GBP/JPY could break 190 supportThe GBP/JPY is displaying a bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart - and similar patterns are observed on all other major yen pairs.
The GBP/JPY outlook has turned bearish as the Japanese yen gains strength amidst falling global bond yields, driven by softer-than-expected US and UK inflation data. Markets have shifted Fed rate-cut expectations forward, leading to a rally in bonds and a decline in yields across major economies. This has boosted the appeal of the low-yielding Japanese yen, especially and Japan's own bond yields have been hitting multi-year highs lately.
Japan’s yields, supported by hawkish comments from BoJ Governor Ueda and potential rate hikes, have contributed to narrowing the yield gap with other nations, boosting the yen’s performance.
From here, the GJ could drop to take out key support around the 190.00 in the coming days. If that happens, we could see further follow-up technical selling in the days ahead.
Key resistance comes between 193.00 to 194.20 area. Yesterday's low (now broken) at 191.50 is now the most important near-term resistance to watch.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Forex
$USIRYYY -U.S Inflation Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:USIRYY
December/2024
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
-The annual inflation rate in the US accelerated for the third consecutive month to 2.9% in December, as expected.
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.3%.
However, annual core inflation slightly decreased to 3.2% from 3.3%, below the anticipated 3.3%. The monthly core rate also eased to 0.2% from 0.3%, in line with expectations.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
December/2024
source: Office for National Statistics
-Annual inflation rate in the UK unexpectedly edged lower to 2.5% in December 2024 from 2.6% in November, below forecasts of 2.6%. However, it matched the BoE's forecast from early November.
Prices slowed for restaurants and hotels (3.4%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 4%), mainly due to a 1.9% fall in prices of hotels.
Inflation also slowed for recreation and communication (3.4% vs 3.6%) and services (4.4%, the lowest since March 2022 vs 5) and steadied for food and non-alcoholic beverages (at 2%). Meanwhile, prices decreased less for transport (-0.6% vs -0.9%) as upward effects from motor fuels and second-hand cars (1%) partially offset a downward effect from air fare (-26%).
Also, prices rose slightly more for housing and utilities (3.1% vs 3%). Compared to November, the CPI rose 0.3%, above 0.1% in the previous period but below forecasts of 0.4%.
The annual core inflation rate also declined to 3.2% from 3.5% and the monthly rate went up to 0.3%, below forecasts of 0.5%.
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
GBPCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1190
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1256
My Stop Loss - 1.1159
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPJPY
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GBPJPY
Entry - 192.27
Stop - 191.18
Take - 194.56
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level.
However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend.
With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉
NZDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
NZDCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5121 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5103
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0257 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.0226
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0308
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below:
The market is trading on 191.83 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 194.05
Recommended Stop Loss - 190.50
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY: Market Sentiment & Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current CADJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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From Loss to Opportunity: The GBPJPY Comeback Trade U Can’t MissWe’re back with an update on GBPJPY, breaking down our lessons learned from a stopped-out trade and how we re-entered smarter and stronger.
See how we use precise risk management, volume analysis, and Fibonacci tools to set up a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio trade.
This update covers everything from identifying key levels to avoiding common pitfalls. Watch now to see why capital preservation is the cornerstone of long-term trading success!
NAS100USD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,839.6.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 20,544.5 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAUUSD Analysis and Next Marke MovePair Name = XAUUSD
Market = Forex
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Pattern= Support resistance
Details:-
XAUUSD Is over all bullish. But here because of UK session ending and US session starting. We can see a small retesting. After this retesting it will be again on the way to 2770 to 2800 our main target level.
Bullish Target:-
2770
2800
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,686.729.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,659.435.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURCAD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.478.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.461 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURGBP Potential correctionThe EURGBP market recently tested the November high, creating a false breakout on the 4-hour timeframe after sweeping liquidity above the 0.84500 level. Following five consecutive bullish days, a retracement may be on the horizon. Despite the price continuing to register higher highs, a bearish divergence has emerged, signaling a potential loss of upward momentum.
With the market now testing the monthly high alongside this bearish divergence, a downward move from the resistance level and channel border appears likely. The key focus is on the support zone around 0.83710
#USDCAD 1DAYUSDCAD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price was supported by a trendline, but after forming a consolidation range near this Resistance, it has broken down, indicating potential bearish momentum. The breakdown suggests that the buyers were unable to hold the trendline, and selling pressure has increased.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the breakdown below the trendline and range indicates a shift in market sentiment toward the downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider entering a sell position after a retest of the broken trendline or consolidation range as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement areas for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
The breakdown of the trendline support signals bearish sentiment, with further downside likely if the price remains below the retest level. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade.