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Forex-usdjpy

UJ Bears Break Andrew's Pitchfork, Time To Short??Based on the Aug. 5th Low (A), Aug. 15th High (B) & Sept. 16th Low (C) we are able to project an Up-trending Andrew's Pitchfork. After price makes a Fibonacci Retracement to the Golden Ratio (61.8%) of the Pitchfork Range, price falls to the Previous High or Point of Interest finding support to then rise and stall out at the Linear Regression or True Trendline of the Pitchfork and is unable to sustain the Higher High to only fall again while this time breaking the Rising Support of the Pitckfork. Price may continue to fall to the POI before finding support again @ the 148 - 149 range but we should expect price to retest the Break of Rising Support @ the 155 - 156 range. -If support turns resistance and holds price, this will deliver great shorting opportunities to take down to the POI and potentially all the way to the Range Target of 139 - 142! *If price ascends back into the Pitchfork range, price action is considered a False Breakout. Fundamentally, so far Feb. has been a trying month for USD where we saw last Friday, Non-Farm Employment Change came in @ 143k ( 164k Decrease from last month @ 307k which was revised up from 256k) with only a .1% down tick in Unemployment to 4%. This Week: USD Tues - Powell Speaks Wed - Core CPI/CPI, Powell Testifies Thus - Core PPI/PPI, Unemployment Claims Fri - Core Retail Sales/Retails Sales
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
UJ Prepping Falling Wedge Breakout To Start 2025?FX:USDJPY starts 2025 in what appears to be a Falling Wedge, but following the 50% Fibonacci Retracement based from the Low @ 148.639 to start December 2024 to the High @ 158.874 last month, Price seems to may be ready to setup for a Bullish Break of this Pattern. To see if FX:USDJPY has truly Broken Out of the Falling Wedge, here are some signals: 1) While price travels lower in the Falling Wedge, we can see Volume picks up the lower price goes 2) The Breaking Candle following the 2nd 50% Retracement touch generates a good amount of Bullish Volume compared to the similarly sized printed Bullish Candle following the 1st 50% Retracement touch (both candles marked in yellow to compare) 3) Following this Break, we see RSI Break above the 50 mark moving into Bullish territory. ** Buy Opportunities will come if Price successfully retest the Break of the Falling Resistance and finds Support. -- Beware of a False Break if Price decides to fall back down Below the Falling Resistance too soon before a legitimate test.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
USDJPY Retest Completion and Bounce BackThe USDJPY pair is currently trading at a price of 156.000, with a target price set at 162. This suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips, indicating a significant upward movement. The market analysis highlights that the pair has recently completed its retesting phase at a critical support level. This retest confirms the strength of the support, as the price has now started to bounce back from this zone. The pattern identified is based on support and resistance, a common and reliable technical strategy in forex trading. A bounce from support often signals a bullish trend, making this an opportune time for buyers. Traders may view this as a favorable entry point, with the potential for strong gains. However, proper risk management and market monitoring are crucial. The setup aligns with technical indicators supporting the bounce scenario. The movement suggests the pair is regaining bullish momentum.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
TradeCityPro | USD/JPY : Divergence and Trend Weakness👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I’ll review the USD/JPY forex pair, focusing on the 4-hour timeframe. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Current Trend Insights At present, the trend in the 4-hour timeframe is upward, with an observable ascending trendline. The SMA99 has also acted as a support level. 🔽 However, the strength of the trend appears to be diminishing. The bullish candles are progressively smaller, and corrections have become deeper. ✨ RSI Analysis and Momentum A negative divergence is noticeable in the RSI, indicating a weakening trend. The 39.98 support level is crucial, and with the divergence and trend weakening, the likelihood of breaking this RSI level is high. If this happens, the market’s bullish momentum will fade. 📉 Short Position Strategy If the trendline is broken and the 153.639 trigger level is breached, followed by price stabilization below this level, it will signal an entry opportunity for a short position. The specific trigger, whether based on Dow Theory, a pullback to 153.639, or another strategy, depends on your approach. 📊 The next key support is at 151.512. If you missed or avoided the 153.639 trigger due to risk concerns, breaking this support could provide a safer short entry point. Subsequent supports are located at 149.177 and 145.826. 📈 Long Position Strategy Despite the weakening trend, the 156.544 trigger is still a valid entry point for long positions. The next resistance after this level will be at 157.702. 🔑 By keeping an eye on these levels and market momentum, you can effectively align your trading strategy with market conditions. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
1
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? NFP's coming! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as observed last night, gold dropped sharply from $2782 to $2731, creating a significant liquidity gap. As mentioned yesterday, the first key demand zone was between $2733-$2735, and once the price reached this critical zone, it was met with buying pressure, leading to a rebound of over 250 pips, taking gold up to $2757. Currently, gold is trading around $2752, with the NFP report ahead. If the NFP data comes in lower than the forecast, it could push gold to higher levels. Conversely, if the data is higher than expected, we might see further declines in gold. There’s no certainty here, so I prefer to observe rather than make any trades on gold today. Good luck, friends!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
18
EUR/USD: Pullback Before the Big Drop?The EUR/USD exchange rate remains stable around 1.0790 during early Asian trading on Monday, yet it faces potential downside pressure due to rising expectations of a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Recent encouraging economic data from the United States has fueled these expectations, suggesting the Fed may adopt a more stringent policy in November, which could strengthen the dollar. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD has broken out of its descending regression channel, stabilizing above the upper line. On the downside, support levels are seen at 1.0800 and 1.0750. Last Thursday, EUR/USD displayed some resilience, benefiting from improved market sentiment and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a temporary softening of the dollar. However, the pair remains at a crossroads, awaiting fresh cues from the economic calendar, such as U.S. durable goods orders data, which is expected to show a 1% decline. A stronger-than-expected figure could boost the dollar, while a more significant drop might weaken it, though the effect on EUR/USD could be short-lived. The neutral stance in U.S. index futures partly reflects broader uncertainty, leaving open the possibility that shifts in risk sentiment could impact the dollar; a continuation of risk flows favoring safer assets might keep the USD under pressure. Good trading day!
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Traders could veer towards the yen with risk events loomingIt is no coincidence that VIX futures have been creeping higher in recent weeks despite Wall Street hitting record highs, as traders are presumably hedging downside risk as we approach the US election. And that means it may not take much to spook traders out of bullish bets with markets at frothy levels, and that could see the yen strengthen as a safety play. Matt Simpson takes a technical look at yen pairs of interest.
Short
by CityIndex
5
USDJPY Technical Analysis 16/09/2024The USDJPY is giving bullish signals across different timeframes. Prices have dropped to the demand zone on the weekly chart. At this point, the trend is no longer your friend because it has entered the "Trend Exhaustion" phase. There is a broad RSI bullish divergence on the daily chart, supporting a potential rise. On the 4-hour chart, a Stochastic bullish crossover has formed in the oversold zone. Prices are likely to consolidate until the release of this week’s core retail sales report, but we are at a favorable level to begin gradual buying.
Long
by Trader-Berke
EUR/USD : Ready for Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the drop last week to 1.10665, the price eventually closed at 1.10853. I expect that in the upcoming week, after a short initial rise, we will see further decline in EUR/USD. The potential targets for this drop are 1.10600, 1.10260, and 1.09960. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Is all this a coincidence? USD/JPY 1M chartUSD/JPY 1M chart; World trade was seriously affected by the very strong dollar. Therefore, due to the Plaza Agreement signed in 1985, the Japanese Yen started to appreciate significantly against the USD. Then it continued to appreciate due to the economic bubble that burst in the 90s. In 1998, there was a major collapse with the Asian Crisis. The Japanese Yen was positively affected by this situation. After the 2008 global crisis, the Fed's interest rate cut broke the support zone downwards and started its second move below the $100 level.
 After the earthquake and tsunami disaster in 2011, Japan launched a massive quantitative easing program, which was significantly bullish for the USD. Finally, Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, leading to a sharp fall in the markets. Was it a coincidence that the $160 level was tested for the first time in 34 years? #USDJPY #Forex #Economy
by ugurtash