GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2912.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2897.6
Recommended Stop Loss - 2918.8
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Forex
NZDJPY Bearish Flag: Retest Complete, Targeting 82.60NZDJPY is currently trading at 86.60, with a target price of 82.60, indicating a potential downward movement of 300+ pips. The pair is forming a bearish flag pattern, which typically follows a strong downtrend and is followed by a period of consolidation. This pattern suggests that after the breakout and a successful retest of the lower trendline, the price could continue its decline toward the 82.60 target.
Technically, a bearish flag is often seen as a continuation pattern, signaling that the downtrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. The successful retest of the breakout point confirms the market’s readiness to move lower. In this case, if NZDJPY breaks below the support level, it could accelerate the move toward the 82.60 target.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar has been under pressure due to a weaker global risk appetite and softer economic data. In contrast, the Japanese yen benefits from its status as a safe-haven currency, particularly during times of market uncertainty. These fundamental factors may continue to support a bearish move for NZDJPY, especially if global market sentiment remains cautious.
In summary, the bearish flag pattern on NZDJPY suggests further downside potential, with a target of 82.60. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation after the retest of the breakout level, as well as monitor global risk sentiment and economic data from both New Zealand and Japan.
USDJPY: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDJPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased market volatility and potential bearish movement. This pattern suggests that price swings are widening, with lower lows and higher highs, often leading to a strong directional move once a breakout occurs.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern signals possible downside movement, especially if price rejects a key resistance area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the upper boundary of the expanding pattern or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The expanding pattern reflects increasing price fluctuations, and if sellers gain control, a strong bearish move can follow. Confirmation through price action and volume analysis will help validate the trade setup.
EURAUD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURAUD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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USDJPY - Retesting the lowThe USD/JPY currency pair has shown a significant downward trend since mid-January 2025, falling from peaks around 158.50 to current levels near 151.77. The price action has been characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, with notable resistance forming around the 156.00 level during late January and early February.
The technical analysis suggests further bearish momentum, with a red arrow indicating a potential continuation of the downward movement toward the 150.89 support level. This bearish outlook is reinforced by the pair's inability to maintain gains above 155.00 in recent trading sessions, and the current price structure shows limited signs of reversal potential in the near term.
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.
EURNZD Bullish Flag Pattern: Awaiting Breakout Toward 1.8700EURNZD is currently trading at 1.8330, with a target price of 1.8700, suggesting an anticipated upward movement of 300+ pips. This pattern indicates that the pair is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout to the upside after a consolidation phase. In this scenario, traders are looking for a breakout above the flag's upper trendline, which would potentially push the price toward the 1.8700 target.
From a technical perspective, the bullish flag pattern is formed when the price consolidates after a strong uptrend. The consolidation phase represents a period of indecision in the market, but once the price breaks above the flag's resistance level, it typically resumes its upward momentum. In this case, the breakout would likely bring the pair closer to the 1.8700 level, where strong resistance could be expected.
On the fundamental side, the euro has been supported by the European Central Bank's monetary policy, which continues to focus on economic stability, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from softer commodity prices, particularly dairy exports. Additionally, global risk sentiment, such as inflation data or geopolitical events, could further influence the direction of EURNZD.
In summary, if EURNZD breaks above the resistance of the bullish flag, it could provide a strong buying opportunity toward the 1.8700 target. Keep an eye on the global economic landscape, particularly developments in Europe and New Zealand, to validate this bullish move.
#GBPJPY 4HGBPJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a key support level, indicating potential buying interest. If the support holds, buyers may step in to push the price higher, leading to a possible bullish move.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price shows signs of rejection at the support level, confirming that buyers are defending this area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered if the price holds above the support level and shows bullish confirmation.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The support level is a key area where buying pressure may increase. Confirmation through bullish price action will provide more confidence in a potential upward move.
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
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USD/JPY Holding Above 151.79 – Breakout or Rejection Next?USD/JPY Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
The price is stabilizing above the 151.79 support line, indicating a potential move toward the 153.27 resistance.
To confirm a bullish continuation, USD/JPY must break above the 153.97 trend resistance, which could push the price further toward 155.10.
However, if the price fails to hold above 151.79 and breaks below 151.04, it would signal a bearish trend toward 149.67 and 147.82.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 151.79
🔹 Resistance Levels: 153.27, 153.97, 155.10
🔹 Support Levels: 151.04, 149.67, 147.82
📉 Directional Bias: USD/JPY is expected to test 153.27 - 153.97 before deciding whether to break out higher or reject downward toward 151.79.
💬 Will USD/JPY break resistance or face rejection? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
NAS100USD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 22,227.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 22,600.4 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 71.720.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 73.515.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.571.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.566 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPAUD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.983.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.964 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD analysis February 18Your trading strategy is based on a combination of strong support at 1.044 and signals from the EMA 34. This is a reasonable approach if the correction weakens and buying pressure increases.
Some notes:
Confirmation from price action: If the price reacts strongly to the 1.044 area (such as forming a reversal candlestick pattern or RSI divergence sign), the possibility of a bounce will be higher.
Risk management: Stoploss 1.03900 is quite tight, ensuring low risk. However, if the sellers are strong and break through 1.044, you need to be ready to cut losses to avoid being caught in the downtrend.
Flexible profit taking: TP1 (1.05100) is the nearest resistance zone, you can take partial profits here and move SL to breakeven to optimize profits if the price continues to 1.05700.
You can also keep an eye on momentum indicators or economic news that may affect EUR/USD to make appropriate decisions. 🚀
SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.934.
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USD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 0.912.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.625 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.563 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns.
On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity.
Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.