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Finding Balance: Managing GREED in TradingIs greed helping or hurting your trading? While closing trades too quickly for small profits isn't ideal, neither is holding positions too long hoping for bigger gains. Let's explore how to find the right balance between healthy ambition and destructive greed. 📍 Understanding Healthy vs. Unhealthy Greed Some greed can be good - it drives us to achieve goals and maintain optimism. But when it becomes an obsession, problems start. Professional traders manage their emotions well, while beginners often struggle as early successes fuel excitement and a dangerous focus on profits at any cost. 📍 Warning Signs of Unhealthy Trading Behavior When trading turns unhealthy, you might notice these patterns: 🔹 Ignoring proven rules because you trust your "gut feelings" more than sound strategy. Your confidence leads you to dismiss common sense in pursuit of profits. 🔹 Expecting every trade to be profitable . While optimism helps, believing you'll win just because you want money is dangerous thinking. 🔹 Living with constant stress. You can't step away from price charts, scrutinizing every move and experiencing emotional highs and lows with each trade. 🔹 Chasing profits while skipping analysis. You focus only on results without learning from each trade, leading to more frequent losses over time. 📍 Dangerous Trading Habits to Avoid ⚫️ Using maximum leverage, thinking bigger trades mean bigger profits. This often leads to heavy losses when markets move sharply against you. ⚫️ Moving stop-losses and take-profit levels mid-trade. Whether hoping to avoid losses or catch more gains, this usually results in worse outcomes and added stress. ⚫️ Following the Martingale strategy - doubling position sizes after losses or wins. This approach typically leads to losing your account quickly. 📍 Practical Steps to Control Greed 1. Start with real money, but small amounts. Demo accounts can create false confidence since there's no real risk. 2. Set clear, achievable goals. For day trading (H1-H4 timeframes), aim for about 20 pips per trade. Scalpers should be satisfied with just a few pips. 3. Create and follow a detailed trading plan. Example: Take half profits at your target, use trailing stops to protect remaining gains. 4. Practice smart risk management. Decide your maximum risk per trade and stick to it - don't adjust stops once set. 5. Keep learning and practicing. With better market understanding, you'll make fewer emotional decisions. A realistic monthly return might be 2% - treat anything above as a bonus. 6. Connect with other traders. Share experiences to manage stress and gain perspective on what's normal in professional trading. 7. Stay skeptical and analytical. When excitement runs high, slow down. Check multiple information sources and grow your trading size gradually while continuing to develop your skills. 📍 Conclusion Successful trading is about steady progress, not quick riches. Growth should happen naturally alongside your developing trading skills, without sacrificing other aspects of your life. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
2
How I Stopped Missing The Best Trade Entries!!I’ll be honest—when I started trading, I had no idea what I was doing. I’d open a 15-minute chart, see what looked like a good setup, and jump in. Sometimes I got lucky, but more often than not, the market turned against me. I remember one trade in particular that still stings when I think about it. I was trading EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart, and I spotted what I thought was the perfect breakout. Without hesitating, I entered. An hour later, the market completely reversed, and I was stopped out. Frustrated, I zoomed out to the daily chart, and there it was: I’d entered a buy trade right into a major resistance zone during a long-term downtrend. That trade taught me a hard truth: if you don’t look at the bigger picture, you’re setting yourself up for failure. How I Changed My Approach After that trade, I knew I had to change how I looked at the market. I started using multiple timeframes, and it made all the difference. Here’s how I do it: 1️⃣ Start Big (Monthly and Weekly Charts): I always start with the monthly or weekly chart to get the big picture. Is the market trending up, down, or just moving sideways? Are we approaching any major levels that could cause a reversal? For example, if the monthly chart shows a strong downtrend, I know I’ll only be looking for sell setups. That keeps me from fighting the overall momentum. 2️⃣ Zoom In (Daily and 4-Hour Charts): Once I’ve got the big picture, I move to the daily or 4-hour chart. This is where I refine my plan. I look for key levels like support and resistance or patterns like consolidations and pullbacks. These timeframes help me figure out where the market is likely to go next, and they’re where I start building my trade idea. 3️⃣ Precision Entries (30-Minute and 5-Minute Charts): Finally, I drop to the lower timeframes—30-minute and 5-minute charts—to time my entry. This is where I wait for confirmation. Maybe it’s a candlestick pattern, a breakout with volume, or a pullback to a key level I spotted earlier. This part takes patience. There have been so many times I’ve almost jumped the gun, but waiting for that confirmation has saved me more times than I can count. My Secret Sauce Here’s the approach I stick to every single time: 1. Align with the bigger picture. If the monthly and weekly charts are trending down, I only look for sell setups. I don’t care what the smaller timeframes say—sticking to the big picture keeps me disciplined. 2.Identify key levels. On the daily and 4-hour charts, I mark the major support and resistance zones where the market is likely to react. 3.Wait for confirmation. When the price reaches one of my levels, I don’t jump in right away. I wait for the 30-minute or 5-minute chart to give me a clear entry signal. Here’s the real kicker: I’ve learned to walk away if nothing aligns. No trade is better than a bad trade, and patience has become my best tool. Switching to multiple timeframes has completely changed the way I trade. It taught me to be patient, to respect the market, and to stop forcing trades that don’t make sense. If you’ve been struggling with timing your entries or feel like you’re always one step behind, I get it—I’ve been there. Try this approach. Start with the bigger picture, work your way down, and let the market come to you. And if you’ve got questions or want to know more about how I trade, send me a DM or check out my profile. I’m happy to help—you don’t have to figure it all out alone. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
3
Bouncing Back: Steps To Overcoming A Trading Losing StreakThe probability theory suggests that under perfectly equal conditions, your trades should be successful 50% of the time. However, market conditions rarely offer such perfect equality. During an upward trend, for instance, you might open ten short positions only to find them all unprofitable. This illustrates why probability theory alone doesn't translate well to trading. What does work, however, is mathematical statistics, including concepts like expected value and other analytical parameters. So when you encounter a series of losing trades, resist the urge to blame the market or bad luck. Instead, recognize that you might have overlooked certain factors or made calculation errors. The good news? These mistakes can be identified and corrected. 📍 How to Recover After a Series of Losing Trades 1. Step Away from Trading Temporarily The first and most crucial step is to step away from trading temporarily. This might seem obvious, yet it's often the hardest advice to follow. If you're experiencing losses regardless of whether you take long or short positions, it's time to pause. The market's volatility isn't always to blame – this break gives you valuable time to analyze what's really happening. However, executing this pause requires genuine willpower. Simply shutting down your computer isn't enough – the temptation to restart it after ten minutes can be overwhelming. Instead, make a clean break: go for a walk outside or immerse yourself in completely different activities. This physical and mental separation is essential for gaining a fresh perspective. 🔹 Define Your Consecutive Loss Limit. Your trading style and personality should determine how many consecutive losses you can tolerate before stepping back. For fast-paced scalping and intraday trading, consider pausing after 3-5 consecutive losses. If you're trading bigger timeframes, you might want to stop after just 2-3 losing trades. 🔹 Establish Clear Daily Loss Thresholds. Restrictions can be based on both trading frequency and capital loss. For example, set a firm rule to stop trading for a day as soon as your account drops by 3%. This will prevent you from making emotional decisions and protect your trading capital, especially if you trade prop firms. 🔹 Leverage Your Backtesting Data. Some trading strategies naturally experience small consecutive losses before capturing a larger winning trade that offsets previous setbacks. Use platforms like TradingView to backtest your strategy and understand its historical performance patterns. Pay attention to: The longest historical losing streaks Average loss sequences Expected drawdown periods If your current trading results deviate significantly from these historical patterns, that's your signal to pause and reassess. Remember: Success in trading isn't about gut feelings – it's about mathematical precision and disciplined execution. 2. Analyze Your Trades Over the Period It's important to remember that you haven’t always incurred losses, so take the time to evaluate the current losing streak and compare it with previous trading periods. Look for any discrepancies or patterns that may emerge. 🔹 Fundamental Factors. Identify the fundamental elements that influenced both your profitable and losing periods. 🔹 Indicators Used. Assess the indicators that were applied in both scenarios. If you used the same indicators during profitable and losing trades, analyze where the error occurred. 🔹 Stop Losses. Review the stop-loss levels you set. What led to the losses in these trades? When using your trading simulator, pay attention to specific metrics: ⚫️ Recovery Factor. This is the ratio of absolute profit to maximum drawdown. ⚫️ Profit Factor. This metric represents the ratio of total profit to total loss. ⚫️ Average Profit to Average Loss Ratio. Evaluate this ratio to understand your trade outcomes better. For the most effective analysis, focus on H1 or bigger timeframes. Analyzing trades over these extended periods allows you to discern the logic of trends, identify key levels, and gain insight into market psychology. 3. Identify Problem Areas It's essential to pinpoint the areas causing difficulties in your trading. Reflect on the psychological aspects at play: What’s bothering you? What feels off or frustrating? Sometimes, intuition can provide valuable insights as well. 🔹 Unprofitable Trading System. Market volatility may have changed, rendering your current indicator settings ineffective and leading to a non-profitable trading system. 🔹 Emotional Decision-Making. Emotions can sometimes drive you to deviate from the predetermined rules of your trading plan. 🔹 Absence of a Trading System. This is a critical mistake. It’s not just about having a strategy; a comprehensive trading system outlines your actions in unexpected situations. Be aware of potential issues such as wide stop losses, leverage that increases losses, or "strange" trades that deviate from your established setups. There are numerous variations of these problems, and your task is to identify and address them. 4. Develop a Corrective Plan Now that the analysis is complete and the main issues are identified, it’s time to address them. Avoid resuming trading at previous volumes immediately. Your goal is to test the revised trading strategy while minimizing risk. At this stage, profitability is secondary; the focus should be on ensuring that the strategy works. 🔹 Open Trades with Minimum Lot Sizes. Use leverage strategically, only to manage your exposure to Level and Margin effectively. 🔹 Implement Minimal Stops. This approach helps in risk reduction. However, ensure that stops are set within reasonable limits to avoid constant triggering from market fluctuations. Focus on average volatility to determine appropriate stop-loss levels. 🔹 Avoid Rushing into Maximum Trades. Prioritize the quality of trades over quantity. It’s more important to make well-considered decisions than to engage in numerous trades. 🔹 Stick to Your Action Plan. Consistently ask yourself key questions: Why am I opening this trade? Am I sticking to all the rules? What outcome am I aiming for? What constitutes an acceptable loss for me? For testing integrity, it is recommended to implement these changes on a real account as it develops a greater sense of accountability. 5. Focus on the Psychological Aspect Maintaining a focus on positive outcomes is crucial for success in trading. Just as a person afraid of falling off a bike will likely do so, a negative mindset can breed inevitable failures. Instead, you must cultivate confidence in positive results and adopt a constructive attitude. And if you do face setbacks, dust yourself off and continue your journey toward success. Believing in your ability to succeed is often the greatest challenge. Embrace self-belief and trust in your strength. 🔹 Avoid External Influences. Steer clear of forums and social media platforms like Instagram. Remember, you are the one making trading decisions. Listening to others can lead to FOMO and self-doubt, which can hinder your performance. 🔹 Utilize Affirmations. Regularly affirming your potential for success can significantly increase your chances of achieving it. Positive self-talk is a powerful tool in building confidence. 🔹 Take Time to Rest. Rest is essential for maintaining a healthy mindset. While meditation is beneficial, it's often overlooked; try to incorporate it into your routine, even if just for a few minutes each day. 🔹 Be Mindful of Your Nervous System . A lively nervous system can be advantageous, but excessive stimulants like caffeine can backfire. If you experience high blood pressure, caffeine may exacerbate nervousness and further overstimulate your system. 📍 Conclusion A loss is not a verdict; it is an opportunity for growth. The fact that brokers often indicate a loss rate of 60-85% among traders highlights that many are unwilling to invest the time and effort necessary to learn from their mistakes. Often, these traders give up at the first sign of failure. In contrast, the remaining 15-40% consist of those who, through hard work, patience, and persistence, transition from beginners to professionals. Don't be deterred by losses—they can be temporary if you take the time to analyze and understand their causes. Additionally, don’t succumb to pessimism; a successful trader maintains a positive mindset and embraces challenges. Remember, perseverance in the face of adversity is often the key to long-term success in trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
8
Swiss Franc Futures Decline Amid Weaker US Dollar:Market InsightThe CHF Swiss Franc futures pair experienced a decline to approximately 1.308 during the early European trading session on Monday. This weakening can be primarily attributed to the broad softness of the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure lately. After an initial reversal at the pivotal level of 108.000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to recover some ground, indicating a volatile session ahead for currency traders. Today's market attention is squarely focused on a series of significant economic events that could influence currency valuations. Notably, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech that many analysts anticipate will provide insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Given the current economic climate in Europe, her comments are likely to be closely scrutinized by market participants looking for hints on interest rate adjustments and other monetary policy considerations. Additionally, the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today is another critical data point that traders are monitoring. The PMI serves as a vital barometer for the health of the manufacturing sector, and its results can significantly sway market sentiment. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could lend support to the USD, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's cautious stance in recent months. A resilient manufacturing sector may fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, thus supporting the US dollar. As the market digests these developments, a bearish sentiment appears to be forming for the CHF futures pair. The combination of a weaker Swiss Franc and the possibility of a stable or strengthening US Dollar suggests that traders may be looking to position themselves for a further decline in the CHF/USD relationship. In the current environment of uncertainty and varied economic signals, currency traders must remain vigilant, ready to adapt to rapid changes that could arise from today's pivotal events. In summary, the interplay between the Swiss Franc and the US Dollar is accentuated by current macroeconomic factors, including central bank communications and key economic releases. With a bearish setup on the horizon and investors keenly anticipating these market-moving events, today's trading session promises to be both challenging and potentially rewarding for those engaged in forex trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about CHF Futures in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6S1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD: Potential Bearish Continuation Amid Economic IndicatorsFollowing the successful attainment of our profit target in the demand area, the GBP/USD currency pair has shown a modest recovery, reclaiming some ground from the 1.2400 level. As this article is being written, the price has retraced into a prior supply zone situated around 1.2541. This development indicates a potential resistance area where the pound may struggle to maintain its upward momentum. As we move into the latter part of the day, market participants will be intently focused on significant economic reports from the United States, specifically the ISM Services PMI for December and the JOLTS Job Openings data for November. These reports are crucial in gauging the health of the US economy, particularly in the services sector, which has a substantial impact on overall economic performance. The ISM Services PMI is anticipated to provide valuable insights into business conditions, and a reading that falls below 50 could suggest contraction in the sector. Such a scenario may trigger renewed selling pressure on the USD, potentially offering some support to the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, if the report shows a strong uptick, it could further solidify the USD's position. In tandem with the PMI, the JOLTS Job Openings report will also be closely examined. A decline in job openings might indicate a softening labor market, adding further downward pressure on the dollar. However, a notable rise in job openings could bolster confidence in the labor market and affirm the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining its current monetary policy stance, providing added strength to the USD. Given the current price action and the anticipated economic data, our outlook leans toward a potential bearish continuation for the British Pound. As the market digests this key information, we are likely to see an increase in dollar strength, which would further challenge the GBP/USD pair. Traders and investors should remain vigilant in monitoring these developments, as the interplay between the pound and the dollar will be critical in shaping the currency pair's next movements. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Race to 3,000: Rates, Politics, and BeyondAs visible on daily TF ,Key resistance levels 2720 were challenged two times already. A clean breakout above 2720 could lead to further bullish momentum also we have seen that the price recently retraced to 2,538 and 2,583 levels, forming bullish pullbacks before continuing upward, The corrective pullbacks appear to be shallow, indicating strong bullish momentum. Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price action, a bullish move toward the psychological level of 3,000 seems possible. so with all this talk about the Fed cutting rates, FOMC's moves, there's a real buzz around gold hitting 3,000. Lower interest rates mean less reason to hold onto cash or bonds, making gold look pretty attractive. If Trump's policies stir up inflation or global uncertainty, even better for gold. gold's been on a nice climb last week, bouncing back from where it should dip, which suggests there's strong buying interest. If it keeps this up, breaking past the current highs near 2790, we might just see it hit that 3,000 mark. But remember, this is all speculative; gold can be as unpredictable as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs. Keep an eye on those FOMC meetings and any geopolitical drama; that's where the real action could come from.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Trump and the Impact on the Forex MarketTrump and the Impact on the Forex Market: Which Currencies Are Affected? Donald Trump's election as President of the United States has often had a significant impact on global financial markets, including the forex market, which is particularly sensitive to political, economic and geopolitical developments. Forex is the largest and most liquid market in the world, where currencies are traded in real time, and any global event, such as a presidential election, can generate volatility. In this article, we will analyze the impact that Trump's return to the White House could have on the forex market and which currency pairs could see the most movement. The Context of Trump's Election Donald Trump is known for his economic approach focused on economic nationalism and expansionary fiscal policy. During his previous administration, the focus on tax cuts, deregulation and a trade war with China had a profound impact on global currencies. Trump has also repeatedly expressed his willingness to keep the dollar weak to boost US exports, often criticizing the Federal Reserve for its monetary policies. With his return to the presidency, one could expect a further push towards aggressive economic policies, such as tax cuts, fiscal stimulus and a greater emphasis on protectionism. This could have a knock-on effect on the US dollar and other related currencies. Most Affected Currency Pairs Below, we analyze the major forex pairs that could be most affected by Trump's inauguration: 1. EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) The EUR/USD, the most traded pair in the world, is likely to be one of the most volatile. Trump Effect: If Trump continues to push for expansionary fiscal policies, the dollar could weaken in the short term due to expectations of rising government debt. However, in the event of a more hawkish agenda from the Fed, the dollar could strengthen. Geopolitical Focus: Any tensions between the United States and the European Union (related to trade tariffs or regulatory policies) could lead to a depreciation of the euro against the dollar. 2. USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen) The Japanese yen, considered a safe haven currency, will be strongly affected. Trump Effect: An increase in global uncertainty or geopolitical tensions could strengthen the yen against the dollar. However, a rise in US Treasury yields could push the dollar higher. Likely Scenario: Trump's aggressive pro-growth policies could initially weaken the dollar against the yen, but a rise in US interest rates could reverse the trend. 3. USD/CNY (US Dollar/Chinese Yuan) The trade war between the United States and China has been a central focus of the Trump administration. Trump Effect: A return of protectionist policies, such as tariffs on Chinese goods, could lead to a devaluation of the yuan. This could push the USD/CNY pair to new highs, increasing tensions in the Asian markets. Trader Focus: Traders will need to closely monitor Trump’s statements regarding trade relations with China. 4. GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar) The British pound will be influenced mainly by post-Brexit trade relations. Trump Effect: If Trump takes a more hawkish approach in relations with the UK, a devaluation of the pound could occur. However, an improvement in Anglo-American trade relations could support a strengthening of the GBP against the dollar. 5. AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar) The AUD is often considered a proxy for global growth, given Australia’s dependence on exporting raw materials. Trump Effect: Trade tensions between the US and China could hurt the Australian dollar. However, higher US infrastructure spending could support commodity prices and strengthen the AUD. 6. USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc) The Swiss Franc, another safe haven currency, is sensitive to global uncertainties. Trump Effect: If Trump’s inauguration leads to political or economic instability, the CHF could appreciate against the dollar. Thanks for reading this article, as always, if you have any questions, please feel free. Sincerely, Andrea Russo
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
15
Artificial Intelligence in Forex Trading: the Future Hello readers, my name is Andrea Russo, and I’m a passionate Forex trader with years of experience in the financial markets. Today, I want to talk to you about a topic that has recently captured the attention of many traders: the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into Forex trading. AI isn’t just a trend; it’s a transformative technology that is changing how we analyze markets and make trading decisions. In this article, I’ll walk you through the benefits, challenges, and future potential of AI in the Forex market, based on my own experiences. The Benefits of Artificial Intelligence in Forex Trading 1. Real-Time Data Analysis One of the most powerful aspects of AI is its ability to process and analyze massive amounts of data in real time. In the Forex market, where every second matters, this speed can make the difference between profit and loss. For example, advanced algorithms can analyze economic news, price movements, and technical indicators simultaneously, identifying trading opportunities instantly. Personally, I’ve used AI-powered tools to monitor currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, gaining reliable and rapid trading signals. 2. Eliminating Human Error How many times have you made emotional decisions while trading? It’s happened to me too, but AI has significantly reduced this issue. Algorithms don’t get influenced by fear or greed—they execute trades based purely on predefined logic and concrete data. 3. Adapting to Market Conditions Another advantage I’ve noticed is AI’s ability to adapt quickly. For instance, a machine learning system can adjust strategies according to market changes, shifting from trend-following techniques to range-bound strategies without any human intervention. 4. Detecting Advanced Patterns We all know how crucial it is to spot technical patterns on charts. Thanks to neural networks, AI can identify complex signals that even the most experienced traders might miss. I’ve tested a deep learning system that recognizes divergences between RSI and price action, delivering impressive results. The Challenges of Artificial Intelligence 1. Data Quality The effectiveness of an AI system depends on the quality of the data used to train it. I’ve encountered algorithms that delivered inconsistent results because they were based on incomplete or outdated historical data. It’s essential to ensure that your data is accurate and representative of current market conditions. 2. Overfitting Issues Overfitting is a problem I’ve faced personally: during backtesting, a system performed exceptionally well on historical data but failed in live markets. This happens when a model is too tailored to past data and can’t handle new scenarios effectively. 3. Technical Complexity Not every trader has the technical skills to develop an AI system from scratch. Initially, I had to rely on specialized software providers. It’s crucial to choose reliable tools and at least understand the basics of how they work. 4. Dependence on Technology Lastly, over-reliance on technology can become a risk. I always recommend maintaining human oversight over automated systems to avoid surprises caused by bugs or unforeseen market events. The Future of Artificial Intelligence in Forex Trading Looking ahead, I’m convinced that AI will become an even more integral part of Forex trading. Among the most exciting innovations, I believe we’ll see: Multimodal Learning: Systems that integrate numerical data, textual information, and charts to deliver comprehensive analyses. Integration with Blockchain: To enhance the security and transparency of transactions. Advanced Personalization: Algorithms will be able to create tailor-made strategies for each trader, based on their goals and risk tolerance. Conclusion As a trader and technology enthusiast, I’m excited about the possibilities AI offers. However, I firmly believe that the key to success lies in finding a balance between automation and human oversight. If you’re considering integrating AI into your trading strategies, I recommend starting with simple tools, testing the results, and most importantly, continuing to develop your skills. Thank you for reading this article! I hope my experiences and insights prove useful to you. If you have any questions or want to share your opinions, feel free to leave a comment below. Best regards, Andrea Russo
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
AUDJPY - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D and 1W key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
EUR/USD: Awaits Key Economic Data for Future DirectionThe EUR/USD currency pair commenced the week on a strong upward trajectory, demonstrating significant gains on Monday. This bullish momentum follows a period during which the pair successfully reached a previous profit target in a designated demand zone. However, despite this recent uplift, the EUR/USD remains trapped within two crucial supply zones, regions that may serve as resistance points capable of inducing a pullback as the pair seeks to sustain its broader bearish trend. As the day unfolds, market participants will be closely monitoring several pivotal economic indicators from the United States that could significantly influence the trajectory of the USD and, by extension, the EUR/USD pair. Among these reports, the ISM Services PMI for December and the JOLTS Job Openings data for November are expected to take center stage. Analysts have projected that the ISM Services PMI will rise to 53, an improvement from the 52.1 recorded in November. The importance of this report cannot be understated. A reading below 50 would signal a contraction in the services sector, potentially triggering renewed selling pressure on the USD and providing a lift to the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, a robust print of 55 or more could bolster the USD's strength, helping it to find a solid footing and potentially limiting any upward movement in the EUR/USD. In addition to the ISM Services PMI, the JOLTS Job Openings data will also be scrutinized, as this metric provides insights into the labor market's health. A decrease in job openings could suggest a cooling labor market, further weighing on the USD. Conversely, a significant increase in openings might affirm the Federal Reserve's steadfast approach to monetary policy, further reinforcing the dollar's standing. Given the current environment, our analysis leans towards the expectation of a potential bearish continuation for the EUR/USD pair. The interplay of the anticipated economic data and the prevailing technical resistance levels will be critical in determining the pair's next moves—particularly as traders navigate the complex dynamics of supply and demand. As we look ahead, vigilance and adaptability will be key for market participants seeking to capitalize on the fluctuations in this major currency pair. Our Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
4
EUR/USD Pair: Market Sentiment Ahead of Employment ReportAs I draft this article during the London trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair is showing a bearish trend, hovering around the 1.0300 mark. The focus of the market later today will shift to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is set to release its employment report for December. Analysts anticipate that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will increase by 164,000, a decrease from November's impressive rise of 227,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%. Another point of interest will be the Average Hourly Earnings on a month-over-month basis, which currently forecasts a lower value compared to previous reports. If the NFP figure surpasses 200,000, we could see a significant uptick in the US dollar as traders position themselves ahead of the weekend, potentially driving the EUR/USD lower. Conversely, if the NFP falls short of expectations with a reading below 150,000, we may witness a reversal in the dollar's strength, which could provide upward momentum for the EUR/USD pair. In the event that the NFP aligns closely with market predictions, the unemployment rate's fluctuation could play a critical role in determining the dollar's value; an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate may weaken the currency, while a drop could bolster it. From a technical analysis standpoint, we maintain a bearish outlook on the Euro, and there is potential for us to reach our first take profit level today. Market participants will be keenly observing the data as it could significantly influence trading decisions in the hours ahead. My previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? In the GBPUSD chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards the broken zone. Considering the price structure and the descending trendline, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
16
Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen. Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors. In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar. USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference: ✅ Please share your thoughts about JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6J1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
LONG Position on EUR/NOK: Analysis and RationaleHello readers, my name is Andrea Russo, and today I want to share with you my latest trading decision: opening a LONG position on EUR/NOK. After conducting a thorough market analysis, I decided to enter this trade based on clear signals from different timeframes. Here is a detailed overview of my observations and the rationale behind this choice: 1-Hour Chart (1H): On the 1-hour chart, I identified an oversold signal in the Wave Trend indicator. This tool is known for pinpointing potential trend reversals, and in this case, it suggests a likely bullish rebound in the short term. 4-Hour Chart (4H): On the 4-hour chart, the price broke above the Alligator indicator configuration. This breakout often signals the start of a stronger upward trend, which gave me further confidence in the bullish momentum. Daily Chart (1D): On the daily chart, we are situated in a well-defined bullish zone. This confirms that the long-term trend is favorable for a LONG position. These three combined signals reinforce my decision to go long on EUR/NOK. Analyzing multiple timeframes provides me with a clearer perspective and helps minimize risks, ensuring that I trade with a well-structured strategy.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150 EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020 USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465 XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
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