US30 Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 43,233.41.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 42,564.96 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Forex
AUDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 96.530.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 96.725 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 11.73260
1st Support: 11.66314
1st Resistance: 11.78139
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.916.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.910 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Potential bullish bounce?CAD/CHF has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.63218
1st Support: 0.62931
1st Resistance: 0.63501
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/ZAR has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 78.6% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 18.8560
1st Support: 18.5925
1st Resistance: 19.0351
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDCAD: Consolidation Continues 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is currently consolidating with a horizontal parallel channel.
We see a nice bearish reaction to its resistance:
the price formed a tiny double top pattern and started to fall.
Chances are high that the price will reach 0.804 level soon.
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold is approaching a significant resistance zone that it has tested multiple times without breaking through. At this point, there are no clear signs indicating the strength to surpass this level. It is anticipated that gold may react to this resistance and undergo a downward correction, potentially reaching the specified target level mentioned in the analysis.
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BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so BITCOIN is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 96,229.
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GBP/AUD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/AUD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 2.020.
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GBP/NZD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.168.
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GBP/JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 194.042 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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AUD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously falling on the 7H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.566 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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GOLD is close to the target level of 2,730 USDIn the Asian trading session, today's weekend January 17, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a strong trend, gold price is currently around 2,716 USD/ounce, close to the previous target increase at 2,730 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a more than one-month high on Thursday as the latest U.S. economic data weighed on U.S. Treasury yields and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials.
The U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday that initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 11 increased by 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 217,000. Economists had expected 210,000 initial jobless claims last week.
Slightly weaker-than-expected US core CPI data led to a sharp fall in real yields, which should support further gains in gold prices on inflation fears and repricing of taper expectations interest rate.
Federal Reserve officials said data showed inflation in the US was continuing to slow, but they also noted growing uncertainty in the coming months as they wait for early policy signs. from the incoming administration of US President Donald Trump.
Potential tariffs from the Trump administration could exacerbate inflationary pressures.
The dollar fell, moving slightly from recent highs, as cooling US inflation data pulled bond yields down, continuing to support gold prices. And this is what we can most easily see about the alignment in these correlations in the market.
Meanwhile, geopolitically, the ceasefire and hostage agreement between Israel and Hamas has weakened demand for gold as a safe haven asset.
Last year, as tensions in the Middle East increased, gold hit several new highs on safe-haven demand and expectations that major central banks like the Federal Reserve would ease monetary policy further. again.
But this is not enough because geopolitical factors can have a sudden impact, but they are never sustainable long-term causes.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has continued to break out, approaching the target level of 2,730 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Along with that, the uptrend is still dominating the daily chart, the uptrend price channel is highlighted by the green price channel, and the uptrend RSI maintains its above activity. The 50 level is still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still wide room for price increases ahead.
The main support is still at the POC Volume Profile level and the EMA21 line. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has the potential to increase in price in the near future.
Currently, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level has also become the closest support currently.
During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following notable technical levels.
Support: 2,700 – 2,693USD
Resistance: 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2740
→Take Profit 1 2729
↨
→Take Profit 2 2724
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2684 - 2686⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2680
→Take Profit 1 2691
↨
→Take Profit 2 2696
Will the USD pressure last?On the 4-hour chart, gold prices remain within the uptrend channel established since late December 2024. Despite the sharp corrections in the recent session, the current price ($2,670/ounce) is still above the dynamic support zone of the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the uptrend has not been broken. However, the pressure from the USD Index – which rose to a 2-year high of 109.35 points – is causing gold to lose short-term momentum.
On a closer look, the important resistance zone at $2,696/ounce, corresponding to the recent peak, has triggered strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, the RSI in previous analyses has shown signs of overbought conditions, increasing the possibility of a correction. However, the main trend line and the $2,660/ounce support zone are still acting as psychological support for the bulls.
In terms of news, the strength of the USD comes from two factors: positive US economic data and high bond yields (nearly 4.8%). These yields have attracted capital flows away from gold to invest in bonds. In addition, investors are worried about financial instability before Donald Trump returns to the White House on January 20. This uncertainty could spur some gold buying to hedge against risks, creating support for gold prices in the short term.
Personal trading strategy:
Bullish scenario: If the price holds above the $2,660/ounce support zone, I expect the price to bounce back to test the $2,696 zone. A breakout of this zone could push the price towards the target of $2,720.
Bearish scenario: If price breaks the $2,660 zone and the 89 EMA, I expect price to fall further to the $2,640/ounce support zone, or even $2,620.
CADJPY: Bearish Continuation Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
It looks like CADJPY is returning to a bearish trend.
The price completed a consolidation within a bearish flag
and violated its support with a high momentum bearish candle yesterday.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling soon.
Next support - 107.15
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GOLD → Testing Key Resistance with Potential to Reach 2726-2790OANDA:XAUUSD currently testing an important resistance level from which we can expect the price to continue rising to key levels such as 2726-2790. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone and the fundamental context supports it.
Gold is supported by weak US inflation data, moderate Fed expectations, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures, and fading concerns about President-elect Trump's disruptive trade tariffs which have supported the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets, causing the US dollar to decline sharply.
Focus shifts to other economic data releases from the US, including December Retail Sales and Weekly Unemployment Claims, which will provide more clarity on the Fed's interest rate trajectory after January. Markets have fully priced in a rate pause at the Fed's policy meeting later this month. Gold prices will also remain dependent on any speculation surrounding Trump's tariff plans.
Technically, all eyes are now on the resistance zone at 2697-2700. If gold can consolidate above this area, buyers will quickly enter the medium and long-term playing field. But don't forget about the upcoming news releases.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Supported by data, GOLD skyrocketed with room to increaseDue to weaker-than-expected US core inflation data, the US Dollar TVC:DXY weakened and the market also rekindled expectations that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may not be over yet, gold prices increased sharply. Technical factors also continue the upward price structure.
US inflation is lower than expected
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Wednesday that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in December, slightly above the 0.3% forecast. of economists. The overall CPI inflation rate increased by 2.9% over the same period last year, in line with expectations.
Core CPI inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.2% year-on-year, slower than November data and below economists' median estimate of 3.3%. economic survey by Dow Jones.
Gold prices were supported and jumped by weaker-than-expected US core inflation data, causing US Treasury yields to fall sharply.
Core CPI was slightly lower than expected. This is a positive signal for gold because the corollary is that the Fed will not necessarily rule out cutting interest rates, although the possibility of cutting interest rates in January is not high, but some rate cuts Capacity is still expected before the end of the year.
Gold is considered a hedge against inflation, but because it earns no interest, its appeal to investors diminishes in higher interest rate environments and vice versa in low interest rate environments.
Focus on key US economic data
Today (Thursday), financial markets focus on US retail sales, data on initial jobless claims and speeches from Federal Reserve officials.
Economists expect U.S. retail sales to rise 0.6% month-over-month in December, down from 0.7% in November. Initial jobless claims are expected to rise from 201,000 to 210,000 in the week ending January 11.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after ending the technical correction and receiving support from the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level that readers should pay attention to in previous publications, gold has continued to increase to continue. current bullish cycle.
With an active position above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level gold is likely to continue rising with a subsequent target at around $2,730 upon breaking the $2,700 base price.
In the short term, gold has achieved its target increase at 2,700 USD, however, the room for price increases is still quite wide ahead with the Relative Strength Index pointing up, operating above 50 and still at quite far from the overbought level.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is still bullish with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,693 – 2,676USD
Resistance: 2,700 – 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2725
→Take Profit 1 2714
↨
→Take Profit 2 2709
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2672 - 2674⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2668
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2684
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0350
1st Support: 1.0264
1st Resistance: 1.0423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 154.45
1st Support: 153.25
1st Resistance: 156.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.