Forex-trading
💡Gold: Rises in Asian Session on Technical CorrectionDuring the early Asian session, gold experienced an increase, signaling a probable technical upward correction following a 1.15% decline in the front-month Comex gold for January delivery on Wednesday. According to Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, robust buying activity in China is bolstering gold prices. In a recent research report, Ghali highlights that the top ten traders on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have augmented their net long positions by nearly 10 tons since the New Year holidays. Currently, spot gold is showing a 0.1% rise, reaching $2,008.75 per ounce.
AUDUSD: Time to Grow?! 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is testing a strong horizontal daily support.
After its test, the price bounced and violated a resistance line
of a falling wedge pattern on a 4H, giving us a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect a pullback now.
Goals: 0.659 / 0.663
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NZDCAD - Range BreakoutNZDCAD has been ranging since December 2023. More specifically, this range formed in early December (of 2023) when price failed to form a new higher high.
I've been monitoring this pair on and off. While I have observed previous fake breakouts, or fakeouts, I would say the confidence level that this latest breakout holds is much higher.
This comes down to one simple reason - today's close. The bearish bar was strong and cleanly closed below the lower range boundary.
🇺🇸 USDJPY 🇯🇵 - Bullish sentiment forms an upward trendUSDJPY may continue its growth on the back of the rise in the dollar index due to fundamental reasons. Technically, the currency pair is forming a bullish trend, it can be understood by the rising lows and highs.
The target in our case could be 148.5
Reasons for further upside:
1) Trend breakdown
2) Yen is weaker than the dollar. The pair is rising following the DXY
3) Bullish trend is forming
4) Rising lows
5) Structure breakout
✅EUR_USD TIME TO BUY|LONG🚀
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 1.0979
LONG🚀
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DXY D1 - Short Signal🇺🇸DXY D1
Lots of consolidation seen on the dollar index over the last couple of weeks, and we don’t really have any true indication of where we want to direct. The daily trend is still active and pointing to the downside, I’d just like a little more confirmation that we are seeing bearish control again.
The targets on this basis would be 100.00 as previously marked and displayed. Failing that, a breakout upside could change our bias here. Lets see what unfolds, I don’t doubt we will see another consolidated D1 candle today due to holidays.
Natural Gas (XNGUSD) Buy Trade Idea Natural Gas (XNGUSD) Buy Trade Idea
The overall price is open in the bearish gap from 2.9500 to 2.71620 in the demand zone.
The trade setup should include the following:
Natural Gas Buying Zone: 2.7150 to 2.7750
Stop Loss: 2.6550
Take Profit1: 2.8250
Take Profit2: 2.8850
Take Profit3: 2.9850
Take Profit4: 3.1000
Must follow the money managements plan.
GBPSGD - Monitoring the Weekly Swing Trade OpportunityGBPSGD's weekly price action appears cleaner than most of the other pairs I've been watching. Looking at the key levels, it appears that price is gradually recovering from the selloff initiated in mid-July.
The last higher-low bottom out was in mid-October of 2023. The latest higher-low formation and breaks the upper range boundary.
It's also a stronger indication given the moving average confluence; right now, the faster EMA-20 is picking up pacing in its divergence against the EMA-60.
While this isn't a clear indication to bet on the upside just yet, I do think this pair is a strong contender to watch.
Gold - Weekly Outlook at 2,035 LevelGold, or XAUUSD depending on which ticker you go by is playing around an interesting weekly level.
The 2,035 level has been touched four times since 2020.
August 2020: first touch and then sold off
July 2022: second touch and then had a stronger selloff
January 2023: third touch and then followed by a weaker selloff
November 2023: fourth touch and no selloff reaction
Depending on how price reacts around the 2,035 level for the week ahead, this will be very interesting to observe for the week ahead.
CADJPY - One of Three Yen Trend TradesCADJPY is one of three Japanese yen pairs that I held through the weekend. the other two pairs are EURJPY and SGDJPY as they share very similar price action patterns.
The selloff in December 2023 seemed short-lived to me so I found an opportunity to enter long earlier this month. My best guess for the selloff is the collective premature anticipation of interest rate cuts in 2024.
From a price action standpoint, I quickly developed another sentiment. High level summary below:
After a retracement, price failed to push to a new lower low.
The relative low forms a new range boundary.
Price breaks above the upper range boundary and holds, which signals further upside momentum.
I'm not the biggest fan of how this pair, along with EURJPY and SGDJPY, closed last week. Seeing two down days certainly poses a risk that this uptrend may not continue for the week ahead.
WHAT IS A SWAP IN FOREX MARKET?All participants in forex trading sooner or later leave an open position overnight. Most often, beginners do not have access to impressive sums of money as initial capital, so they actively use leverage. Although it carries a lot of risk, it gives an opportunity to earn good money trading currency pairs in a relatively short period of time. Around midnight, changes occur in the client's account: a certain amount is debited or credited, which is called "swap." What is it, and is it worth being afraid of?
What is a Swap?
Traders whose position has not been closed overnight are sure to ask the question: What is swapping on Forex? Some believe that it is a guarantee of loss; others see it as an opportunity to earn. Each currency, whether it is the American dollar, Japanese yen, or euro, has its own central bank, which sets the interest rate. This rate is the determining value for granting loans to other financial institutions.
For example, Japan's central bank sets the interest rate on the yen at which other banks in the country are lent. When trading begins in the market, a position is opened for a currency pair, one of the components of which is Japanese money. At the same time, the interest rate of the Bank of Japan will be valid for the yen on the exchange. The second currency in the pair, let's say the dollar, also has its own rate. The difference between these values will be called a forex swap.
Since each country sets its own interest rate for loans, the value between them in a currency pair can be either positive or negative. For example, the Japanese yen is lending at 1% and the dollar at 0.5%. Then an open JPY/USD position can bring 0.5% profit from the deposit amount if it is held for a long time. If you swap the components of the currency pair, you will get the same value but with a negative sign.
Swap accrual occurs at night, i.e., after the end of the trading session. This means that those who are engaged in scalping or intraday trading do not face this concept at all. Other traders see its impact on the account every day.
What is a forex swap, in simple words? It is the difference in a currency pair between the interest rates that banks set. Traders often use it in trading and can sometimes make a significant amount of money in a short period of time. An important point: the use of leverage is a guarantee that a certain amount of money will be charged or debited to the account. Otherwise, trading is done without the use of loans and deposits, which, although it reduces risks, does not eliminate them altogether.
Why Do Overnight Swaps Occur?
An open position in the forex market is typically held for a few minutes, hours, or, in some cases, days. When a trader holds an open position beyond the end of the trading day, they need to roll it over to the next day. This process is called an overnight swap. The purpose of overnight swaps is to ensure that open positions are settled at the end of each trading day, allowing traders to continue holding their positions and making adjustments based on their trading strategies.
How Does An Overnight Swap Work?
Perhaps one of the main features of swaps is their occurrence when trading with leverage. That is, there is no such concept for ordinary investment accounts. As soon as leverage is used, swaps appear. Brokers increase their income not only from account commissions but also from the negative difference. Therefore, no one will warn a beginner about the need to close a position overnight so as not to make a loss.
Islamic Account Without Swap
At the same time, traders have the opportunity to trade with leverage without swap. The so-called Islamic account is used, which can be opened by anyone. According to religious canons, Muslims can not use interest in any activity. A special account was created for them, and not only those who use Islam can apply for it.
It is important to realize that brokers do not work for free. If a trading account has a swap, it means that the commission or spread has been increased. Information about this should be found before opening to avoid unpleasant surprises over time.
Time Of Swap Setting
Traders are often interested in what time the swap is set on Forex. The difference is accrued or written off at night. The exact time of the swap is 0:05. Every night, the servers go to reboot at 24:59. After that, they start working again at 0:05, and at the same time, the swap is calculated. If a trader manages to close a position before midnight, her/his account will remain unchanged with a 100% guarantee.
Triple Swap
Financial market participants face one more peculiarity of the swap: its triple size. On the night from Wednesday to Thursday, the value multiplied by three is charged or withdrawn from the account. Why does it happen?
Conversion on the Forex market takes place in three days. So, the swap value is available for calculation three days after opening a position. On weekends, the difference is calculated, but the forex exchange does not work on weekends. So, it turns out that for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, i.e., three days, the commission should be set on Monday. And since the real commission is paid only after 3 days, the formal calculations fall on the night from Wednesday to Thursday.
On different markets, the increased swap can be debited in different ways, but on Forex, the triple size is only on Wednesdays. It is important to take into account the time zone. For some traders, the triple commission is charged on Thursdays due to the time difference.
In conclusion, overnight swaps are a critical component of the forex market, enabling traders to hold positions beyond a trading session. Understanding how overnight swaps work and the factors that influence swap rates can help traders make informed decisions when trading currency pairs.
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TRADER'S CREDOThe world of trading is filled with risks, challenges, and opportunities. As traders navigate the ups and downs of the markets, it's essential to have a strong set of principles and beliefs to guide their actions. The Trader's Credo serves as a useful reminder of these core values, helping traders stay focused, disciplined, and committed to continuous growth.
The Trader's Credo
1. I am responsible for my actions : As a trader, I understand that my success or failure depends on my decisions and discipline. I will take full responsibility for my actions and their outcomes.
2. I respect the markets: The markets are my ultimate teacher. I will respect their wisdom, learn from my mistakes, and constantly improve my trading skills.
3. I am committed to continuous learning: The world of trading is ever-changing. I will stay up-to-date with the latest market trends, trading strategies, and technologies to enhance my knowledge and success.
4. I practice discipline and patience: Trading success requires discipline and patience. I will follow my trading plan, manage my emotions, and avoid impulsive decisions.
5. I prioritize risk management: The preservation of capital is paramount. I will never risk more than I can afford to lose and adhere to strict risk management protocols.
6. I embrace accountability: I will be accountable for my decisions and accept the consequences. I will learn from my mistakes and use them as valuable lessons for future success.
7. I focus on the process, not the outcome: Trading success is a journey, not a destination. I will focus on the process, enjoy the learning experience, and trust that my hard work will eventually lead to success.
8. I respect others' opinions: The trading community is filled with diverse perspectives. I will respect others' opinions, engage in constructive discussions, and learn from their insights.
9. I strive for continuous improvement: I will never be satisfied with my current level of knowledge and success. I will always aim to improve and grow as a trader.
10. I am committed to ethical trading: As a trader, I will act with integrity and honesty. I will never manipulate the markets or engage in unethical practices.
Conclusion
The Trader's Credo is a powerful tool for traders looking to develop a strong foundation of principles and values. By adhering to these guiding beliefs, traders can improve their skills, manage risk, and ultimately achieve long-term success in the trading aren
BTC TO 32K$ ?the Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) shares. That will lead new traders to put their money longing btc , so that will create a good liquidity to whales to sell at 47k - 50k levels , and that's really what happened do not get suprised by seeing btc's price range between 20k - 30k
NZDCAD: Consolidation & Bearish Movement 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is trading within a wide horizontal range.
After a test of its resistance, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
I believe that consolidation will continue and the price will most likely
drop to the support of the range.
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EURUSD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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EURNZD Sell opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.76304H Level explanation
EURNZD has been trading in a bearish trend for the last days. Now, the price displays a bullish Engulfing pattern.
Possible scenario
The best way to use it for sell opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.7630 target at 1.7530
The best way to use it for a Buy opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.7507 target at 1.7547
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.