CADJPY LongOn the Hourly TF the price has just broken through the previous Lower High, marking a new Higher High.
Expecting the price to retrace filling in all inefficiencies down to around $106.9 before reversing from an Order Block (OB) and rally to the next OB at $107.4.
If the price can break through $107.4, it is highly probable that the uptrend will continue.
Forex
UCAD Bears Turn Liquid After 4% Decline From Feb. HighOANDA:USDCAD has been trading in a Sideways Consolidation for 2 months now and last week finally delivered a Breakout!
After the massive rally to 1.47926, price immediately plummeted down to not only fall back into the Consolidation Range but to then Breakout of the Support of that Consolidation.
This Breakout is followed by massive Bearish Volume on top of RSI breaking down below 50!
Price has satisfied all the Breakout Rules determining its validity, now to wait for a Retest of the broken support around the 23.6% Fibonacci Level or approx. 1.43 area for potential Short Opportunities to take down to the 1.41 area!
Fundamentally,
USD:
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index/ President Trump Speaks
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
CAD:
Tuesday - CPI
Friday - Retail Sales/ BOC Gov Macklem Speaks
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6301
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6376
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5691
1st Support: 0.5667
1st Resistance: 0.5736
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CAD finds support (but 1.40 still beckons)USD/CAD has spent most of the past two weeks stuck on sell mode, after its short-lived rise to the 22-year high of 1.48 came crashing down thanks to tariffs being delayed.
Due to bears closing shorts on CAD futures and bulls shying away from long USD bets, my core view is for USD/CAD down to 1.40, just above the 2022 high. But over the near term it shows the potential for a bounce towards 1.43.
Last week's low stalled around a weekly VPOC and November high. A small bullish hammer and inside-day doji also formed around the 100-day EMA, while a bullish divergence also formed on the daily RSI (2) in the oversold zone.
Bulls could seek dips towards the weekly VPOC in anticipation of a bounce to 1.4250, while prices hold above last week's low. At which point we can revisit its potential to roll over once more, in line with the core bias outlined above.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and forex.com
Potential bullish rise?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.7869
1st Support: 1.7786
1st Resistance: 1.7980
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 157.97
1st Support: 156.57
1st Resistance: 159.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.6772
1st Support: 11.5994
1st Resistance: 11.7090
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 106.34
1st Support: 105.40
1st Resistance: 107.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 96.59
1st Support: 94.69
1st Resistance: 96.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0456
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0392
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 159.53
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 160.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 157.97
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 95.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 95.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here!
Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further.
Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment.
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9006
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8976
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.9044
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPAUD: Going for the highs!! Pay attention this morning!!If we look at the daily chart (chart below), we clearly see that the GBPAUD pair has a stable bullish (Bull) technical aspect, respecting its dynamic supports (blue zones) at all times.
--> To see the technical detail, we will analyze the chart above which is in H1 time frame.
Since February 13, when the overbought appeared in the oscillator and the MOMENTUM turned bearish (Bear), the price did not stop falling reaching the Fibonacci zone of 61.8% (1.97565). Once that key zone was reached, and respected, the price began to gain bullish strength (Bull) until today.
It is currently in a key zone, which if surpassed, will go directly to attack its previous highs in the 1.99450 area
--> What risks do we face?
High-impact news that will affect both the AUD (at 4:30) and the GBP (at 8:00)
Here are the high-impact news that will be released this morning and the time:
04:30 AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement Report
04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Statement Report
04:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision Forecast (4.1%) Previous (4.35%)
05:30 AUD RBA Press Conference Speech
08:00 GBP Change in Employment (Dec.)
08:00 GBP Change in Jobless Claims (Jan.)
08:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (Dec.)
10:30 GBP Speech by BoE Governor Andrew Cuomo Bailey
---------------------------------------------------------
If our investor profile is CONSERVATIVE, we will have to wait until 8:00 for all the news that affect both the AUD and the GBP to be published. But if our profile is AGGRESSIVE, we can use the following strategy:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the price exceeds 1.98900
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 2.00550 zone (165 pips)
--> Stop Loss at 1.97600 (127 pips).
--> Ratio (1:3)
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-127 pips) (coinciding with the 1.97600 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to ( -20 pips ) when the price reaches TP1 ( 2.00550 ).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
BTC/USDT - Liquidity Grab & Potential UPSIDE MOVEMarket Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: BTC recently grabbed sell-side liquidity around $95,215 - $95,141, triggering stop losses and gathering institutional orders.
Reversal Signs: After tapping into this liquidity, a bullish reaction has started, with price now moving towards the buy-side liquidity range.
Potential Upside Move: If BTC maintains support above $95,600, we can expect a push towards the $97,000 - $97,600 range.
Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: $95,800 - $96,000 (After price confirmation)
🎯 Target 1: $97,050
🎯 Target 2: $97,600
🚀 Extended Target: $98,800 (If momentum continues)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $95,100 (Below liquidity grab zone)
Trade Rationale:
📌 Liquidity Grab: Market makers swept stop losses, indicating potential reversal.
📌 Market Structure: Bullish recovery from key support zone.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (low risk, high reward setup).
🔔 Waiting for confirmation before entry! A strong bullish candle close above $96,000 can confirm entry. 🚀
📢 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 📈👇
USDCAD Oversold bounce incoming.USDCAD is trading inside a Channel Up.
February's price action has so far been a strong rejection of the price near the Channel Up top with the price dropping even below the MA50 (1d).
This is very similar to the last Channel Up Top on October 13th 2022, which first dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then bounced to the 0.236.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.44750 (the 0.236 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is almost oversold, which also favors buying. In fact it got rejected and currently is on the exact same levels it did in September - October 2022.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NZD-CAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD went up sharply
And hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8147 so we are
Locally bearish biased
And as we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
We will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
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