Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0332
1st Support: 1.0175
1st Resistance: 1.0464
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Forex
USD/JPY: Consolidation Ahead of Big MoveLooking at the 4-hour chart of USD/JPY, I see the pair is currently trading around 155.79, with a notable reaction at the support area near 155.50. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have started to widen their gap, indicating that the bearish pressure is still in place. However, the 155.50 price zone acts as an important psychological support, creating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
The 34 EMA acts as dynamic resistance near 156.20. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue.
A break below 155.50 could drag the price to test deeper support at 154.80 – a strong support level in previous sessions.
Conversely, if the price breaks above the 34 EMA, the pair could test the higher resistance at 156.80, near the 89 EMA.
GBP/USD: Consolidation at Key SupportLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I see that the pair is currently trading around 1.2202, with signs of consolidation at a strong support zone. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are still sloping down, indicating that the bearish bias is still dominant. However, the gap between the price and the EMA is narrowing, which could be a sign that the bearish pressure is waning.
In addition, the pair has successfully tested the 1.2170 support zone in recent sessions, creating a solid foundation for a short-term recovery. To break this consolidation, the price needs to overcome the dynamic resistance at the 34 EMA, located around 1.2230. If this happens, the next target will be the 1.2300 zone – a strong psychological resistance.
USDJPY: Intraday Bearish Confirmation 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Earlier on Friday, I shared with you a confirmed structure
breakout on USDJPY on a daily.
This morning, retesting a broken structure, the price formed
a strong bearish confimation on an hourly.
I see a double top pattern and a violation of its neckline.
With a high probability, the price will fall and reach 155.57/ 155.18 levels.
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EUR/USD: Will It Recover or Continue Downtrend?Looking at the daily chart of EUR/USD, I see that the pair is moving within a clear bearish channel. Currently, the price is hovering around 1.0297, near the center line of the channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still sloping down, confirming the long-term downtrend. However, a small divergence at the support level suggests a potential short-term recovery.
It is worth noting that the price is testing a dynamic resistance zone, near the EMA 34, around 1.0300. If the price fails to break above this level, selling pressure could increase, dragging the price down to the 1.0200 area, or even the bottom of the channel around 1.0100. Conversely, if the price breaks above the EMA 34 and breaks the channel, the next target could be the 1.0400 area.
Gold Gains Amid Low US Inflation – More Upside Ahead?
Looking at the gold price action on the 4-hour chart, I see some technical signals supporting the possibility of a price increase. Currently, the price is hovering around $2,699 and maintaining above the EMA 34 ($2,693) and EMA 89 ($2,672). This shows that the uptrend is still dominant. At the same time, the price bounced after touching near the EMA 34 in the recent session, reinforcing the important support role of this area.
The arrangement of the EMAs still supports the uptrend, with the EMA 34 above the EMA 89. This combined with the recovery momentum from technical support creates expectations that the price will test the important resistance zone at $2,728. A break of this level would open the possibility of a price increase to the $2,750 area and higher. However, it should be noted that the support zone at $2,693 (34 EMA) will be the first line of defense if the price corrects. If the price breaks this zone, selling pressure could push the price down to the $2,672 (89 EMA) zone.
Fundamentals: Lower-than-expected inflation data has reinforced expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to cut interest rates, which will weaken the USD and increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, investors are still waiting for economic policy information after Donald Trump returns to the White House.
I see gold in a short-term consolidation but has the potential to bounce if it breaks the important resistance zone. Watch the $2,728 zone closely to assess the next market momentum.
GOLD is supported, but watch out for TrumpIn the weekend trading session on Friday (January 17), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot price decreased by 12 USD due to factors such as the recovery of the US Dollar and profit-taking activities of investors, along with some pressure from important technical areas.
TVC:DXY Rising prices have put pressure on gold prices, but with uncertainty over incoming President Donald Trump's policies and markets once again betting on further interest rate cuts, Gold remains in favor. Weakly tilted to the upside as prices broke above the key level of $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit a new high in more than a month on Thursday, just $65.60 shy of October's all-time high of $2,790.15. Gold prices rose 0.5% this week, the third straight weekly gain, after weaker-than-expected U.S. core inflation data on Wednesday fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. capacity many times.
The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates twice before the end of this year, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller saying there could be further interest rate cuts if economic data weakens further.
Trump's policies make the market worried
The market is currently eagerly awaiting Mr. Trump's inauguration on January 20, which is expected to bring challenges to the gold market. Trump's strong rhetoric about supporting US manufacturing through trade tariffs continues to keep the US Dollar Index (Dxy) above 109 points, while also raising concerns about inflation and anxiety about a global trade war.
Aggressive markets will pay close attention to tariffs and fiscal spending policies, as these policies will directly affect economic growth, fiscal deficits and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
This week has been a pretty quiet data week. However, the event of Trump taking over the White House will be the focus, bringing expected market fluctuations that are huge fluctuations that traders need to pay special attention to.
Economic data to watch out for this week
Monday: US Presidential Inauguration, World Economic Forum Annual Meeting
Thursday: US weekly unemployment claims,
Friday: S&P Flash PMI data, US Existing Home Sales
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has not yet been able to surpass the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, a position that is important resistance for a continued uptrend that readers noticed in the previous issue.
Gold has also decreased and corrected since being under pressure from the 0.236% Fibonacci level, but in general, the downward momentum is not significant with technical conditions still tilting in favor of price increases.
In the coming time, as long as gold remains in the orange price channel, above EMA21 and POC Volume Profile, it still has a bullish outlook. Meanwhile, the up trending RSI maintained its activity above the 50 level, showing that there is still wide room for price growth ahead.
Once gold breaks the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it could open a new bullish cycle targeting $2,750 in the short term, more than the all-time high.
The technical uptrend of gold will be noticed again by the following levels.
Support: 2,693 – 2,676USD
Resistance: 2,730 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2745
→Take Profit 1 2734
↨
→Take Profit 2 2729
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below he 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 158.12
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 155.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and coul;d bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9100
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9173
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CAD-JPY Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY broke both the
Rising and horizontal
Support line which are
Now resistance areas
And the breakout is
Confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY on high timeframe
"Concerning DXY, the price is currently in a critical zone on the monthly timeframe. I foresee two scenarios:
1. If the price closes above the mentioned zone on the daily timeframe and forms a (FVG) on lower time frames, it could present a good opportunity to buy DXY after completing its pullback.
2. If the price fails to close above this zone and only sweeps liquidity, I will be observing candle formations and considering a sell-off towards the 107 zone."
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 20 - January 24]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated strongly, increasing from 2,656 USD/oz to 2,724 USD/oz, then decreasing and closing at 2,702 USD/oz. The main reason is due to the prediction that Donald Trump may implement his tariff commitments after his inauguration, increasing the risk of inflation in the context of the FED maintaining current interest rates. If this policy is implemented, the risk of a US-China trade war and global economic instability will increase, even leading to stagflation. These factors may continue to support gold prices to increase next week.
Mr. Trump can promote expansionary fiscal policy, increasing US public debt and the risk of global financial instability, thereby strengthening gold's role as a haven. However, next week's gold price may decrease if Mr. Trump delays or delays the imposition of tariffs, although this possibility is considered very low.
In the short term, gold prices may increase with the USD due to the impact of Mr. Trump's policies, instead of having a negative correlation as before. However, in the long term, if inflation increases sharply, forcing the FED to raise interest rates to curb inflation, this will put downward pressure on gold prices.
Next week, in addition to Mr. Trump's inauguration, the US will also release weekly unemployment claims and S&P Flash PMI data and existing home sales... However, these economic data may will not have much impact on the gold price trend next week.
📌In terms of technical analysis, if the gold price next week surpasses the threshold of 2,725 USD/oz, it can continue to conquer the strong resistance area at 2,790 USD/oz, and the gold price next week could even exceed 2,800 USD/oz. /oz if Mr. Trump's tariff commitment comes true after his inauguration. Meanwhile, the important support level for gold price next week is at 2,650 USD/oz. (Around the moving average EMA34, 89)
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,700 – 2,693 – 2,676USD
Resistance: 2,730 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2791 - 2789⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2795
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2645
GBPJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below:
The market is trading on 1.1373 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable GBPJPY continuation.
Target - 1.1313
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0239
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0318
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0201
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2703.1
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2674.4
Safe Stop Loss - 2720.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
QQQ
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short QQQ
Entry Point - 521.74
Stop Loss - 526.52
Take Profit - 512.96
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 597.55 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 588.41
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK