EURAUD: Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
Update for EURAUD.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed Change of Character on a daily
and a violation of a significant resistance.
Today, we see a retest of a broken structure.
The price formed a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke its resistance line.
We can expect growth now.
Next goal - 1.662
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Forex-trading
Xauusd The daily chart for XAU/USD offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, with the pair still meeting intraday buyers around a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA). Technical indicators, in the meantime, lack directional strength, with the Momentum indicator stuck around its 100 line and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator consolidating at around 58. Finally, the 100 and 200 SMAs keep grinding higher, far below the current level, limiting the bearish potential in the wider perspectiv
Gold now sell 2516
Support 2500
Resistance 2525
EUR/USD: BofA’s Expectations for This Week Bank of America (BofA) is in line with market expectations, predicting that the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce a 25-basis point rate cut in its decision this week.
BofA also foresees a modest downside risk for the EUR, driven by a potential dovish shift in the ECB's forward guidance.
In the EUR/USD, recent price action saw lower lows and lower highs on the four-hour chart, hinting at a possible bearish reversal and signaling the end of the bullish trend.
An important question: What might happen at the next test of the 1.1000 level? This level was a key battleground for the pair in 2023.
Calm in the Chaos: Handling Panic During Trading ChallengesPanic can manifest in trading when unexpected events occur, such as sudden news announcements or price reversals. During these moments, traders are often prone to making impulsive decisions, such as adjusting stop-loss orders, prematurely closing trades at a loss, or holding onto losing positions for too long. This kind of panic can severely impact one’s emotional and psychological well-being. While external factors can provoke these feelings, it is crucial for traders to learn how to manage their emotional responses.
📍 Strategies for Managing Panic in Trading
Although the following tips may seem obvious, they are frequently overlooked, particularly during moments of panic. Acknowledging their importance can help traders regain composure and make rational decisions.
1. Deep Breathing Techniques
Begin by taking a deep breath in through your nose, counting slowly to four. Hold your breath for a few seconds, then exhale slowly through your mouth while counting to four. Repeat this process several times until your breathing becomes more even and calm. By focusing on your breath, you can help your nervous system relax, allowing you space to regain clarity.
2. Distraction
Engaging in an alternate activity that requires concentration can be beneficial. Puzzles, reading, or even listening to calming music or nature sounds can divert your attention from the stressful situation at hand. Joining online forums for discussion can also serve as a useful escape, allowing you to clear your mind and gain perspective.
3. Rational Analysis
Take a moment to evaluate the situation by asking questions such as: “What specifically is causing my panic?” and “What are the real risks involved?” It may turn out that the circumstances aren't as dire as they appear. Create a list of potential solutions and their implications, providing a clearer view of your options. Writing down pros and cons can further aid in rationalizing your thoughts.
4. Set Realistic Goals
Establish clear and achievable objectives for each trading session. Avoid setting expectations for unrealistically high profits in a short timeframe. Recognize that losses are an inherent part of trading; anticipating them can make dealing with panic more manageable.
5. Incorporate Relaxation Techniques
Regular meditation, yoga, or stretching exercises can help alleviate physical tension and improve emotional control. Techniques such as aromatherapy or taking warm baths can also promote relaxation. For those experiencing chronic tension, these practices may offer lasting relief from panic attacks.
6. Cultivate Positive Thinking
Shift your mindset by replacing negative thoughts with affirmations. Instead of telling yourself, “I will lose everything,” reinforce the belief that “I can control my risks.” Recall past instances where you successfully managed stressful situations and celebrate small victories in your trading journey. Building self-esteem based on real accomplishments is essential, as both inflated and diminished self-worth can hinder decision-making.
7. Limit Exposure to News and Social Media
During periods of market panic, news and social media can be rife with negative information, exacerbating your anxiety. Consider avoiding these sources until you regain your composure.
8. Understand You're Not Alone
It's important to remember that all traders experience panic from time to time—it's a normal part of the trading landscape. Acknowledging this reality can help prevent panic from obstructing your capacity to make informed decisions.
📍 Conclusion
Maintaining composure in the face of panic is critical for effective trading. While it may feel easier to take no action during such times, doing so can adversely affect your mental health. Developing strategies to manage your emotions is essential not only for your trading success but also for your overall well-being. By practicing these techniques, traders can learn to navigate the high-stakes world of trading with greater confidence and resilience.
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CADCHF: Important Breakout 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF formed a huge descending triangle pattern on a daily.
Bearish breakout of its neckline on Friday is an important event
that signifies a strength of the sellers and a highly probable
bearish continuation.
I will look for selling from a supply area based on a broken support
and a falling trend line
Next goal - 0.6167
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XAU may rise further in the short termGold is under pressure from weakness in global equities. However, the trend in gold prices remains bullish and these losses are only corrective. on the yellow metal’s resistance levels above $2,510/oz and expect gold prices to break $2,543/oz soon. The current environment is risky for most popular commodities and gold offers the best protection against depreciation. Accordingly, gold stands out as the commodity where Goldman Sachs has the highest confidence in the near-term upside. They continue to maintain their upside target of $2,700/oz by early 2025 and have opened a gold trading recommendation for three reasons.
USDCAD - Set and Forget1. Objective:
The objective is to enter a sell trade and ride the expected downward trend to the Wave 5 completion.
2. Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
1.35880: Major resistance level (D1 R) above Wave 4.
Support Levels:
1.32672: Key support level (D1 S) and the expected completion of Wave 5.
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss):
1.35880, the resistance level, as a break above this would invalidate the expected downward move and signal that the Wave 4 correction is still in play.
3. Entry Strategy:
Entry Point (Sell Stop): 1.34990
This level is slightly below the current price and the confirmation sell stop level indicated on the chart, signaling the start of the bearish breakout.
4. Profit Targets:
First Target (Conservative): 1.34000
This is a minor level, providing a conservative target in case the move takes time to develop fully.
Second Target (Aggressive): 1.32672
This is the key support level (D1 S) and the expected completion of Wave 5, making it the aggressive target for the full downward move.
5. Stop Loss:
Stop-Loss Level: 1.35880
Set above the resistance level of 1.35880 to protect against further upward movement in case the analysis is invalidated.
6. Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk: 89 pips (from 1.34990 entry to 1.35880 stop-loss).
Reward for Target 1: 99 pips (from 1.34990 entry to 1.34000).
Reward for Target 2: 232 pips (from 1.34990 entry to 1.32672).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target 1: 1:1.11 (for a conservative target, acceptable).
Target 2: 1:2.6 (for an aggressive target, highly favorable).
Conclusion:
Strategy: Enter a Sell Stop at 1.34990, with a stop-loss at 1.35880.
Profit Targets: First target at 1.34000 and second target at 1.32672.
This plan offers a strong risk-reward ratio, particularly when targeting the extended move to 1.32672, which aligns with the completion of Wave 5.
This trading plan provides a clear structure, strong risk management, and high probability of success based on the current wave structure analysis.
Trading Suggestion
Sell Stop
Entry Level: 1.34900
Stop Level: 1.35700
Profit Level: 1.32700
AUDCAD: Time to Drop Lower 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD was consolidating within a horizontal range for 2 weeks.
The release of high impact fundamental news earlier this week
made the pair bearish.
The price managed to break and close below a support of the range on a daily.
We can expect a bearish movement now.
Next support - 90.5
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EURUSD, what is next baby? Show me some loveEURUSD
FA: few things that pushing down EUR are business sentiment and inflation in services
1. According to the European Commission, the overall Eurozone business sentiment index increased to 96.6 points vs 96 before. Business climate in industry is already in the area of local lows -9.7 vs -10.5. The most stable segment, services.
2. Everything but energy is rising on a year-over-year basis. The main components of annual inflation in August are highest in services 4.2% vs 4.0 in June, followed by food, alcohol and tobacco 2.4% vs 2.3%, industrial goods 0.4% vs 0.7%, energy -3.0% vs 1.2%
TA: After taking global swing and top of global range at 1.114 EUR made a deviation and closed on weekly time frame inside of this range which consider to me as a reversal, i would love to see 0.5 test of this global range in next few weeks
Locally EUR has a reversal and has downtrend on 1h time frame with first potential target as daily FVG at 1.08932-1.0837. Keep in mind there might be some manipulation till 1.1093 area at the beginning of the month before further move downwards.
If 1.1032 lvl will be failed and I will see aggressive movement down, i will be looking for short position till daily FVG
But overall I am bearish on EURUSD unless i see reversal pattern on 1h time frame (double shift) then my plan will be canceled and i will be looking for long positions
GBPUSD - Set and ForgetElliott Wave Count:
Wave 1-3: The impulsive movement upwards is clear, with Wave 3 being the most extended.
Wave 4: A corrective phase, consolidating near the support level around 1.31000.
Wave 5 (Projected): The anticipated upward move, targeting the 1.34024 resistance level, which marks a key zone for the completion of the Elliott Wave cycle.
Key Levels:
Support Level (S1 H4): 1.31000, marking the bottom of Wave 4.
Resistance Levels (R2 H4): 1.32660 and 1.34024, representing potential targets for the projected Wave 5.
Confirmation (Buy Stop): Set above the trendline break at 1.31300 to confirm the upward move.
Entry Strategy:
Buy Stop Order: Place a buy stop at 1.31300, slightly above the current price to confirm the breakout of the corrective phase and the start of Wave 5.
Target:
Take Profit: Set your take profit at 1.34024, which is the upper resistance level and the projected completion of Wave 5.
Stop Loss:
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the support at 1.31000 to protect against any false breakouts or downward continuation.
EURGBP: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is currently stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
The price is consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
With a release of US PMI, we see a positive bullish reaction and a test
of the resistance of the range.
Its bullish breakout and a 4H candle close above will provide a strong bullish signal.
A confirmed violation will open a potential for a further bullish continuation.
Next goal will be - 0.845
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range may trigger a bearish movement lower.
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NASDAQ100US100 has been ranging since last week, I would like to see it drop before it rallies to new highs, though it is simple for nas100 to reach our SL because our entry is exposed and in sync with 97% of retail traders who sold simply because resistance zone, we are part of liquidity into this trade and market algo price machine is mostly likely to take us out.Use low lots and proper risk management. Lets Download Success
NASDAQ100US100 has been ranging since last week, I would like to see it drop before it rallies to new highs, though it is simple for nas100 to reach our SL because our entry is exposed and in sync with 97% of retail traders who sold simply because resistance zone, we are part of liquidity into this trade and market algo price machine is mostly likely to take us out.Use low lots and proper risk management. Lets Download Success
Understanding The Gambling Mindset In TradingGambling addiction is a pathological and uncontrollable urge to gamble, characterized by an inability to manage emotions and a failure to stop in time, often leading to intense emotional outbursts in response to negative outcomes. Initially, this term was used within the context of gambling to describe a situation where an individual experiences rage and loses control over themselves and their surroundings, often resulting in rapid financial loss. However, with the rise of various tools and strategies in Forex and prop trading, this term has also become relevant for traders.
📍 How to Learn to Conquer Your Impulses
Signs of Gambling Addiction:
1. Irresistible Urge to Bet: A compulsive need to place bets or open positions at any cost, often without grasping the potential consequences. This feeling is driven by a deep-seated excitement and the inner voice saying, “I just want to!”
2. Intense Emotional Responses: Dramatic fluctuations in mood, often resembling hysteria, can occur alongside the betting behavior.
3. Despair and Euphoria: A cycle of self-destructive feelings, manifesting as despair or euphoric highs, regardless of financial outcomes.
It's important to recognize that gambling addiction yields no positive results, whether a trader wins or loses money.
📍 Causes of Gambling Addiction:
1. Illusion of Easy Profits: Many brokers use aggressive marketing techniques, such as promotions and bonuses, to attract newcomers. Initial successes in trading can create a false sense of euphoria, leading traders to become overconfident. This complacency can result in careless mistakes and a quick depletion of their accounts. Experienced traders understand that a few profits should not lead to complacency.
2. All-In Betting Mentality: Traders who have something to lose and lack self-control may find it difficult to admit defeat. This can lead to placing high-stakes bets in the hope that luck will ultimately favor them. It’s not uncommon for desperate traders to resort to loans, further exacerbating their financial situations.
3. Innate Psychotype: Certain personality traits may predispose individuals to gambling addiction. Those who thrive on risk may be more susceptible to compulsive trading behaviors.
In trading, a clear sign of gambling addiction is a reliance on risky strategies, such as the Martingale system, paired with a lack of a coherent trading strategy or effective risk management practices. These tendencies can lead to significant financial harm and emotional distress.
📍 Consequences of Gambling:
• Loss of Deposit: This is often the immediate financial consequence, leading to significant monetary losses for traders.
• Self-Disappointment: Many traders experience profound disappointment not just with their trading outcomes, but also with themselves. This can lead to feelings of discouragement, stress, and apathy.
• Emotional Turmoil: The emotional rollercoaster of trading can be intense, characterized by highs of euphoria and lows of despair.
📍 How to Reduce Emotional Dependence in Forex Trading:
1. Invest Only What You Can Afford to Lose: Limit your investments to funds that won't impact your financial stability if lost. This helps alleviate pressure and allows for a more rational approach to trading.
2. Set and Adhere to Limits: Establish clear profitability targets and consistently stick to them. If your target is met, close the position without awaiting a potential trend reversal.
3. Recognize and Learn from Mistakes: Develop the ability to assess unprofitable positions realistically. Close losing trades rather than clinging to the hope of a reversal.
4. Maintain Emotional Control: If you experience anger or a strong urge to recover losses, take a break from trading. Stepping back can help clear your mind and reduce impulsive decisions.
5. Develop a Risk Management Strategy: Create a clear plan that details your lot sizes, risk per trade, and stop-loss lengths. Ensure you test this strategy using a demo account to refine your approach without financial risk.
Accountability. Remember that in 90% of trading failures, the responsibility lies with the trader, not the broker or the trading platform. Recognizing your role in trading outcomes can empower you to make informed and responsible decisions moving forward.
📍 Summary
Individuals struggling with gambling addiction, heightened emotionality, and an inability to calculate risks should refrain from participating in trading. Forex operates as a zero-sum game, where the financial resources of some traders are transferred to others. Success in this environment is reserved for those who approach trading with a cold-blooded, pragmatic mindset and the ability to analyze situations several steps in advance. Continuous improvement in knowledge and emotional discipline is essential for achieving success in the Forex market. Emphasizing strategic decision-making and risk management is crucial for long-term prosperity in trading.
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NZD Approaches Key Supply Zone: A Potential Short OpportunityThe New Zealand dollar is approaching a critical supply area that has captured our attention, signaling a potential opportunity to set up a short position. This zone is key, and we are closely monitoring for a possible test of this area to confirm our bearish setup. However, it's important to note that the price may reverse before reaching this point of interest, as other correlated currencies against the U.S. Dollar (DXY) have already begun to show signs of reversal.
This correlation between the New Zealand dollar and other currencies in relation to the U.S. Dollar strengthens the likelihood of a potential downturn before our targeted area is tested. As the DXY starts to gain momentum, the pressure on the New Zealand dollar could increase, leading to an earlier-than-expected reversal.
Given these market dynamics, we are prepared to act quickly should the price show signs of turning before reaching our anticipated level. This situation highlights the importance of flexibility and vigilance in our trading strategy, as the interplay between correlated currencies can often signal shifts in market direction.
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MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPCAD, GBPNZD
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD looks heavily overbought after a recent strong bullish rally.
The price started a correctional movement and broke a solid rising trend line.
I think that the pair will continue the correction to lower levels.
2️⃣ EURJPY daily time frame 🇪🇺🇯🇵
I see a classic bearish accumulation pattern - a descending triangle formation.
Bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a daily candle close below
that will be an important event that will most likely trigger a strong bearish reaction.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of a trend line can be a strong bullish signal
3️⃣GBPCAD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇦
The price formed an inverted cup & handle pattern after a test of a key daily
horizontal resistance.
A breakout of the neckline of the pattern signifies a highly probable continuation
of a retracement from the underlined read area.
4️⃣ GBPNZD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿
I see a confirmed breakout of a neckline of a huge descending triangle formation.
The broken structure and a falling trend line compose a contracting supply zone now.
I will expect a bearish movement from that to lower structure levels.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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CADCHF - Trend ContinuationThis is a downtrend continuation trade I'm eyeing over on the CADCHF pair. Although the ADX is declining, I think this is a small pause before we see momentum accelerate again. Price failed to reverse to the upside and I'm timing this entry as price breaks below new lows.
TP: 75 pips (2x ADR)
SL: 30 pips
Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data? Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data?
Gold prices slipped over 0.7% on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar rebounded, setting the stage for a pivotal close to the month with key inflation data on the horizon.
Markets are bracing for the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. The PCE data, due on Friday, is expected to show a slight uptick, according to consensus estimates. If the U.S. economic data continues to show signs of weakness, it could bolster gold’s recent uptrend, fueling speculation that the Fed might consider a larger rate cut in September.
Despite Wednesday's dip, gold's upward trajectory possibly remains largely intact. The metal briefly dipped below $2,500 but quickly rebounded. If prices remain above this level, the next significant resistance lies at the all-time high of $2,531.