Gold hits key resistanceMarkets are focused on the policies of US President Donald Trump, who took office on Monday. Bloomberg reported: “Trump’s policies have caused volatility in markets, traders are heeding warnings about currencies...
Trump announced plans to impose tariffs of up to 25% on products imported from Mexico and Canada by February 1. He also promised to accelerate US energy development and lift restrictions on oil drilling in most of the US coast.
Asian and European stock markets traded mixed overnight. US stock indexes are expected to open higher and hit two-week highs when trading in New York begins.
In key overseas markets, Nymex crude oil futures fell sharply, trading around $76.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note is currently at 4.582%. There is no major US economic data due on Tuesday.
Technically, the February gold futures are tilted to the upside, giving the short-term bulls an advantage. The buyers’ objective is to push the price above the key resistance at the December high of $2,761.30. Conversely, the sellers want to push the price below the strong support at $2,650.00.
Forex
Smart Money Strategy: Short Opportunity with EUR/JPY Smart Money Strategy: Opportunity with EUR/JPY at Key Fibonacci Levels
The EUR/JPY pair is currently facing downward pressure, trading around 161.10, as speculation mounts over a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). With market expectations nearing a 92% likelihood of a rate increase by the BoJ in their upcoming January meeting, this could push short-term borrowing rates to the highest since the 2008 financial crisis, bolstering the Japanese Yen.
Key Levels for Strategic Entry:
Optimal Short Entry :
Focus on the 162.103 level, where the pair may encounter significant resistance.
Fibonacci Reversal Points
: The 0.75 and 0.71 levels are more than technical markers; they are critical points where institutional investors—often referred to as the 'smart money'—typically engage. These levels are key for identifying potential shifts in market dynamics.
This trade is not just about capitalizing on market trends—it's about strategically positioning at a technically significant level to maximize the potential for profits.
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Gold---> Change in fundamentals. Strong resistanceDear friends, what are your thoughts on gold?
Overall, gold has seen a significant increase yesterday, with a price rise surpassing the 2720 level. It is currently trading at a new high of 2728, showing strong gains for the day. So what reasons and factors have driven this?
Regarding the influencing factors: Safe-haven money flows have strengthened following statements about tariff policies from former President Trump, along with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates. These factors have put pressure on US Treasury yields, creating positive momentum for gold. However, risks from the mild recovery of the USD and optimistic risk sentiment in the market are somewhat restraining stronger upward momentum.
Regarding new prospects for gold: On the H4 chart, according to Joe's personal view, gold is currently receiving strong support at 2620. Breaking below this level would lead to price decreases, while maintaining it would result in price increases. Upon careful observation, it's noteworthy that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending downward in the bullish zone, indicating potential momentum changes and the revival of correction possibilities. If a correction occurs, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will utilize short-term momentum to test the area of interest at the upper boundary within the bullish channel, from which a decline may occur.
Best regards, Joegoldwave!
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationOANDA:XAUUSD is rising due to heightened geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, where the price is testing the strong resistance level of 2726 and creating a false breakout of this resistance.
The upward movement is gaining momentum following threats of tariffs by Trump, which have added to the negative market sentiment regarding risk. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if trade agreements are not reached. These threats are supporting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are limiting gold's further upward momentum. Trading in the coming days will depend on the overall market sentiment and Trump's tariff discussions.
From a technical perspective, the false breakout of such a strong resistance level could temporarily slow the growth rate and lead to price consolidation or correction. However, there are technical nuances to consider.
Currently, it's important to note the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (2716) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (2711). These are significant liquidity zones that could prevent a deeper correction and push gold back into its bullish trend. A retest of the local highs at 2726 - 2732 would signal that the metal is ready for further upward movement.
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.9092
1st Support: 0.9008
1st Resistance: 0.9137
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NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 88.15.
We look to Sell at 88.27 (stop at 88.67)
Our profit targets will be 87.27 and 86.90
Resistance: 88.00 / 88.50 / 88.75
Support: 87.50 / 87.00 / 86.70
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Intraday Analysis XAU/USDThe price rejected a key resistance zone (marked at the top) and started moving downward.
The Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8% and 78.6%) are clearly visible and serve as potential support zones for retracements.
Short-term bearish trend due to rejection at resistance.
Bullish reversal possible from the 61.8% or 78.6% retracement zones.
USDJPY holding the MA50 (1d).USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September.
The price has tested, held and consolidated on the MA50 (1d) for the last 4 days (including today).
This is a bullish signal, considering also that this is taking place near the bottom of the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 164.350 (+6.20% rise).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is below its MA trendline, on a sideways pattern that is similar to the September 16th 2024 and December 3rd 2024 bottoms.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9093
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.9138
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9022
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD Buy From a technical perspective, the Gold price now seems to have found acceptance above the $2,720 supply zone. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining positive traction and are still away from being in the overbought territory. This, in turn, favors bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAU/USD is to the upside. Hence, some follow-through strength towards the next relevant hurdle near the $2,735 horizontal zone, en route to the $2,746-2,748 region, looks like a distinct possibility. The momentum could extend further towards challenging the all-time peak, around the $2,790 area touched in October 2024.
XAUUSD Buy 2727
Support 2745
NZD-CHF Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF was trading
Beneath the falling
Resistance line but now
We are seeing a bullish
Breakout, pullback and a
Rebound so we are locally
Bullish biased now and we
Will be expecting a further
Local bullish move up
Buy!
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EURO/USD multi timeframe analysis
The monthly trend for EUR/USD remains bullish.
However, with the weekly timeframe trending downward, the market has entered a pullback phase on the monthly timeframe. While the weekly highs remain protected, it’s important to note that the deeper the weekly pullback penetrates into the monthly bullish structure, the higher the likelihood that the pullback will conclude.
Identifying the End of the Weekly Pullback
The weekly pullback is considered over when the daily timeframe structure shifts to bullish and successfully breaks above the weekly high. In this case, however, the daily structure turned bullish only to facilitate the weekly pullback toward the protected high. When the daily structure subsequently turns bearish again, it aligns with the primary bearish trend of the weekly timeframe.
Current Market Outlook
At present, the daily structure is bearish. The 4-hour structure, however, has turned bullish, which supports the expectation of a daily pullback. For this scenario to remain valid, the 15-minute structure must continue to hold a bullish trend and eventually break through the protected 4-hour high, thereby confirming the bullish shift in the 4-hour structure.
Let's get closer:
Trade Bias and Triggers
As long as the 15-minute structure stays bullish and successfully breaks the protected 4-hour high, the bias remains in favor of taking buy trades during the daily pullback. The ideal trigger for this bias is a sustained bullish 15-minute structure that leads to a confirmed breakout of the 4-hour high, making the 4-hour structure fully bullish.
Regards ❤️
USD/CAD Consolidation Continues Despite VolatilityChart Analysis:
The USD/CAD pair continues to trade within a defined consolidation box, reflecting indecision and range-bound behavior.
1️⃣ Consolidation Box:
The pair has failed to decisively break above the upper boundary near 1.4460 or below the lower boundary around 1.4280.
This range-bound behavior suggests that traders remain uncertain about the next directional move.
2️⃣ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: The upper boundary at 1.4460 remains a critical resistance level. A breakout above this level with strong follow-through is needed to confirm a bullish breakout.
Support: The lower boundary near 1.4280 acts as strong support. A breakdown below this level could indicate bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 1.4215, providing dynamic support within the range.
200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 1.3820, confirming a longer-term bullish structure.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 52, reflecting neutral momentum.
MACD: Flat, signaling a lack of strong directional momentum.
What to Watch:
A confirmed breakout above 1.4460 or breakdown below 1.4280 will likely provide the next major move.
Until then, traders may look to trade within the consolidation range, with stops placed around key levels.
The USD/CAD remains in a state of consolidation, with the range providing clear levels for traders to monitor.
-MW
3 Must-Know Chart Patterns to Spot Winning Trades!Morning Trading Family
Understanding chart patterns is super important for trading success! In this video, I’ll walk you through the top 3 patterns every trader should know: Head and Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, and Bullish/Bearish Flags. I’ll show you how to spot them, when to jump into a trade, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or crypto, these patterns can make a big difference. We’ll even look at live charts together to keep it simple. Let me know in the comments which pattern is your favorite!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Gold is still on the riseThe euro and the pound have gained against the dollar, putting the two currencies on track for their biggest one-day gains against the dollar in more than a year. The reason is that new President Donald Trump will not impose tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office. On the other hand, analysts say that the import tariffs that Donald Trump is expected to impose are being exaggerated. Accordingly, the dollar may continue to depreciate in the coming time, which is beneficial for the gold market.
As the dollar depreciates, gold becomes more attractive to holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, traders expect gold prices to rise even further in the future.
Gold could surge above $2,800 if Donald Trump puts his proposals into action. Persistent inflation and rising economic uncertainty as government debt continues to rise are helping push gold prices to a key resistance level above $2,700 an ounce. While gold is seeing solid gains, some analysts note that the precious metal still has a long way to go before it breaks out of a two-month consolidation.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2739 2741 🔥
✔️TP1: 2720
✔️TP2: 2710
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2746
Unlock Your Trading Potential: How to Design the Perfect Trading
Morning Trading Family
Ever wonder how the pros keep getting better? It's all about the journal! Join me in this video where I spill the beans on setting up your own trading journal that'll skyrocket your learning curve.
We'll go through how to record each trade like a pro, capturing not just the when and where, but the why. I'll share simple methods to make your journal entries meaningful and insightful. Check out a real-life example from my journal, where I share not just the trades but the feelings behind them. Learn to spot the patterns in your trading - the good, the bad, and the ugly.
Whether you're just starting out or you've been trading for years, this video is your roadmap to personal growth in the trading world. I'll show you how a few minutes each day can transform your trading strategy. Drop your thoughts, questions, or your own journaling hacks in the comments!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Canada CPI fractionally lower. BoC in the spotlight next weekUSDCAD continues to experience strong fluctuations due to recent political and economic events. Next week it will BoC's turn to shape the near-term faith of the Canadian dollar.
FX_IDC:USDCAD MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
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GBPNZD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EUR/USD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.1703
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.1748
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.2291
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.2216
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0392
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0334
My Stop Loss - 1.0428
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK