GBPUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.261.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.268 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Forex
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GOLD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2,807.382 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.165 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD's rise has been steady, limited by its all-time peakDuring the Asian trading session, OANDA:XAUUSD spot delivery at about 2,930 USD/ounce; Yesterday the price of gold skyrocketed to 36USSD. On this trading day, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market.
On Tuesday, as US President Trump's tariff plan sparked market concerns about US economic growth, funds poured into the gold market in search of a safe haven. Spot gold closed up 36.28 USD, equivalent to 1.25%, at 2,934.87 USD/ounce.
The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its January monetary policy meeting at 02:00 Hanoi time on Thursday. The market expects more information from the minutes on how decision-makers assess the risks of a global trade war that could be triggered by Trump's tariff policy.
Last week's data showed the US consumer price index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in nearly 18 months in January, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's stance that it is in no rush to cut interest rates.
The minutes will be closely scrutinized for clues about the Fed's path forward, especially in light of recent data showing solid price growth, weak consumer sentiment and weaker-than-expected retail sales.
If the Fed meeting minutes have a tough stance, the US Dollar could be boosted, which would put gold prices at risk of falling. And vice versa, if the minutes show the possibility that the Fed will continue with its goal of cutting interest rates, the USD will weaken and create room for gold prices to increase.
CME Group's FedWatch tool now shows that the market actually sees no chance of a rate cut in March and about a 20% chance of a 25 basis point cut in May.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold's gains were temporarily halted by its all-time high but the technical outlook remains overwhelmingly bullish.
The technical structure remains unchanged with the price channel as the main trend and main support by EMA21.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, pullbacks should only be considered short-term corrections without changing the trend, and should be seen as a buying opportunity.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not really sent out any reliable signals for a possible downward correction.
To summarize, the intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,911 – 2,900 – 2,881USD
Resistance: 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
→Take Profit 1 2943
↨
→Take Profit 2 2937
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2904 - 2906⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2912
↨
→Take Profit 2 2918
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.129.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 17 - Feb 21]OANDA:XAUUSD have leveled off after a series of record increases, ending the week below 2,900 USD/oz due to strong profit-taking activities. The main reason is that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have eased, reducing the need for safe havens. President Donald Trump had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin about ending hostilities in Ukraine and suspending tariffs until a review is completed in April 2025.
Gold prices may continue to adjust in the short term, but in the long term, safe haven demand due to economic instability and trade war will push prices up. In addition, central banks stepped up gold purchases, with more than 1,000 tons in 2024 - much higher than the average level in the 2010-2021 period, contributing to supporting the rise of gold.
China launched a pilot project allowing 10 insurance companies to invest up to 1% of assets in gold. It is forecast that these companies can buy up to 28 billion USD of gold (about 300 tons), accounting for 6.5% of annual physical gold demand, contributing to boosting the market.
SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index (economic index measuring business conditions of the manufacturing industry in New York state, USA. This index is announced monthly by the US Federal Reserve (FED) New York branch, based on a survey of manufacturers in the region).
Wednesday: US housing data (New homes and construction permits), FED meeting minutes.
Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.
Friday: S&P Flash PMI, US Existing Home Sales
📌Technically, on chart D1, after surpassing the peak at 2790, the gold price increased another 150 and tends to adjust again.
Currently, the support level to pay attention to is around the dynamic resistance level as well as the hard resistance level at 2790, while the resistance level is set around 2942. Next week, if the gold price maintains the trading level above the 2800 threshold, it is expected that the momentum will increase to set a new record high price. In case the price declines and adjusts too deeply, there is a risk that the gold price will be subject to downward selling pressure.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,881 – 2,857USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2785
EUR/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR-CHF uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.935 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/CHF pair.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 2972.207.Colleagues, if you look at this upward movement, what can you say? Of course the lower order wave “3” continued and updated its top. This means that we can expect 2 variants of events:
1) Price will continue the development of wave “3”.
2) Wave “4” will make a correction and then wave “5” will start.
The target is the area of 2972.207.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG resistance area 1.05712 (Wave C).Colleagues, I expect that price has not yet completed the upward movement. Judging by the nature of the last waves - this is a big correction “ABC” and at the moment wave “C” should update the maximum. Therefore, I expect to reach the area of 1.05712.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement.
### 🔹 **Trade Setup:**
- **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels.
- **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts.
- **🎯 Take Profit Targets:**
- **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone)
- **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction)
### 📊 **Trade Rationale:**
✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal.
✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones.
✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment.
### ⚠️ **Risk Management:**
- If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade.
- Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation.
Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉
Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Rebound Opportunities
Hello readers, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Professional Trader. Today I want to show you my technical analysis on USD/JPY, a currency cross that has caught my attention for its current oversold position. I will analyze the various timeframes (1 day, 4 hours and 1 hour) to give you a clearer overview of the trading opportunities that could open up in the coming days.
Analysis on the Daily Chart (1D)
Let's start with the 1-day chart, where we can clearly see that the USD/JPY pair is in an oversold zone. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) and the price have reached levels that indicate a potential reversal. The bearish trend has been consolidated for several days now, but the market seems to be starting to exhaust its strength, approaching a possible support area. The moving averages (200 EMA, 50 EMA and 20 EMA) suggest a possible price recovery when the market finds stable support. The area where we are is crucial for a possible rebound.
Analysis on the 4-Hour (4H) Chart
Moving to the 4-hour chart, the situation is similar: the RSI is clearly in the oversold zone, and we can observe that the price has made a significant correction. This tells us that the market could be ready to reverse direction, with a recovery towards the next resistance level, located near 152,500. The structure of the market in this time frame suggests that it could be a good time to enter a long trade with short-term targets.
Analysis on the 1-Hour (1H) Chart
Finally, the 1-hour chart further confirms our hypothesis of an oversold zone. The RSI has reached extreme levels, indicating that the market could remain in this condition for a while, but a correction is also likely to occur soon. The price action on this timeframe indicates a potential entry opportunity for those looking to take advantage of a technical bounce. The short-term moving averages are starting to move away from the price, which could indicate a change in the direction of the trend.
Conclusion
In summary, USD/JPY seems to be in an oversold phase on all major timeframes (1D, 4H, 1H). This could be a signal that the market is ready to retrace, with a possible rally in the coming days. Traders could consider entering a long position, looking to take advantage of a technical bounce towards resistances. However, it is crucial to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as the RSI, to try to avoid trading in a further downside environment.
As always, I recommend using rigorous risk management to protect your capital in the event of unexpected market movements.
Happy trading and see you soon with more analysis!
Andrea Russo
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and there are no clear signs of a trend reversal yet. At the current levels, a short-term correction to the marked support zones is expected before resuming the upward move toward higher targets.
🔹 Scenario 1: A pullback to key support levels followed by a continuation of the uptrend.
🔹 Scenario 2: A breakout above the key resistance level, a pullback to retest it, and then a buying opportunity.
As long as the bullish structure remains intact, the main strategy is to focus on buying opportunities either at support levels or after a confirmed breakout of resistance.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you see higher targets ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 72.97
1st Support: 70.37
1st Resistance: 74.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CAD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and cold reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7986
1st Support: 1.7829
1st Resistance: 1.8132
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY has broken out of the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 157.19
1st Support: 155.60
1st Resistance: 158.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD steadies at high levels despite FOMC looks toughDuring the early morning trading session on Thursday (February 20), spot gold prices suddenly increased rapidly in the short term and gold prices stabilized above 2,940 USD/ounce, approaching the historic high set in the previous trading day.
Trump just issued another tariff threat
On Wednesday evening local time, US President Trump reiterated that he will announce tariffs on cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.
“I will announce tariffs next month or sooner on autos, semiconductors, chips, pharmaceuticals, lumber and a number of other items that have a significant impact on the United States,” Trump said.
On Tuesday, Trump said he intended to impose tariffs of "about 25%" on autos, along with similar tariffs on imported semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.
Earlier this month, the United States announced a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
Gold prices hit a record high on Wednesday, but the Fed meeting minutes sent gold prices down a bit
Gold prices hit an all-time high in early trading on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs rattled investors, but later retreated from record highs as the dollar strengthened following a tough Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
"Participants said that, as long as the economy remains near maximum employment, they would like to see inflation progress further before making additional adjustments to the target range of the federal funds rate," minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's Jan. 28-29 meeting said.
Assessment: The meeting minutes highlight the cautious approach of policymakers after they cut interest rates by 100 basis points in the final months of last year. Some officials have said they want to see inflation continue to fall toward the Fed's 2% target before supporting another rate cut.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting showed concerns about inflation risks, dampening expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold prices decreased after the Fed meeting minutes, but in general this is not a significant impact because the market is still accepting risks from President Trump.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Technically, gold is up 0.30% on the day, temporarily in front of the 0.382% Fibonacci extension considered the nearest resistance.
Once gold breaks above $2,946, it will likely continue to renew its all-time high with a target then around $2,971 in the short term.
The intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,921USD
Resistance: 2,942 – 2,971USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
Gold price analysis February 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose again due to concerns about new tariffs from former US President Donald Trump and the deadlock in negotiations between the US and Russia. Trump announced that he would impose tariffs of 25% or more on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and automobiles, putting great pressure on European and Asian economies. This raised concerns about supply chain disruptions and global inflation.
In addition, the negotiations between the US and Russia did not progress, causing investors to seek safe assets such as gold and USD. However, the market is still cautiously waiting for the Fed's meeting minutes, because if the Fed maintains its stance of curbing inflation, gold prices may be restrained.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices reacted around the old peak around 2940, proving that buyers are not strong enough to push prices to create a new ATH and need a more suitable price. There are two price levels 2916-1914 and 2906-2904 which are the areas where the Buyers are very interested in jumping into the market. The price range 2924-2934 is considered as this Asia-Europe range for breakout signals when there are signs of crossing.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/AUD has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.6398
1st Support: 1.6328
1st Resistance: 1.6506
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4800
1st Support: 1.4745
1st Resistance: 1.4895
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.4638
1st Support: 18.3048
1st Resistance: 18.6315
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.