Forex
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the NZDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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AUDCHF: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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#EURNZD 2HEURNZD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of a channel, which acts as a key resistance level. This indicates a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above and instead respects the resistance.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or the lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The current price action at the channel resistance indicates a bearish bias, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Waiting for confirmation of a retest ensures a strategic entry aligned with market momentum.
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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USDCHF, follow the current trendOANDA:USDCHF / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
USDCHF is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous weeklyrange.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Macro high.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
DXY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 109.412.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 110.871.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2,706.25.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,790.68 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 156.291.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 154.540 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAU/USD : Key Levels $2717 and $2727 to Define Next Move! (READ)Analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we observe that after rising to approximately $2725, gold underwent a correction down to $2703. Currently, gold is trading around $2708, and the key level to watch over the next two hours is $2717.
If gold fails to breach and stabilize above $2717, we may expect further corrections. Alternatively, gold might move above $2727 to collect liquidity, followed by a potential reaction to this liquidity pool, leading to a correction.
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURGBP to continue in the bullish channel?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429.
We look to buy dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409)
Our profit targets will be 0.8489 and 0.8499
Resistance: 0.8454 / 0.8464 / 0.8485
Support: 0.8436 / 0.8420 / 0.8404
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPNZD Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2.174.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2.200 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GOLD with the target of 2,659.028 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Gold cools as fighting eases in GAZA#️⃣ The Israeli Prime Minister officially announced that he will ratify the ceasefire agreement in Gaza! Trump repeated: I have merit
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⭐️Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas has been completed and will take effect on Sunday, right before Donald Trump takes office as US president.
✔️The agreement brokered by Biden, Trump and Qatar includes: Hamas will release 33/98 hostages, Israel will withdraw troops from Palestinian residential areas and release 1,000 Palestinian prisoners.
➡️Trump asserted that this agreement would not have been possible without his participation, while Biden emphasized his desire for a long-term ceasefire to stabilize the region.
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There are many mixed opinions within Israel: the extreme right wing opposes the agreement, while the Israeli stock market increased sharply by 4.4% last week due to positive expectations from the agreement.
Political Situations Are Calming Down as Trump Takes Office, Cooling Down Gold
Moving Investors Money to Crypto Market, Hottest Place Right Now
CAD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 110.323 level.
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 96.652 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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NZD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on NZD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 87.200.
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GOLD BULLSH MOVE, REASONS?? ( READ CPTION)Hello everybody, I hope you are doing well, Happy Weekend.
I hope you had great weekend, The market is going to open tonight.
Im back with my new idea for next week, as you can see gold has broken trendline, hit sell side liquidity, after hit the sell side liquidity gold has fallen and there was Supply zone.
There was 3 taps in down and up trend line but gold has broken down trend line, strong bullish momentum, gold has fallen from Supply zone, Im excited gold will fly from the OB area, its demand zone also in H1 TF. You know there is a FVG in H4 with medium accuracy, there is a buy side liquidity.
Price can break the supply zone area after touch OB, and it can reach at the previous ATH 2790.
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GBP/JPY Short, NZD/JPY Long, USD/CAD Short and CHF/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value 1.
• 4H risk entry.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value 2.
• 1H impulse down below area of value 2.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Powers HigherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Powers Higher
USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4400 support zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.4300 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above the 1.4345 resistance against the Canadian Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 1.4380 and 1.4400 levels. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.4450. A high was formed at 1.4485 and the pair recently corrected some gains.
There was a move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. Initial support is near the 1.4420 level.
There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420. The next major support is near the 1.4395 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high.
The main support sits near the 1.4345 zone on the same USD/CAD chart. A downside break below the 1.4345 level could push the pair further lower. The next major support is near the 1.4300 support zone, below which the pair might visit 1.4250.
If there is another increase, the pair might face resistance near the 1.4485 level. A clear upside break above 1.4485 could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is the 1.4540 level.
A close above the 1.4540 level might send the pair toward the 1.4580 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of the 1.4620 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Under PressureMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Under Pressure
GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2320 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started another decline from the 1.2320 resistance zone.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2205 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.2320 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.2270 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair even traded below 1.2250 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2100 level. The recent swing low was formed at 1.2160 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near a short-term bearish trend line at 1.2205. The first major resistance is near the 1.2230 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2305 swing high to the 1.2160 low.
The main hurdle sits at 1.2270 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2305 swing high to the 1.2160 low. A close above the 1.2270 resistance might spark a steady upward move.
The next major resistance is near the 1.2305 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2320 resistance in the near term.
Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2160. The next major support sits at 1.2140, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2100.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPAUD: Consolidation Trading 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is consolidating.
The price is stuck with a horizontal parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
We see a strong bullish reaction to its support.
The pair formed a cup & handle pattern.
With a high probability, the market will keep rising and reach the resistance of the range.
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The Aussie has a strong bearish momentum, could it drop further?The price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6250
1st Support: 0.6144
1st Resistance: 0.6301
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Disclaimer:
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