GBP_CAD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GBP_CAD broke the rising
Support line after trading in an
Uptrend for a long time so
We will be awaiting a long
Overdue correction and a
Move down on Monday
Towards the target of 1.8500
SHORT🔥
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Forex-trading
GBP-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell Limit!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD was trading in an
Uptrend and the pair was locally
Overbought so as we are seeing
A bearish breakout we are
Locally bearish biased
And we can set a Sell Limit
Order at 1.8649 with the
Target being 1.8465
And the Stop Loss at 1.8773
Slightly above the local high
Sell!
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$DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! 🌞 DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?
With the DXY at 103.732, is the dollar flexing its muscles or ready to stumble? Let’s break it down! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: 103.732 as of Mar 14, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Near recent levels, down from 110.18 peak (web data) 📏
• Sector Trend: Forex markets volatile, with trade and policy shifts 🌟
It’s a wild ride—dollar’s dancing on the edge! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Role: Measures USD vs. euro, yen, pound, and more 🏆
• Influence: Drives forex and commodity prices globally ⏰
• Trend: Balancing U.S. policy and global demand, per data 🎯
King of currencies, but not without challengers! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff talks ongoing, per data 🌍
• Rate Cut Bets: Markets eyeing Fed moves, per posts on X 📋
• Market Reaction: Holding steady at 103.732 amid mixed signals 💡
Navigating a storm of global pressures! 🛳️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Rate Cuts: Could weaken dollar if Fed acts, per X sentiment 🔍
• Trade Wars: Tariffs disrupting supply chains, per data 📉
• Global Growth: Slowdowns hitting demand for USD ❄️
It’s a tightrope—risks aplenty! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Reserve Status: USD’s global dominance holds firm 🥇
• U.S. Economy: Still a powerhouse, supporting dollar value 📊
• Safe Haven: Attracts flows in uncertain times, per trends 🔧
Got muscle to flex when it counts! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Vulnerable to rate cuts, trade spats 📉
• Opportunities: Strong U.S. data could lift it higher, per outlook 📈
Can it hold the line or break out? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
DXY at 103.732—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: 105+ soon, dollar rallies 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: 100 looms, dollar dips 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
The DXY’s 103.732 shows it’s steady but tested 📈. Trade wars and Fed moves could swing it either way—dips are our DCA gold 💰. Buy low, ride high—time’s the key! Gem or bust?
EUR-AUD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and we are now
Seeing a nice bullish reaction
From the horizontal support
Of 1.7153 which reinforces our
Bullish bias and we will be
Expecting the pair grow more
With the target of 1.7417
Buy!
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EUR/USD: Insights and Tactics from My Perspective.Last week, the US Dollar experienced significant downward pressure due to discouraging macroeconomic data coupled with US President Donald Trump's tariff strategies, which raised concerns about a possible economic decline in the United States. As I compose this article, the dollar stands at around 103.710, and it appears poised to approach one of the two Demand Weekly Areas marked on the chart (link included below), where a pullback could trigger a shift in market dynamics.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that Nonfarm Payrolls grew by 151,000 in February, falling short of the projected 160,000 increase. Moreover, the Unemployment Rate slightly rose to 4.1%, up from January's 4%. Additionally, annual wage inflation decreased to 4%, down from 4.9% in the prior period.
Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair has taken advantage of the dollar's decline, currently trading at 1.08490 as I write this, with the rate moving closer to one of the established Supply Areas. For further clarity, the Futures 6E1 chart provides additional context, as seen in the link below.
Looking ahead, the US economic calendar is set to include the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, which will be released on Wednesday.
As I anticipate this upcoming economic data, my approach for the EUR/USD involves waiting for the price to reach one of the identified supply zones. I plan to observe how the DXY behaves as it concurrently approaches the Demand area, keeping an eye out for potential reactions at these crucial levels before formulating any trading strategies.
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Gold Rallies Past $2,980 as Trade and Inflation Risks MountGold surged above $2,980 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high and poised for a 2% weekly gain amid risk aversion and rising Fed rate cut expectations. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU imposed a 50% tax on U.S. whiskey. February's PPI and CPI data signaled easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts and boosting gold’s appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at $2,985, with further levels at $3000 and $3,050. Support is at $2,930, followed by $2,900 and $2,860.
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk)
The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection.
The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike.
2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation)
The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback.
If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable.
3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern)
The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down.
A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower.
4. Momentum Shift
RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path):
If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840:
Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760.
Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view:
Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario:
Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher.
Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks.
This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse.
2. Support Weakening:
The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times.
Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense.
A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets:
First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support).
Extended target: 2880–2885 zone.
3. Volume Divergence:
Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher.
Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950.
4. Potential Bearish Formation:
Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
Yen Benefits from Dollar's Broad RetreatThe Japanese yen held around 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from the dollar’s decline on a stronger euro and Trump’s tariff policies. His selective tariff exemptions and retaliatory measures weakened the dollar further.
Domestically, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested possible rate hikes if economic projections align but emphasized that Japan’s monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, with only minimal reductions in government bond holdings.
Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 147.10, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong
The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level.
If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward.
2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible
Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00.
US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend.
3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet
If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection.
Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish
4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength
If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold
The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery.
If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength.
2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible
There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation.
A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher.
3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected
The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone.
Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower.
4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias
If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline.
2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K).
3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+.
4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
NZDCHF: Intraday Bearish Reversal Confirmed?! 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF formed an intraday bearish Change of Character
on an hourly time frame after a completion of a strong bullish wave.
I think that the market is going to correct and move down.
Goal - 0.5067
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Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
GBP/USD IS GOING TO MELT !!!!!!!!!
GBP/USD
Daily analysis
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Our sells unfortunately got smoked. Do I think she will drop? Maybe, but for me I have no other entries for the bears and selling on my end is done. These current bears should (theoretically) push price down but we shall see. It seems like the sellers want a cheaper selling point, hence the bulls pushing price high and higher. But for me those were my last bearish plays. I will be now only focused on the bulls to end the week strong.
Regards,
MR.OAZB
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing.
As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc).
Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels.
Two possible road maps for the week, a or b?
As always price action determines trades.