EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors:
1. Upper FVG Zone:
Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment.
2. Lower FVG Zone:
A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces.
3. Projected Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher.
- Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000.
This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
Forex
Unstoppable, GOLD could rise in Big Data WeekOANDA:XAUUSD markets maintained solid gains in the initial reaction to higher-than-expected inflation data, with OANDA:XAUUSD surging to a record high as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs will spark a global trade war. It is now up more than 17% for the quarter, which would be its best quarterly performance since 1986.
PCE data slightly exceeds expectations, but has limited impact on rate cut expectations
Data showed that the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month-on-month in February, above market expectations of 0.3% and in line with January.
While inflation data was somewhat upbeat, it was not enough to significantly change market expectations for a Fed rate cut.
The Fed has yet to adjust its policy rate this year, having previously cut rates three times through 2024. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a total of 63 basis points starting in July this year, and could start cutting rates by 50 basis points by mid-year.
Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset that performs well in an environment of political and economic risk and low interest rate expectations.
Trump is about to announce "reciprocal tariffs", and the market is very wary of inflation and growth risks
The market is closely watching the Trump administration's plan to announce "reciprocal tariffs" on April 2. Trump's policies have the effect of promoting inflation, not only increasing the risk of economic recession, but also may exacerbate global trade tensions.
This is beneficial for gold prices!
Looking ahead to next week, in addition to the technical upside and current support for gold, gold prices remain well supported as US economic data continues to highlight slowing growth. Next week’s jobs data is expected to be a significant mover. Any weakness in the labor market could weigh on equities and boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Therefore, as usual, the employment data will be the focus of the economic calendar next week, and more detailed analysis will be sent to readers in the next editions. In particular, along with the economic data, traders also need to monitor how the world reacts to the implementation of US trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect on April 2. This will deeply affect the US Dollar and the price of gold, any risk of escalating tariff conflicts will cause gold prices to increase immediately.
Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Jobs Open
Wednesday: US Global Tariffs, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls
Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
NZD_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|
✅NZD_CHF made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal level
and the breakout is confirmed so we
are bearish biased and we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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CAD-CHF Nice Bearish Setup! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level and is already marking
A bearish pullback while trading
In a bearish wedge pattern so
If we see a breakout then
A further move done is to be expected
Sell!
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GBPUSD: Channel Up still intact but keep an eye on the 4H MA200.GBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.951, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 32.444) as the dominant pattern remains a Channel Up and despite the consolidation in recent days, the market remains supported over the 4H MA200. If it crosses over the LH trendline, go long in a similar manner as the Feb 13th break out and aim for the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.3200). If on the other hand the price fails and crosses under the 4H MA200, go short and aim for the S1 level (TP = 1.2555).
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AUD_NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_NZD has retested a key resistance level of 1.1020
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 1.0976 is likely
SHORT🔥
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S&P to find buyers at current market price?US500 - Intraday
Closed the day little net changed.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Immediate signals are hard to interpret.
Bespoke resistance is located at 5853.
Bespoke support is located at 5536.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We look to Buy at 5609 (stop at 5572)
Our profit targets will be 5719 and 5853
Resistance: 5719 / 5737 / 5853
Support: 5616 / 5607 / 5536
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURGBP
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURGBP
Entry - 0.8353
Stop - 0.8326
Take - 0.8395
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPNZD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.2627
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.2500
My Stop Loss - 2.2695
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
AUDNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1003 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0966
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1025
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The price of AUDUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3081.3
Sl - 3073.9
Tp - 3096.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0807
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0781
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3303.8
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3354.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on CADCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6196 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6157
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NZDJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 86.498
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 86.332
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Euro can exit from pennant and rebound up from support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price was previously trading inside an upward channel, where it consistently rebounded from the support line and moved toward the resistance line. After a final bounce from the lower boundary, EUR made a strong breakout and exited the channel, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. This move brought the price directly to the current support level at 1.0745, which overlaps with the support area. After reaching the local high, the price turned around and entered a correction phase, forming an upward pennant pattern. Inside this structure, we can see how EUR respected both the resistance line and the rising support line of the pennant. Recently, the price rebounded from the support line again, showing signs of strength near the support area, and is now consolidating at the edge of the pennant. This setup often signals an upcoming breakout. I expect the price to break above the resistance line of the pennant and continue its bullish move toward TP1, which is set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Why GBPJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS GBPJPY is currently trading at approximately 195.000, having achieved a substantial gain of over 300 pips. Technical analysis suggests that the pair is poised for further upward movement, with a target price of 199.000, indicating the potential for an additional 400 pips gain. This bullish momentum is supported by the pair's recent breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling strong buying interest.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. This divergence in central bank policies has widened the interest rate differential between the two currencies, favoring a stronger pound against the yen.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The recent breakout above the 193.000 resistance level has opened the path toward the 199.000 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a sustained move above 195.000 could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward 199.000. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
CADCHF Bullissh or Bearish ??? Detailed analysisCAD/CHF is currently trading at approximately 0.6150, forming a bearish flag pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further downward movement. This pattern emerges after a sharp price decline, followed by a consolidation phase characterized by parallel trendlines. A breakout below the flag's lower boundary could potentially lead to a decline of over 100 pips, aligning with the target price of 0.6000.
Fundamental factors support this bearish outlook. The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently implemented a 25 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 2.75%. This move, aimed at stimulating economic growth amid trade tensions and weakened consumer confidence, has exerted downward pressure on the Canadian dollar. Conversely, the Swiss franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status, attracting investors during periods of global uncertainty. Additionally, Switzerland's robust economic data, including a manufacturing PMI of 51.5 and a 4.0% rise in exports, further bolsters the franc's strength.
Technical analysis further reinforces the bearish sentiment. The CAD/CHF pair has been in a steady downtrend, with minor retracements occasionally. Currently, the price is preparing for another retracement aimed at retesting the immediate supply zone. The 4-hour timeframe chart shows that the supply zone falls perfectly between the 76% and 88% Fibonacci retracement levels. The presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and inducement contribute to the bearish leaning of the market sentiment. Analysts have set a target of 0.6051, with an invalidation point at 0.6231.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the CAD/CHF pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels and employ robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
GBP/AUD: Consolidation Breakout Signals Bullish ContinuationThe GBP/AUD market remains in a range-bound structure, fluctuating between the 2.0300 support and 2.0600 resistance levels. Recently, price broke and closed above both a downward trendline and the previous two daily highs, reinforcing a bullish bias.
With strong momentum visible on the daily timeframe, the market appears to be setting up for a consolidation expansion pattern. If the price continues to hold above the trendline and support level, a retest of last week’s high is likely, with further bullish movement possible. The next target is the resistance zone around 2.06490
AUDJPY This Golden Cross is the signal for selling.The AUDJPY pair gave us last time (February 19, see chart below) an excellent sell signal that easily hit our 93.750 Target and bottom of the Bearish Megaphone:
The market is about to complete a 4H Golden Cross and last time it did (January 07 2025), it formed a Top. That was also after a Channel Up that started following an almost -6% decline. Notice how the 1D RSI patterns among the two fractals are similar.
The bearish sequence that followed the previous 4H Golden Cross hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect to see 91.000 by May.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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