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Forex-trading

TYPES OF ORDER BLOCKThis educational post is great for beginners who are just starting to grasp the concept of SMC. We've already talked about what an order block is. This time we'll talk about other types of blocks in trading. ✴️ Mitigation Block Mitigation Block is a sell or buy zone, which is formed when the market structure (BOS) continues. In other words, it is a broken order block and tested, but from the other side. We all know that when the price is moving along a trend, it is better to open trades in the direction of this trend. The most optimal points for buying and selling are the price pullback. By this logic a mitigation block is formed. Mitigation Block Sell Scheme Mitigation Block Buy Scheme Those who trade classical technical patterns will notice that it is anything but: a support zone becomes a resistance zone, and a resistance zone becomes a support zone. Institutional level traders understand the skills and knowledge of classical technical analysis traders, so they manipulate the price to generate and collect additional liquidity. In this zone we have our block, an ordinary block, which becomes a mitigated block after an impulse breakout. Schematically, the Mitigation Block in sell looks like this: Schematically, Mitigation Block in buy looks like this: ✴️ Breaker Block Smart Money Breaker Block is a sell or buy zone that is formed when the market structure (BOS) continues. In other words, it is a broken order block and tested, but from the other side. An important difference from a broken Block is that there is a change in market character (CHoCH). As you have understood, the essence of sell zones and blocks remains the same as in Mitigation Block, but first there is a liquidity grab, and then there is a change in market character (change in market structure). It looks schematically as follows: Breaker Block Sell Scheme Breaker Block Buy Scheme ✴️ Rejection Block Smart Money A Rejection Block is a selling or buying zone that appears on the chart as long candlestick tails at a market high or low. As in all other cases, the block is formed only after liquidity is grabbed from the previous high/minimum or equal highs/minimums. This is classically referred to as a false breakout or sweep. Bullish and Bearish Rejection Block The logic of building and searching for a Rejection Block is very simple: Bearish Rejection Block: Swing High, find the highest candle whose high and close are higher than the high and close of the neighbouring candles respectively. The tail (wick) of the candle will be the bearish order block. Bullish Rejection Block: Swing Low, we find the lowest candle, the minimum and close of which are lower than the minimum and close of the neighbouring candles respectively. The tail (wick) of the candle will be a bullish order block. It does not matter what colour the candle is. At the maximum it can be not only bullish but also bearish, and at the minimum it can be not only bearish but also bullish. This is worth paying attention to. Look for the highest candle, with the highest open or close and with the highest wick (same in the opposite direction). ✴️ Vacuum Block Smart Money A block stands out as a regular gap - from the high of the first candle to the low of the second candle in an up gap and vice versa, from the low of the first candle to the high of the second candle in a down gap. We can expect 2 variants of price movement: in continuation, return to the gap zone to fill it partially or completely. This is based on the presence and size of the block order. Complete gap filling Complete gap filling of the price void can be expected if there is an order block that is above or below the Vacuum Block. The price can bounce from the beginning of Vacuum Block, but in order to reduce the risk it is better to wait until the block is fully closed and touched. Partial filling of the gap A partial filling of the price void can be expected if the order block is below or above the Vacuum Block, but they overlap. The price can rebound from the beginning of the Vacuum Block, as well as overlap it completely. This is shown schematically in the figure above. ✴️ Conclusion You should realize that you don't need to click the "buy" or "sell" buttons where you see one of the block options. An order block is simply a price range where you can consider buying or selling, depending on your preliminary analysis and determining the context of the price movement. You will trade from every block a capital loss is guaranteed. Price moves for liquidity. This is the main analysis, and only then we look for the place (blocks) where we can jump from a less risky place.
Education
by DeGRAM
16
CADAUD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal lineCADAUD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CADAUD turned positive on January 30, 2024. Looking at past instances where CADAUD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 95 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 32%. Price Prediction Chart Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bullish Trend Analysis The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CADAUD as a result. In 34 of 116 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 29%. Following a +0.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CADAUD advanced for three days, in 84 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 30%. The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 56 of 249 cases where CADAUD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 22%.
Long
by Serhii_Bond
24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry: Trade Management 24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry Entry Price: 0.65700 Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5 Trade Grade: b + -Tagged into trade at same price levels above * Trade Management* A. Risk entry (pending order) B. Take Profit at levels above B2: I might scale the risk off if the market trends in the direction of the trade. Cut losses quickly and let the winners ride is a big part of my trading style If anyone wants to know when I reduce risk please message me
Long
by Trader_Miles
USDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦 I see multiple bearish clues on USDCAD. The pair is trading in a bearish trend, lower highs are respecting a falling trend line. After its last test, the price formed a double top formation, and violated both its neckline and a support line of a rising wedge. These bearish signals indicate that the market may return to a bearish trend. I expect a bearish continuation to 1.335 / 1.330 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
THREE DRIVES PATTERNThree Drives Pattern is a price pattern that consists of three consecutive changes in the market. The first and third are strong moves in one direction, while the second is weaker and in the opposite direction. The pattern can be used in trading to determine direction and predict optimal entry-exit points. Below we take a closer look at what this tool is, how it is formed and how to trade it correctly. What is the Three Drive Pattern? • Three Drives Pattern in trading is a reversal pattern formed from three consecutive price movements in the market: • First is an up or down swing that creates a trend; • The second is a correction of the trend, which is usually about 50% - 61.8% of the first impulse leg; • Third resumption of the trend, which is usually in the opposite direction of the correction. In the case of a bullish trend, the Three Drive Pattern often indicates that the trend is about to end. This is the case because a second downward movement indicates high selling pressure on the market. If the second momentum is strong enough, it can lead to a reversal in the trend. In a bearish trend, the Three Drives Pattern often indicates that a bearish trend may end in a reversal. This is because the second upward movement indicates the following: buyers are starting to put pressure on the market. If the second momentum is strong enough, a trend-reversal scenario is possible. The harmonic reversal pattern requires a competent approach on the part of the trader. It is important to use it in combination with other technical indicators, not to trade against the trend, and not to enter the market before the completion of the pattern. This means that the second movement is completed, and the market returns to the previous version in the direction of the first movement. The Three Drive Pattern is a useful tool that can be used in trading to determine the direction of the trend and forecast the optimal entry and exit points. How the Three Drives Pattern is Formed? Bullish Pattern The bullish pattern of three movements consists of three consecutive downward impulses. It is formed when market makers place shorts and is formed as follows: • A strong downward movement, which is usually the beginning of a trend. • An upward correction in the form of a weaker impulse. Indicates attempts to stop the downtrend by market participants. • A strong downward movement that exceeds the level of the first move. Ratios of impulse legs: First is 1.13 or 1.27; Second is 0,786; Third is 1,618. In the case of a bullish pattern, it is worth considering selling after the completion of the third movement. Additional signals could be a change in indicators, a decrease in trading volume, a break of support, or a resistance level. As in the case discussed above, it is not recommended to use such a tool on its own, trade against the trend, or act early. As you can see above, the market started the trend with the first downward impulse. Then it experienced an upward correction and resumed the trend with the third downward impulse. We always place a stop loss to protect against losses. After opening a position, wait for a pullback towards the first impulse to close the trade or add another position to it. Take into account that the price may be at the right point, but the pattern still may not work. Bearish Pattern A bearish pattern of three movements is a price pattern formed from three impulses showing growth. It is used by traders to find the best point to open a position against the market changes. • A strong upward movement, which is usually the beginning of a bearish trend. • A downward correction and a small market reversal that does not reach the level of the first impulse. This may be preceded by the fact that sellers show resistance and try to stop the trend. • A powerful upward movement that exceeds the level of the first impulse. This indicates that the trend is continuing and that the end of the trend is not imminent. Impulse legs have the following level: First move is 1.13 or 1.27; Second move is 0,786; Third move is 1,618. The ratios mentioned are not strict. The pattern is more reliable if it is accompanied by other signals, such as: A change in trend direction indicators; an increase in trading volume; divergence with an oscillator; the presence of support below or resistance above. Always use the tool in combination with other technical indicators to get an accurate prediction. Also, do not trade against the trend. As you can see on the chart, the market started a bearish trend from the first impulse upwards. After it experienced a downward correction, it did not reach the minimum or level of the first impulse. Finally, the market resumed the trend with the third upward impulse. How To Trade Using The Three Drives Pattern? 1. Find three consecutive movements on the chart that meet the criteria of the pattern. 2. Do not enter the market until the pattern is complete. 3. Make an entry at the initial point of the third move after it reaches the fibonichci extension level of 127.2% - 161.8%. 4. Place a stop above the 161.8% expansion level to protect losses in case the pattern doesn't work and goes lower or higher. 5. Close the trade when the market reaches the target profit at the 50% - 61.8% retracement of the whole pattern or you can at the level of the start of the first impulse. As you can see in the chart below, the market started bullish - the first impulse. Then there was a correction, which did not reach the level of the first impulse. Finally, the market resumed the trend and finished with the third impulse, in which the price went down and completed the pattern. Note that the price was at a strong co-contraction level. You can draw a trend line from above. The last element that hinted at a change of trend was the divergence. Use other technical indicators. The three-move pattern is a valuable tool, but it is not an accurate one. Using other tools, such as trend direction and volume indicators, can help improve the accuracy of your forecasts. Do not trade against the trend. A three-move pattern can be more reliable if it is used to confirm a trend. Be prepared for the pattern not to work like any other technical pattern. Bottom line The Three Drive Pattern is a reversal pattern. It can be used to determine the trend direction, as well as to predict potential entry and exit points. The optimal place to open a position is the level of the first impulse, and the exit point is reaching the target profit calculated using the Fibonacci ratio. Trading against the trend is riskier than trading in the direction of original market movement. This is because the price can continue to move in a given direction even if you see a reversal signal. This is why you need to proceed with caution and use other tools to back you up. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
12
gbpusd confirm buy read the caption gbpusd confirm analysis of buy soon gbpusd buy mare than expected is going to be a really busy one with the FOMC rate decision and lots of economic data on the agenda. We begin today with the US Job Openings and the US Consumer Confidence reports. Tomorrow we will see the US Employment Cost Index and the ADP data before the FOMC rate decision later in the day On Thursday, we have the BoE rate decision and later in the day the latestI. Finally, on Friday, we conclude the week with the US NFP report.
Long
by Mrsam36
GBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 : Valid LossGBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 *Loss* 1. Valid risk entry loss for a valid loss A. Entry Valid B. Point of Interest Valid - 4H A.3 C. Valid Exit 2.What can I improve ? A. - I can input trade concept into Edgewonk Advance Journal Section. - I can add all info, pre trade screenshots, fundamental news - I can improved my fundamental analysis - First Mitigation Failed - will track and possible add no first mitigation to trade plan What would be my entry model Price Levels ? 1. Entry Price : 1.26750 2. Stop Loss : 1.26450 3. Take Profit : 1.27200 Could I take this Trade ? - Would set alert and have 1 hour to place trade - Valid Entry and Win Lessons - First mitigation is lower probability and Entry Model is a more valid Trade
Long
by Trader_Miles
BOOM AND BUST CYCLE IN TRADINGThe "boom and bust" cycle in trading is a period in a trader's journey when significant gains are followed by periods of significant losses, which can lead to financial consequences and emotional burnout for traders. Breaking out of this cycle is not easy but very important for long-term trading success. When a trader doesn't know what he or she is doing, but is trying to break out of this cycle, the right direction is needed to find a way out of this difficult trading journey. Here are some tips that will help you stabilize your trading when you are not earning yet but also not losing all the capital as it was before. 1. Develop a solid trading plan. This sounds like a cliché. But if you don't have a trading plan you shouldn't be trading real money. Make a trading plan. A solid trading plan should describe your trading strategy. With a clear trading plan, you will be better able to anticipate market movements, avoid impulsive decisions, and stay focused on your goals. Start your trading day with a trading plan and end it with a trading plan. 2. Everyone talks about risk. The first job of a trader is to protect capital. You learn to defend first and only then attack. Apply strict risk management rules to protect your capital from day one. Because if you don't follow risk management it will become a habit that is hard to get rid of. What to consider about risks? This includes always setting stop loss orders, using the right position size to limit risk. Not trading everything. Less is more can never be applied to trading. 3. Sticking trading strategy. Consistency is the key to getting out of the boom and bust cycle. Stick to your proven trading strategy even in difficult market conditions or during losing streaks. Abandoning a strategy due to impatience or frustration can lead to inconsistency and poor performance. When you don't follow a trading strategy you don't give it a chance to show results. Deviation from a trading strategy kills any strategy. Stick to your trading strategy, give it a chance. 4. Discipline in trading. Discipline is the key to avoiding impulsive decisions. Avoid the temptation to recover losses or over-trade. If you are constantly losing money, just look at your trades for the past week. You will say to yourself, "if I had stopped trading, I wouldn't have lost so much". Why? Because the next day or week market always presents A+ setups that would have easily covered past losing trades. So, stick to your trading plan, manage your emotions and focus on making trades according to your strategy. 5 .Everyone says manage your emotions. Practice emotional discipline and keep your mind clear while trading. But how to do that? Emotions such as greed and fear can have serious consequences on trading results. One of the surest methods of dealing with emotions in trading is backtesting your strategy. You are afraid because you don’t know what to expect from the strategy. If you know all the numbers, for example which days are unprofitable, which session is more suitable for you, etc. then you won't panic and be afraid. You know what to expect. And all these techniques, like meditation, mindfulness or other methods of dealing with stress, will not help you in the beginning. After losing your capital, will you really sit and meditate? These methods work later when you have achieved stability. 6. Last but not least: journaling. Markets are constantly evolving, and pro traders adapt their strategies to changing conditions. How do you know the markets are changing? Or how do you know if you are trading better than last month? How do you identify the trading mistakes that are dragging you down? By logging what you trade, you have to regularly analyze your trading results and be prepared to try new ideas or adjust existing strategies to improve your consistency. Collect the data. If you can't measure it, you won't be able to improve it. Conclusion Avoiding the boom and bust cycle in trading requires a lot of work. You will need discipline, the right approach and 100% focus. Success in trading is not your golden goose strategy or some kind of secret money management. It is a combination of several things that bring success. Constant work on yourself, patience and consistency are your allies in overcoming the boom and bust cycle.
Education
by DeGRAM
5
24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry - Trade Management 24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry Trade Management Price Levels A. Move Stop loss to a take profit support level on a lower time frame Price: 1.08450 Locked In Risk to reward: + 0.25 % Going to the weekend * Left a bit of breathing room for spreads for sunday opening and to cover my risk if any large news happens this weekend * Signal Price Info Entry Price: 1.08350 Stop Loss Price : 1.07950/ 40 Pips Take Profit: 1.08950/ 60 Pips Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5 Trade Grade: A-
Long
by Trader_Miles
Eurgbp surely Fall read the caption Eurgbp The indicators on the daily chart are depicting a bear-dominant market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is seen to be on a downward path, maintaining its location in the negative sector pointing towards an ongoing bearish momentum.eurgbp lower more than expected Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators display an increasing number of red bars, a sign that selling pressure is escalating. Moreover, the crosse's position below the 20, 110, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) further substantiates the bearish stance..
Short
by Mrsam36
Btc confirm analysis read the caption Btc The technical picture now is more bearish as the decline from the 20-month high reached two weeks ago has continued, with the price trading above the big round number at $40,000 and breaking above some resistance levels which have now likely flipped to become resistance. Despite this bearishness, over the past couple of days the price has firmed up and established a couple of higher lows and support levels. However, the price chart below shows that the price is well within a bearish price channel, although the lack of symmetry in the channel suggests that it may not be very reliable. Nevertheless, there is a confluence of the upper trend line of this channel with a zone of resistance stretching from $40,423 to $40,667. This looks likely to be a great place to enter a short trade if we get a bearish reversal rejecting that area.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mrsam36
Eurusd expected move read the caption Eurusd relatively volatile after the latest flash manufacturing and services PMI numbers from the US and Europe. It initially jumped to a high of 1.08980 and then pulled back as traders wait for the upcoming ECB decision and US economic data. The latest numbers by S&P Global showed that European manufacturing sector continued to contract in January as companies complained about inflation and supply chain issues. In Europe, the manufacturing PMI rose to 46.5, better than the expected 44.7. Despite the improvement, it remained below 51, meaning that the contraction phase continued.
Long
by Mrsam36
Gbpusd confirm buy pattern read the caption Gbpusd pulled back slightly after the flash UK and US manufacturing and services PMI numbers. The pair retreated to a low of 1.2729, a few points below Wednesday's high of 1.2777. S&P Global published strong economic numbers from the United States and the UK, signaling that the two countries started the year well. In the UK, the manufacturing PMI rose from 46.3 in December to 47.2 in January, higher than the median estimate of 46.7. Similarly, the services PMI jumped from 53.5 to 53.7 in January while the composite PMI rose to 52.4. These numbers came a few days after the Office of National Statistics released higher inflation but weak retail sales data.
Long
by Mrsam36
Usoil follow the trendline read the caption It has been an unpleasant month for oil traders. Crude oil has risen $3 this month but it's been a rough road getting there with repeated whipsaws intraday and extreme choppiness in trading. Headlines about the Red Sea have been faded over and over again despite bullish implications and fears of an OPEC breakdown remain high. However when you back it out, the chart starts to look promising. A series of higher lows began on December 14 and oil is now trading at a five-week high. If $76.16 breaks, it will be an six-week high.
TVC:USOILLong
by Mrsam36