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TRADER'S CREDOThe world of trading is filled with risks, challenges, and opportunities. As traders navigate the ups and downs of the markets, it's essential to have a strong set of principles and beliefs to guide their actions. The Trader's Credo serves as a useful reminder of these core values, helping traders stay focused, disciplined, and committed to continuous growth. The Trader's Credo 1. I am responsible for my actions : As a trader, I understand that my success or failure depends on my decisions and discipline. I will take full responsibility for my actions and their outcomes. 2. I respect the markets: The markets are my ultimate teacher. I will respect their wisdom, learn from my mistakes, and constantly improve my trading skills. 3. I am committed to continuous learning: The world of trading is ever-changing. I will stay up-to-date with the latest market trends, trading strategies, and technologies to enhance my knowledge and success. 4. I practice discipline and patience: Trading success requires discipline and patience. I will follow my trading plan, manage my emotions, and avoid impulsive decisions. 5. I prioritize risk management: The preservation of capital is paramount. I will never risk more than I can afford to lose and adhere to strict risk management protocols. 6. I embrace accountability: I will be accountable for my decisions and accept the consequences. I will learn from my mistakes and use them as valuable lessons for future success. 7. I focus on the process, not the outcome: Trading success is a journey, not a destination. I will focus on the process, enjoy the learning experience, and trust that my hard work will eventually lead to success. 8. I respect others' opinions: The trading community is filled with diverse perspectives. I will respect others' opinions, engage in constructive discussions, and learn from their insights. 9. I strive for continuous improvement: I will never be satisfied with my current level of knowledge and success. I will always aim to improve and grow as a trader. 10. I am committed to ethical trading: As a trader, I will act with integrity and honesty. I will never manipulate the markets or engage in unethical practices. Conclusion The Trader's Credo is a powerful tool for traders looking to develop a strong foundation of principles and values. By adhering to these guiding beliefs, traders can improve their skills, manage risk, and ultimately achieve long-term success in the trading aren
Education
by DeGRAM
4
VOLATILITY IN THE FOREX MARKETHello Forex traders. Today we are going to talk about the concept of Volatility in the Forex market. We will talk about what it is, what volatility depends on, and most importantly how we can use this data to build and improve our own trading strategies and, as a result, get more profit from trading. What Is Volatility? Volatility is the range of price changes from high to low during a trading day, week, or month. The higher the volatility, the higher the range during the trading time period. This is considered to be a higher risk for your positions, but it gives you more opportunities to earn money. Volatility can be measured over different time periods. If we open a daily chart and measure the distance from high to low, we will get the volatility of the day: It turns out that on the chart above, it was 121 pips. We can also measure on another timeframe, for example, weekly chart. The distance from the high point to the low point was 162 pips. The total volatility during the week was 162 points. Volatility can be measured within a trading session or within a trading hour. This allows us to conclude that it is a fractal value. As a rule, the average volatility for the last candles is taken into account. If we take daily charts, the average volatility is usually considered for the last 10 days. Roughly speaking, the last 10 candles are summarized and divided by 10. What Does Volatility Depend On? It depends on the number of trades in the market, players, trading sessions, the general state of the economy of a currency, and, of course, on speculation. It depends on how speculative the market is about a given currency. Note that volatility can be measured both in points and in percent. But it should be noted that most often, the volatility of stocks is measured in percent. In forex, it is more usual to measure in pips. If you are told that the average price change of EURUSD is 0.7%, you can easily convert it into pips. And vice versa, you can calculate percentages from points if you need them for any research. Now let's move on to the most important question. How To Apply Volatility Data For Profit? It's actually quite simple. As they say, everyone knows about it, but no one applies it. This is especially true for intraday trading. Nobody wants to apply the simplest rule. Suppose you know that the average volatility of GBPUSD is 120 pips. Question: if the price has moved up 100 pips from the beginning of the day, should you open a buy position? The answer is obvious, we should not. Because the probability that the price will go up another number of pips is too low. Therefore, we should not open a buy position and on the contrary, we should focus on bearish positions. But for some reason people forget about this simple technique and follow their system. I believe that it is absolutely necessary to include volatility, at least on intraday strategies, in your checklist for market entry. The same can be done with higher timeframes. Let's imagine that we know that GBPUSD has an average weekly volatility of 200 pips. If the pair has moved 50 pips since Monday, we can expect that if the price continues to move down, there is a potential of about 150 pips. Of course, there are days when some movements become bigger or smaller, but we try to rely on statistics. With its help we can calculate the sizes of stops and take-outs. If we decided to be guided by the volatility data and open a sale on the pound, then we would try not to put a large (relative to the weekly timeframe) take profit. Because our expectation within the week is 150 pips. If the average volatility of a pair is 200 pips, it is silly to expect 1000 pips move. At least within a week. Thus, volatility can also be used for risk calculations. If you have opened many positions on different pairs, you can calculate what will happen if all stop-losses are triggered. Of course, the market is not obliged to obey your calculations, but it gives some support for your convenience and trading. Volatility-based Indicator The first indicator is ATR Average True Range indicator invented in 1972. It shows the average volatility and it is used most often to set targets and stop losses. The value of the indicator is multiplied by a multiplier and thus calculate the stop loss or and/or take profit. The calculations will automatically change depending on the current volatility. Volatility is higher, take profit becomes higher. Volatility is smaller and take profit becomes smaller. The next indicator is the CCI It is based on average price and moving average data. It is used as an oscillator, that is, when it is in the oversold zone, it is recommended to buy. And when it is in the overbought zone, it is recommended to sell. Another indicator, which is known to everyone, is Bollinger Bands They consist of a standard moving average and a moving average plus and minus standard deviation, which is calculated based on price. These bands are used most often to determine the limits of movement from the standard average. We can draw conclusions based on this indicator about the end of the movement, correction, etc. Conclusion In this article I have tried to give you an understanding of what volatility is in the forex market and most importantly how we can apply it in our trading. I hope that it will help you in developing and adjusting your own trading systems. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
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Education
by Lingrid
11
INTUITION IN TRADINGWhy is it that when you feel that you should buy and you buy, the price goes down, and when you feel that you should sell, but do not open an order, the price immediately and sharply goes down? Murphy's Law? What should I do with my inner voice? Should I tell it to shut up or listen to it? In various sources, one can often find completely opposite opinions about the role of intuition in trading. Some say that only a systematic approach can bring success, while others, on the contrary, claim that it is impossible to achieve significant results without a "sixth sense". Who is right? Many people are interested in this question and we can make the most adequate conclusion: "Intuition is worth using, but only after you have gained experience of more or less successful trading within a year or two". Let's think for a second. How can a person who has no experience as a construction worker take a look at a house and immediately realize that there is "something wrong" with it? You can't. The person simply does not have enough experience, he is too poorly informed about the subject to make any judgments. There is a wonderful book by Malcolm Gladwell called Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking. It deals in great detail with the "Thin-slicing Theory", what we call Intuition. I suggest you read it. So how to apply intuition in trading? The answer is simple. At first, gain experience by trading according to a mechanical system, without using any judgments like "I feel it, we are about to fall" or something like that. And only then, when you have an insight, be sure to check it with the help of technical analysis. Having found confirmation of your intuitive guess, you can already take some actions. In fact, there is even a book written on this topic, it is called "Trading from Your Gut". It is written by one of the "Turtles", Curtis Faiths. There is not so much information in this book specifically on the use of intuition, but there are a couple of useful thoughts. The less fear, the better intuition works. Perhaps this is the reason why it is so easy to make thousands of dollars on a demo account and so difficult on a real one. When trading on a demo, we release the full potential of our brain, because nothing limits our freedom, because the money is virtual and there is no fear of losing it.
Education
by DeGRAM
1
HOW TO IDENTIFY AN ASCENDING WEDGE AND A DESCENDING WEDGEThe wedge pattern is a popular chart formation that traders use to identify potential reversals in the markets. This pattern is formed from a series of higher highs and higher lows in an ascending wedge or lower highs and lower lows in a descending wedge. As the pattern narrows, the price action becomes more compressed, eventually leading to a breakout that can result in a significant move in the opposite direction. In this article, we will look at how to identify and trade this pattern. How to identify an ascending wedge and a descending wedge Rising wedge An ascending wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price is sandwiched between an uptrend line and a horizontal or slightly upward sloping resistance line. To identify an ascending wedge: a. Draw a trend line connecting the lower lows. b. Draw a resistance line connecting the upper highs. c. The wedge should look like a symmetrical or slightly expanding formation. Downward wedge A descending wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price is sandwiched between a falling trend line and a horizontal or slightly downward sloping support line. To identify a descending wedge: a. Draw a trend line connecting the upper highs. b. Draw a support line connecting the lower lows. c. The wedge should look like a symmetrical or slightly expanding formation. How to trade a wedge Rising Wedge When trading a rising wedge pattern: a. Place a buy stop order above the upper resistance line, aiming for a return to or beyond the initial point of the wedge. b. Place a stop loss below the lower trend line to minimize potential losses. c. Exit the trade when price reaches the target or when the pattern does not move beyond it as expected. Downward wedge When trading a descending wedge: a. Place a sell stop order below the lower support line, aiming for a return to or beyond the initial point of the wedge. b. Place a stop loss above the upper trend line to minimize potential losses. c. Exit the trade when price reaches the target or when the pattern does not break as expected. Risk Management Trading wedge patterns can be profitable, but it is important to manage risk effectively. Consider using a fixed percentage of your account for each trade and set strict stop loss orders to protect your capital. Also, remember that no pattern is foolproof and the market can sometimes give false breakouts. Conclusion When properly identified and traded, wedge patterns can provide valuable trading opportunities. By following the steps outlined in this article, you can improve your ability to identify these patterns and capitalize on them. However, always remember that trading involves risk, and a thorough understanding of market dynamics and risk management is essential for success.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn15614419
2
SIX HABITS TO ADOPT IN 2024Trading in the financial markets can be both rewarding and challenging. However, it's essential to recognize and overcome certain bad habits that can hinder your success and well-being. In this article, we will discuss six common habits that traders should avoid and provide actionable steps to improve their mindset, performance, and overall happiness. 1. Quit Complaining – Embrace a Positive Attitude Successful traders do not wallow in self-pity or exaggerate their problems. If you find yourself complaining about your trading issues, seek help from a mentor or support group to resolve your concerns. A positive attitude will not only improve your trading results but also create a more positive atmosphere around you. 2. Monitor Your Vices and Indulgences Traders often resort to unhealthy habits, such as excessive alcohol consumption or overeating, as a way to cope with stress and disappointment. Be mindful of your weaknesses and replace harmful habits with healthier alternatives that promote well-being and mental clarity. 3. Focus on the Present Moment – Avoid Future-Tripping Fear often stems from worrying about the future. To avoid this trap, concentrate on the tasks and decisions at hand. Focusing on the present moment will give you a sense of calm, security, and fulfillment that will ultimately improve your trading performance. 4. Continue Learning and Growing Once you achieve success in trading, don't become complacent or stop learning. Continue developing your skills and exploring new trading strategies. Learning new techniques or refining existing ones will keep you engaged, motivated, and adaptable in an ever-changing market environment. 5. Cultivate Strong Social Connections As a full-time trader, it's easy to become isolated and withdrawn from social interactions. Make an effort to maintain and build meaningful relationships with family, friends, and colleagues. Strong social connections will provide emotional support, reduce stress, and contribute to your overall happiness and well-being. 6. Practice Gratitude and Kindness Traders who experience negative emotions, such as envy or resentment, can benefit from practicing gratitude and acts of kindness. By expressing gratitude, volunteering, or offering compliments, you will improve your own happiness while fostering a positive atmosphere around you. Conclusion By recognizing and overcoming these six common bad habits, traders can significantly improve their well-being, trading performance, and overall happiness. Embrace a positive mindset, maintain healthy habits, focus on the present moment, continue learning and growing, cultivate strong social connections, and practice gratitude and kindness. By doing so, you will be well on your way to achieving success in the financial markets and leading a fulfilling life. In 2024, may traders who have yet to find success in the market be blessed with the wisdom to learn from their mistakes and the courage to embrace new strategies. May they cultivate a growth mindset, forging strong connections, and practicing gratitude and kindness. As the year unfolds, let their resilience and determination guide them towards a prosperous and fulfilling future in the world of trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
10
THE ESSENCE OF WYCKOFF'S METHODRichard Demille Wyckoff is a trader whose career coincided with the famous traders of the time: Jesse Livermore, Charles Dow and JP Morgan, W. Gann and others. All of these men are widely recognized for their terrific trading books. Wyckoff became famous for his insight, his trading method. Wyckoff has been involved with the financial markets since he was a teenager, and this is what gave him an understanding of how the market works. To become a successful trader, it is not enough to have good theoretical knowledge. Experience is the key to your success. That is why Wyckoff recommended to follow the tape for weeks to intuitively understand what is happening on the market. THE ESSENCE OF THE WYCKOFF METHOD The essence of Richard Wyckoff's idea is that in order to gain a large position in the market and not to move the price with large orders, a professional market maker needs to balance supply and demand. The equilibrium is observed when the price is in a narrow range of consolidation. After a position is gained, the price is pushed out of the trading range. WYCKOFF'S THREE LAWS The trading method is based on three laws: Supply and Demand. Wyckoff believed that the price of each asset goes up or down only by an overabundance of one thing. For example, the price goes up if demand exceeds supply. Simply put, if a whole city decides to buy 10 tons of apple, and the apple is in limited supply from the suppliers, they will start to raise the price because of the high demand. Cause and Effect. When an asset starts to rise in price - this is the consequence, and the previous news or a small price range this is the cause. When the price is between support and resistance zones for the X amount of time (cause), then a trend will start in the short term (effect). Effort vs. Result. A large volume traded, for example, during one day is an effort, while a price change is a result. Example: If a large player has spent a lot of money buying up most of the sell orders, and the price is still standing, it means that the effort spent did not bring the expected results. ACCUMULATION AND DISTRIBUTION The basic principle of trading is to see the equilibrium of supply and demand in time. Consolidation (also called range, zone, rectangle, sidewall, etc.) is a trading range of prices where accumulation or distribution takes place. Wyckoff's method is the use of accumulation and distribution phases. Accumulation is the formation of a trading zone where orders for further movement (price reversal) are accumulated within a certain time. Here "smart" money keeps the price at approximately the same level, where they buy up most of the market orders in order to sell (distribute) them at a higher price. Distribution is the formation of a trading zone where orders are distributed for further movement (price reversal) within a certain time. Similarly, to accumulation, smart money sells out all its previously accumulated assets in order to benefit from it. Consolidation is the place where the previous movement with the outweighing force of demand or supply stops and relative equilibrium finally occurs. This trading zone is a great time to make money, because it is the place where preparation for an explosive bull rally or bearish fall takes place. Consolidation can be considered as a place of refueling for a car, if not refueled, there will be nothing to drive on - it is the accumulated force, the reason that creates the subsequent movement. The longer the refueling takes place, the farther one can go. Therefore, after a long trading range, we should expect an equally long upward or downward movement. On the way to move from one zone to the opposite zone, the price does not fall in one go, it always makes pullbacks and stops, which are called accumulation. After his death, Wyckoff left trading methods for such zones. The principle is quite simple: Before the formation of a sideways trading range, sales peak and the accumulation phase begins. During the whole time the price is in this range, a large player buys up most of the sell orders. The price goes beyond the support and resistance zones, then reverses and the growth phase begins. At the end of the growth phase, the buying peaks. Then it is the same for the distribution phase. ACCUMULATION In the accumulation phase, professional traders buy up sell orders from uninformed traders. Usually it happens on the news, from all channels they say that shares of some company will fall, it is waiting for almost bankruptcy, everything is bad, etc. In Forex, various negative news on unemployment and similar. At this moment people start to get rid of long positions, and traders start to short the instrument. Wyckoff supporters realize that it is worth waiting for the price drop to stop and they should get ready to look for an entry point to buy the asset. Phase A and phase E are trend price movements, the phases between them are the trading range, which is analyzed by the Wyckoff trading method. Horizontal lines are support (at the bottom) and resistance (at the top) of the trading range. Do not consider them as exact lines, they are approximate ranges, in which the big one turns the price back to sideways. DISTRIBUTION Everything is similar to buying in the accumulation phase, only now those assets bought earlier should be sold off. This is just the basis, the main rules of trading according to the Wyckoff method in trading. Richard Wyckoff himself applied it on stocks and on daily charts (although he did not use charts, only tape). But nowadays, the time of algorithms, you can trade on any timeframe and any instruments. The method works well on the minute. It should be understood that there can be many phase patterns, the trading range can be different, the culmination with large candles and small, the volume is high and not very high, tests after the exit from the zone may or may not be. It all depends on who the big player is, when the accumulation or distribution occurs, what instrument you are watching and what timeframe is on the chart. Trading will be quite successful if you strictly follow your trading strategy according to the Wyckoff method, written on paper, competently determine the level of risk and position size. Observe the chart, find consolidations, see what happened inside and where the price went. You need to analyze every step, every movement. Big money thinks everything through, every price action on the chart is not accidental. And remember that whatever the big money does, it always leaves its traces. Good luck in trading!
Education
by DeGRAM
2
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY: HOW TO OVERCOME YOURSELF?Hello forex traders! How much money have you lost because of emotions? How many losing trades have you closed because they went negative and it annoyed you? And how many times did the currency immediately reversed after you recorded a loss? As we all know up to 80% of success in forex trading depends on psychology. Money management is of great importance and only then strategy. Not everyone realizes it, but this is the harsh reality. How to defeat yourself? How to remain calm in any situation? How to protect yourself from negative emotions that cloud your mind? The Impact Of Emotions On Analysis When you are sitting in losses, you do not pay attention to what is happening on the chart. That is, your brain rejects the signals that indicate that the price will continue to go against you. On the contrary, your brain tries to convince you that the price is about to turn around, which, of course, does not happen. If you close the position and look at the market with a clear eye, you will realize that the situation in the market is not the same as it was in your head a moment ago. This distraction in the form of a minus on the position affects your attentiveness, and you do not notice the obvious. There is such a thing as analysis paralysis. That is, when some event literally knocks you out of the rut, after which you cannot adequately perceive the situation. This can be avoided with the help of reasonable sufficiency. That is, you stop looking for the perfect solution. Instead, you make the most correct and simple decision to close a losing position. Also, traders are often afraid of losing profit. But then again, how many times have you held a losing trade, hoping for a reversal, and it still went against you? It is the same with profitable trades. There is a constant feeling that the price is about to turn around and all the profit will be lost. As an option, in this case you can use a trailing stop. Then you will in any case know that in case of price reversal, the profit will not be lost. In principle, the cure for the influence of any emotions on the analysis is correct money management. That is, you just need to simply reduce your trading lot. The goal is to place such a lot, which would not cause you strong emotions. Until you are used to being disciplined in every situation, it is better to trade at a lot that you could forget about. For example, you could open a trade on the daily chart and forget about it (accidentally or naturally). At the very initial stages this approach is justified, as no open positions will not prevent you from analyzing the situation competently. At the same time, the very fact of a negative trade will not knock you out of your game. You Are Not Perfect Remember, you are not perfect. There is no person who, like a robot, does not get nervous about trades, who performs absolutely perfect trading and never makes mistakes anywhere and ever. All of us make mistakes, it is normal, and it should be understood. Let's say you read that you need to reduce the lot, not to be emotional, and you still make mistakes. The thought that "I am smarter" does not leave your head. But, in general, if you read the biographies of successful people in other areas, you will learn that they also made mistakes. Often, a person needs to make all possible mistakes only in order not to make them later. So, to speak, we learn from our mistakes. The average person believes that he is smarter than 80% of people. At the same time, there are always excuses for the question "why are you so smart, but so poor?" - something prevents you, you are too old, too young, your wife/husband prevents you, you were born in the wrong country and so on. Almost everyone thinks they are, so you don't have to worry, you are not the smartest. The Vicious Circle Of A Beginner Trader Searching for a system: you find a strategy that appeals to you. Trading: as a rule, this period lasts 1-2 days, at best a week if. First Losses: taking your first losses. It's usually down to the first few trades. Anger: naturally, there is a feeling of being cheated as the system did not deliver the promised profits; Blame: the system does not work; forex is a scam and the author of the system is a scammer. Someone is necessarily to blame, for example, the broker that closed the position a point later, but not the trader himself. And everything starts all over again. Exit From The Circle: Finding a system. Backtesting from the beginning to the end: the strategy should be either tested manually on the history or in a tester if the strategy is automatic. Absolute confidence in the strategy: when you have fully tested the strategy, know all the statistics, know all the pros and cons, you gain confidence in the chosen strategy. Good money management: further, you add a good money management. Now it is "your" trading strategy: the strategy should be completely yours. If you are not comfortable holding positions for 3-4 days, move to a smaller timeframe. Or, on the contrary, if you are too lazy to open trades often, choose a larger TF. That is, the strategy should suit your temperament and be customized for you. In general, all these pieces of the mosaic lead to the exit from the enchanted circle. You find a system, then trade, adequately perceiving losses. Accordingly, you further work with this system, solve problems with emotions, inputs and outputs, improve, tune-up and so on. A Little Bit About Our Brain The fact is that our brain compared to a computer has a very large hard disk, but a very small amount of RAM. Do you know the feeling when the brain is so overloaded that absolutely no information, even seemingly simple ones, can be stored in it? Of course, we cannot expand this memory, but we can control the number of simultaneously opened applications/programs. That is, we need to fight the so-called white noise. Remove social networks Facebook, messengers, YouTube, checking mail, and so on. This is all white noise that clogs your brain and prevents you from working adequately. There are many opponents and many supporters of meditation. Meditation is, in fact, nothing more than to lie/sit under calm music and go into a certain semi-trance state. Humans periodically need three states: being awake, sleep and a trance state. Usually after a certain mental effort, you start to get very dumb without doing any useful work. This is the brain signaling that you are lacking the trance state. 30 minutes of trance a day is quite enough. Do Not Set Goals In Trading When you set yourself a specific goal, for example, to make 1% every day it doesn't work. You start looking for non-existent trades again, clouding your brain. Therefore, you should not set profit targets. On the other hand, it is possible and even necessary to set loss limits! Sometimes, there is a sudden unreasonable desire to open a trade. Although the system did not give a signal. As a way out of this situation, you can try to open two accounts, one for adequate trading, where you will open trades clearly according to the rules of the system. Another smaller one for aggressive trading, when you have an irresistible desire to open a trade. If it really "works", you will still get profit, though not so big. Bottom Line As you can see, strategy is often not the deciding factor in trading. Psychology is what ultimately makes you act in one way or another. It takes the right approach and practice to be unstoppable in trading. The rest comes with experience over time.
Education
by Lingrid
11
TILT IN TRADINGAs it is known, a trader on the market is under constant pressure, the market is a constant process, in fact it is a river, and a trader should dive in and out of it to earn money. It is difficult to stay on the shore, when there is an endless river of money flowing nearby, hence the constant desire, well and of course stress, because the market gives unlimited opportunities at the same risk. Everyone knows that the two worst emotions for a trader are fear and greed, although it is only fear, greed is one of the types of fear (fear of losing profit). Fear breeds many related behaviors that only bring financial pain and frustration in trading. Let's look at some of the groups of emotions that fear gives rise to. TILT IN TRADING What is tilt? Tilt comes to us from poker; it means the inability to perform reasonable actions while being at the mercy of emotions. Tilt is not a one-time process. First, there must be preconditions for its occurrence. Most often, it is a series of unsuccessful trades in a short period of time (scalping), after which the trader starts to lose control and, trying to recoup losses, goes all the way, forgetting both the rules of trading strategy and money management rules. The most interesting thing is that the same thing can happen during a series of profitable trades, i.e., tilt can be earned at any time; it is only necessary to let go of some emotion for some time. The worst thing (except for the loss of money, of course) is the acquisition of bad emotional habits, from which it is very difficult to get rid. Tilt can occur even on expectations, for example, the price is about to approach the level of trade open, and suddenly it turns around. Your finger froze over the buy/sell button and then it's over! And waiting for the next approach turns into a tilt. Market factors also provoke tilt in a trader, for example, increase of volatility during news, the price flies back and forth like crazy and pushes the trader to open a trade. SO HOW DO YOU AVOID TILT? The answer to this question is always right under our noses. It is discipline, and only discipline. The rules of the trading system and the rules of money management, and as few emotions as possible. Do not trade in an agitated, tired, and painful state; wait it out; the market will not run away from you. With the emergence of the crypto market, new concepts have appeared, but they already relate to the psychological manipulation of traders, and although they are based on the same fear, we will try to describe them separately. Besides, these concepts have always been there and apply to all kinds of markets, not just the cryptocurrency market. FOMO & FUD cycle FOMO (Fear of missing out) information throwing in the bright prospects of some crypto coin or crypto market as a whole, in order to provoke the purchase, often and densely along with Pump of a particular crypto coin. FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) is a negative information dump to provoke sales. All the same, only sales and DUMP (sharp sale of crypto-asset), the purpose is to reset the price of the crypto asset, again, to make it attractive to the investor. No, what a concern for potential investors! Both pump and dump are reverse actions, and the goal is the same attractiveness for investing! The only difference is the timing. The topic of psychology in trading is big; we covered only a couple of psychological aspects: one is the trader's problem, and the other is the trader's provocation by the market and information space. In general, psychology accounts for 80% of all trading. You can memorize techniques, but it is very difficult to understand and change yourself in terms of psychology. To understand how the "crowd" acts, what will be the reaction of "big money"? All this is what you should strive for in your search for profit. Therefore, the trader's "holy grail" is patience, self-discipline, and as few emotions as possible. If you feel that you are about to lose it, just leave the terminal and go to your family, to the gym, or to nature. Do not sit at the terminal on an emotional tilt. Work on your emotions and you will be profitable.
Education
by DeGRAM
1
BROADENING PATTERNSBroadening patterns are very unstable from a technical point of view. They are usually formed after the trend has already gained strength. It looks as if the battle between buyers and sellers is out of control, as the price starts to move in a wider and wider range. The situation is exactly the opposite of triangles, where the price shrinks to an extremely balanced state before the breakout. Broadening patterns are formed when three or more price waves expand so much that their highs and lows can be connected by two expanding trend lines. Just as there are two types of triangles, there are two types of broadening patterns. They are called the conventional (classic) pattern and the rectangular pattern. The last one can also be called an expanding pattern with a flat top or flat bottom. Conventional Broadening Patterns It consists of three trends where each high is higher than the previous high. The highs are separated by two lows, where the second is lower than the first. These patterns are more likely to indicate the completion of a rising market, rather than a breakout higher. The conventional broadening top is sometimes called an inverse triangle, because that is exactly what they are. In general, some patterns are just perfect for trading, as they mark by default the places where to place stops with low risks. A rectangular triangle broken close to the top is just a good example. But conventional broadening tops, however, alas, do not have this feature. Such patterns are extremely difficult to detect before the final top is formed. Besides, there is no obvious support line, the breakdown of which would serve as a convenient tool for us. The furious, emotional reaction of price and volumes reflects chaos and complicates the work with such patterns. Of course, it is not easy to determine the breakout in such conditions, but if the pattern is more or less symmetrical, there are options. It is a decisive movement under the descending trend line, which connects both lows or even a movement below the second low, which will serve as a warning of a future decline. Targets are not easy to determine either, however, the volatile price reaction during the extension indicates that the distribution phase is almost complete. Successful completion of such a pattern is usually followed by a proportional fall in price. But the rectangular expanding patterns, which we will talk about next, are another example.   Rectangular Broadening Patterns Most simply defined broadening patterns with a flat top or bottom are the easiest to identify. This is called a rectangular broadening pattern. Since the very concept of wild price movements implies an extreme degree of emotional involvement, it is difficult to add volume here. At market tops, though, volume is usually quite significant.These patterns also resemble a head and shoulders pattern, except that the "head" in an broadening pattern is the last element of the pattern. In this case, the bearish signal is activated with a decisive downward breakdown of the pattern. A broadening pattern with a flat top is an accumulation pattern, and it is important that the volumes grow on the breakdown. They are essentially head and shoulders in a situation so bearish (or bullish) that price simply does not have time to form a right shoulder. Psychological Perspective Of The Broadening Patterns From a psychological perspective, expanding patterns can be seen as a reflection of the changing attitudes and beliefs of market participants. As the pattern widens, it suggests that there is increasing disagreement among traders about the direction of the market. This can lead to greater volatility and larger price swings as different groups of traders try to push the market in their preferred direction. At the same time, broadening patterns can also be seen as a sign of indecision and uncertainty. Traders may be hesitant to commit to a particular direction, leading to a widening range of prices as buyers and sellers struggle to gain control. This can create a sense of tension and anxiety among traders as they try to navigate an increasingly complex and unpredictable market. Target Points To determine where the price can reach, you need to take the distance from the maximum (minimum) of the pattern and its horizontal line. Then the same distance is set aside in the direction of the breakout. Rectangular expanding patterns often show pullbacks like any other patterns. Since these patterns are very emotional and unstable, these pullbacks can be sharp and volatile. Fortunately, they don't live very long. In this case, the downside price target was reached on a downside breakout. Generally, a subsequent sharp reversal is a rare thing, as the price usually goes much farther than the price target. Failed Broadening Patterns Occasionally, such patterns fail to produce the expected result. Unfortunately, there is no super-reliable way to recognize that the pattern has failed. This will only become obvious when a small bottom or price top is formed after the breakout. However, we can protect ourselves from such situations by using the 50% rule, in which we measure half of the final price reaction in a pattern for a rise or fall. Which is shown by the dotted line, once reached, the pattern is considered a failure. Of course, sometimes there are patterns that work even after breaking through the 50% zone with a subsequent pullback. However, breaking such a line with a strong trend in most cases indicates that the pattern has failed. In any case, carefully use the patterns that predict the price movement in the direction of the trend that was previously the main one. In Summary Broadening patterns are a trading range after a trend, between two extended trend lines. At least two touches are needed. It will take imagination to draw, as the touches are not always accurate. However, this is true for many other patterns as well. The maximum depth of the pattern is put off in the direction of the breakout. Since these are very dynamic and volatile patterns, pullbacks are usually short but very fast. False breakout is difficult to detect: the signal can be a price rise above the previous low/maximum or a pullback of more than 50% against the breakout. Overall, broadening patterns can be a useful tool for traders looking to understand the psychology of the market. By analyzing these patterns and the underlying factors that are driving them, we can gain valuable insights into the attitudes and beliefs of other market participants. This can help to make more informed trading decisions and better manage their risk in a rapidly changing market environment. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
13
TIMING IS EVERYTHINGWhat is timing in simple words? Timing is the time when you SHOULD trade the market. It is very desirable to trade on the market when the market is active, i.e. there is increased volatility, which in turn is associated with any time factors affecting the activity of traders. Timing must be taken into account by almost any trading system, starting from scalping and ending with positional trading, meaning that timing is not the main period of displaying your chart, but the most effective for trading time that you spend in front of the screen. Even if you trade on a weekly chart, your timing will be Friday evening which is the closing time of the weekly candle. 🕕 TYPES OF TIMINGS So, the basic timings: • Intraday • By type of trading instrument • News • On days of the week • Periods (month / quarter / season) 📊 INTRADAY TIMINGS Intraday timings on Forex are related to the inclusion of the work of exchanges (sessions) in different parts of the world due to time zones. So-called European session, American and Asian, so in the language of traders denotes trading during the work of exchanges located in different time zones. European: from 07:00 - 16:00 (GMT). American: from 13:00 - 21:00 (GMT). Pacific: from 20:00 - 05:00(GMT). Asian: 00:00 -09:00(GMT). Although there are 4 sessions, but only 3 of them are taken into account, as the Pacific Exchange has a very small influence on the market due to small volumes. The most active are Europe and America, often going in opposition to each other, so intraday traders should take into account the time of inclusion of America, as it can confuse all the cards and turn intraday trends. Well, at night the harsh Japanese samurai come and make their own contribution and confusion. A lot of intraday systems are built precisely on turning on or off this or that stock exchange in the work, picking up the nuances of their influence. Intraday timings are also present on stock markets, the calmest time is the so-called evening session. But the mass introduction of trading bots even here can try to shake up the market and lure many traders into it. 📊 BY TYPE OF TRADING INSTRUMENT There are timings by type of trading instruments. For example, gold and oil are better to trade on the American session, and the main volatile pairs EURUSD and GBPUSD are better to trade in the European session. Of course, it is all rather conditional, but nevertheless, it is necessary to take into account. 📰 NEWS TIMINGS Everything is simple here. If it is scalping or intraday trading, then hands off the keyboard because the market shakes during the release of important news. But if you like to trade specifically on the news, then it's time, the most timing. 📅 TIMING BY DAYS OF THE WEEK It has long been noted that the market is volatile differently on different days of the week: Monday is sluggish and unclear, often markets open with gaps. Tuesday all are awake, pumped up and the market goes and runs. Wednesday and Thursday are active too, but on Thursday there are bank reports and, you can say, the banks, having made money, start to aim somewhere. Friday is the day of losing trades. Very often unpredictable in terms of the previous week's movement, on Friday short-term traders close their positions, which also brings its own turmoil. 📆 TIMING THAT OCCURS DURING A SPECIFIC PERIOD OF THE MONTH For example, this overlaps with news timing, non-farm peyrols (NFP), the economic news released every first Friday of the month. It is the second most important news after GDP. Be sure to watch the economic news release calendar. The impact of this news may well be spread out over the long term. 💼 QUARTERLY TIMINGS Directly related to the quarterly closings of futures contracts in stock markets such as the CME. Futures and currency pairs with the same name are considered to influence each other. This can also include the release of quarterly reports of various companies that have their shares on stock exchanges. 🍂 SEASONAL TIMINGS This is, for example, the New Year and Christmas. Also, the financial new year in Japan, which for some reason occurs in March, and in the U.S. in October. And futures on the same coffee, cotton and sugar should be considered taking into account the time of the year. In general, timing is one of the most important factors that must be taken into account in your trading system, starting from the stage of its development. When tracking trading statistics, be sure to look at what time your trading system is most effective and whether it is possible, for example, to increase risk at that time or not to trade at other ineffective times at all.
Education
by DeGRAM
1
HOW TO TRADE GAPSA gap is a seemingly simple thing. It is such a period when the price minimum in a certain trading period is higher than the maximum in the previous period or vice versa - the maximum is lower than the minimum from the previous period. Gaps are not displayed on line charts or charts with closing prices, so they can only be seen on charts with bars or Japanese candlesticks. There they will look like an empty vertical space between trading periods, and this is the zone of extremely heightened emotions. They are usually formed after the trading session, during the overnight period, when the market is digesting fresh negative or positive news. On daily charts gaps are much more common than on weekly charts, because on a weekly chart a gap can appear only between Fridays. Monthly gaps are rare and such gaps on the chart can be formed only between monthly price ranges. The easiest way to find a gap on an intraday chart is to open a trading session. Gaps are an important emotional zone Where gaps form on a chart is an important, potential reversal zone because emotions are running high. As charts are a reflection of the psychological state of market participants. Consequently, when price returns to the area of the previous gap, its upper and lower points become important support and resistance zones where short-term trends can briefly reverse. Why most gaps close from a psychological perspective A gap close is filled when price reverses and rolls back to the full range of the gap, thus "closing" it. On a daily chart it sometimes takes several days, sometimes it takes weeks or even months. And in some rare cases this process may not be completed at all. "The market does not tolerate a void" In other words, gaps are filled, sooner or later, almost always. Of course, there are exceptions, but they are quite rare. The psychology of this process is quite simple. It can take months and sometimes years to fill the gap in the market. That is why you should not create a trading system only on the assumption that the gap will be filled tomorrow. In most cases, the market will try to close the gap, but it often ends up with a partial closing attempt. Why do gaps close at all? Simply, like any emotional phenomenon, they reflect the psychology of market participants: excessive fear or greed, for example, depending on the direction of the trend. The decision to buy or sell at any price by itself is not objective or rational. Consequently, when the market cools down, people will begin to retroactively reconsider their decisions. Which will lead to either closing the gap or trying to close it at least partially. Gaps should be treated with respect, but do not overestimate their importance. If a gap appeared on the formation of a price pattern, it is a general or gap zone. They close quickly and are not particularly important from the technical point of view. Therefore, we are much more interested in three other types of gaps, strong ones, which we will consider: Breakout gaps Continuation gaps Exhaustion gaps Breakout Gaps A breakout gap is created when price breaks a price pattern or any other trading range. In general, if a gap appears, it emphasizes the bearish or bullish nature of the breakout, depending on its direction. Nevertheless, it is highly desirable that an upward breakout be accompanied by higher volumes. However, if the gap breaks down, it usually does not require high volumes. Not every gap on a breakout is important, because as we know there is no such thing as a "sure thing" in technical analysis. However, a gap that is formed on a breakout is more important than one that appears by itself somewhere on the chart. There is a danger of buying on a breakout gap because you will get right into the epicenter of the market storm. The desire to buy at any price will in most cases end in disappointment when the price inevitably rolls back down after the emotions have subsided. Breakout gaps that are formed in the early stages of a major bullish trend are much more reliable than those that are formed after a long rise in price. If a breakout gap is formed at the end of a bull market, the chances of emotional burnout increase. Bulls sell out everything and do not buy back the asset on pullbacks, they are not interested in a low price anymore. Continuation gaps Continuation gaps occur when the price is falling or rising in a straight line, when the price is flying fast and emotions are running high. Sometimes such gaps are closed very quickly, literally within a day. Sometimes they are open much longer and do not close until the market shows a strong or intermediate reversal in the opposite direction from the main trend. The same trend that created such a gap. Such a gap is usually formed between the previous breakout, in the middle of the price movement that follows it. That is why such gaps are also called measuring gaps. It is not uncommon for one trend to have several such gaps at once. Continuation gaps are much more common in weak stocks or markets than in active and strong ones. The reason for this is that the window of opportunity is quite narrow and if everyone tries to get into it at the same time, only a few participants will get what they are looking for at the desired price. In the end, the demand to buy or sell will only be met by a much higher or lower price. Exhaustion Gaps If you see several continuation gaps in a trend, it means that the trend is being influenced by powerful forces. A second or third gap will also hint to a good technical analyst that the trend is stabilizing quickly. Therefore, there is a chance that the second or third continuation gap will be the last one. Accordingly, an exhaustion gap is the final stage of a rapid rise or fall in price, which will be the last of the continuation gaps. And there are cases when the exhaustion gap can develop after a long and extended trend. In the end we have a breakout gap, this is the beginning of the price movement. A continuation/measurement gap is usually in the middle of a new move. And the exhaustion gap is the final gap in a price movement. Therefore, exhaustion gaps are associated with rapid and prolonged price movement. They indicate that buyers gradually give up and stop believing in a new buying opportunity in the form of a pullback. In a downtrend, the opposite is true - sellers are losing at the top into a pullback higher for downside purchases. Intraday Gaps Generally, there are two types of opening gaps on intraday charts. The first one is formed after the price opens below the trading prices of the previous session. The second, much more widespread type of gap is formed exclusively on intraday charts, where the opening price of a new day jumps far away from the closing candle of the previous trading session. Intraday traders should avoid trades when the market opens sharply up or down. In the stock market, this happens due to extreme imbalances, where liquidity providers are forced to open down positions to meet the demand from open orders. Therefore, the ideal situation for them is when the price bounces slightly at the opening and then declines, allowing the liquidity providers to close all or part of the down positions. This process will be exactly the opposite if the price opens with a fall. Therefore, it is critical to observe what happens to the price after the opening range. As a rule, if after a gap up, the price goes further and opens a new trading range, it sets the sentiment for the whole market for at least a few hours, and sometimes even longer. Island reversals An island reversal is a small trading range that is formed at the end of a long price movement and is separated from the previous price by an exhaustion gap and a breakout gap. Remember that islands do not occur very often on charts, and when they do, they do not last long. However, they are a frequent guest at the end of an intermediate or even major trend and are formed as part of a price pattern. Such as the top/bottom of a head and shoulders (or inverse head and shoulders). In addition, islands are often a one-day phenomenon. Summary Gap on the chart that was formed due to excessive emotions in the market. Gaps are closed almost always. They also act as potential support and resistance zones. The high volume on the gap confirms its importance. A breakout gap is formed at the beginning of the price movement, continuation gaps in the middle of the movement, and exhaustion gaps at the end of the trend. An island reversal is a small price pattern on a 1-day chart, isolated from the main price by two gaps. They often indicate the end of an intermediate trend. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
7
LIQUIDITY GRAB IN TRADINGLet's talk about liquidity grab and why the market moves against you the moment you open a trade. At Smart Money, liquidity grab is at the heart of the trading systems, because without it, there can't be a market. ✴️ Market Liquidity No matter how long you have been trading, at some point you must have questioned the depth in the market you are trading. In other words, its liquidity. Liquidity is the #1 element that makes a market work and competitive. For a market to be rich in liquidity, there must be broad participation from both buyers and sellers. That's why it makes sense for smart money or market makers to extract liquidity from the market. Liquidity hunting is a very common practice. It is nothing but the art of forcing losing players out of the market who are known to be weak long and short holders. ✴️ Liquidity Grab Often Occurs Against The Underlying Trend The bigger and brighter the liquidity zone, the more likely it is that Smart Money will target that particular zone, especially if it is located against the underlying trend. For example, in a bearish trend structure, you can often see clear liquidity picking up from below, against the trend, and reversing the price up. This is more common in very liquid markets with high trading volume (e.g. Forex, stock market). Why does it happen? Big players know that most of us use various indicators, moving averages, candlestick and chart patterns and other popular tools for our day trading, scalper trading. The big players can easily lure retail traders to enter the market at bad points and act against their positions. Many traders use significant levels to place stop losses and buy or sell stops for exits and entries respectively. It is these price levels that are used by smart money to provide their needs with the right liquidity. Institutional players cannot trade the same way as retail traders because in low liquidity price zones, they can up/down too much on large orders. So, they use high liquidity zones to place their own large orders in the market without having too much impact on the price. Liquidity grab is actively used mainly in the forex and cryptocurrency markets, as these markets are quite volatile and attract inexperienced traders. Besides, it is easy to use margin trading on them. Inexperienced (and even experienced) traders don't know, and those who do, don't believe that a market maker uses their stops to "make a market" on a regular basis. ✴️ More is Better The more liquidity that accumulates above a significant price level, the more likely that liquidity will be harvested. Where price consistently bounces off a demand (support) or resistance (supply) level several times, there is a huge concentration of stops by some players and orders in the other direction by others. It is important to focus on finding these spots, as you can find great entries after liquidity is collected. The more bounces, the better. The key factor for a major player is time. The more time passes, the more liquidity there will be. And if price cannot break through areas with multiple highs or lows, it is likely that liquidity around those price levels will increase over time. The more time that passes, the more liquidity will increase (unless major highs/lows are broken). Because of this factor, if you want to trade a liquidity seeking pattern, you should be aware of how time plays a role in consolidating orders above/below key liquidity zones. ✴️ Grabing Liquidity And Finding Stop Losses A liquidity grab is a liquidation event in which buyers' or sellers' stop losses are removed and traders who took a trade on a breakout are trapped. ✴️ Stop Loss Grab By A Major Player Stop loss finding and liquidity grab are similar concepts. Finding a stop loss is when price drops or rises behind the structural elements of the chart, or just goes to a round value. The smart money knows there aren't many stops and liquidity accordingly. These places are visible to almost all traders, everyone sees some "key" level, where the price hits the same place a hundred times. A big player realizes that half of the players will play on the rebound, putting their stops above or below the zone, while the other half will play on the breakout, jumping in after the breakout of this zone. As long as stop losses of the former and pending (buy/sell stops) or market orders of the latter are triggered, smart money will absorb all these orders. ✴️ Look For A Quick Price Reversal After A Breakdown The goal of the Smart Money trading system is very simple - retail traders, should avoid falling into the trap of the market maker and just follow the market maker. A liquidity grab should always be accompanied by a quick, strong reversal move after reaching a critical low/maximum essentially a quick turn in price back to structural support or resistance. How quickly the price will come back, we do not know, but the time of being outside the demand or supply zone will depend on the liquidity of the market itself and the volume of big players. ✴️ Monitor The Lowest Low And The Highest High Of The Structure When you do not see areas with the same lows or highs on the chart (consolidation), the main area to monitor is the lowest minimum or the highest maximum of the structure, i.e. where the highs or lows are connected by the trend line. ✴️ Maximum And Minimum Of The Market Structure Most traders' stop losses will be located exactly where the high or low of the trend is visible. When the price falls below/below the start of the move, then stops will be triggered and new orders will be opened in the hope that the trend has finally changed. Liquidity will also be under other lows, traders will also jump in there to update the nearby structure, but the very beginning of the move will be the key level. This can be attributed to the time frame or simply fractality. There is a difference between targeted and non-targeted liquidity, i.e. caused by a market maker or caused by general market action. On the left side we have targeted and on the right side we have untargeted. The difference between the two is that the targeted liquidity grab is initiated by smart money and the non-targeted one by general market action. In the former case the targeted attempt to take out stops will start from the middle of the previous move where there are not many stops and liquidity, in the latter case there is a move under general market action.
Education
by DeGRAM
1
HOW TO RECOGNIZE A SCAM SIGNAL PROVIDER WEBSITEForex signal providers can be a good resource for traders looking to access the markets. However, not all signal providers are created equal, and some of them act as scammers, preying on unsuspecting novice traders. In this article, we will look at how to recognize a fraudulent signal provider's website and how not to fall victim to their machinations. The provider's website can be a great indicator of professionalism or, on the contrary, a desire to deceive you. 1. Bad website design One of the easiest ways to recognize a fraudulent signal provider website is to check its design. Fraudulent sites often have poor design with low-resolution images and poor grammar. You won't find any information about the provider itself on such sites. Non-working buttons or links are also a reason to be cautious. The sites of legal signal providers are usually well designed, have professional images and clear language. 2. Lack of contact information The websites of fraudulent signal providers often lack contact information or provide fake contact information. In many cases there are icons of almost all social networks, but when you click on the link there is nothing there. If there is even an account in social networks, they are mostly completely anonymous. On the other hand, legitimate signal providers should have a physical address, phone number and e-mail address on their website. Traders should check the contact information provided and make sure it is legitimate. 3. Unverified performance Fraudulent signal providers may provide unverified results or manipulate performance metrics to appear more profitable than they actually are. It can be easy to show fake trading results on a website. You should treat such results with caution. You should always check the accuracy of the performance results before using services from any signal provider. Legitimate signal providers should provide verified performance results from third-party sources. Our team has already checked a huge number of them and found out who is working correctly and who is falsifying the trading results. 4. Lack of social proof Social media is a staple of business these days. Social buttons can lead to the homepage of a website, to an empty profile, or to nowhere at all. Social media proof is a powerful tool that can help traders identify fake signal providers. The websites of fraudulent signal providers often have no reviews or they usually have fake reviews. There are always satisfied customers on their website and social media pages with no way to read the comments. Providers using a well-known consumer review system is usually a good sign. But you still should also check third-party review websites to see what other traders are saying about the provider. If there are a lot of short positive reviews you should also be wary as they may be fake. 5. Check the domain name Domain names registered for a short period of time, say a year, can be suspicious because scammers don't invest a lot of money in their sites. They purchase domain names with short expiration dates to minimize their costs. Websites that are newly created and have a short lifespan are more likely to be fraudulent. In conclusion, recognizing scam signal provider websites is crucial for traders to avoid falling victim to scammers and achieve their trading goals. By checking for poor website design, lack of contact information, unverified performance, lack of social proof, traders can identify legitimate signal providers and avoid being scammed. Be safe.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn15614419
4
Top 6 Most Tradable Currency PairsForex traders have the luxury of more highly leveraged trading with lower margin requirements compared to traders in equity markets. But before you jump headfirst into the fast-paced world of forex, you'll want to know about the currency pairs that trade most often. Here's a look at six of the most traded currency pairs in forex: 1. EUR/USD: Trading the "Fiber" The most traded currency pair is the EUR/USD, most likely because of the global prominence of the economies of the European single market and the United States. It made up 22.7% of overall market share, as of the latest BIS survey. That's down from 24% market share in the previous 2019 survey. The high daily volume and liquidity of this pair ensure tight spreads for traders. The EUR/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the U.S. dollar and Swiss franc (USD/CHF) and a positive correlation with the British pound/U.S. dollar (GBP/USD). This is due to the positive correlation of the Euro, the British pound, and the Swiss franc. 2. USD/JPY: Trading the "Gopher" The next most actively traded pair was the USD/JPY, with high liquidity and a market share of 13.5%, slightly higher than its prior 13.2%.2 This pair has been sensitive to political sentiment between the United States and the Far East. It tends to be positively correlated to the USD/CHF and the U.S. dollar/Canadian dollar (USD/CAD) currency pairs. This relationship is due to the U.S. dollar being the base currency in all three pairs. USD/JPY also responds to changes made to interest rates by the Bank of Japan and the effect on the yen relative to the U.S. dollar. 3. GBP/USD: Trading the "Cable" Trading in the GBP/USD currency pair represented 9.5% of forex market share, a small decrease from the prior survey in 2019. Again, the popularity and volume of trading in this pair reflect the strength of the British and U.S. economies. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation with the EUR/USD. This is due to the positive correlation between the British pound sterling, the Swiss franc, and the Euro. 4. USD/CNY: Trading the Yuan The USD/CNY currency pair represents the relationship between the U.S. dollar and the Chinese renminbi, more commonly known as the yuan. Its market share grew to 6.6% from its previous 4.1% of market share in daily forex trades. The U.S.-China trade relationship has been a volatile one, providing USD/CNY traders with plenty of speculative trading opportunities. Those interested in the USD/CNY should maintain awareness of developments in that relationship, as they could affect the pricing of the pair. 5. USD/CAD: Trading the "Loonie" Market share for the USD/CAD currency pair increased to 5.5% from 4.4% in the previous survey three years ago. Interest rates in the U.S. and Canada will affect the price of this pair, reflecting the effects on the individual currencies. In addition, as oil is a major economic driver for Canada, its price will affect the price of Canadian currency. This in turn can have an impact on the currency pair. The USD/CAD tends to be negatively correlated with the AUD/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD pairs due to the U.S. dollar being the quote currency in these other pairs. 6. AUD/USD: Trading the "Aussie" The AUD/USD currency pair captured 5.1% of forex market share, compared to its previous 5.4%. It tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CAD, USD/CHF, and USD/JPY pairs due to the U.S. dollar being the base currency in these cases. The value of Australia's currency is closely tied to the role and value of its exports in its economy. Therefore, a downward movement in that value could affect the AUD/USD currency pair value, strengthening the dollar to the loonie. The relationship between the interest rates set by the respective central banks can affect the currency pair price, as well. Conclusion The list of the most actively traded currency pairs starts with the EUR/USD, which has the greatest trading volume. All six currency pairs offer the liquidity that investors who trade them need for profits. However, various factors such as trade relationships, changing interest rates, economic upheaval, and country disputes, including war, can affect individual currencies (and thus pairs). So make sure that you're up to date on such news and information before leaping into the forex market so you can choose the most viable currency pairs to trade.
Education
by tradingconmike
HOW TO TRADE RECTANGLESAs we already know, a price trend does not usually reverse instantly. As a rule, upward and downward trends are separated by periods when the price is in a trading range - a sideways trend. To take a simple analogy, imagine a huge ship. It's not easy to slow it down, it takes a lot of time. Now imagine how long it takes to turn around? It's the same with prices. Hence the simple rule that the longer the trend is, the more time it takes for it to reverse. In this case, the process of reversal, aka the horizontal phase of the market is of great importance. Because it is the horizontal range that separates an upward trend from a downward trend (or vice versa). But when the sideways range comes in the shifting phase, the battle between sellers and buyers is equal. Until, for one reason or another, the price does not go down under selling pressure. It is the breakout of the sideways range, with a new low being reached, that indicates to the trader that a trend reversal is taking place. In other words, when the price falls out of the trading range, it is a sell signal. When the bearish trend ends, the reversal process begins. The Reversal Rectangle And The Psychology Behind It When the rectangle is just starting to form, some news is released on the asset and uninformed market participants, who heard about it for the first time, jump in to buy. At this stage, there are positive forecasts everywhere and to go long seems to be the right choice. We remember that absolutely every trade has two participants: the seller and the buyer. At the same time sellers have absolutely different view on the market. They diligently bought much earlier, on rumors of positive news. And now the positive news has arrived, which means what? That's right, it's time to sell. And who is the best person to sell to? Uninformed participants. This is how the well-known principle "buy the rumors, sell the facts" looks to everyone. If price patterns like a rectangle are formed at the bottom of the market, they are called accumulative, and the process itself is called accumulation. Here the psychology is exactly the opposite. Sellers see that the price of the asset is falling and decide to sell when bad news and future forecasts become known to all investors. Potential buyers previously hesitated because they did not want to enter on such bad news. Simply put, the upper reversal rectangle is just a version of the signal that the series of rising highs and lows will reverse. And exactly the opposite is true for the bottom rectangle. You also need to realize that a reversal pattern needs something to reverse. In other words, there should be a clear trend in the opposite direction from the expected reversal before such a rectangle. Accordingly, there should be a strong upward trend up to the top rectangle, and a downward trend down to the bottom rectangle. How Is The Rectangle Formed? In the picture shown above, the upper and lower boundaries of the rectangle are formed by at least 3 touches between two horizontal trend lines. However, the rectangle could actually be made on the first two touches. Don't forget, any sideways trend is just an area where buyers and sellers are fighting. If the battle results in a rectangle with more than two touches, it means that the battle between the two sides has turned intense. It also means that the bearish characteristics of the rectangle in the example above are intensifying. The more touches the rectangle has, the more significant it is As you will notice we use the phrases "touches" and "approaches" this is important because on real charts rectangles will not be so perfect and beautiful. Approaching any trend line , including the horizontal one in a rectangle, is as important as actually touching it. So, if the price reaches the boundary and then reverses, it reinforces this support or resistance zone anyway. Significance Of Any Price Pattern The principles of price patterns are universal. They can be used on any timeframe, from 1-minute candles to monthly candles. However, it is the size and depth of the pattern that influence how significant it is in a particular timeframe. 1. Timeframe The larger the timeframe, the more significant the pattern is If a pattern is drawn on a monthly chart, it means that it is significantly more important than the one seen on an intraday chart. Suppose we are looking at a daily chart and we have noticed two patterns. The first one took 10 days to form, while the second one took 4 weeks. It is understandable that the significance of a 4-week epic battle between buyers and sellers is much higher than a 10-day clash. 2. Significance of price fluctuations The more price fluctuates within a pattern, the more important it is If the price stands still for a long time, traders and investors inevitably get used to buying at one price and selling at another. That is why the price moving beyond the usual prices changes the whole picture dramatically and represents an important event from the psychological point of view. 3. Significance of pattern depth The more in-depth the pattern, the greater its significance A breakout of a wide trading range is much more important than a breakout of a narrow trading range. The bigger (proportionally) the price fluctuations inside the pattern, the stronger the subsequent movement will be. If the pattern is formed by wide price movements, it means that the end of the pattern is likely to be marked by them as well. It is also important to note that if you get a very narrow rectangle, it means that the battle between buyers and sellers is very balanced. This is especially true if there is almost no trading activity. When the balance is broken for one reason or another, the price will often move faster and further than initially expected. How To Measure The Impact Of A Breakout To assess the impact of a breakout, simply measure the distance between the inner boundaries, and then project them downwards. In most cases, the price will go further than the potential target we have highlighted. In very strong movements it will go further by many percent. Moreover, these price range projections often become important support and resistance zones in themselves. Unfortunately, we cannot determine exactly where the next level will be after the price move, because technical analysis, again, does not allow us to accurately determine the duration of the price movement. However, we can well estimate the probability of whether this zone will be support or resistance. To put it plainly, this approach is a minimum expectation of the price movement. Cancellation Effect The minimum distance after a breakout can become a new zone where another accumulation or distribution begins. It usually takes a long period in the new range for the price to move back into the old range. That being said, if there was a breakout of, say, a 2-year rectangle and price reached the minimum target, even though it didn't go any further, it will usually need the same accumulation/distribution period as it did in the previous range. It is only then that price can move back up. False Breakout As we have already found out, a price breakout outside the price pattern, even if it is small, often indicates a trend reversal or its confirmation (if the price was in an accumulation/rectangle). However, it is not uncommon for price to show deceptive, movements, so we need to introduce clear rules to avoid mistakes. It is quite ironic that false breakouts actually confirm the significance of certain support or resistance zones. For example, on a daily chart, you see a confident breakout of a rectangle. But if the price does not hold above the broken line for more than one day, such a signal becomes suspicious. From a technical point of view, such a breakout can be much less significant, because if it does not hold, it means that the momentum is exhausted. If the price has uncertainly broken the level, in most cases it turns in the opposite direction to the breakout A hesitant breakout is often accompanied by further concentration of the price in the range until the price structure is technically prepared for a new breakout. When the price has confidently exited the pattern, this is an indication that the breakout has taken place. Indications of a false upside breakout: price is moving back into the range and breaking the previous lows, the rising trendline connecting the previous lows. Indications of a false downside breakout: price moves back into the range, breaks the previous high, a descending trendline connecting the previous highs. Keep Risk Management In Mind We remember that an upward breakout indicates a possible price rise. However, the same can be said about a pullback. If the price is back in the range, the probability of it reaching higher values decreases rapidly. Unfortunately, there are no quick and easy ways to determine this in any market conditions. Every market situation is different. This is the reason why you need to think everything through in advance, even before opening a trade. Otherwise, if the trade is already open, your emotions will come into play and affect the result. If you do not think over your risks in advance, if things go badly, you will be emotionally stressed and tense when you exit the trade. You will be influenced by some news, sharp price movements and in general anything except a sober, logical plan thought out in advance. Let's Summarize A rectangle is a trading range between two parallel trend lines. We measure the consequences of a breakout: the depth of the pattern is projected in the direction of the breakout. Indications of a false upward breakout: price moves back into the range and breaks the previous lows, the rising trendline connecting the previous lows. Indications of a false downside breakout: price moves back into the range, breaks the previous high, downward trend line connecting the previous highs. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
11
LIQUIDITY TYPESThere are a huge number of trading strategies in trading, however, there are some that significantly prevail over all others. They are based on the concept of liquidity. Let's look at them in detail. ✴️ STRUCTURED LIQUIDITY Swing High and Swing Low are market highs and lows respectively, and Equal high and Equal low are equal market highs and lows respectively. BSL (Buy Side Liquidity) - liquidity at the highs SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - liquidity at the lows Trend liquidity. Trend is the most popular trading model all over the world and has been used for decades. No matter what you read, no matter what you watch, everywhere there will be a system of trend detection and trading logic described. It is hard not to guess where market participants, who trade both along the trend and against it, will set stop-losses. ✴️ LIQUIDITY IN A BULLISH TREND Let's consider where liquidity appears behind the nearest maximum in an upward trend. Historically, the most traders set stops above/below some highs or lows. The first participants are sellers who started shorting the market and successfully caught the reversal. These traders set their stop losses behind the nearest maximum, i.e. over the top where the reversal started. Those with experience will start to partially close their orders or get rid of the whole position during the pullback. The second participants are those who trade the reversal, who do not believe in the continuation of the trend. They set their limit orders for a rebound from a significant zone (or jump on the market) and set their stop losses in the same place as the first ones - over the nearest maximum. It is understandable, if it goes higher, it means that the analysis was wrong. And here are the third participants who trade breakouts, who trend trade and enter the battle only when the price updates the maximum. There are two options to enter the trade: buy-stop or manual, where both types of orders are market orders. It's simple, if the price breaks through the resistance zone, then they jump just follow the trend. What have we found out? The first ones set stops behind the level, the second ones set their stops in the same place, the third ones work according to the market. All this crowd set tons of market orders behind the nearest maximum. All these market orders are liquidity. What do you think, if the big player has plans to mark down the price, will it go after this liquidity? ✴️ LIQUIDITY IN A BEARISH TREND Liquidity in a bearish trend is the same, but in reverse. ✴️ LIQUIDITY POOL Equal high (EQH) and Equal low (EQL) are equal market highs and lows, respectively. From technical analysis are support and resistance zones. When price approaches the previous high in a bull market, participants begin to both buy and sell. What happens if the price does not make the high in a continuation of the trend and bounces back? Those who doubted the rebound from this zone start jumping in by the market, putting their stops above this high. What do we have? The first stops were put by those who caught the reversal at the peak, the second ones are those who came in on the rebound, the third ones are those who are still waiting for the breakout and do not believe in the reversal, and the fourth ones are those who start jumping on the rebound. And there are also those who have not decided what to do. How to get them into the market? Simple is to show more rebound from this zone. The more touches of one significant zone are made, the more liquidity accumulates behind this zone. ✴️ TREND LIQUIDITY When the price rolls in one direction, clearly bouncing off the trend line visible to everyone, it does it for a reason. In addition to those who jump on the market structure, there are those who open trades from the trend line. Stops of all participants are distributed below the lows (if we consider the trend line upwards), someone puts thembelow the first, someone below the second, someone fears to put them farther away. More often than not, all this liquidity will be cleaned out in the near future, and very often it happens in one sharp move. Why? To show the effect of surprise and prevent most from jumping out of the trade. Essentially, it's liquidity both structural and trend-following. Since the market is fractal, this happens on all timeframes. You don't think that you have seen a trend and you need to urgently open a trade in the other direction. You need to realize that this liquidity can be collected once, collected by the same movement or not collected at all. It all depends on the market context of the higher timeframe. ✴️ DAILY LIQUIDITY It's simple here liquidity accumulated behind the previous day's high and low. ✴️ SESSION LIQUIDITY Similarly liquidity generated outside the minimums and maximums of the time sessions. Someone trading to collect session liquidity usually hunts for Asian session liquidity.
Education
by DeGRAM
1
GBPUSD D1 - Correction before LONGGBPUSD is elegantly responding to the strategic convergence of resistance and supply prices, seamlessly aligning with the significant milestone of 1.27. In recent trading sessions, these key whole numbers have exhibited remarkable efficacy across the pairs under our scrutiny. Our discerning gaze is now fixed on pinpointing the extent of selling pressure exhaustion, laying the groundwork for a poised transition into potential long positions. The ultimate objective is to set our sights on the forthcoming psychological price zone at 1.30, strategically gearing up for the journey ahead.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
TRADING BASICS: TRENDLINESTrend lines are the simplest and most basic concept of technical analysis. It is also, paradoxically, one of the most effective tools. Since almost all price patterns require the use of trend lines, the latter are the basic element of both pattern definition and its use. Now we will discuss what trend lines are, how to work with them and how to determine whether they are working. A trendline is a straight line that connects descending lows in a rising market or highs in a falling market. Lines that connect lows are called rising trend lines, and those that connect highs are called falling trend lines. To make a falling trend line, we connect the first high to the subsequent highs. When the price breaks the trend line, it is a hint that the trend may change. Similarly, for a rising line. How to draw a trend line? ✔️ For a trend line to be real, it must connect the previous highs or lows. Otherwise, there is no sense in such a line at all. This is called the major trend line. It is where the first low of a bearish trend connects to the first intermediate low. In the example below, the trend line is not particularly steep (it is at a low angle, and angles are important in a trend). Unfortunately, price then accelerates sharply after the next low. In a situation like this, it's best to simply redraw the trendline as price moves further away. This is called a new line in the picture and it reflects the changed trend much better. This line will be a secondary trend line. Well, the downtrend lines are drawn in the same way, but in reverse. Since the trend can go sideways, it is quite possible to guess that trend lines can be drawn horizontally. This is often the case when we find price patterns like the "neck" in the Head and Shoulders pattern, or the upper and lower borders of triangles. In such patterns, if the trend line is crossed, it is an indication that the trend is changing. The same is true for rising and falling trends. It is also important to realize that drawing a trend line is a matter of using common sense, not a set of very strict rules. A trendline breakout could indicate a reversal or consolidation The completion of a price pattern can indicate: 1. reversal of the previous trend, aka reversal pattern; 2. continuation of the previous trend, aka consolidation or continuation pattern. Similarly, a trend line breakout indicates either a reversal of the trend or a continuation of the trend. An example demonstrates this concept for a downtrend. In this case, the trend line connecting one high after another is broken in a downtrend. The fourth high will be the highest point of the bearish trend, so an upward breakout of the trend line in this case indicates the beginning of a bullish trend. In the picture above we see again a rising trend and a trend line breakout, but this signal has a completely different outcome. The reason is that the break of the trend line caused the trend to continue, but at a much slower pace. The third scenario is when the price goes into consolidation (aka sideways) instead of reversing, which is shown in picture. Accordingly, when a trendline is broken, it is a strong indication of a trend reversal. A changed trend can eventually reverse or go sideways after rising or falling. Unfortunately, in most cases we can't tell accurately what will follow a trendline breakdown. However, there can be some pretty good clues, such as the angle of the trendline. Since trends that run at an acute angle are less stable, their breakout more often leads to sideways rather than reversals. Useful hints can be hidden in the general state of the technical structure of the market. In addition, a trend line breakout often occurs at the successful completion of a reversal price pattern or shortly before. Extended trend lines ✔️ Many beginners, when they see that a trend line is broken, automatically conclude that the trend is about to change and immediately forget about the line. After all, an extended trend line can be as important as the fact of its breakdown. For example, if a rising trend line is broken, the price very often returns to the same line, but later. This is called a throwback. Significance of trend lines ✔️ So, we have it all figured out - a trend line breakout leads to either a trend reversal or a trend slowdown. Of course, it is not always possible to say what exactly happens there, but we need to understand how effective a trend line breakout is in general, which we are going to do now. In general, the significance of this event depends on three factors: The length of the line; The number of touches; The angle of inclination or rise. 1. Trend line length ✔️ A trend line is used to measure a trend. The longer the line, the longer the trend and the more such a line will become important to us. If descending lows come one after another for 3-4 weeks, such a trendline is less relevant. If the trend line lasts 1-3 years, its breakout is extremely important to us. The breakout of an old trend line is very important, it is a powerful signal. The breakout of a fresh (relatively) trend line is a less important signal. 2. Number of touches or approaches to the trend line ✔️ The more touches or interactions with the trend line, the more important it is, there is a direct correlation. Why is this so? Because the trend line represents a dynamic zone of support or resistance. Each successful touch of the line strengthens it, reinforces its importance as a support or resistance zone. Thus, the trend line's role as a guide for the trend as such is also strengthened. Approaching the trend line is no less important than touching it, because this is how the zone is actualized. If the trend line has become strong due to the touches, its continuation will be no less strong, but from the other side. After all, in an extended trend line, support often becomes resistance and vice versa. 3. Angle of slope ✔️ A very steep trend is usually unstable and easily broken, even by a short sideways movement. All trends break sooner or later, this is a fact. However, steep trends break much faster. The breakout of a steep trend is less significant than the breakout of a smooth and gradual trend. It sounds paradoxical, but the point is this - the break of a steep trend usually causes a short correction, sideways price movement, after which the trend resumes, but much less strong and smoother. Accordingly, the breakout of a steep trend line is a confirming pattern, not a reversal pattern at all. To summarize Trend lines are an easy tool to understand, but they must be used correctly and thoughtfully. A trend line breakout indicates a temporary interruption of the trend or a reversal of the main trend. The significance of a trend line consists of its length, the number of touches/approaches to it and the slope angle. A good trend line always reflects the underlying trend and forms significant support and resistance areas. Extended trend lines change former support/resistance in places, which should be paid special attention to. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Editors' picks
Education
by Lingrid
36
INDUCEMENT IN TRADINGInducement is the most popular phenomenon in the smart money concept, but most traders don't know how to label it properly and what its definition is. This post will definitely improve your ability to pinpoint the exact location of the inducement and how to use that inducement to your advantage. What is Inducement? Inducement is labeled IND on the chart, sometimes you may see IDM. Inducement is the area and specific point that encourages (incentivizes) traders to buy and sell. In the Smart Money concept, most traders buy after the breakdown of the previous high and sell after the breakdown of the previous low. This is a normal phenomenon and it is what most people do, because this is what all classic trading books teach from the point of view of market structure. ✴️ Examples Look at the initial structure. The bullish movement is accompanied by small pullbacks. According to the classics, if the price breaks the last low, the bullish movement will be replaced by a bearish one. What we see is that the pullback starts and the price updates the previous low. Traders start to buy on the pullback towards the continuation of the movement and sell on the breakout, towards the new, bearish direction. The previous low in a bull market is the Inducement. This is the place where inexperienced traders give their money to the big player, a bait, not otherwise. After liquidity is collected, the big player drives the price in the direction of the true trend. When the price updates the high it will be a BOS, i.e. confirmation of the structure. Note that when the price rises, lows are formed again, these are again the places where you usually buy and sell. ✴️ The idea behide it As you can see, the real market structure is a bit more complicated than retail traders imagine. After the last example, the price can go higher again, there is nothing to prevent it, but we will just move our structural low under the previous inducement. The essence of price movement is only one thing and that is to collect and form liquidity. That is why the price very often goes down when trending up and updates the low, and then continues to fly up, but without you. The same is true for a downward trend. In the picture above you can see the logic of price movement. As you may know or already know from classic books, the price after an impulsive movement starts to make a pullback. This pullback is done not because the price needs to rest, but because the price needs liquidity to continue the trend. Each pullback is an achievement of inducement, that is, a set of liquidity, and within each pullback you can find the same thing. That is, there are pullbacks within a pullback, and within that another pullback, etc. The market itself it is a fractal. This is what confuses millions of traders to choose the right place to enter a position. Reality is very different from what is portrayed in books, people just don't realize which low will be the break. Which top is extreme? Show one chart to 10 traders and all 10 will show a different structure. It also strongly influences why some traders make money while others, in the same pattern, lose. As you have already realized, price will always take out highs and lows to gather liquidity. If you buy or sell without understanding and practicing such a concept, that liquidity will be you. You must understand and be able to identify where that very spot will be inducement. The main thing to remember is that IND appears only when the price updates a structural high or low. You don't have to incorporate a bunch of Smart Money trading principles into your trading strategy. You just need to realize that without liquidity there will be no movement in the market. Price needs only one thing and that is liquidity. You can trade profitably, even without using any instrument, if you understand what highs and lows most traders buy and sell.  
Education
by DeGRAM
4
BULLISH AND BEARISH FLAG PATTERNSBullish and bearish flag patterns are common patterns in forex that are used by traders to determine potential price movement in a trending market. These patterns can provide clues about market sentiment and help us make informed decisions about when to enter or exit a trade. It should be remembered that this pattern is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern, as these patterns appear after a strong movement. How to apply in trading patterns bullish and bearish flag? The bull flag pattern is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price rally, followed by a period of consolidation in the form of a descending channel or flag, and then a continuation of the movement. The flag is usually accompanied by a decrease in market volatility and momentum, which indicates a temporary pause in the uptrend. The price is resting after a strong bullish movement before continuing. How to apply in trading? 1. Identify a strong upward movement (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong upward price movement that precedes the formation of this pattern. 2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, traders must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation to see the flag pattern. You need to watch the price closely because this pattern can turn into an ascending triangle. 3. Breakout of the contraction: Then wait for a breakout above the upper trend line of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in momentum. A breakout of the co-principal level confirms the continuation of the uptrend and is a potential entry point for long positions. Usually the price makes a move equal to the flagpole, which gives an approximate take profit point. Conversely, the bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that is formed after a strong downward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp decline in price followed by a period of consolidation in the form of an ascending channel or flag. Similar to the bull flag pattern, the bear flag pattern is accompanied by a decrease in momentum, which indicates that the price is temporarily resting in a downtrend. How to apply in trading? 1- Identify a strong bearish move (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong downward price movement that precedes the formation of the flag pattern. 2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, we must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation boundary to recognize the flag pattern. 3. Waiting for support breakdown: We should wait for a breakdown of the lower trendline of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in price momentum. Such a breakdown confirms the continuation of the downtrend and is a potential entry point. In conclusion, the use of bullish and bearish flag patterns in trading requires identifying a flagpole, building a flag pattern and waiting for a breakout to confirm the continuation of the trend. By understanding and effectively utilizing these patterns, we can enhance our analytical skills. This pattern can complement your existing trading method.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn15614419
2