Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
Forex
NZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate at 2025 HighNZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate at 2025 High
As shown on the NZD/USD chart today, the exchange rate is around 0.58250—the highest level for the Kiwi against the US dollar since December 2024.
NZD strength is supported by optimism about China's economy, a key trading partner for New Zealand. The Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) is near three-year highs, driven by:
→ Optimism surrounding AI development in China, including models from DeepSeek and Alibaba.
→ Government stimulus measures boosting the Chinese economy.
Meanwhile, traders are assessing the USD's outlook in light of the Trump administration's trade tariff policies.
Technical Analysis of NZD/USD
The recent rally accelerated after bulls broke through the downward trendline (shown in orange). However, bears may expect a correction due to three key factors:
→ The price is near the 0.58000 level, which previously acted as support (as indicated by arrows). It may now serve as resistance, limiting further gains.
→ The RSI indicator is in overbought territory, unsurprising given the rally's pace over the past week.
→ The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel (in place since early 2025), which could also act as resistance to further upside.
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Gold Surges Past $3,000 Amid Fed UncertaintyGold surged past $3,000, hitting a record high as safe-haven demand grew ahead of the Fed's rate decision. While rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors await economic projections and Powell’s remarks for policy clues amid trade tensions. Market jitters also rose after Trump warned Iran over Houthi rebel attacks and planned talks with Putin on ending the Ukraine war.
Key resistance stands at $3045, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Pound Steady Near Four-Month Low Amid BoE Rate Hold ExpectationsThe pound traded at $1.294, near a four-month low, as investors awaited the BoE's Thursday decision. The central bank is expected to hold rates at 4.5%, balancing weak growth and inflation risks. Despite forecasts for 2025 rate cuts, none are expected now. The UK labor market is weakening, with unemployment set to hit 4.5% and wage growth slowing. Markets also await Chancellor Reeves’ Spring Statement on March 26 for economic updates. In trade talks, the UK is taking a softer stance with the US than the EU.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases.
Japanese Yen Hits Two-Week Low Before BoJ MeetingThe yen fell past 149.5 per dollar, a two-week low, ahead of the BoJ's policy decision. The central bank is expected to hold rates at 0.5% on Wednesday while assessing U.S. policy impacts. Despite a pause, rate hikes are anticipated later this year as rising wages and inflation support policy normalization. Major firms agreed to wage hikes for the third straight year, increasing consumer spending and inflation.
Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
EURAUD: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
There is a high chance to see a pullback from the underlined support on EURAUD.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling
wedge pattern on an hourly.
The price may touch at least 1.71575
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURNZD BUY 4H
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a promising strategy for the EURNZD currency cross.
The EURNZD is showing interesting signals for an upward movement. I decided to open a long position at 1.87460, with a stop loss (SL) at 1.861, which represents a potential loss of 0.50%. The profit target (TP) is set at 1.913, aiming for a consistent uptrend.
Technical Analysis
The EURNZD is going through a consolidation phase, offering a breakout opportunity to the upside. Technical indicators such as the MACD and the RSI indicate a growing bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price is positioning itself above the key moving averages, a sign of strength that supports my buy strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
On a fundamental level, the euro is benefiting from an improved economic environment in the Eurozone, along with a relatively stable monetary policy from the ECB. Conversely, the New Zealand dollar could be negatively affected by the recent volatility in the commodity markets, given the New Zealand economy's link to this sector.
Trading Strategy
Entry: 1.87460
Stop Loss: 1.861 (-0.50%)
Take Profit: 1.913
This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aligns with the current technical and fundamental environment. I recommend closely monitoring any changes in fundamentals or key technical levels that could impact the trade.
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance level of 90,000.Colleagues, after drawing the waves I realized that bitcoin is in a major wave “IV” correction and I believe that this correction is either over or about to be over.
Either way I believe that long positions should be prioritized.
I expect that the price will either immediately start an upward movement and reach the psychological resistance level of 90,000, or will update the low in the area of 75,866 a little more and then start moving towards the target.
In the second case, I advise using pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | XAU/USDMarket Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near historical highs, indicating strong buying pressure. However, a potential candlestick pattern could signal a short-term correction.
🎯 Plan for the Day:
Short Positions (Short-Term):
I will consider entering short trades if a bearish candlestick pattern forms (e.g., pin bar or engulfing pattern).
Target: The nearest liquidity zone on the M15 timeframe.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): Greater than 1:5.
Long Positions (Short-Term):
If the price "sweeps" the liquidity at IDM (Initial Drive Momentum), I will consider entering a short-term long trade.
Target: The next liquidity zone on the upside.
📊 Chart:
Attached is a chart with key levels marked: historical highs, IDM, and nearby liquidity zones.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-loss will be placed just beyond the nearest key level.
Position size is calculated to ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital.
EURCHF is starting to turn upLooks like a trend reversal at last.
1. Strong pinbars from the levels below 0.92 that rob the stops.
2. A broken trend line, higher lows, higher highs
3. it is currently at a very important level,we are watching how it will react and whether it will be overcome.
4. We are now long on a larger time frame.
Weekly Analysis for Week 12 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week? Managed to catch the Eurjpy or GbpCad and EurCad movements as mentioned last week?
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Bearish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4359
1st Support: 1.4165
1st Resistance: 1.4486
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?CAD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 104.92
1st Support: 103.55
1st Resistance: 105.95
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?CAD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.61372
1st Support: 0.60831
1st Resistance: 0.62223
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 95.54
1st Support: 93.95
1st Resistance: 96.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Overlap resistance ahead?AUD/CHF is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.56541
1st Support: 0.55863
1st Resistance: 0.57011
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 87.25
1st Support: 85.57
1st Resistance: 88.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.