USDJPY Looking BearishOn the Monthly chart, this pair is currently retracing bearish inside a Bullish PB.
On the Weekly, we can see that this pair is in a large bearish grind. We sent out a bearish analysis a few weeks back. If you didn't see it, be sure to take a look at it.
Let's go further down in our analysis of this pair.
On the Daily Chart, this pair has continued its bearish push, and it is currently holding 3 PBs to the downside. The story is not different on the 4-hour chart. The market is making 5 PB down on the 4 hour chart, and 4 PB down on the 1 hour chart. It is not very often to find a pair that aligns on bias across all of its timeframes. Here is a rare exception.
To take our trade, we will be waiting for price to retrace bullish into our refined zone. When that happens, we will look to jump on the trade using the Panz Pips trader checklist.
Forex-trade
Near 1000 Pip Dip ExpectedThe EURUSD has been pushing bullish for a while now. On the Weekly chart, we see that the market has been in a down swing that started on July 17, 2023. The market dipped to form a low at 1.0446, following which it began to retrace bullish on October 4.
Since October until now, the market has gone through a bullish retracement. Upon seeing the retracement, we were able to find and mark our order block and refine it to the expected reversal zone.
Last week saw prices come into our zone and push away in a bid to commence the reversal. If this perspective holds, this pair is expected to dip all the way down to take out the liquidity target at 1.4663 and push beyond it.
This down extension push is expected to give us a push in excess of 700 pips and can push as far as 1000 pips and more.
EURUSD 1WWeekly timeframe, probably the most interesting of all, as we changed the context from short to long after consolidating above the fractal marked in red. Depending on the closing of the next week, we can make assumptions about the subsequent movement. The first target is the fractal maximum formed in the FVG.
EURUSD 1DHello everyone, as always, I welcome you to the Top-Down analysis on Euro. I would appreciate your feedback in the form of a repost, comment, and like.
Let's start with the daily timeframe. After breaking the short context on December 13, the price reached the mid-term target on Friday. Interestingly, we closed with a raid without consolidation. Next week, I expect a small corrective movement with a continuation above.
EURUSD 1DHello! Here's a weekly review of the EUR/USD pair from higher timeframes to lower:
1D - Since Wednesday, we have shifted the daily context from short to long after the price secured above the fractal maximum. The target was set to the nearest fractal maximum. On Friday, I expected the removal of the fractal local maximum, and the price, in turn, made a corrective movement. Below, we also have an uncovered imbalance. The price is still in a long context, and I anticipate seeing the removal of fractal maximums after balancing next week.
1h EURUSD1h - We are in a short context, and to change the trend, we need the price to consolidate above 1.09, which we are likely to see soon. The imminent trend reversal is inspiring confidence, given the lack of liquidity work (indicated with stickers on the chart). In the emergence of a significant change in price movement, one of the key factors for me has always been liquidity interaction. However, the current movement shows the opposite picture (a vast amount of uncovered liquidity). What does this mean? The price will absorb this liquidity rapidly; it's only a matter of time.
4h EURUSD4h - On the four-hour chart, we experienced a break in the long movement, with the target being confirmation of the order flow. To consider long positions, we need to wait for the price to close above 1.092 (which is likely to happen on Monday). Until then, it would be advisable to refrain from any transactions, given the price raids from both sides. Waiting for new information would enhance decision-making for better performance.
EURUSD 1DHello! Overview of the Eurodollar from higher to lower timeframes.
1D - On the daily timeframe, on Tuesday, we had a close above the previous high, confirming the long structure. After a re-balance, we took the nearest fractal liquidity on Friday. Going forward, the target will be the local maximum of the movement.
A LONG Bullish Run; But How Much Longer...?There is nothing as exciting as finding market direction and having the market play out in your direction and according to your plan and prediction.
From last week, we saw prices retrace bearish in our 4-hour zone. On Friday, at about 1500 WAT, prices finally dipped into our zone and from there we knew it was time for the long bullish ride up.
Because we were looking at the 4-hour timeframe analysis, our target was and still is the 4-hour liquidity above. Over the course of this week, we have seen prices soar all the way up towards our target liquidity. Prices are not there yet. They are currently just a few pips shy of our target.
The question is, "Will the bullishness continue all the way up to hit our target?" I guess you know my answer already. Of course, they will. We are holding on to our trade perspective, our bullish direction, and our trade. We will stay bullish, and we expect the market to stay bullish too, until we hit our target. When that happens, then we can expect the market to begin to lose steam and, from there, look to reverse.
Are We Bullish Again...?On this pair, we have seen the market give us some strong bullish potential. On Friday, we saw the market come all the way down to our 4-hour bullish zone, and from there, it began to reverse bullish. Yesterday, we witnessed the bullishness continue, and we looked to take a trade. The market went in the direction of the 4-hour analysis. The market went all the way to our 4-hour liquidity.
We are expecting to see some bearish pullbacks today to drive prices all the way down into our bullish PB and ultimately into our refined zone. From there, we will look forward to seeing the market reverse bullish, and using one of our trade entry setups, we will look to get in on this trade.
There is a possibility that the market will pullback for a bit and reverse without getting to our zone. But not to worry; when that happens, we will be ready to take a look at it and determine how to jump on the trade.
So we are expecting a down move followed by an up move.
The most important thing is that the market will retrace bearish into the PB, and from there, look to go all the way up to our liquidity target above.
Are We Ready To Resume Selling the EURUSD...?From last week, we saw prices rally all the way up towards the daily zone. This rally was seen as a retracement because, according to our analysis, we had come to see this pair to be in a down trend.
With the price entering the zone,we expected an immediate reversal. The market showed some signs of reversal, after which we saw prices go all the way up to spike above our zone. Were we stopped out of the sell position? Of course, YES. But has the trend switched bullish with that move? Hell NO!
For the main reason that the daily candle did not close above our zone, we would define that push through the zone as just a spike, and when we say spike, we mean that our bearish perspective on the daily is still valid.
With that out of the way, we will now look at the 4-hour perspective. On the 4-hour chart, the price is in an uptrend. The uptrend is what brought prices all the way up into our daily reversal zone. And so we would expect the 4-hour bias to switch very soon to reflect the bearish reversal we are already seeing.
How about the 1-hour chart?
In the 1-hour, we have already begun to see some good bearish reversals. Yesterday, we got into a trade, that ran about a 1:3 Risk Reward Ratio before it u turned bullish. To be honest, that trade was take as a second resort. This is because we had refined our reversal zone to a much small area, and the market reversed yesterday without getting into the smaller refined zone. Are we suprised the 1st trade failed and the market began to rally again short term? Of course not. All along, our target had been for the market to come into the refined zone.
Right now, to our greatest excitement and earnest expectation, we have seen the price rally into our refined zone, and so we are hands-on ready to catch the trade on this pair.
Are we gonna jump in right away? By no means NO. The price coming into the zone is just one of several steps we follow to catch our trade using the panzy pips trading methodology.
So guys, there you are with the EURUSD. We are finally in our zone, and we expect to see a good deal of reversal from this point. And when that reversal comes, we will be going bearish all the way towards our daily target way below.