly S/R)
- Local S/R (immediate support)
- Oscillators extended
- Volume below average
EURGBP has had a previous impulse that leads to a range deviation thus any back tests are considered a bearish retest. This allows us to have a bearish bias on the market.
The Local S/R is the immediate support, holding this level will confirm an S/R Flip retest.
Both oscillators are trading in overextended regions, this is indicative of the market getting overbought and that a reversion to the mean is probable.
The volume profile is currently below average, it’s important to note that price rising on declining volume in usually bearish.
Overall, in my opinion, EURGBP is a valid short with risk defined below weekly S/R. Price action is to be used upon management/ discretion of trade.
Thank you for following my work!
And remember,
“Hope is bogus emotion that only costs you money.” – Jim Cramer
Forex-trade
Bearish in USDCAD?Hey traders, perfect setup for me on USDCAD. On all timeframes we can see beautiful pressure from Bears on this currency. On 4H timeframe we got double top pattern, and from that point we see beautiful impulse to the downside! Right now we got a flat flag (continuation pattern) and nice support level on 1H timeframe. Actually we already broke that level so waiting for a pullback, and gonna try to open the order! So my target on this one 1.3000! What do you think...?
EURUSD| Weekly S/R| RSI Wedge| Increasing Volume Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURUSD – impulsive break of weekly S/R, a retest will allow for a valid long.
Points to consider,
- Impulse bull move
- Weekly S/R support confluence (200 WMA)
- Local resistance holding
- RSI wedge
- Volume declining
Price decisively broke weekly S/R, a bullish retest will solidify the level. This allows us to have a bullish bias on the market.
Weekly S/R has technical confluence with the 200 WMA, this level has a high probability of holding true once the retest comes to fruition.
Price action is currently respecting local resistance as the RSI wedges. A break down from this wedge will coincide with price retracing.
The volume profile is noticeably increasing, must sustain for further upside momentum to be had.
Overall, in my opinion, EURUSD is likely to retrace for a retest. This will allow for a risk defined long. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
What are your thoughts?
Thank you for following my work!
And remember,
“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.” ― Yvan Byeajee
GBPUSD Buy!GBPUSD Entry price is shown @ 1.31175
SL @ 1.30901 (27 PIPS)
TP @ 1.31725 (54 PIPS)
GBPUSD M30 timeframe buy, as you can see from the strategy profitability settings at the foot of this idea - this is a great edge on GU M30.
These are specific settings with a fixed 1:2 risk to reward that we have identified using our strategy.
What does this mean?
Well it means, for every 1% risk we aim for 2% reward....
Enter the trade with SL and TP and just let it play.
COVID Long CZK/GBP: Long-Term Strength of Koruna, TA for EntryThe Czech Republic is poised to strengthen against the British Pound for the following reasons. The Czech Republic is uniquely positioned to recover better than the United Kingdom as an advanced manufacturing-oriented country, predominately producing cars, trains and engineering equipment. Following the one-time shock effect of the COVID-induced public health and ensued economic crisis, despite short-term decreases in the demand of personal automobiles, production of vehicles will be relatively intact, although the composition of types of vehicles may differ. Through the ECB's newest stimulus plan, Europe is subsidizing the purchases of new cars, particularly those that are more environmentally-friendly, furthering the effort to become greener. With regard to the outlook for a weaker pound following recent broad-based strengthening, we propose a two-year hold period because then talks for the Scottish quest for independence will rise to the forefront again. Scotland is one of the most valuable components of the United Kingdom and with an average polling of 54% of British citizens wanting to split from the UK, as of now, there is a tilt towards the likelihood of the split. In addition, Mr. Johnson's recent trip is likely to backfire and strengthen the desire to split, and given the Coronavirus pandemic there has been a surge towards the desire for independence, with polls increasing from 49% in March, making this the longest period over which yes votes outnumbered those for a no.
Technically, time the trade by going long upon falling back to the resistance level, which we hold to be 0.034223, and holding through the British elections in two years. This resistance level also represents the 38.2% retracement from the last stark uptrend, a technically-significant level given the Fibonacci levels. See the chart for the previous testing, and strengthening, of the resistance.
Fundamentally this trade is driven by the likely future increase in external demand following the coronavirus crisis.
think.ing.com
NZD CAD Sell 700 Pip Opportunity NZDCAD currently in a downwards channel and top channel is holding.
This pair will start to make its way back down towards the bottom of the channel.
Entry:
Wait for confirmation with a daily bear candle close under the up trend line.
Indicators:
1. Pair currently trading in downwards channel acting as resistance.
2. Historically this channel has held so expectation is downwards movement.
2. Weekly RSI overbought bulls are weakening.
TP levels at past support/pivot levels.
As this pair breaks the trendline, take small profits of 40-50 pip ranges as movement may be slow.
Otherwise this is a great trade for long term.
Good luck trading!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made simple.
AUDCAD Sell +150 to 500 Pip Opportunity AUDCAD is overbought and looking for a large downward movement.
Short-term we are looking at 150 Pips to the downside
Long-term we are looking at 300 to 500 pips
Indicators:
Look left rule- If you look at history, the current area where this currency has been a strong pivotal point, dating a few years. This is now acting as Resistance.
Daily and Weekly time frames are overbought (Larger time frames dictate main direction)
Conditions to Enter:
Close of daily candlestick under the current up trend line, this will confirm a break to the downside.
Entry:
1. Bear candle close under up trendline
2. Retest of up trend line on the backside.
TP1 at next support
TP2 at main weekly support
SL if prior high is broken
Good luck trading!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made simple
EURAUD Buy Update 900 Pip OpportunityTrade currently up 75 pips from last week's entry. Today just closed with a very strong bull candlestick, confirmation of upwards movement.
Indicators Recap:
1. Currently at bottom of weekly channel acting as support.
2. Stochastic RSI weekly and daily oversold and in the buy zone.
3. Upward Trend still dominant.
4. Bull candlestick close end of day 07/13/2020.
Additional Entry or if you missed first entry:
1. Wait for short retrace on 2hr or 4hr time frame around 1.6300
Next small Resistance at 1.6540 for a TP target.
TP 1 and TP 2 remains the same for longer term trade.
Good luck trading!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made simple.
USDCAD POTENTIAL *SELL*Hey guys, hope you guys have had a wonderful trading week. I just wanted to upload a quick trade idea as there is a potential opportunity for a sell. USDCAD has hit an area of resistance and is showing weak buying pressure as all the traders that went long are looking to close their position due to the area of resistance. Therefore i have executed a short position with a 1:2 RR.
HAPPY TRADING!
Positive point of viewFeeling positive about the US economy and believe that we can see this symbol reach the highs that was made before the crash at around 29 May 2020, if the channel can hold. Expect a 17% rise. This is just my personal opinion and my believe in the US economy.
Tails with high volume will sign of U-turn : GBPAUD
Hey, Friends.
Before the start to talk on analysis, request to share you love by giving LIKES and comments.
Parallel channel expected break-down . Selling in pullback is best opportunity to grab profit on this pair. The projection is mentioned at the chat for future prediction.
----------------------------------------(Weekly view)---------------------------------
Previous High 2.03533 ( double top )
Price is trading in still channel.
Series of tails found on the value high with an excess.
Tails with surged volume (its indicate U-turn)
Conclusion: highly prefer to trade in short selling side, therefore projected "falling wave" in the chart.
EURCHF CLOSE T BREAKOUT IN DESCENDING TRIANGLE Hello my fellow traders, hope you all are making some profits. We are here with our new analysis so that we can increase those profits for you. Let’s get into the analysis.
As we can see that the pair is moving in a Descending Triangle and now its close to its breakout. One can wait for confirmation.
Let us know your views on this in the comment section. Thank you all.
There is good news for our followers. We will be analyzing demand. So let us know which pair you want our analysis on and we will get it for you. Do like and follow us.
Ryan.R.Lopes.
GOLD STILL FALLINGDepending on market open, we could see a gap to the upside to help gain a better entry. Im confident with recent price action for us to continue lower, as well as global macroeconomics to keep pulling us down. Wether we fall from hereat 1500 or peak at 1560 is not clear, but with that being said, if you scale in you short positions every 200 pips, you can increase the 1.3 R:R to something closer to 3 R:R. 200 pips may sounds like a lot, but with the recent volatility, we have been seeing daily moves of upwards of 800 pips, so be careful with your leverage. any closure above 1565-1570 is a total change in short-medium term trend