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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone) Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target) Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area) 🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels 📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480 🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone) 🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab) 🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target) ❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance) 📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis) ✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum. ✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate. ✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity. ✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend. ✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility. ⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower. ⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure. 📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk! EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Short
by LDForex_
Bullish continuation?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up wit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 1.4348 1st Support: 1.4239 1st Resistance: 1.4537 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Gold Declines as USD StrengthensGold ended today’s trading session fluctuating around $2,858, retreating further from its record high and marking a decline of over 200 pips by the session’s close. The drop came as the US dollar remained near its two-week high, following the latest inflation data aligning with expectations. This reinforced the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts, limiting gold’s upside momentum. Losses in the stock market exacerbated the downward pressure on gold, extending the sell-off that began after the metal hit a fresh all-time high earlier in the week. On Friday, US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data showed a 0.3% increase in January, in line with expectations, following an unchanged 0.3% rise in December. Despite the release, the report did not significantly impact Fed rate expectations, meaning it failed to provide a catalyst for a gold rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bullback_FX
3
ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,224.8. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,506.1 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
AUD/USD: Bearish Continuation in PlayThe AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish breakout, breaking below its ascending trendline and shifting momentum downward. Previously, the pair moved within an uptrend channel, encountering multiple sideways consolidations before reaching a peak at 0.64035. However, once the price rejected the resistance zone and broke the trendline, selling pressure took over. Currently, AUD/USD is trading around 0.62149, with a possible short-term retracement toward the 0.6274 - 0.6299 Fibonacci retracement zone before continuing its decline. If sellers defend this resistance, the next major target lies at 0.61156, aligning with the previous low and key support area.
Short
by Bullback_FX
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6313 1st Support: 0.6144 1st Resistance: 0.6401 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance level. Pivot: 68.82 1st Support: 66.66 1st Resistance: 73.03 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity Current Market Structure The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals: Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380 4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA 1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias EMA System Confirmation The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction: 240 Signal: Bearish 240 Trend: Bearish Alignment: Confirmed This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries. Key Technical Levels Support Levels: 1.0300: Psychological round number 1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target 1.0200: Major psychological support Resistance Levels: 1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence 1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high 1.0500: Major psychological resistance Correlation Analysis Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with: Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level Bullish momentum in MACD This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup. Trade Parameters Entry Strategy: Short at 1.03632 Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips) Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04 Risk Management: 1% account risk allocation 0.5 lot position size $500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account) Potential profit: $1,019.85 Technical Confluence Factors Several factors align to support this trade setup: Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA Market Timing Considerations The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for: ECB monetary policy statements Federal Reserve commentary US dollar-impacting economic data releases Conclusion The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution. Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146. However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing. A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+. 2. Support Holding at Higher Levels Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation. If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher. 3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure. If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend. 4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels. The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection. Conclusion Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBP/USD Outlook TodayHello everyone! Let's take a look at GBP/USD today. Since the market opened, GBP/USD has shown a slight recovery, currently hovering around 1.259 with support from bullish factors. This rebound is driven by the mild weakness of the US dollar. Concerns over the US economic outlook and expectations of further Fed policy easing have prevented the USD from sustaining its previous three-day rebound. Currently, GBP/USD remains within an ascending price channel, bouncing back after touching the lower boundary. If buyers successfully defend this trendline, it won’t be difficult for GBP/USD to aim for higher targets. Happy trading!
Long
by Bullback_FX
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing. As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc). Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels. Two possible road maps for the week, a or b? As always price action determines trades.
Short
by PinchPips
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0373 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0429 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 594.00 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 602.54 Safe Stop Loss - 590.04 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 150.60 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 149.93 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1