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$GBINTR - U.K Interest Rates (March/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR March/2025 source: Bank of England - The Bank of England voted 8-1 to keep the Bank Rate at 4.5% during its March meeting, as policymakers adopted a wait-and-see approach amid stubbornly high inflation and global economic uncertainties. The bank highlighted that, given the medium-term inflation outlook, a gradual and cautious approach to further withdrawal of monetary policy restraint remains appropriate. CPI inflation increased to 3.0% in January, and while global energy prices fell, inflation is expected to rise to 3¾% by Q3 2025. Also, the MPC noted that global trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical risks increased, with financial market volatility rising. source: Bank of England
ECONOMICS:GBINTR
by Mr_J__fx
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal): Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward. Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish. Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs. 2. Range-Bound Movement: Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940. Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum. 3. Bullish Divergence Possibility: Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows. Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal. 4. Fundamental Risk: Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Long
by mrsamfx81
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (February/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY February/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 3.7% in February 2025 from a 2-year high of 4.0% in the prior month, amid a sharp slowdown in prices of electricity (9.0% vs 18.0% in January )and gas (3.4% vs 6.8%) following the government's reinstatement of energy subsidies. Also, food prices rose slightly slower after hitting a 15-month high in January (7.6% vs 7.8%). Further, inflation eased for healthcare (1.7% vs. 1.8%), recreation (2.1% vs. 2.6%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs. 1.4%). At the same time, education costs continued to fall (-1.1% vs. -1.1%). In contrast, inflation remained steady for housing (at 0.8%) and clothing (at 2.8%), while accelerating for transport (2.4% vs. 2.0%) and furniture and household items (4.0% vs. 3.4%), and bouncing back for communications (0.1% vs. -0.3%). The core inflation rate dropped to 3.0% from January's 19-month top of 3.2%, above forecasts of 2.9%. Monthly, the CPI dropped 0.1%, the first fall since September, after a 0.5% gain in January.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
BTCUSD BUY NEXT MOVE 1. Bearish Reversal Scenario: Alternative Outlook: Instead of continuing upward to the next target, Bitcoin may fail to breach the resistance and reverse downward due to a potential "bull trap." Trigger: A rejection at or near the double-top resistance around $88,000 could initiate a sell-off toward the trendline support near $85,000 or lower. Bearish Volume Confirmation: If there is a significant bearish divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD, it could confirm the weakening bullish momentum. 2. Range-Bound Consolidation: Alternative Setup: BTC might get stuck in a sideways consolidation range between $85,000 (support) and $88,000 (resistance), reflecting indecision in the market. Trigger: This could be driven by mixed macro signals (like interest rate policies, crypto market sentiment) and lack of volume to push the price strongly in either direction. 3. False Breakout (Bull Trap): Alternative Bearish Scenario: If BTC spikes slightly above the double-top resistance (around $88,000) but fails to hold the breakout level, it could trap late buyers and drop quickly. Trigger: A false breakout pattern often occurs with low volume on the breakout attempt followed by a sharp reversal. Potential Drop Target: BTC may then fall toward $83,000 or even retest $82,000 as deeper support
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential: Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area). Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070. 2. Support Holding Strong: Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range. Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection. 3. Sideways Consolidation: Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves). Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
Potential bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 151.21 1st Support: 146.92 1st Resistance: 154.40 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
4
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.5692 1st Support: 0.5596 1st Resistance: 0.5836 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 191.16 1st Support: 189.22 1st Resistance: 194.56 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level that is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.68 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss: 150.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup wit the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 148.96 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6248 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6203 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6305 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce off overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5695 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.5638 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.5764 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDCAD - Higher Probability Upside Within Broader CorrectionThe USD/CAD 4-hour chart displays a complex price structure with recent upward momentum after finding support in the blue reaction zone (approximately 1.4250-1.4280). Currently trading around 1.4350, the pair appears poised for continued upside movement, with the higher probability scenario being a break above the orange resistance line at 1.4402. This view is supported by the recent series of higher lows and the bullish reversal from the support zone. However, traders should approach this opportunity cautiously, as we remain within a larger corrective structure in the broader market context. This suggests that while the immediate bias favors upside movement, price may still experience downward swings before a definitive breakout. A prudent approach would be to take this trade piece by piece, using smaller position sizes and tighter risk management to navigate potential volatility until the orange resistance is decisively broken. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by financialflagship
EURUSD - Anticipated Pullback to Key Reaction ZoneThe EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a recent downward movement after reaching peaks around 1.0950. Price action indicates a bearish momentum developing, with the pair currently trading at approximately 1.0815. We are expecting a pullback to occur first to the reaction zone marked on the chart (approximately 1.0730-1.0750 area, highlighted in blue), which represents a significant fair value gap. Traders should wait for the price to reach this zone and then look for signs of a bullish reversal, such as candlestick patterns (like hammers or engulfing patterns), divergences on oscillator indicators, or increased buying volume. This reaction zone could provide an attractive entry opportunity for long positions if bullish confirmation signals appear, potentially initiating a new upward movement from this established support area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USOIL is below: The market is trading on 68.25 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish Bearish continuation. Target - 67.21 Recommended Stop Loss - 68.91 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1