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USD/JPY Overheated: Indicators Signal Potential ReversalThe USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a potential reversal as price action appears to be overheating. This is most evident in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators, both of which are in overbought conditions and exhibiting divergence. These technical signals suggest that the current upward momentum may be running out of steam. Japanese authorities are closely monitoring the situation and are poised for intervention if necessary. However, they are likely to wait and see if upcoming US economic data releases on Thursday and Friday will naturally ease the pressure without requiring direct action. This cautious approach allows them to avoid unnecessary intervention unless it becomes absolutely necessary. In the meantime, we are looking to anticipate this potential reversal by considering a short position. The combination of overbought technical indicators and the likelihood of Japanese intervention, alongside the potential influence of forthcoming US data, creates a favorable scenario for a bearish trade setup. By positioning ourselves ahead of these developments, we aim to capitalize on a possible downturn in the USD/JPY pair.
Short
by FOREXN1
2
GBP/AUD Poised for Bullish Rebound: Technical Strategic InsightsLast week, the GBP/AUD currency pair mirrored the movement of the GBP/USD main pair, experiencing a notable rebound around the 1.9000 demand area. This area has proven to be a significant support level, reinforced by the stochastic indicator on the H8 timeframe plus a bullish divergence, which shows an oversold condition. This technical signal aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, where the price reacted with a strong bullish candle, indicating a potential upward momentum. The price is currently situated in a discount area, making it an attractive opportunity for a long position. Using a Supply & Demand strategy, we aim to capitalize on this potential bullish impulse. The confluence of technical indicators and the historical behavior of the price at this level support our long setup strategy. Given these factors, we are looking to enter a long position, anticipating that the GBP/AUD pair will continue its upward trajectory. This strategic approach leverages the robust demand area, the oversold condition indicated by the stochastic, and the significant Fibonacci level, creating a compelling case for a bullish rebound.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD Breakdown Analysis 1.21RR% - Comprehensive Multi-TimeHello Traders, In today's breakdown of the GBP/USD pair, I share an in-depth analysis covering both higher and lower time frames. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this video aims to provide valuable insights and education to enhance your trading skills. Key Points Covered: 1. Higher Time Frame Analysis: - Overview of the current trend and key support and resistance levels. - Examination of major chart patterns and their implications. - Long-term price action and fundamental factors influencing the pair. 2. Lower Time Frame Analysis: - Detailed look at recent price movements and short-term trends. - Identification of potential entry and exit points based on technical indicators. - Strategies for intraday and swing trading. 3. Educational Insights: - Explanation of technical analysis concepts used in the breakdown. - Tips on how to combine multiple time frame analyses for more accurate predictions. - Practical advice for managing risk and improving trading discipline. I invite you to watch the video and share your thoughts and comments. Let's learn and grow together as a trading community! Happy Trading! Abdul Kalk Mohamed Afrideen
Short
by AfrideenAyanAimen
EUR/USD Continues to Rise Following Wednesday's PullbackThe EUR/USD pair continues to grow after experiencing a pullback on Wednesday. Traders are closely monitoring today's US Initial Jobless Claims report, which is forecasted to show a modest drop in new US jobless benefit claims to 235K from the previous 242K. Despite this anticipated decrease, the claims are still expected to exceed the four-week running average of 227K. Should the data align with the forecast, we could see a possible bullish impulse for the US Dollar. However, current technical analysis and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggest a potential continuation of the bullish sentiment for the Euro. Today's price movement saw a pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the last swing low, a significant technical indicator often associated with a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. This retracement level has provided a solid support base, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Currently, we have a bullish position already opened, and the technical indicators point to further growth potential. The COT report indicates a favorable sentiment towards the Euro, with an increase in long positions. This aligns with the technical analysis, which shows bullish momentum. The EUR/USD pair's ability to maintain above the key Fibonacci level is a positive sign, suggesting that the bulls are still in control. As we await the release of the US Initial Jobless Claims data, traders should remain vigilant for any potential market shifts. The economic news could provide additional insights and potentially impact the direction of the EUR/USD pair. However, the overall outlook remains positive for the Euro, with technical and sentiment indicators both supporting a bullish continuation. In conclusion, while the upcoming US jobless claims data might introduce some volatility, the EUR/USD pair appears poised for further gains. The pullback to the 50% Fibonacci level has reinforced support, and with a bullish position already in play, there is a strong possibility for continued upward movement. Traders should keep an eye on the economic news release for further clues but remain optimistic about the Euro's prospects.
Long
by FOREXN1
5
USD/CAD Poised for Bullish Impulse Amid Key Economic Data ReleasAhead of the release of key economic data, including the CAD CPI m/m, Median CPI y/y, Trimmed CPI y/y, and the USD CB Consumer Confidence, the USD/CAD is making a notable bullish impulse around the 1.3680 level. This move aligns with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels from the last swing, along with a confluence of resistance in this area, where the price is positioned below the 50 Moving Average on the H4 timeframe. Key Economic Data Insights Canadian CPI Expectations: Statistics Canada is set to release the top-tier Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. The annual rate of CPI is expected to rise to 2.6% in May, slightly down from April’s 2.7% increase. On a monthly basis, CPI inflation is anticipated to ease to 0.3% from April’s 0.5% growth. The core CPI, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, showed no growth over the month in April. The Bank of Canada (BoC) will also release its core Consumer Price Index data. The annual BoC core CPI inflation is expected to remain steady at 1.6%, while the monthly BoC core CPI is projected to increase by 0.2%. Canada’s inflation rate is likely to stay below 3.0% for the fifth consecutive month, approaching the central bank’s 2.0% target. A soft CPI report could enhance the BoC’s confidence that inflation is sustainably reaching its target, influencing market expectations for a potential rate cut next month. Market Implications and Technical Analysis If the CPI data is softer than expected, it could bolster the BoC’s confidence in a steady decline towards its inflation target, potentially leading to another rate cut. This scenario could cause the CAD to weaken, allowing the USD/CAD pair to stage a rebound toward the 1.3800 level as renewed dovish bets weigh on the CAD. Technical Outlook: Fibonacci Levels: The price action around the 1.3680 level is supported by the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels from the last swing, indicating a potential support zone. Moving Averages: The USD/CAD is trading below the 50 Moving Average on the H4 timeframe, which could act as a resistance level. Support and Resistance: The area around 1.3680 is crucial, given the confluence of Fibonacci levels and resistance, which could dictate the next move for the pair. Conclusion Given the upcoming economic data releases and the current technical setup, we are looking for a correction on the continuation in the USD/CAD pair. The interplay between the anticipated CPI data and the Bank of Canada’s potential policy response will be pivotal in shaping the near-term direction of the USD/CAD.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USDCHF: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇨🇭 Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCHF. Vertical Structures Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line Horizontal Structures Support 1: 0.882 - 0.884 area Support 2: 0.872 - 0.875 area Resistance 1: 0.898 - 0.902 area Resistance 2: 0.908 - 0.911 area Resistance 3: 0.915 - 0.916 area Resistance 4: 0.919 - 0.922 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/USD Bullish Outlook Following Double Bottom ReactionFollowing our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair showed a notable reaction to the double bottom pattern we forecasted on Friday. The price bounced off the 1.06800 level, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish impulse. This movement is further supported by the lack of high-tier data releases from the US economic docket in the second half of the day, which means that the USD's valuation is unlikely to be driven by new economic data. As a result, investors are expected to respond primarily to changes in risk perception. On Friday, PMI data from the US indicated that business activity continued to expand at a robust pace in June. This data helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength ahead of the weekend, preventing the EUR/USD pair from gaining significant traction. Given these factors, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend for EUR/USD. We will continue to monitor market developments closely and adjust our strategy as necessary to capitalize on this potential upward movement.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
ADVANTAGES OF DEX: A New Era in Cryptocurrency TradingDecentralized exchanges, or DEXs, revolutionize the way we conduct transactions by empowering counterparties to directly interact with each other without the need for a central authority. In contrast to traditional centralized exchanges (CEXs), where all transactions are controlled by a single entity, DEXs operate on the principles of smart contracts, ensuring the autonomy and decentralization of the transaction process. This decentralized approach eliminates the risk of a single point of failure, promoting a more secure, transparent, and community-driven trading experience. Binance, the world's largest centralized exchange by capitalization and trading volume, is a prime example of a traditional centralized exchange. With a clear chain of command, ownership, and management structure, this type of exchange operates under the oversight of its administrators. In contrast to DEXs, Binance requires users to undergo mandatory verification procedures, including facial recognition and recording, and stores user funds in its own accounts. This level of control and oversight makes it a prime target for regulatory bodies, which are increasingly seeking to establish clear guidelines and standards for the global crypto market. 💡 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DEX AND CEX 🗝️ THE KEY POINTS OF CEXs: ➡️ Centralized Exchanges operate under the umbrella of a centralized organization, where a clear chain of command and management structure governs all operations. This means that the exchange has direct control over user assets, with specific individuals responsible for overseeing day-to-day activities. ➡️ The registration process for CEXs typically involves verification of identity (KYC) and compliance with regulatory requirements. While some exceptions may be made for marketing purposes, such as allowing withdrawals up to a certain amount without verification, this is not the norm. As a result, exchanges may be compelled to disclose transaction data and customer account information to tax authorities, courts, or other parties upon request. ➡️ In terms of ease of use, CEXs often feature a familiar interface and rapid transaction processing times. They can also act as intermediaries, providing a guarantee for transactions and blocking funds until the trade is complete. ➡️However, this centralized approach also introduces security risks. With user assets stored on the exchange, CEXs are vulnerable to hacking attacks, which are unfortunately all too common. The hacking of centralized exchanges has become a frequent occurrence, making it essential for users to prioritize security when choosing a platform. One notable example of a centralized exchange is FTX, which was once among the top 5 largest exchanges by capitalization. However, its collapse serves as a stark reminder of the risks associated with centralized exchanges. The exchange's management was accused of misusing funds, leading to its eventual bankruptcy. In a devastating blow to users, their assets were locked, leaving them without access to their money. This incident highlights the importance of regulatory oversight and accountability in the cryptocurrency space. Centralized exchanges, like FTX, are often touted for their ease of use and security features, but they also concentrate user assets, making them vulnerable to mismanagement or even theft. The collapse of FTX is a cautionary tale for investors and users alike, emphasizing the need for due diligence when choosing a platform and the importance of transparency and accountability in the crypto industry. 🗝️ KEY POINTS OF DEXs: ⚡️ Decentralized exchanges, on the other hand, operate on a different principle. Transactions are facilitated by smart contracts, which ensures that users retain full control over their assets at all times. Unlike centralized exchanges, there is no management or authority figure that can exert influence or control over the platform. Instead, developers work alongside the cryptocurrency community to maintain and improve the operation of the exchange. ⚡️ One of the significant benefits of decentralized exchanges is the lack of need for identity verification. Users can trade directly with their cryptocurrency wallets, ensuring complete anonymity and privacy. Additionally, decentralized exchanges do not require users to register an account, making it a more convenient and secure option. ⚡️ Transparency is another key advantage of decentralized exchanges. All transactions are recorded on the blockchain, providing a public ledger of all activity. While it may be challenging for average users to access this information, it at least ensures that there is no room for abuse or manipulation. ⚡️ However, decentralized exchanges are not without their risks. Since users retain control over their assets, the risk of hacking is significantly reduced. However, vulnerabilities in smart contracts can still pose a threat to the security of the platform. Despite this, decentralized exchanges offer a more secure and transparent alternative to traditional centralized exchanges. 💡 ADVANTAGES OF DEXs 📍 One of the most significant advantages of decentralized exchanges is asset control. Unlike traditional centralized exchanges, users maintain full control over their funds, storing them securely in their own wallets. This means that users are not reliant on a third-party exchange to manage their assets, reducing the risk of hacking or theft. 📍 Another major benefit is the enhanced security offered by decentralized exchanges. Since there is no central storage of funds, the risk of an exchange being hacked is significantly reduced. This provides an added layer of protection for users, giving them greater peace of mind when trading. 📍 Decentralized exchanges also offer unparalleled anonymity. Users can trade without having to provide personal information, allowing for a level of privacy that is not typically found with centralized exchanges. 📍 Furthermore, decentralized exchanges offer a unique advantage when it comes to geographical restrictions. With no central authority, there are no restrictions on countries or regions for users, making it accessible to a global audience. 📍 Finally, decentralized exchanges provide a range of tools for earning money. While they may not offer the same breadth of options as centralized exchanges (such as margin trading, bi-currency investments, and liquid staking), they do provide a platform for buying and selling cryptocurrencies, giving users a way to engage with the market and potentially generate returns. 💡 DISADVANTAGES OF DEXs 📍 While decentralized exchanges offer many benefits, they also come with some drawbacks. One of the main limitations is speed and scalability. Due to the load on the blockchain, transactions can be slower and more expensive, which can be frustrating for users who need quick and seamless transactions. 📍 Another challenge is the interface. Decentralized exchanges often have a more complex interface compared to centralized exchanges, which can be overwhelming for new users. This may require a steeper learning curve and more technical knowledge to navigate. 📍Liquidity is also an issue with decentralized exchanges. Often, the liquidity is lower compared to centralized exchanges, resulting in higher spreads and less attractive prices for users. This can make it harder for users to find the best deals and execute trades efficiently. 📍 Furthermore, decentralized exchanges require a certain level of technical expertise from users. To use these platforms effectively, users need to have a basic understanding of cryptocurrency wallets, how they interact with the blockchain, and other technical aspects of decentralized finance. This can be a barrier to entry for those who are new to the space. 📍 Finally, decentralized exchanges are not immune to vulnerabilities. Smart contracts, which power these platforms, can be vulnerable to errors in their code. This means that risks are associated with possible errors in the code, which could compromise the security and integrity of the platform. While developers work hard to ensure the security of these contracts, it's essential for users to remain vigilant and aware of potential risks. ✅ CONCLUSION Decentralized exchanges are often referred to as "shadow exchanges," but they don't belong to the gray market category. As the cryptocurrency community continues to grow, there is a growing trend towards adopting DEXs, which operate through wallets. The benefits of this approach are numerous. For one, users don't have to worry about regulatory interference, as there is no centralized authority to govern their transactions. Secondly, users are free from the risk of their accounts being blocked or their money being refused by the exchange. On the other hand, DEXs can act as an arbitrator in disputes that may arise during transactions, providing an added layer of security and trust. However, it's essential to note that transactions conducted through DEXs are fully the responsibility of the participants involved, and any errors or frauds would fall on the shoulders of the individual parties. Ultimately, using DEXs requires a higher level of technical expertise and responsibility from users. It also means that users must take steps to withdraw their funds to instruments controlled by regulators, such as banks or other financial institutions. Despite these added complexities, the appeal of DEXs lies in their ability to offer a decentralized, secure, and transparent way to buy and sell cryptocurrencies. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it's likely that DEXs will play an increasingly important role in shaping its future. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
EURUSD 1h - Hourly Timeframe We are also in a bearish context on the hourly timeframe, aligning with all other timeframes. The primary target below is the obvious 1.067 level. Given that the target was not reached on Friday, it is likely that Monday and Tuesday will be exclusively correctional days. This pattern is not uncommon for EURUSD, where the main target isn't hit on Friday, leading to a continuation of the correction for the first two days of the week. ! (your-chart-link) Be cautious and observe how the price reacts to these levels.
Short
by yes_pls_max
EURUSD: 2 Bearish Confirmations 🇪🇺🇺🇸 I see 2 strong bearish signals on EURUSD. After a formation of a strong bearish impulse, the pair started to steadily recover within a bearish flag pattern on a 4H. The price also formed the inside bar formation within the boundaries of the flag. Today, both the support of the flag and the range of the mother's bar were broken. It is a very strong technical confirmations. I think that the market may drop to 1.069 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
GBP/USD Eyes Potential Rebound from 1.2660 Support AreaGBP/USD closed in negative territory on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak. The pair appears to find support on Friday around the 1.2660 area, a key level that could mark the beginning of a bullish rebound. Several technical indicators suggest a potential upside move from this support zone. The 1.2660 support area has emerged as a critical level where the pair seems to stabilize after recent declines. Notably, there are a couple of divergences on both the RSI and Stochastic indicators, indicating potential bullish momentum. Divergences in these indicators often signal that the prevailing trend may be weakening, paving the way for a reversal. From a technical perspective, the observed divergences in the RSI and Stochastic indicators at the 1.2660 level strengthen the case for a rebound. These indicators measure momentum and oscillation, respectively, and their divergences suggest that the selling pressure might be easing, making room for a potential upward movement. Given these technical signals, we are looking for a rebound from the 1.2660 support zone, with a potential bullish impulse in the near term. Traders should monitor the price action closely at this level for confirmation of a reversal. A sustained move above this support could trigger further gains, potentially resuming the pair's previous uptrend. In conclusion, while GBP/USD has faced recent selling pressure, the technical outlook at the 1.2660 support area suggests a possible bullish rebound. The divergences on the RSI and Stochastic indicators reinforce this view, providing a positive setup for traders looking for an upside move. As the market stabilizes, attention will be on whether the pair can leverage this support for a renewed bullish impulse.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
AUD/USD Starts New Week with Positive Tone,Rebound ExpectedThe AUD/USD pair kicked off the new week on a positive note, hinting at a potential rebound from a significant support area that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This comes after a bearish reversal observed last week, which saw the pair correcting from its previous bullish momentum. Recent Trading Activity Last week, we successfully closed a profitable position by capitalizing on the bullish impulse. Our detailed analysis and forecast, available on our page, accurately predicted the upward movement, allowing us to ride the bullish wave to its peak. Technical Analysis Currently, the AUD/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal from the support area. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, known for being a strong support level, adds further weight to this potential rebound. This Fibonacci level is often seen as a critical point where prices tend to find support and reverse, especially after a significant bearish correction. Market Sentiment and Trend Analysis Analyzing the market sentiment, an upside break this week appears marginally more likely than a downside break. This outlook is based on the observation that the trend prior to the formation of the current range was bullish. Typically, when a range forms after a strong trend, the breakout tends to follow the direction of the initial trend. Therefore, the probability of an upward breakout remains slightly higher. Trading Strategy Given the technical indicators and market sentiment, we have decided to open a bullish setup. This setup offers a positive risk/reward (R/R) ratio, making it a viable long-term trade. By positioning ourselves for a potential rebound, we aim to capitalize on the expected upward movement while managing our risk effectively.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
EUR/USD Trades Higher on Monday After Rebound from supportsThe EUR/USD currency pair experienced a notable upward movement on Monday, following a rebound from critical support levels around 1.0700 and 1.0640 during the early European session. This rebound marks a significant shift after a period of pressure, largely attributed to potential risks emerging from France's financial situation. The speculation that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) may form a new government has raised concerns over France's fiscal stability, thereby dampening the Euro's appeal. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair displayed a rejection at the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level derived from the major swing low, precisely within the support area identified last week. This rejection was further supported by a double divergence observed in both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators on the H4 timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The Fibonacci retracement level is a crucial tool used by traders to identify potential reversal levels. The 78.60% retracement level, in particular, is considered a deep retracement and often indicates strong support or resistance. The fact that the price rejected this level suggests a strong bullish sentiment among traders. Market Sentiment and Economic Factors The broader market sentiment has been influenced by political developments in France. The potential ascendancy of Marine Le Pen's National Rally to government raises significant concerns over fiscal policy changes, which could impact the overall economic stability of France and, by extension, the Eurozone. Such political uncertainties often lead to increased volatility in currency markets, as investors adjust their positions based on perceived risks. Despite the political uncertainties, no significant economic releases were scheduled for today, particularly concerning the Empire State Manufacturing Index for the USD. This absence of major economic data implies that the currency pair's movement is driven more by technical factors and geopolitical news rather than immediate economic indicators. Outlook and Future Expectations Looking ahead, traders and analysts are anticipating potential strong volatility in the EUR/USD pair as they await economic data releases in the coming days. The lack of significant economic news today leaves the pair susceptible to technical trading and news-driven volatility. Given the current technical setup and market sentiment, a bullish impulse is expected in the EUR/USD pair. The rejection of the 78.60% Fibonacci level, coupled with the double divergence in the RSI and Stochastic indicators, points towards a potential continuation of the upward trend. Traders will be closely monitoring upcoming economic releases and political developments for further cues. In summary, the EUR/USD pair's rise on Monday, following a rebound from crucial support levels, highlights the interplay between technical indicators and geopolitical factors. While the speculation surrounding France's political future weighs on the Euro, the technical rejection of key support levels suggests a potential bullish trend. As traders await more economic data, the pair is poised for further volatility, with a bullish outlook prevailing in the short term.
Long
by FOREXN1
5
EUR/USD Faces Pressure, Eyes Potential Bullish RetracementFollowing Wednesday's surge, EUR/USD reversed course and experienced significant losses on Thursday. The pair remains under pressure on Friday, trading at its lowest level since early May, just below 1.0700. This downturn reflects the broader market sentiment and the evolving economic landscape. The shift in risk sentiment helped the US Dollar (USD) gain strength during the American trading hours on Thursday. Additionally, the negative impact of soft inflation data on the USD began to dissipate as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's policy outlook in light of the hawkish revisions to the Summary of Economic Projections. The Fed's commitment to its current monetary policy stance has provided a boost to the USD, further pressuring the EUR/USD pair. From a technical perspective, the price has reached a strong support area. Here, we observe a double divergence on both the RSI and Stochastic indicators, signaling potential bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price has touched the 78.6% retracement level from the previous swing low, adding to the likelihood of a reversal. These technical indicators suggest that the EUR/USD may be poised for a bullish retracement. Despite the current downward pressure, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of resilience. The technical indicators provide a hopeful outlook for traders looking for a recovery. The double divergence on the RSI and Stochastic indicators, coupled with the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, points towards a potential rebound. Traders will be closely monitoring these indicators for confirmation of a bullish trend reversal in the coming sessions.
Long
by FOREXN1
2