EURUSD 1DHello everyone, as always, I welcome you to the Top-Down analysis on Euro. I would appreciate your feedback in the form of a repost, comment, and like.
Let's start with the daily timeframe. After breaking the short context on December 13, the price reached the mid-term target on Friday. Interestingly, we closed with a raid without consolidation. Next week, I expect a small corrective movement with a continuation above.
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EURUSD 1DHello! Here's a weekly review of the EUR/USD pair from higher timeframes to lower:
1D - Since Wednesday, we have shifted the daily context from short to long after the price secured above the fractal maximum. The target was set to the nearest fractal maximum. On Friday, I expected the removal of the fractal local maximum, and the price, in turn, made a corrective movement. Below, we also have an uncovered imbalance. The price is still in a long context, and I anticipate seeing the removal of fractal maximums after balancing next week.
1h EURUSD1h - We are in a short context, and to change the trend, we need the price to consolidate above 1.09, which we are likely to see soon. The imminent trend reversal is inspiring confidence, given the lack of liquidity work (indicated with stickers on the chart). In the emergence of a significant change in price movement, one of the key factors for me has always been liquidity interaction. However, the current movement shows the opposite picture (a vast amount of uncovered liquidity). What does this mean? The price will absorb this liquidity rapidly; it's only a matter of time.
4h EURUSD4h - On the four-hour chart, we experienced a break in the long movement, with the target being confirmation of the order flow. To consider long positions, we need to wait for the price to close above 1.092 (which is likely to happen on Monday). Until then, it would be advisable to refrain from any transactions, given the price raids from both sides. Waiting for new information would enhance decision-making for better performance.
EURUSD 1DHello! Overview of the Eurodollar from higher to lower timeframes.
1D - On the daily timeframe, on Tuesday, we had a close above the previous high, confirming the long structure. After a re-balance, we took the nearest fractal liquidity on Friday. Going forward, the target will be the local maximum of the movement.
A LONG Bullish Run; But How Much Longer...?There is nothing as exciting as finding market direction and having the market play out in your direction and according to your plan and prediction.
From last week, we saw prices retrace bearish in our 4-hour zone. On Friday, at about 1500 WAT, prices finally dipped into our zone and from there we knew it was time for the long bullish ride up.
Because we were looking at the 4-hour timeframe analysis, our target was and still is the 4-hour liquidity above. Over the course of this week, we have seen prices soar all the way up towards our target liquidity. Prices are not there yet. They are currently just a few pips shy of our target.
The question is, "Will the bullishness continue all the way up to hit our target?" I guess you know my answer already. Of course, they will. We are holding on to our trade perspective, our bullish direction, and our trade. We will stay bullish, and we expect the market to stay bullish too, until we hit our target. When that happens, then we can expect the market to begin to lose steam and, from there, look to reverse.
Are We Bullish Again...?On this pair, we have seen the market give us some strong bullish potential. On Friday, we saw the market come all the way down to our 4-hour bullish zone, and from there, it began to reverse bullish. Yesterday, we witnessed the bullishness continue, and we looked to take a trade. The market went in the direction of the 4-hour analysis. The market went all the way to our 4-hour liquidity.
We are expecting to see some bearish pullbacks today to drive prices all the way down into our bullish PB and ultimately into our refined zone. From there, we will look forward to seeing the market reverse bullish, and using one of our trade entry setups, we will look to get in on this trade.
There is a possibility that the market will pullback for a bit and reverse without getting to our zone. But not to worry; when that happens, we will be ready to take a look at it and determine how to jump on the trade.
So we are expecting a down move followed by an up move.
The most important thing is that the market will retrace bearish into the PB, and from there, look to go all the way up to our liquidity target above.
Are We Ready To Resume Selling the EURUSD...?From last week, we saw prices rally all the way up towards the daily zone. This rally was seen as a retracement because, according to our analysis, we had come to see this pair to be in a down trend.
With the price entering the zone,we expected an immediate reversal. The market showed some signs of reversal, after which we saw prices go all the way up to spike above our zone. Were we stopped out of the sell position? Of course, YES. But has the trend switched bullish with that move? Hell NO!
For the main reason that the daily candle did not close above our zone, we would define that push through the zone as just a spike, and when we say spike, we mean that our bearish perspective on the daily is still valid.
With that out of the way, we will now look at the 4-hour perspective. On the 4-hour chart, the price is in an uptrend. The uptrend is what brought prices all the way up into our daily reversal zone. And so we would expect the 4-hour bias to switch very soon to reflect the bearish reversal we are already seeing.
How about the 1-hour chart?
In the 1-hour, we have already begun to see some good bearish reversals. Yesterday, we got into a trade, that ran about a 1:3 Risk Reward Ratio before it u turned bullish. To be honest, that trade was take as a second resort. This is because we had refined our reversal zone to a much small area, and the market reversed yesterday without getting into the smaller refined zone. Are we suprised the 1st trade failed and the market began to rally again short term? Of course not. All along, our target had been for the market to come into the refined zone.
Right now, to our greatest excitement and earnest expectation, we have seen the price rally into our refined zone, and so we are hands-on ready to catch the trade on this pair.
Are we gonna jump in right away? By no means NO. The price coming into the zone is just one of several steps we follow to catch our trade using the panzy pips trading methodology.
So guys, there you are with the EURUSD. We are finally in our zone, and we expect to see a good deal of reversal from this point. And when that reversal comes, we will be going bearish all the way towards our daily target way below.
Some of the Reasons Why We Are Selling This PairThis pair has witnessed a large amount of back-and-forth swings in the last couple of days. We witnessed price fluctuations that resulted in a direction switch over and over again. Right now, we are going to ignore all other timeframes and look at this market analysis from a 4-hour perspective.
On the 4-hour chart, we can see that the market is on a down PB from weeks ago. As of last week, we had marked out our zone in the PB from which we looked to see a reversal. Yesterday saw prices rally all the way up into our zone, and from there, as expected, the market began to show signs of bearish reversals.
In a bid to catch that bearishness, we were able to jump on that trade using the panzy pips trade system.
The trade is expected to dip all the way down to the 4-hour liquidity target below.
Now it is also important to look at the charts from multiple timeframes at the same time, so forget my earlier statement that we would only pay attention to the 4-hour chart. You all should know by now that that was a joke. So let's look at the 1-hour perspective.
On the 1-hour chart, the market is bullish, with 2 PBs to the top. The 4-hour bearish impulse has experienced a good amount of support around the 1-hour PB zone (the zone is not marked out on the chart, to keep the charts clean).
There is obviously a good deal of support around that level, and we believe it is because of the 1-hour zone. We would be expecting prices to breach that level and continue to dip all the way to our 4-hour liquidity level.
But where that fails and the zone holds, prices would be expected to rally all the way to the top to liquidate the 1-hour target, which is the 4-hour zone, while at the same time threatening the daily timeframe zone.
POSSIBLE SELL ON GBPUSDHi guys so for this one, Daily and Weekly Price action suggests strong bearish sentiment with targets indicated.
We hope to see a 15min TF Break of Structure to the down side after a Test of any of the zones indicated. This setup provides an excellent R:R
Goodluck this week fellow travelers
Are The Bulls Ready to Come In, Or Is This Another Fake Out?On this pair, we see that the market is on bullish swings on both the 1 hour and 4 hour charts. Price is currently testing the large 4-hour zone and looks like it is beginning to slow down on the bearish dive. Below the current zone is a refined 1-hour zone.
From my experience in the market over the years, I have come to the conclusion that there is a strong likelihood that the market will dip to the refined 1-hour zone and look to reverse from there. That would mean the current top zone reversal would be breached.
If that is the case, then we would be looking to buy in the refined 1-hour zone.
On the other hand, in the event that the market reverses at its current top zone, we will create a trade plan around that move and look to trade in the direction of the market.
When jumping on this trade, our target would be the 4-hour liquidity target above.
The Bearish Run Resumesin our last analysis, we saw this pair breach our zone and go higher for a deeper retracement. According to our analysis, we refused to see the 1 hour zone as a reversal in itself but rather as forming a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
From our current analysis, it is clear that that was the intendment of the market. We have seen prices go all the way to our refined zone at the top and from there made a sharp reversal to continue the beraish run.
We are in on this position,even though we did not catch it from the top as displayed on the chart. The trade depiction on the chart is just to show the entire trade from the zone to liquidity target.
The bearishness has resumed, the bears are back, ready to drive the market to new lows, and we are right here, ready to hop on the slide down, all the way into the money
First Bearish, Then Bullish... and then We TRADEThe USDJPY has maintained its bullish momentum from the past few weeks. Last week, we witnessed this pair come with a deep to take out zone, create an impression of a bearish reversal, and then continue or resume its bullish trend. These are fakeouts, and they are very common occurrences in the market price movements.
On the daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes, the market is bullish. With the market making a new high, prices are expected to begin to retrace bearish. With the retracement in place, we will look to the new high that just formed as our liquidity and look to trade market prices up all the way to that point. But first, we would want to see price retrace bearish and come into our refined zone, after which we would decide on how to enter the bullish trade.
Stay close, guys. This is going to be an interesting one.