'A' Up Trade with Monthly Pivot Support - PrudenceThe Japanese Yen has a convincing level of support with the Monthly Pivot Range high inline with the Daily Pivot Range. Juxtaposed to this support level is the 'A' up line which is our level of confirmation which will give us the green light to go long the market.
The rule in this setup is to place the stop loss on the opposite side of the Opening Range, which in this case is the Opening Range low (set of white dots).
The action to take is to place a buy order to enter the market long if the market trades at or above the ‘A’ up line for 15 consecutive minutes or longer. This will confirm the market wants to move higher. Use your short term or 1-5 minute charts to verify the time requirement. Place the stop loss at the Opening Range low and the profit targets stated below.
Entry Price: 108.807
Stop Loss: 108.530
Profit Targets: First profit target 109.240. Second profit target 109.340. Once first profit target is reached, bring stop loss to breakeven (entry level).
Forex-usdjpy
USDJPY - Bullish bias off of key support areaIn the USDJPY pair price has reached a critical support area and I am not watching for any sort of price action candlestick or pattern to get long. Price has been in a strong bullish trend for the last few weeks and while price has pulled back quite a bit since last week the bullish bias is still intact. Prudent price action traders will be watching for any sort of long signals to buy into the overall bullish trend. If price were to break below this key level and hold I may switch to a more bearish bias and begin looking for bearish price action from levels of resistance. Although that has not happened yet and I am still looking and bullish price action setups.
USD/JPY AnalysisUsd/Jpy has returned once again to an important area that i've seen the market stalled but I'm watching to see we could break out of this zone to the upside and look at a target at 112.130 where it meet's the weekly trendLine. Failure to break out of this zone I would look to short to the downside to 50% retracement and wait to see if we could get more Dollar Push.
USDJPY Buy OpportunityThe price moved above the cloud and now it's going to break 110.00 resistance level. DMI confirms trend market conditions and the strength of the movement. It gives us a buy opportunity and 2 possible entry levels. We can open long trades based on a breakout above 110.00 level. Stop orders can be placed below the previous swing lows or below 108.00 support level which is the better variant. If the market bounces from the resistance level and moves lower, it can give us a new buy signal based on a price reversal from the support zone. This zone is formed by Kijun line, 108.00 support level and the cloud. The entry level should be above the high of a bullish candle confirming the price reversal. Stop orders for such trades must be placed below local swing lows or the cloud. Profit targets for all long trades should be at the resistance levels.
USD/JPY Daytrading OppurtunityQuick short oppurtunity on the USD/JPY pair on the 5M or 15M chart. RSI is negative which is a good sign and MACD shows sign of reversal. A break below the support level is a clear short as we do not have any high volume nodes to stop the price in the way. The target is based on Volume, Fib and Structure so you have a lot of confluence in this area that might push prices up.
USDJPY - Dollar bulls looking to run!Careful here friends, I've spotted a large bull flag on the Weekly for USDJPY. Earlier I called out the potential short that has now achieved it's final target. Usually after the final target is achieved the trade is complete and we see a pull back.
Pullback is confirmed, so watch for the bulls to start building a long position. Will update as it progresses!
USDJPY LONG similar scenario presenting itself here with ujsdjpy, patience and proper risk management will be key to catching these big moves.
price has pulled back to 61.8 Weekly Fibonacci at 106.0 is where I will be marking my low for it. if this level holds I will be holding longs with target of 111.00
keep in mind that I am watching all my other indicators to lign up before executing trade. DXY should be the leading indicator for us this week.
Is the trade war back on?
China has retaliated and applied tariffs on 106 US imports (25% tariffs on US Soybeans). This will cause further uncertainty not only to US but the global growth, especially economics with greater dependency on trade. In this scenario, we are likely to see weaker USD with an increased appetite for reserve currencies (JPY).
What if the FOMC disappointsIts the FOMC afterall, rate decision could be priced in, only 3 and not 4 times this year, conservative first press conference from Powell
All these could be factors which would cause the FOMC to disappoint, and in this scenario, drive the USD lower
This would make the USDJPY a potential setup as price gets trapped in the 106.50 and 105.50 range
we'll have to wait and see
Happy Pi Day, Is it time for USD strength in the USDJPY
Tonight we have US retail sales data to be released, with analysts forecasting strong data of 0.3% from last month’s -0.3%. If data comes out as expected or higher, we could see the beginning of some USD strength. However, even with USD strength, I’ll only look for trades with USD strength in USDJPY (bouncing off 106.50) or AUDUSD (buoyed by positive CNY data).
USDJPY for possibility of it retesting With no notable economic data to be released later today, I’ll be looking at the USDJPY for possibility of it retesting the 105.80 and 105.30 support level. This is in addition to the current commentary coming from the BoJ regarding the actions to be taken to reach their target of 2% CPI.
USDJPY above 107Could 107 be the barrier, once broken will bring about 108 and 109 for the USDJPY.
Whilst volatility is seen in the USD, it is also slowly gaining strength.
Although the BoJ seems to be moving away from its aggressive stimulus plan, forgoing a 2% inflation target, the Yen seems to be bought only on risk-off situations (reserve assets are bought).
Therefore, if the current market conditions maintain, we could see the USDJPY move above 107 and beyond.