Forex-trading
INDUCEMENT IN TRADINGInducement is the most popular phenomenon in the smart money concept, but most traders don't know how to label it properly and what its definition is. This post will definitely improve your ability to pinpoint the exact location of the inducement and how to use that inducement to your advantage.
What is Inducement? Inducement is labeled IND on the chart, sometimes you may see IDM. Inducement is the area and specific point that encourages (incentivizes) traders to buy and sell. In the Smart Money concept, most traders buy after the breakdown of the previous high and sell after the breakdown of the previous low. This is a normal phenomenon and it is what most people do, because this is what all classic trading books teach from the point of view of market structure.
✴️ Examples
Look at the initial structure. The bullish movement is accompanied by small pullbacks. According to the classics, if the price breaks the last low, the bullish movement will be replaced by a bearish one. What we see is that the pullback starts and the price updates the previous low. Traders start to buy on the pullback towards the continuation of the movement and sell on the breakout, towards the new, bearish direction.
The previous low in a bull market is the Inducement. This is the place where inexperienced traders give their money to the big player, a bait, not otherwise. After liquidity is collected, the big player drives the price in the direction of the true trend. When the price updates the high it will be a BOS, i.e. confirmation of the structure. Note that when the price rises, lows are formed again, these are again the places where you usually buy and sell.
✴️ The idea behide it
As you can see, the real market structure is a bit more complicated than retail traders imagine. After the last example, the price can go higher again, there is nothing to prevent it, but we will just move our structural low under the previous inducement. The essence of price movement is only one thing and that is to collect and form liquidity. That is why the price very often goes down when trending up and updates the low, and then continues to fly up, but without you. The same is true for a downward trend.
In the picture above you can see the logic of price movement. As you may know or already know from classic books, the price after an impulsive movement starts to make a pullback. This pullback is done not because the price needs to rest, but because the price needs liquidity to continue the trend. Each pullback is an achievement of inducement, that is, a set of liquidity, and within each pullback you can find the same thing. That is, there are pullbacks within a pullback, and within that another pullback, etc.
The market itself it is a fractal. This is what confuses millions of traders to choose the right place to enter a position. Reality is very different from what is portrayed in books, people just don't realize which low will be the break. Which top is extreme? Show one chart to 10 traders and all 10 will show a different structure. It also strongly influences why some traders make money while others, in the same pattern, lose.
As you have already realized, price will always take out highs and lows to gather liquidity. If you buy or sell without understanding and practicing such a concept, that liquidity will be you. You must understand and be able to identify where that very spot will be inducement. The main thing to remember is that IND appears only when the price updates a structural high or low.
You don't have to incorporate a bunch of Smart Money trading principles into your trading strategy. You just need to realize that without liquidity there will be no movement in the market. Price needs only one thing and that is liquidity. You can trade profitably, even without using any instrument, if you understand what highs and lows most traders buy and sell.
ANALYSIS OF XAUUSD H1 FRAME ON 11/24/2023- The main structure of XAUUSD is bullish, and the current downward momentum is considered a correction.
- Key resistance levels for XAUUSD are noted at 1987. If the price closes below this level on any H1 candle, the selling side takes control of the market. Traders can consider shorting on a rebound from 1987-1990 with a target around 1976.
- In the scenario where the price touches the resistance and faces selling pressure, signaling rejection around 1998-2000, it is an opportunity to consider selling.
EURUSD: Top of the Channel. Sell signal.After turning overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 68.344, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 40.692) EURUSD made a HH at the top of the November Channel Up and got rejected. We expect a pullback all the way to at least the 4H MA50, and as it is confirmed by a MACD Bearish Cross, we are already short and targeting a little over the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 1.08425).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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EURUSDI like how the price moved during yesterday's New York session and Asia. I don't see any signs of a market reversal; it's a clear long context. I am ready to consider long positions from the nearest fractals below since there is currently nothing else to do (imbalances are covered, and liquidity work is present).
NZDUSD Swing as Dollar Becomes BearishThe era of high interest rates may not persist for much longer. Or, at least, that's what price is telling us.
The US dollar sold off against pretty much all of its counterparts, maybe except for the Canadian dollar. It appears that investors believe that the Federal Reserve may not be sustaining a higher interest rate position and US dollar longs are closing out their positions.
No matter to me as I look at the price action. This latest breakout signals a long entry opportunity on NZDUSD, one of the latest pairs I'm looking to enter. Fortunately, I have already entered short on USDSEK and USDJPY so this is an accumulation of my position.
EURUSD: Important Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.0920 - 1.0650 area
Resistance 2: 1.1015 - 1.0946 area
Support 1: 1.0736 - 1.0775 area
Support 2: 1.0658 - 1.0684 area
Support 3: 1.0495 - 1.0536 area
Support 4: 1.0447 - 1.0468 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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Equity Line SwipeUP 20/11/2023Hi Guys, thanks for being here.
Today I want to publish my "Equity Line", updated to 11/20/2023, with all the operations carried out on Trading View and therefore all documentable.
This Equity Line briefly explains my investment methodology. Of course many of you will disagree, but I'm here to share my methodology.
I started with a "Capital to Invest" of €5000. This capital is a fixed sum that will allow me to calculate 10%, which I will need to invest in every operation I carry out.
So at this moment, having that sum as "Capital to Invest", in each of my investments I will risk €500 to have, in 90% of cases (never less), a risk/return set at 1:4.
I have shown in the graph my last 4 investments of November, all published in advance in my profile.
I will publish a new EquityLine updated every month or with every operation, I haven't decided this yet.
If you like, follow me for more updates.
Cordially,
Andrea Russo.
BULLISH AND BEARISH FLAG PATTERNSBullish and bearish flag patterns are common patterns in forex that are used by traders to determine potential price movement in a trending market. These patterns can provide clues about market sentiment and help us make informed decisions about when to enter or exit a trade. It should be remembered that this pattern is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern, as these patterns appear after a strong movement. How to apply in trading patterns bullish and bearish flag?
The bull flag pattern is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price rally, followed by a period of consolidation in the form of a descending channel or flag, and then a continuation of the movement. The flag is usually accompanied by a decrease in market volatility and momentum, which indicates a temporary pause in the uptrend. The price is resting after a strong bullish movement before continuing.
How to apply in trading?
1. Identify a strong upward movement (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong upward price movement that precedes the formation of this pattern.
2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, traders must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation to see the flag pattern. You need to watch the price closely because this pattern can turn into an ascending triangle.
3. Breakout of the contraction: Then wait for a breakout above the upper trend line of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in momentum. A breakout of the co-principal level confirms the continuation of the uptrend and is a potential entry point for long positions. Usually the price makes a move equal to the flagpole, which gives an approximate take profit point.
Conversely, the bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that is formed after a strong downward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp decline in price followed by a period of consolidation in the form of an ascending channel or flag. Similar to the bull flag pattern, the bear flag pattern is accompanied by a decrease in momentum, which indicates that the price is temporarily resting in a downtrend.
How to apply in trading?
1- Identify a strong bearish move (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong downward price movement that precedes the formation of the flag pattern.
2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, we must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation boundary to recognize the flag pattern.
3. Waiting for support breakdown: We should wait for a breakdown of the lower trendline of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in price momentum. Such a breakdown confirms the continuation of the downtrend and is a potential entry point.
In conclusion, the use of bullish and bearish flag patterns in trading requires identifying a flagpole, building a flag pattern and waiting for a breakout to confirm the continuation of the trend. By understanding and effectively utilizing these patterns, we can enhance our analytical skills. This pattern can complement your existing trading method.
GBPUSD HTF contextHello, everyone. The pound, like the euro, demonstrated excellent price movement last week. I want to highlight the excellent work on the higher timeframe with the structural part of the context. We updated the local maximum with the price settling above it, after which an imbalance was formed, and its test occurred below. The target for the upcoming week will be the fractal at the 1.25500 price level.
USDJPY: Important Key Levels to Watch 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY started to fall rapidly.
Here are the important key levels to watch.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Broken rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Support 1: 148.75 - 149.21 area
Support 2: 148.15 - 148.50 area
Support 3: 147.41 - 147.56 area
Resistance 1: 150.05 - 150.38 area
Resistance 2: 151.71 - 151.94 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSDGood morning. Gold on the daily timeframe is in a short context after the price has settled below the marked fractal minimum. Until the price updates the 2010 level, we will continue to be in a short context. We have also covered the nearest imbalances above, and the target of this movement will be the fractal minimum at 1930.The only thing that raises concern is the equal highs at 2010."
GOLD SELL TILL 24 NOV 2023 On 24th Nov, Friday, or 27th Nov, Monday, gold will create a low at 1924 and change the market to buy. Also, on 27th Nov, it's a full moon, so we are expecting a change of trend from 24th Nov or 27th Nov. The market will create a major low, and on 12th Dec, gold will create a high of 1998, and the trend will change to sell. Let's see how the market will respect our analysis. Previous analyses indicate that gold followed very beautifully; let's observe this one.
EURUSDHello, everyone. Since yesterday's evening review, several important developments have taken place. As anticipated, during the Asian and London sessions, we continued to move in the short direction. Following a news-driven movement in the New York session, we absorbed liquidity formed by yesterday's movement and updated the price maximum. On the higher timeframe, we had a raid on the daily fractal formed on Tuesday. I also marked a potential break of the market structure on the hourly timeframe. If the price confirms below, I plan to work in the short direction; otherwise, longs will remain a priority.