Bearish drop?EUR/NZD has rejected of the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.88951
1st Support: 1.86727
1st Resistance: 1.89710
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Forex
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session.
However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions.
⭐️Technical analysis
The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win.
Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
Hidden Forces: Decoding Buyer & Seller Activity on ChartsTotal Volume vs. Volume Delta: The total volume on the chart includes both buys and sells, making it less useful for analysis. Volume Delta, however, shows whether buyers or sellers dominated within a candle.
A green Delta candle means more aggressive retail buying; a red one means more retail selling. This helps analyze market sentiment beyond price movement.
Price & Delta Relationships:
1. Price and Delta move together → Organic movement, likely driven by retail.
2. Delta moves, but price doesn’t → Retail is heavily biased in one direction, absorbing limit orders. Possible smart money trap.
3. Price moves, but Delta doesn’t → Retail didn’t participate in the move. Lack of belief or failed market-making attempt.
4. Price moves against Delta → Strong indication of market manipulation. Large players using aggressive strategies against retail.
Market Manipulation & Smart Money:
* Whales leverage retail psychology and order flow to position themselves.
* Retail often gets caught in fake moves, unknowingly providing liquidity to big players.
Final Thought: By analyzing Delta and price movement together, we can spot hidden large buyers and sellers and understand market dynamics beyond surface-level price action.
USD_JPY WILL KEEP FALLING|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY is trading along the falling resistance
And as the pair will hit it soon
I am expecting the price to go down
To retest the demand levels below at 147.500
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CN50 to find sellers at previous support?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 13500 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 13350.
We look to Sell at 13600 (stop at 13700)
Our profit targets will be 13400 and 13250
Resistance: 13600 / 13650 / 13700
Support: 13500 / 13400 / 13350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CAD-CHF Risky Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a nice
Move up but has hit a
Horizontal supply level
Around 0.6170 area
And we are already seeing
A local bearish reaction
So a further bearish move
Down is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop?NZD/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.82703
1st Support: 0.81897
1st Resistance: 0.83299
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?NZD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 85.10
1st Support: 84.01
1st Resistance: 86.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNZD BUYThis symbol has a good buying opportunity based on price action conditions, but we don’t have a precise confirmation from the MACD indicator. However, overall, we can expect the scenario shown in the image.
#Forex #Trading #PriceAction #NZDUSD #ForexTrading #ForexSignals #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MACD #Trader #ForexMarket #TradingView #CurrencyTrading #FXTrader #ChartAnalysis
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario.
Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward.
Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated.
Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
AUD-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD went down sharply
And the pair has hit a horizontal
Support of 0.9011 from
Where we are already seeing
A bullish reaction so we
Are locally bullish biased
And we think that the price
Will go up in a bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/AUD Rising Wedge Short Setup🔥 EUR/AUD Rising Wedge Short Setup 🔥
📍 Entry: 1.72200 (Sell)
🎯 Target (TP): 1.71400
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.72800
📊 EMA: 50-period (for trend confirmation)
⚖ Risk Management Applied
📉 Analysis & Considerations:
✅ Rising Wedge = Bearish pattern 📉 → Expecting a downside move.
✅ EMA 50 Check → If price is below EMA, confirms short bias. If above, reconsider trade.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R)
Risk: 🚨 60 pips (SL: 1.72800 – 1.72200)
Reward: 🎯 80 pips (TP: 1.72200 – 1.71400)
R:R = 1:1.33 → Decent, but could be better! 📊
🔥 Trade Execution Plan:
🔻 Sell Below 1.72200 → Wait for confirmation candles 📉
🔻 SL Above 1.72800 → Protect against fakeouts 🚫
🔻 TP at 1.71400 → Wedge breakdown target 🎯
🛠 Extra Risk Management Tips:
📏 Lot Size: Adjust based on 1-2% risk per trade ✅
📉 Look for Bearish Confirmation: Rejection candles, RSI/MACD divergence 🚦
Potential bullish rebound?AUD/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6276
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6248
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6325
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.13
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 148.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8802
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8775
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8835
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP: Rectangle Top rejection. Sell opportunity.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.272, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 25.202), going from an almost overbought RSI to neutral as it got rejected on the R1 Zone. That is the top of the 6 month Rectangle pattern, where the last rejection pulled the price all the way down to the S1 Zone. This time the presence of both the LH and HL trendlines makes us consider a slightly tighter trading range. The trade is short, TP = 0.82600.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0871
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0911
Why we like it:"
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0809
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DXY: Starting a new Channel Up rally into Summer.The U.S. Dollar Index is near the oversold zone on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.232, MACD = -1.040, ADX = 33.922) having reached the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up. The 1D RSI was oversold last week but is seen rebounding. This is exactly the kind of formation we had on the previous bottom of the Channel Up as well as the December 28th 2023 low.. The selling sequences that led to those lose have been almost the same as today's (-6.32% and -5.74%). The last Channel Up bullish wave reached exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we can go long here with an acceptable risk, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 113.000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURUSD: What does mathematics say about its trend?EURUSD pair!! What can we expect from its trend in the coming weeks? It's common knowledge that the euro has strengthened significantly since March 3rd, as the chart clearly shows. What has this been due to? Multiple factors (Trump, USD technical decline, tariffs, manipulation, etc.). But what's important for a trader? Knowing the direction in the coming weeks. If we look at the surveys (shown in the chart), 90% of traders believe that the EURUSD will go down. And us? What do we think...
---> Let's analyze the chart to think mathematically and forget about surveys and people's opinions because that's how a profitable trader should think, like a bot!
Mathematically, it's clear: BEARISH in the long term and BULLISH in a RECUMBENT PHASE or LOSING STRENGTH in the short term. In the chart above (H4), we clearly see that the trend is bullish, but that it has begun to retreat and break through key support zones. And if we look at the chart below (H1), the price is entering a POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE ZONE! If it breaks through the gray zone, the EURUSD WILL DROP STRONGLY!
With this data and the SURVEY... What would you think as a TRADER? That the EURUSD WILL DROP IN THE COMING WEEKS, and therefore, we must be prepared for possible short entries.
---> But is this opinion reliable yet? From my point of view, when the trend on the H1 chart turns bearish (Bear), I would enter short without hesitation, but NOT BEFORE! The volatility due to tariffs can MANIPULATE MATHEMATICS and therefore give us FALSE SIGNALS. And the fault won't lie with math, but with market manipulation, because math works perfectly in a stable market, but when there are people (Mr. TRUMP) who manipulate everything, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF HOURS OR MINUTES :-).
In short, we clearly see a BEAR PHASE in the EURUSD, which is also in favor of its weekly trend, so it could be strong and take us back to the 1.05000 zone.
Best regards, and I will update the PAR information in the coming days.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025### **Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025**
#### **1. Overall Trend:**
- The chart represents a **15-minute timeframe** of Gold (XAU/USD).
- The price recently formed a **sharp move up**, followed by a **retracement**.
- There is a clear **zig-zag pattern**, indicating a recent **high-volatility** phase.
#### **2. Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone (~3,048 - 3,052):** Marked by a purple box, this area has acted as a **previous supply zone** where price reversed.
- **Support Zone (~3,032 - 3,036):** Another purple box highlights a **demand area** where buyers stepped in.
- **Intermediate Level (~3,038):** A blue horizontal line indicates a smaller **support/resistance flip zone**.
#### **3. Technical Patterns & Possible Moves:**
- A **double-bottom** or **bullish reversal pattern** is forming near the **support zone (~3,032-3,035)**.
- The price is currently **moving up with higher lows**, which suggests **bullish momentum**.
- **Projected Move:** The blue arrow suggests an anticipated move **toward the 3,048 - 3,052 resistance zone**.
- **Confirmation:** If the price breaks above 3,052, it could lead to a **further rally**.
#### **4. Trading Considerations:**
- **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above 3,038 and forms a breakout, **long positions** targeting 3,048+ could be viable.
- **Bearish Risk:** Failure to break resistance at 3,048 may lead to a **retracement toward support (~3,035)**.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term bullish recovery**, with resistance at **3,048 - 3,052** being the key level to watch. A breakout could push prices higher, while rejection might lead to another dip.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action & Key Levels – March 20, 2025### **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025**
#### **Chart Overview:**
- This chart represents the **15-minute timeframe** for **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **Bitstamp exchange**.
- The background is orange, with key price levels marked by **purple and blue horizontal zones**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Resistance Zone (~86,500 - 87,000):**
- Marked by a **purple box**, this area acted as a **strong supply zone**, causing price rejection.
- Price tested this zone and failed to break above, leading to a bearish move.
2. **Support Zone (~83,500 - 83,800):**
- Another **purple box** marks a **demand zone**, where price is currently testing.
- If this support holds, we might see a **bullish rebound**.
3. **Mid-Level (~85,143):**
- A **blue horizontal line** represents an intermediate support/resistance level.
- It previously acted as a consolidation area before the drop.
4. **Current Market Behavior:**
- The price is in a **downtrend**, with a recent **strong sell-off**.
- The green and red shaded area suggests a **potential retracement zone** for a pullback before further movement.
- If support holds, a bounce towards **85,143 or higher** is possible.
- If support breaks, price may drop **below 83,500**, extending the bearish trend.
### **Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Case:** Price rebounds from the support zone and heads back towards **85,143+**.
- **Bearish Case:** If Bitcoin fails to hold above **83,500**, further downside is likely.