Forex
The global economy faces many uncertainties.Gold prices rebounded overnight as Donald Trump is likely to delay imposing tariffs. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump issued a presidential memorandum directing federal agencies to investigate trade deficits and address unfair trade and currency policies from other countries. However, the directive does not include imposing new tariffs on the first day of his inauguration, which many countries have feared.
Fears of tariffs and a global trade war have significantly affected the precious metals market. Last week, gold prices rose above $2,700 an ounce, while silver prices returned above $30 an ounce, reflecting the urgency of the market.
Some analysts have attributed the rise in gold and silver prices to disruptions in the global supply chain as the precious metals are moved from London to New York. Donald Trump’s tariff threats have created huge volatility in the futures and physical asset swaps market, as banks have moved large amounts of metals to the US to avoid the risk of potential tariffs.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2726 2628🔥
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2700
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2736
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on SILVER, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 29.300.
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XAUUSD BUY NOW XAUUSD - GOLD
TRADE SETUP & KEY POINTS :
4Hr time frame forming a Parallel Channel.
Market Coming Channel Bottom.
Support Level - 2710 $
Next Support & Channel Bottom - 2692 $
Entry - Focus on Support Levels
Target - Channel Top
Stoploss - Channel Breakout ..
Happy trading .. we will Update soon ..
AUD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.616 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.560 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.212 area.
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NQ1! BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NQ1! is making a bearish pullback on the 9H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 21,655.25 level.
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has reached its price ceiling and currently shows signs of being unable to break above this resistance level. It is anticipated that gold will start a correction from the identified resistance zone and decline toward the specified levels.
A downward correction is expected from the resistance area, potentially leading to a decline to key support levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBP/NOK LONG: My Technical AnalysisDear Readers, Today I want to show you my long investment on GBP/NOK.
As a passionate analyst of the Forex market, today I want to share with you a strategy that I am following on the British Pound/Norwegian Krone (GBP/NOK).
The current setup is particularly interesting, as it presents consistent bullish signals on multiple timeframes, supported by technical indicators that I have developed and customized for in-depth analysis.
My Technical Analysis
To build this long strategy, I used the custom Wave Trend (developed by me) and the Alligator indicator. Both tools gave me clear signals of a bullish reversal.
Here is a summary of the signals identified:
1-Hour Chart (1H): On the hourly timeframe, we have just seen a break of the previous resistance, a strong signal that indicates a possible continuation to the upside.
4-Hour Chart (4H): On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is in an oversold condition and is bouncing off the long-term average of the Alligator. This suggests a recovery from a phase of excessive market weakness.
Daily Chart (1D): The long-term context remains bullish. This prolonged phase of positive trend offers additional safety for a long position.
Key Levels of the Strategy
To make this trade safe and effective, I have set key stop loss and take profit values, as shown in the chart.
Stop Loss: Placed at 13.85689, below the recent lows. This level provides protection in the event of a sharp reversal.
Take Profit: Set at 14.47413, an ambitious but realistic target, which aims to capitalize on the bullish trend.
Indicators Confirmation
The Wave Trend, positioned at the bottom of the chart, has signaled a bullish divergence and the passage from the oversold zone. The Alligator, on the other hand, shows a possible opening of the moving averages (indicative of a nascent trend), with the price that has detached from the long-term average, suggesting a potential bounce upwards.
Conclusions
This setup is a great example of how to combine technical signals and market context to build a winning trading strategy. The consistency between the signals on the 1H, 4H and 1D timeframes gives me further confidence in my long investment on GBP/NOK.
I will keep you updated on the progress of this operation and on the next trading opportunities. As always, remember that good risk management is essential to achieve success in the financial markets.
See you soon,
Andrea Russo.
USDCHFUSDCHF price is in an uptrend, currently in a correction phase. If the price can stay above 0.90245, it is likely to rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Levels discussed on 20th Jan 2025 Livestream20th January 2025
DXY: Currently below 109.40, break above, could trade up to 110 (previous swing high), beyond that, strong resistance at 111
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6170 SL 15 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2150 SL 15 TP 40
EURUSD: Sell 1.0310 SL 30 TP 110
USDJPY: Buy 156.70 SL 40 TP 120
EURJPY: Sell 161.10 SL 40 TP 120
GBPJPY: Looking for reaction at 191.15
USDCHF: Choppy between 0.91 and 0.9150
USDCAD: Buy 1.4480 SL 30 TP 60
XAUUSD: Needs to stay above 2694 (trendline) to trade up to 2722 resistance
Potential bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.7436
1st Support: 18.4603
1st Resistance: 18.8586
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 11.80157
1st Support: 11.73739
1st Resistance: 11.87719
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Overlap resistance ahead?GBP/CAD is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support that is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7824
1st Support: 1.7659
1st Resistance: 1.7979
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price drop from here?GBP/AUD is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.9745
1st Support: 1.9487
1st Resistance: 1.9816
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.9093
1st Support: 0.9012
1st Resistance: 0.9152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise off 50% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2245
1st Support: 1.2162
1st Resistance: 1.2369
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD skyrocketed, Trump's influence provided strong supportIn the Asian market today, Tuesday, January 21, influenced by Trump's tariff comments that stimulated risk aversion, OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped to 17 USD in the short term and are currently approaching the mark of 2,725 USD/ounce.
Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States in the Oval Office of the Capitol.
US President Trump recently announced that he plans to impose tariffs on Mexico and Canada no later than February 1, possibly up to 25%, and reiterated his view that the two neighboring countries America's neighbors are allowing illegal immigration and drugs into the United States.
Complaining about fentanyl and migrants crossing the northern U.S. border, Trump called Canada a “very bad abuser” and said the target date for tariffs would be “I think February 1st. "
Trump made the remarks shortly after returning to the Oval Office to sign a series of executive orders. The executive orders cover everything from regulation to energy to immigration.
This is an early sign that Trump has increasingly focused on trade since taking office. These comments have stimulated risk aversion in the market to increase rapidly. Not only did gold strengthen, but the safe-haven Dollar also increased strongly. Impacting the market, we can see that recently both gold and Dollar, which have a negative correlation, have increased in price together.
Trump's sweeping trade tariffs are expected to spur further inflation and spark a trade war, which could increase gold's safe-haven appeal.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has approached the $2,725 level that was the initial upside target noticed by readers in the previous issue, followed by the $2,730 price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Technically, gold still has all the conditions for price increases with the trend being noticed by the green price channel, main support from EMA21 and the nearest support is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
Meanwhile, the uptrend of the Relative Strength Index also creates an uptrend and is still quite far from the overbought level, showing that there is still wide room for price growth ahead.
Moving forward, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,700 – 2,693USD
Resistance: 2,725 – 2,730 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2746 - 2744⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2750
→Take Profit 1 2739
↨
→Take Profit 2 2734
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2684 - 2686⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2680
→Take Profit 1 2691
↨
→Take Profit 2 2696
USDJPY: Correction before dropping to 153.00-152.00Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDJPY has yet to resume its upward trend. Rumors about potential actions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are beginning to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain strength.
The 158.46 level represents a strong resistance zone established by the sellers. Strong expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ this week are also lending support to the JPY. Overall, this influence appears relatively weak but could still provide significant backing for this currency pair.
In theory, any upward movement of this major pair might be limited due to trade policy risks from the soon-to-be-inaugurated US President Donald Trump, which have constrained any significant bullish moves for the safe-haven JPY.
The focus this week will be on Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated two-day BoJ policy meeting beginning on Thursday.
From a technical standpoint, the price is attempting to break out of a major range and test key support levels. A false breakout around the 156.56 level could lead to the price targeting newly formed resistance zones. However, if the price settles below 156.56 or even drops under 155.95, it could trigger strong selling pressure sooner than expected.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
XAUUSD Buy Looking up, the $2,708 level needs to be regained before considering further upside. Further up, the next level to look at is $2,721, a sort of double top in November and December. In case Bullion powers through that level, the all-time high of $2,790 is the key upside barrier.
XAUUSD Buy 2710
Support 2730