USDCAD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed below a key intraday/daily horizontal support cluster.
I expect a bearish trend continuation after its retest.
Next goal - 1.376
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Forex
LONG GBP/CHF Investment Opportunity
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share an investment opportunity that I consider extremely interesting: a LONG position on GBP/CHF.
In recent months, the GBP/CHF currency cross has shown signs of consolidation and a potential resumption of the bullish trend. In this article, I will analyze in detail the reasons that make this investment promising, the key points to monitor and the strategies to manage risk and maximize profits.
Investment Strategy: Main Points
Entry: The LONG position is opened at the price of 1.01119, a level that represents an interesting technical area and is located near the recent lows of the market.
Stop Loss (SL): To minimize risks, the SL is set at a distance of 0.95%. This level protects us from sudden movements contrary to our direction.
Take Profit (TP): The final target is set at 2.83%. This target allows us to capitalize on a significant bullish move.
GBP/CHF Technical Analysis
Technical analysis provides us with useful tools to understand the historical and future behavior of the market. In the case of GBP/CHF, there are some interesting signals:
1. Support and Resistance
Support: The level of 1.01119 is configured as a key support. Historically, the market has respected this area, bouncing on several occasions. This makes it the ideal level to position Long.
Resistance: The first significant resistance area is located around 1.03000. If the price breaks this threshold, it is likely to open up room for further bullish movements.
2. Moving Average and Trend
The 50 and 200-period moving averages on the daily chart indicate a possible bullish reversal. GBP/CHF is attempting to break above the short-term moving average, an encouraging sign for traders looking for Long opportunities.
3. Chart Patterns
A potential double bottom is forming on the 4H and daily charts. This pattern is a classic reversal indicator, suggesting growing strength among buyers.
4. Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI indicator is currently in the neutral zone, around 50. A breakout above 60 would confirm the bullish strength.
MACD: The MACD oscillator is showing a bullish crossover, with the signal line above zero. This is another sign that the bullish momentum could gain strength.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is also crucial to support our strategy.
1. Monetary Policies and Interest Rate Differential
British Pound (GBP): The Bank of England has recently adopted a restrictive monetary policy, raising interest rates. This could favor an appreciation of the pound against the Swiss franc.
Swiss Franc (CHF): Swiss monetary policy, although historically prudent, could be affected by global inflation pressure, but the CHF remains less aggressive in raising rates.
2. Economic Context
Consumer confidence in the UK is recovering, and recent data shows stable GDP growth. These factors support a possible strengthening of the pound. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is influenced by increased demand for safe haven currencies, but could come under pressure in the context of a global economic recovery.
Risk Management
The most important aspect of any trading strategy is risk management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: With a SL of 0.95% and a TP of 2.83%, the risk-reward ratio is very favorable, above 1:3.
Diversification: This trade should be part of a diversified portfolio to minimize global risks.
Conclusions
Investing in GBP/CHF with a LONG position at 1.01119 represents an interesting opportunity based on both technical and fundamental analysis. The combination of key levels, technical signals and economic context suggests a potential bullish movement. However, let's remember that the market is unpredictable, and good risk management is essential.
I hope this analysis is useful for your trading strategy. If you have any questions or want to share your point of view, do not hesitate to do so in the comments!
Potential bullish rise?GBP/CHF has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could rise tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0889
1st Support: 1.0784
1st Resistance: 1.1094
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/AUD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.79761
1st Support: 1.74140
1st Resistance: 1.80920
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSDEURUSD price has a chance to test the 1.14550 and 1.15419 levels. If the price cannot break through the 1.15419 resistance zone, it is expected that the price has a chance to go down. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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CHFJPYAt the current price level, we are near a resistance zone dating back to December/January (2024/2025) and October/November 2024. Price has been increasing from the recent support zone from February 2025. Volume looks like its gassing down on this move up. Let's see if we can retes the daily target zone before price makes a decision on how it wants to trend short term.
SGDCHFI previously posted an idea a few weeks ago or so about this same sentiment that is bullish. Still holding the previous trade although price has clearly shot down more since that entry. Yesterday's bear volume decreased after spiking the most it has in a long time. We might still have time to recover the previous trade and for price to reverse from its current short term move down.
Where the "sick throw up" emoji is, im looking for this same type of price movement. May have to wait through some consolidation before retracing to one the daily target ranges on this chart.
Bearish drop?EUR/NZD has rejected off the pivot and could drop tothe 1st support.
Pivot: 1.92325
1st Support: 1.88101
1st Resistance: 1.93451
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.42633
1st Support: 18.12402
1st Resistance: 18.77859
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local bearish correction
Towards the horizontal support
Level of 0.5912 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bullish rebound
Buy!
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Trump back off and so does the EUROWith the recent news of Trump backing off of Tariff enforcement and his decision to not fire the FED chair, the the EURO waterfalls back down fast as the bears takeover! I'm holding off until I can find reliable support and looking at a price target around 1.26'ish.
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete.
The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683 and 1.15894
USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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CAD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF made a nice
Bullish move up from the lows
But the pair is about to retest
A horizontal resistance level
Of 0.5952 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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GBP-NZD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD made a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support line so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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CHFJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 173.75
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 174.91
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 140.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 140.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1490
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1559
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1399
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.