NZD-USD Rebound Expected! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Is making a local bearish
Correction but the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Support line of 0.5761
From where we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound because we
Are bullish biased
Buy!
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Forex
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,995.32.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,022.41 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD Dips as US Dollar Gains Ahead of Fed DecisionAs I write this article during the European session on Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair has slipped below the 1.09035 mark, following its recent ascent to a five-month peak of approximately 1.0955 just a day earlier. The decline in this prominent currency pair can be attributed to the strengthened performance of the US Dollar (USD) in anticipation of the upcoming interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, has surged to around 103.70 after previously touching a five-month low of about 103.20 on Tuesday. From a technical standpoint, the price has approached our Supply area, prompting us to anticipate a retest of the entry point for a potential 2X trade opportunity.
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NZD/JPY: Potential Reversal After Resistance TestThe NZD/JPY pair has been in a bullish trend for the past two weeks but has now encountered resistance, leading to sideways movement around this level. On the daily timeframe, a rejection candle has formed, though the price has yet to retest the February high, where liquidity remains.
There is a possibility that the price may attempt to capture this liquidity before turning lower, potentially forming a bearish divergence. If a rejection occurs at the 87.500 resistance level, the market could initiate a corrective move downward. The next key target is the support zone around 85.800
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Preparing for Volatility Ahead of FOMC! ⚠️This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains in a bullish trend, but it has now reached a key resistance zone that could trigger a correction before determining the next move.
⚠ Important Note: This plan is only valid before the FOMC meeting. As the announcement approaches, traders are advised to close their positions to protect their accounts, as high volatility is expected.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What to Expect from the FOMC This Time?
📌 1️⃣ The Fed is Expected to Keep Rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, But…
Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will shape market expectations for the future.
If the Fed remains hawkish, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish stance, the USD could weaken, potentially pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Global Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue to increase their gold reserves, reducing their reliance on the USD.
This trend supports long-term bullish prospects for gold, although there could be short-term corrections.
📉 Technical Analysis – Key Levels for XAU/USD
🔹 Main Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold is still in an uptrend, but a short-term correction may occur.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold fails to break through this level, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – Watch this area in case of a pullback.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone on H1) – A deeper liquidity level if selling pressure increases.
🎯 Trading Plan – Pre-FOMC Strategy
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
SELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Important Warning:
Ahead of the FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as market reactions can be unpredictable.
🔥 A major wave from the FOMC is coming – trade wisely and protect your capital! 🚀
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵
All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest
rate decision and press conference.
NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H
after a test of a key daily resistance.
High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment.
I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level.
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USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.30
Target Level: 67.73
Stop Loss: 65.34
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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FOMC today ?World gold prices increased by 3 USD, to 3,030 USD/ounce. In the US trading session (night of March 18), gold at one point rose to a record high of 3,035.4 USD/ounce. The safe haven demand for gold has pushed prices to a record high. Investors are worried about the increase in global trade wars and new geopolitical developments between countries, so they have bought gold.
Israel launched airstrikes across the Gaza Strip early Tuesday morning, killing at least 400 Palestinians, including women and children, according to hospital officials. The surprise bombing broke a ceasefire that had been in place since January and threatened to completely reignite the 17-month war. Over the weekend, the US attacked Houthi targets in the Middle East and vowed to attack more.
In addition, investors are now watching the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which begins Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon. The market is not expected to make any changes to interest rates at this meeting, but will closely analyze the wording of the FOMC statement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.
USD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 149.497
Target Level: 146.249
Stop Loss: 151.651
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.569.
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AUD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.555 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 161.8% Fibo lvl area at 3038.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. The bulls have gained strength and the upward five-wave movement is not over yet!
I expect that the wave “3” of senior and middle order is not yet complete. Possible correction to the area of 2955.837, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 161.8% Fibonacci extension 3038.730.
As usual - the upward movement is in priority, so I do not recommend short positions, but I recommend long limit pending orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | EUR/USDMarket Overview:
The EUR/USD pair is showing an upward impulse followed by a downward correction. With a higher probability of continued upward movement, the focus will be on identifying high-quality trade setups to capitalize on this idea.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
IDM (Initial Drive Momentum):
A critical support zone where price may bounce or consolidate.
If the price breaks IDM with a full-bodied candle, the path to IDM OB (Order Block) opens up.
IDM OB (Order Block):
A strong demand zone that could act as a target for long trades.
Manipulation within Order Flow (OF):
Watch for price action around the ascending order flow zone. If liquidity builds before IDM and gets swept, long positions can be considered at these levels.
📉 Alternative Scenario (Bearish Bias):
If the price drops deeper, it may target the ascending order flow zone located below PDL (Point of Demand Level).
This scenario suggests a potential retest of lower support zones before any upward continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
Primary Focus: Monitor the interaction with IDM liquidity.
Breakout above IDM: Look for long opportunities targeting IDM OB.
Liquidity Build-Up: If price consolidates and sweeps liquidity before IDM, consider long entries at these levels.
Secondary Focus: If the price falls deeper into the ascending order flow, wait for confirmation of a reversal or consolidation before entering long trades.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed just below the nearest key level to minimize risk.
Position size should ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital .
🎯 Note: The market is dynamic, and the current structure may evolve. I will adapt to what the chart shows and focus on high-probability setups.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | EUR/USD
Market Overview:
According to the current market structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward movement. The focus will be on identifying key zones of interest for potential long trades.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
Order Block (OB):
The price is currently testing the OB zone. However, since this zone has already been mitigated, the lower boundary of the OB becomes significant.
A retest of the lower part of the OB could provide a high-probability entry point for long trades.
Liquidity Zones Below OB:
If the price moves lower, watch for liquidity grabs in these areas.
A full-bodied breakout of liquidity would open the path to the IDM OB (Initial Drive Momentum Order Block) , which will be our next target.
📉 Short Positions (Low Probability):
Short trades are less likely at this stage, as the market structure suggests upward momentum.
To consider shorts, we would need to see liquidity building above the PDH (Previous Day High) and a break in the current structure.
Until then, I will focus on long opportunities unless there is a clear shift in market dynamics.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the interaction of price with the lower boundary of the OB.
Retest Scenario: Enter long if the price confirms support at the lower OB boundary.
Liquidity Grab: If price moves lower and sweeps liquidity, wait for a breakout before targeting IDM OB.
Avoid short positions unless the price builds liquidity above PDH and breaks the structure.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders just below the nearest key level for long trades.
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025
Hedging strategies are key tools for traders seeking to potentially manage risks while staying active in dynamic markets. By strategically placing positions, traders aim to reduce exposure to adverse price movements without stepping away from potential opportunities. This article explores the fundamentals of hedging, its role in trading, and four hedging strategies examples across forex and CFDs.
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management strategy that involves taking positions designed to offset potential losses in an existing investment. This concept of hedging in finance is widely used to reduce market volatility’s impact while maintaining the potential opportunity for returns. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, traders manage it via hedging strategies, meaning they have protection against unexpected market movements.
So, what are hedges? Essentially, they are investments used as protective measures to balance exposure. For example, a trader holding a CFD (Contract for Difference) on a rising stock might open a position on a correlated asset that moves in the opposite direction. If the stock’s price falls, returns from the offsetting position can potentially reduce the overall impact of the loss.
Hedging is common in forex trading, where traders may take positions in currency pairs with historical correlations. For instance, a trader exposed to EUR/USD might hedge using USD/CAD, as these pairs often move inversely. Similarly, traders dealing with indices might diversify into different sectors or regions to spread risk.
Importantly, hedging involves costs, such as spreads or holding fees, which can reduce potential returns. It’s not a guaranteed method of avoiding losses but rather a calculated approach to navigating uncertainty.
Why Traders Use Hedging Strategies
Different types of hedging strategies may help traders manage volatility, protect portfolio value, or balance short- and long-term goals.
1. Managing Market Volatility
Markets are unpredictable, and sudden price swings can impact even well-thought-out positions. Hedging this risk may help reduce the impact of unexpected volatility, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as geopolitical events, economic announcements, or earnings reports. For instance, a forex trader might hedge against fluctuations in a currency pair by taking positions in negatively correlated pairs, aiming to soften the blow of adverse price movements.
2. Balancing Long- and Short-Term Goals
Hedging allows traders to pursue longer-term strategies without being overly exposed to short-term risks. For example, a trader with a bullish outlook on an asset may use a hedge to protect against temporary downturns. This balance enables traders to maintain their primary position while weathering market turbulence.
3. Protecting Portfolio Value
Hedging strategies may help investors safeguard their overall portfolio value during market corrections or bearish trends. By diversifying positions or using opposing trades, they can potentially reduce significant drawdowns. For instance, shorting an index CFD while holding long positions in individual stocks can help offset sector-wide losses.
4. Improving Decision-Making Flexibility
Hedging provides traders with the flexibility to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve. By mitigating downside risks, they can focus on refining their long-term approach without being forced into reactive decisions during volatile periods. This level of control can be vital for maintaining consistency in trading performance.
Common Hedging Strategies in Trading
While hedging doesn’t eliminate risks entirely, it can provide a layer of protection against adverse market movements. Some of the most commonly used strategies for hedging include:
1. Hedging with Correlated Instruments
One of the most straightforward hedging techniques involves trading assets that have a known historical correlation. Correlated instruments typically move in alignment, either positively or negatively, which traders can leverage to offset risk.
For example, a trader holding a long CFD position on the S&P 500 index might hedge by shorting the Nasdaq-100 index. These two indices are often positively correlated, meaning that if the S&P 500 declines, the Nasdaq-100 might follow suit. By holding an opposing position in a similar asset, losses in one position can potentially be offset by gains in the other.
This approach works across various asset classes, including forex. A well-planned forex hedging strategy can soften the blow of market volatility, particularly during economic events. Consider EUR/USD and USD/CAD: these pairs typically show a negative correlation due to the shared role of the US dollar. A trader might hedge a EUR/USD long position with a USD/CAD long position, reducing exposure to unexpected dollar strength or weakness.
However, correlation-based hedging requires regular monitoring. Correlations can change depending on market conditions, and a breakdown in historical patterns could result in both positions moving against the trader. Tools like correlation matrices can help traders analyse relationships between assets before using this strategy.
2. Hedging in the Same Instrument
Hedging within the same instrument involves taking opposing positions on a single asset to potentially manage risks without exiting the original trade. This hedging strategy is often used when traders suspect short-term price movements might work against their primary position but still believe in its long-term potential.
For example, imagine a trader holding a long CFD position in a major stock like Apple. The trader anticipates the stock price will rise over the long term but is concerned about an upcoming earnings report or market-wide sell-off that could lead to short-term losses. To hedge, the trader opens a short position in the same stock, locking in the current value of their trade. If the stock’s price falls, the short position may offset the losses in the long position, reducing overall exposure to the downside.
This is often done with a position size equivalent to or less than the original position, depending on risk tolerance and market outlook. A trader with high conviction in a short-term movement may use an equivalent position size, while a lower conviction could mean using just a partial hedge.
3. Sector or Market Hedging for Indices
When trading index CFDs, hedging can involve diversifying exposure across sectors or markets. This strategy helps reduce the impact of sector-specific risks while maintaining exposure to broader market trends.
For example, if a trader has a portfolio with exposure to technology stocks and expects short-term declines in the sector, they can open a short position in a technology-focused index like Nasdaq-100 to offset potential losses.
Another common approach is geographic diversification. Traders with exposure to European indices, such as the FTSE 100, might hedge with positions in US indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Regional differences in economic conditions can make this a practical strategy, as markets often react differently to global events.
When implementing sector or market hedging, traders should consider the weighting of individual stocks within an index and how they contribute to overall performance. This strategy is used by traders who have a clear understanding of the underlying drivers of the indices involved.
4. Stock Pair Trading
Pair trading is a more advanced hedging technique that involves identifying two related assets and taking opposing positions. This approach is often used in equities or indices where stocks within the same sector tend to move in correlation with each other.
For instance, a trader might identify two technology companies with similar fundamentals, one appearing undervalued and the other overvalued. The trader could go long on the undervalued stock while shorting the overvalued one. If the sector experiences a downturn, the losses in the long position may potentially be offset by gains in the short position.
Pair trading requires significant analysis, including fundamental and technical evaluations of the assets involved. While this strategy offers a built-in hedge, it can be risky if the chosen pair doesn’t perform as expected or if external factors disrupt the relationship between the assets.
Key Considerations When Hedging
What does it mean to hedge a stock or other asset? To fully understand the concept, it’s essential to recognise several factors:
- Costs: Hedging isn’t free. Spreads, commissions, and overnight holding fees can accumulate, reducing overall potential returns. Traders should calculate these costs to ensure the hedge is worth implementing.
- Market Conditions: Hedging strategies are not static. They require adaptation to changing market conditions, including shifts in volatility, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors.
- Correlation Risks: Correlations between assets are not always consistent. Unexpected changes in relationships driven by fundamental events can reduce the effectiveness of a hedge.
- Timing: The timing of both the initial position and the hedge is critical. Poor timing can lead to increased losses or missed potential opportunities.
The Bottom Line
Hedging strategies are popular among traders looking to manage risks while staying active in the markets. By balancing positions and leveraging tools like correlated instruments or partial hedges, traders aim to navigate volatility with greater confidence. However, hedging doesn’t exclude risks and requires analysis, planning, and regular evaluation.
If you're ready to explore hedging strategies in forex, stock, commodity, and index CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms, competitive spreads, and more than 700 instruments to use in hedging.
FAQ
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management approach where traders take offsetting positions to potentially reduce losses from adverse market movements. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, hedge trading aims to manage it, providing a form of mitigation while maintaining market exposure. For example, a trader with a long position on an asset might open a short position on a related asset to offset potential losses during market volatility.
What Are the Three Hedging Strategies?
The three common hedging strategies include: hedging with correlated instruments, where traders take opposing positions in assets with historical relationships; hedging in the same instrument, where a trader suspects a movement against the direction of their original position and opens a trade in the opposite direction; and sector or market hedging, where a trader uses indices or regional diversification to reduce exposure to specific market risks.
What Is Hedging in Stocks?
Hedging in stocks involves taking additional positions to offset risks associated with holding other stocks. This can include shorting related stocks, trading negatively correlated indices, or using market diversification to reduce exposure to sector-specific downturns.
How to Hedge Stocks?
To hedge stocks, traders typically use strategies like short-selling correlated equities, diversifying into other asset classes, or opening opposing positions in related indices. The aim is to limit downside while maintaining some exposure to potential market opportunities.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gaza conflict and Trump tariffs push GOLD higher againOANDA:XAUUSD rose more than 1% on Tuesday to a new record high and are currently trading around $3,035/oz, close to yesterday's peak. Trade uncertainty due to rising tensions in the Middle East and US President Trump's tariff plans have boosted investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Israeli airstrikes kill more than 400 in Gaza
Early Tuesday morning local time, the Israeli military carried out heavy airstrikes on Gaza City in the northern Gaza Strip, Deir el Balah, the Nusayrat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip, as well as Khan Yunis and Rafah in the south.
The British news agency Reuters reported that Israeli airstrikes killed more than 400 people in Gaza, threatening a two-month ceasefire.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the airstrikes were carried out because Hamas has repeatedly refused to release Israeli detainees. Defense Minister Israel Katz warned that if Hamas does not release the detainees, "our attacks will intensify."
Hamas said Israel's move was a unilateral end to the ceasefire, leaving Israelis held in Gaza "to face an unknown fate."
There were unconfirmed reports that an Iranian vessel collecting intelligence during the Gaza offensive was sunk by US forces, escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Saudi media reported on Tuesday that the Iranian Navy's most advanced intelligence ship, the Zagros, was hit by an unidentified missile in the Red Sea on Monday evening local time, causing its hull to be damaged, leaking and sinking.
World Media reported that the US military was then attacking Houthi armed forces in the area outside the Red Sea, while the Israel Defense Forces conducted a large-scale bombing of Gaza, and the origin of the missile that hit the Iranian naval vessel could not be determined.
Trump's Tariffs
Meanwhile, US President Trump has proposed a series of US tariff plans, including a 25% flat tariff on steel and aluminum (which took effect in February), as well as reciprocal tariffs and sectoral tariffs that will be applied on April 2.
Trump said he would impose general reciprocal tariffs on April 2, with additional tariffs targeting specific industries. Trump told reporters on Air Force One on Sunday that both tariffs would be applied to foreign goods imported into the United States “under certain circumstances,” “They tax us, we tax them, and then we’ll tax other industries beyond autos, steel, aluminum.”
Ultimately, Gold is often considered a safe investment in times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty, and in the current environment, it is still fundamentally well supported.
There are also many other supports such as demand from central banks, national reserves, and ETF volumes, the decline of the Dollar, the Fed's monetary policy, etc. Readers can review previous publications for more information.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, although the RSI is operating in the overbought area, it has not shown any signal to indicate a significant downside correction. A signal for a correction is a crossover of the RSI below 80.
Meanwhile, the sustained price action above the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level is a positive signal with the expectation of further upside and the next target is the 0.618% Fibonacci extension position at the price point of $3,065.
Currently, there is no notable resistance ahead, so until the level of 3,065 USD gold can still rise freely.
The intraday uptrend of gold will be noticed again by the following notable positions.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,065 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3068 - 3066⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3072
→Take Profit 1 3060
↨
→Take Profit 2 3054
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2984 - 2986⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
→Take Profit 1 2992
↨
→Take Profit 2 2998
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | XAU/USDMarket Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward movement. I will wait for the price to break out of the current structure and form a candlestick pattern.
🎯 Key Scenarios:
Breakout Scenario:
A candle must close within the body of the previous candle, confirming the breakout.
After confirmation, I will look for an entry setup on a lower timeframe (e.g., M15 or M5).
Pullback Scenario:
If the breakout does not occur, I will consider long positions during a corrective move toward the OB IDM (Order Block Initial Drive Momentum) zone.
📉 Short Positions:
For short positions, I will consider them only if liquidity builds above PDH (Previous Day High) to break the current structure.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the price action closely:
If no short opportunities arise, I will focus on long positions.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March.
The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell.
Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market.
⭐️Technical Analysis
The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel.
These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war.
In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
GBP/USD: ID50 Setup Bullish Trade Opportunity1. **ID50 Setup Formation:**
- The market appears to have formed a **peak formation low**, followed by a reversal into an upward trend.
- The price retraced to the **50 EMA (blue line)**, which aligns with the **ID50 trade entry zone** in BTMM.
- A bounce off this moving average suggests **bullish continuation**.
2. **Market Structure & Momentum:**
- Higher highs and higher lows are evident, confirming an uptrend.
- The **red EMA (13 EMA)** remains above the **50 EMA**, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
- Price recently tested the **50 EMA support**, indicating a potential **buying opportunity**.
3. **Key Levels to Watch:**
- The nearest **resistance zone** is around **1.29700**, which might serve as the next target.
- Support is currently around **1.29000**, aligning with the 50 EMA.
**Conclusion:**
If the price maintains support above the 50 EMA, the **bullish ID50 setup** suggests a continuation of the uptrend. A break above recent highs could lead to further gains. However, traders should watch for potential **stop hunts** before a strong move occurs.
GBP/USD Intraday Market Analysis: Potential Upside ReversalThe GBP/USD 15-minute chart suggests a possible bullish reversal following a period of consolidation near the 200-period moving average. Price action formed multiple rejection wicks at a key support level, indicating buying interest. A bullish engulfing candle has emerged, confirming a potential shift in momentum.
The risk-to-reward setup highlights a long position, with stop-loss protection just below the recent lows and a target towards previous liquidity zones. The stochastic-based momentum indicator shows a crossover in oversold territory, further supporting potential upside movement.
If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks through immediate resistance, further bullish continuation is likely. However, failure to hold above the entry level could invalidate the setup, leading to further downside pressure.