AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600.
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GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0487 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0390
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.726
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3.366
Safe Stop Loss - 3.935
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURAUD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.6457
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.6546
My Stop Loss - 1.6406
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY - Continuation to the downside?Looking at the CHF/JPY currency pair, the price action shows a clear downward trend since late January 2025, with consistently lower highs and lower lows. The recent bounce from the 166.00 area appears to be a corrective move rather than a trend reversal, suggesting a higher probability of continued downside momentum.
However, traders should exercise caution as price approaches the marked blue box zone around 167.00-167.50. This area could act as a support level and potentially trigger a temporary bounce or consolidation. Still, given the overall bearish structure, any rebounds from this zone might present new opportunities for short positions, provided proper risk management is implemented.
NZDUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5735
Stop Loss - 0.5776
Take Profit - 0.5657
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.2588 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.2490
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP: Bulls Will Push Higher
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURGBP pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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GBPNZD: Intraday Bullish Confirmation 🇬🇧🇳🇿
A price action on GBPNZD shows 2 strong bullish confirmation
on an hourly time frame.
I see an inverted cup & handle pattern and a breakout of a resistance line
of a falling channel.
Chances will be high that the price will go up.
Goal - 2.2
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XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold resumed its bullish momentum, successfully hitting the $2,923 and $2,929 targets with ease, and even extending its rally to $2,940.
With this move, gold filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) mentioned in the previous analysis and reached its bearish order block.
Currently, gold is trading around $2,927, and the next move will depend on price stability:
• If gold holds above $2,929 for the next 4 hours, we could see another bullish push.
• If gold fails to hold above this key level, we might see a pullback towards $2,923 as the first corrective target.
Stay tuned for further updates!
#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
#EURGBP 4HEURGBP (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating market consolidation and reduced volatility. This pattern suggests that the price is preparing for a breakout, but the direction remains uncertain. A breakout on either side will provide further clarity on the next potential move.
Forecast:
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout in either direction before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A breakout above the resistance trendline may signal a buy opportunity, while a breakdown below the support trendline may indicate a sell opportunity.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key support or resistance levels, depending on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
A symmetrical triangle represents market indecision, and a breakout in either direction will determine the next trend. Waiting for confirmation ensures alignment with the prevailing market movement.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside.
Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement.
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