AUDNZD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDNZD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0803 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0792
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Forex
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1716
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1644
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6555
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6583
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6497
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Soybeans Crashing Into Demand — Reversal Coming or Trap?1. COT REPORT — Updated June 17, 2025
📌 Non-Commercials (Speculators)
Long: +5,661 → 195,984
Short: -9,226 → 110,761
✅ Net Long Increase: A clear bullish shift in speculative positioning (+14,887 net contracts). This is an early indication of a sentiment reversal.
📌 Commercials (Hedgers / Producers)
Long: +6,023
Short: -5,806
➡️ The decrease in net shorts suggests improving confidence among institutional players.
📌 Total Open Interest: 846,169 (down by 12,776)
❗ This slight drop may be linked to position rotation or partial profit-taking.
2. NET POSITIONS CHART INSIGHT
Commercial traders remain structurally net short, but their exposure has been gradually declining since March.
Non-commercial traders have increased their net long positions since April, aligned with the price's technical recovery.
The current price is trading near the historical mean, indicating neutral conditions with potential room for further upside.
🕰️ 3. SEASONALITY OUTLOOK
The June–July period has historically been bearish:
June Average Performance:
Last 5 years: -39.61
Last 2 years: -38.71
July Average Performance:
Last 20 years: -44.82
Last 2 years: -34.73
📉 August and September typically continue this seasonal downtrend.
🟨 Caution is advised on initiating long positions during this phase.
📊 4. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK —
Current Structure:
Rising channel has broken to the downside with a strong bearish impulse candle.
RSI is neutral but previously showed bearish divergence.
Key Support Zones:
1035–1025: Intermediate support area already tested.
1012–994: Golden Pocket aligned with a demand block — likely target zone with high potential for reaction.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Continuation: A retracement followed by a move down into the 994–1000 range, where a tactical long setup may emerge.
🔵 Bull Trap and Reversal: A rapid recovery above 1050, potentially triggering a continuation to 1080 (range top).
5. EXECUTION SUMMARY
Primary Bias: Bearish in the short term
🎯 Target Zone: 994–1000
🛑 Invalidation Level: Weekly close above 1055
Tactical Long Setup: Monitor price action at 994–1000 for bullish reaction.
Macro context and speculative positioning suggest a structural bottom may develop in Q3 2025, but current conditions are not yet favorable for a full swing position.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Analytical Weaknesses:
1. Support Zone Already Broken (Wick Penetration):
The candlestick wick clearly pierced the support level drawn on the chart.
This indicates that buyers are weak at that level — the support is not holding firmly.
Relying on this support for a bullish bias is risky, as it may soon turn into resistance.
2. Volume Confirms Weakness, Not Strength:
The bounce from the support zone happens on low or declining volume, suggesting lack of strong buying interest.
A legitimate bullish reversal should be backed by a volume surge — here, that’s absent.
3. False Sense of Recovery:
The analysis shows arrows projecting straight up to the “Target” level, implying a smooth bullish recovery.
This is unrealistic given the recent choppy price action and repeated failures to hold gains above 107,200.
Price action suggests uncertainty or distribution, not clean bullish momentum.
4. Tight Range and High Volatility Ignored:
Price has been ranging between ~106,400 and ~107,600 with rapid whipsaws.
This kind of structure is often indicative of indecision, and setting a clear directional target without breakout confirmation is premature
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Premature Breakout Bias:
The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting the resistance zone (highlighted in red).
The arrow assumes a clean breakout without confirmation — this is speculative, as the price hasn’t closed convincingly above the resistance.
This could easily turn into a false breakout or double top if price fails again.
2. Volume Mismatch:
A breakout should be backed by strong bullish volume. However, the current volume is mixed and not showing a clear surge in buyer strength.
Lack of volume confirmation makes the breakout less reliable.
3. Ignoring Recent Rejections:
The red zone was tested multiple times in the last sessions without success. That typically signals strong supply or institutional selling.
Repeating this setup without accounting for historical failure adds downside risk.
4. Missing Bearish Scenario:
No alternate path is considered. A failed breakout could lead to a pullback toward 144.00 or lower, especially with U.S. news events (indicated by the flag).
A balanced analysis should always prepare for both breakout and rejection.
5. Macroeconomic Event Risk:
Similar to the GBP/USD chart, this one also shows an upcoming U.S. economic event. That could heavily move USD/JPY, and technical setups may become invalid fast.
The analysis ignores the need to wait for the news catalyst or confirmation after the release.
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend:
The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28.
Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside.
Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern:
There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal.
Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support.
3. Target Box Ambiguity:
The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it.
A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
Market next target 🔍 Disruption Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
1. "Support" Label Positioned at the Current Price Level
Disruption: The chart marks 1.1705 as “Support,” but price is sitting directly on or slightly above it.
Challenge: If price is already breaking through or hovering at support without bouncing, it’s a sign of weakness — this zone may no longer be valid as support.
✅ Correction: Re-label this area as “Potential Resistance” if a breakdown confirms.
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2. Directional Bias Assumes Continuation Without Confirmation
Disruption: Three yellow arrows indicate a bearish continuation, yet no bearish candlestick pattern, volume spike, or break-close-below-support has been confirmed.
Challenge: This is a premature projection that lacks price action validation.
✅ Correction: Wait for a confirmed candle close below 1.1700 with increased volume to validate the move.
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3. Volume Ignored Despite Clear Clues
Disruption: There is rising volume during the move down near support — this could indicate either strong selling or smart money accumulation.
Challenge: Volume analysis is completely overlooked, missing a critical layer of confirmation.
✅ Correction: Analyze the volume spike on the red candles; if followed by weak follow-through, a bullish reversal may be setting up instead
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Analysis of the Original Chart
1. Labeling Conflict: "Bullish" with Bearish Arrow
Disruption: The term "Bullish" is written, yet the arrow clearly shows a downward movement. This is contradictory.
Challenge: A downward movement typically suggests bearish sentiment. Either the label is incorrect, or the directional analysis is flawed.
2. Support/Resistance Confusion
Disruption:
The chart shows "Support" at around 36.15 but labels the zone below it as "Target" and "Resistance", which is illogical.
Resistance should be above the current price; support below.
Challenge: It appears that the analyst has inverted the traditional roles of support and resistance.
3. Unclear Volume Interpretation
Disruption: The volume at the bottom is not analyzed or discussed. Yet volume spikes correlate with high selling pressure near resistance.
Challenge: Without volume context, predicting price movement is speculative.
XAUUSD – Bearish Trend Continues After Channel BreakoutGold is currently moving within a clearly defined descending channel, with successive lower highs confirmed at each retest of the dynamic resistance line. Following news of a temporary ceasefire between Iran and Israel, gold's safe-haven appeal weakened, triggering strong selling pressure that drove prices sharply lower, breaking below the key $3,260 support.
A rounded top pattern and a clean breakout beneath the channel indicate that sellers are in control. The next downside target lies around the $3,218 confluence zone, where a temporary bullish reaction may occur. The nearest resistance on a pullback is around $3,349 – aligned with the broken upper channel boundary and a dense FVG zone.
If the price fails to quickly reclaim the broken channel, the bearish trend is likely to persist in the short term. Traders should closely monitor price action near the $3,218 zone for potential entries or reversals.
XAUUSD : Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall ?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 140 pips up to $3336. However, after hitting that level, gold reversed and entered the bearish scenario, dropping below $3300 and eventually finding support around $3255.
This area acted as a strong demand zone, and we’ve since seen a rebound. Currently, gold is trading around $3273, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block), we may expect another bullish move before price potentially targets the liquidity below $3245 and $3203.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish MomentumXAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish Momentum" – Where Are the Opportunities?
Hello TradingView Community!
Hot news from the Gold (XAUUSD) market today! We've just closely analyzed the Daily Chart and spotted a crucial signal: Gold's downward momentum is extremely strong and clear! This indicates that the short-term trend may have shifted, or selling pressure is currently overwhelming other supporting factors.
🌍 Current Macroeconomic Context (A Multi-faceted View):
Previously, we discussed how a weaker USD might support Gold. Indeed, concerns about the Fed's independence (due to rumors of Powell's replacement) and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pushed the USD lower, typically a positive for Gold.
However, the market isn't driven by just one factor. The sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. It appears that, at present, factors like decreased safe-haven demand and potentially strong technical breakdowns are prevailing, creating significant selling pressure on the daily timeframe. We also need to emphasize that the market remains very cautious about confirming a bottom for Gold, and we are still awaiting crucial US economic data (especially PCE on Friday) and FOMC speeches.
➡️ In summary: While a weaker USD theoretically supports Gold, the price action on the daily chart clearly shows bears are dominating. We must respect this signal and adjust our strategy accordingly.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (Focus on Daily Chart - Strong Bearish Momentum!):
Based on the strong bearish signal from the Daily timeframe and key price levels from the chart (image_e9d325.png):
Primary Trend on Daily: Clearly strong bearish momentum. Large, consecutive bearish candles breaking previous support zones indicate overwhelming selling pressure.
Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Opportunities - where price might retrace before falling further):
3313.737 - 3315: This is the nearest and most important resistance area. If the price retraces here, it could present an opportunity to sell.
3321.466 - 3330.483: A stronger resistance zone, if price retraces deeper.
3341.947: Extremely strong resistance, unlikely to be reached in this context unless there's a major trend-reversing news event.
Support Zones (BUY Opportunities - extremely cautious, only for Scalp or clear reversal signals):
3294.414: Immediate support, but could be easily broken if bearish momentum persists.
3276.122: The next support area if the price continues to fall.
3264.400: This is a very strong support and a potential downside target if bearish momentum holds. Consider BUYs here only if price hits this level and shows clear reversal patterns on smaller timeframes.
🎯 Updated XAUUSD Trading Plan (Prioritizing SELLs):
Given the strong bearish momentum on the Daily chart, we will prioritize active SELL entries and approach BUY scalps with extreme caution, only at very strong support levels or with clear reversal confirmations.
1. ACTIVE SELL TRADES (Priority):
SELL ZONE 1 (Selling at near resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315 (If price retraces to this area and shows bearish rejection candle patterns on H1/H4)
SL: 3320 (Just above the nearest resistance)
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3276.122 (Next target according to the chart) - 3264.400 (Final target if strong bearish momentum continues)
SELL ZONE 2 (Selling at stronger resistance - if deeper retracement):
Entry: 3331 - 3333 (If price retraces deeper and shows reversal signals)
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3294.414
2. CAUTIOUS BUY TRADES (Only for Scalp/Clear Reversal Signals):
BUY ZONE (BUY SCALP AT STRONG SUPPORT):
Entry: 3266 - 3264 (Only buy if price hits this zone and shows clear reversal signals on M15/M30, such as reversal candle patterns, RSI divergence, etc.)
SL: 3260 (Very tight, acknowledging higher risk)
TP: 3270 - 3276.122 - 3280 - 3284 - 3290 (Aim for short TPs, no expectation of prolonged uptrend in strong bearish conditions)
INTERMEDIATE BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3284 - 3282 (If price has broken down through here and retraces, wait for confirmation)
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 (Short-term targets only)
⚠️ Crucial Factors to Monitor Closely Today:
Price Action at Resistance/Support Levels: How price reacts at these key marks will dictate the next move.
US Macro Data (especially PCE on Friday): Any surprising news can rapidly reverse the current trend.
FOMC Speeches: Can induce significant volatility in USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Situation: Although currently optimistic, any unexpected developments could reignite safe-haven demand.
EURNZD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURNZD
Entry - 1.9350
Sl - 1.9422
Tp - 1.9206
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GBPUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPUSD
Entry - 1.3710
Stop - 1.3765
Take - 1.3604
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Retest of New Highs and Pullback Zone✨ By MJTrading:
Chart Overview:
AUDUSD reached a 2025 new high around 0.65600 before pulling back sharply. Price broke out of a consolidation wedge and is now retesting the prior breakout and dynamic support area.
🔹 Key Points:
Structure: Clear impulse move to new highs, followed by corrective pullback.
Support Zone: Blue box ~0.6480–0.6500 could act as a demand area if price extends lower.
EMAs: Price testing the 60 EMA (~0.6523) after losing short-term momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.65250
SL: 0.65510
TP1: 0.65000
(Please Manage your Risk)( Ideal: 1% Per Trade)
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish reaction from current EMA support or the blue demand zone.
Deeper retracement if price fails to hold above 0.6500.
💡 Note:
This chart highlights how prior consolidation and breakout zones can offer potential retest entries in trending markets.
Thanks for your time an attention...
Follow for more setups.
#MJTrading
#AUDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #TradingView #FX
EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURAUD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURAUD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD – 2 Potential Intraday Setups (5-Min Chart)Chart Overview:
This 5-min EURUSD chart shows two example trade setups aligned with the main uptrend. These are shared purely for learning how to recognize and plan structured entries.
(Details are being shown in m5 chart- if this in not working for you please follow to be able to see it- as it is a private idea)
🔹 Example Trade 1 – 3rd Touch of Triangle Support
✅ Context:
Price retested the lower boundary of a broad triangle/wedge for the third time—often a strong area for reactive buys in an uptrend.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Reversal signal on the 3rd touch.
Stop: Below the signal bar low.
Target: Mid to upper wedge area (or TP2).
🔹 Example Trade 2 – Breakout of Descending Flag
✅ Context:
After bouncing off trendline support, price formed a descending flag consolidation.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Break and close above flag resistance.
Stop: Below the strong breakout candle.
Target: Extension toward recent highs (or TP2).
💡 Important:
These examples are not signals and not executed trades—they illustrate a possible planning process for traders studying price action strategies.
💡 Why These Matter:
Both setups align with the primary uptrend, use clear structure for risk placement, and rely on confirmation before entry.
🔹 Note:
These are educational examples only, not trade signals.
💬 Do you study similar setups? Share your charts and thoughts!
Thanks for your attention and your time...
Follow for more setups
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingEducation #PriceAction #IntradayTrading #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LearnTrading #TradingView
AUDNZD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0782
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0797
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570!
Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000.
Stay tuned for the next update!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURCAD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.6006
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.5978
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD–3h timeframe) Head and Shoulder Pattern(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD – 3h timeframe), a Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly marked, which is a bearish reversal signal.
Key Details:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline: Approximately at the 35.90–36.00 level
Breakout Direction: Down
Measured Move Target Method: To estimate the target, subtract the height from the head to the neckline from the neckline level.
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Target Estimation:
Head High: ~36.95
Neckline Level: ~35.90
→ Difference: 36.95 - 35.90 = 1.05
Target 1 (conservative): 35.90 - 1.05 = 34.85
Target 2 (aggressive): Based on the secondary arrow and extended support, it's pointing toward ~34.00–34.20
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📉 Final Targets:
✅ First Target: 34.85
✅ Second Target: 34.00–34.20 (if bearish momentum continues)
Let me know if you want stop-loss or risk management levels included.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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