EURUSD: What does mathematics say about its trend?EURUSD pair!! What can we expect from its trend in the coming weeks? It's common knowledge that the euro has strengthened significantly since March 3rd, as the chart clearly shows. What has this been due to? Multiple factors (Trump, USD technical decline, tariffs, manipulation, etc.). But what's important for a trader? Knowing the direction in the coming weeks. If we look at the surveys (shown in the chart), 90% of traders believe that the EURUSD will go down. And us? What do we think...
---> Let's analyze the chart to think mathematically and forget about surveys and people's opinions because that's how a profitable trader should think, like a bot!
Mathematically, it's clear: BEARISH in the long term and BULLISH in a RECUMBENT PHASE or LOSING STRENGTH in the short term. In the chart above (H4), we clearly see that the trend is bullish, but that it has begun to retreat and break through key support zones. And if we look at the chart below (H1), the price is entering a POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE ZONE! If it breaks through the gray zone, the EURUSD WILL DROP STRONGLY!
With this data and the SURVEY... What would you think as a TRADER? That the EURUSD WILL DROP IN THE COMING WEEKS, and therefore, we must be prepared for possible short entries.
---> But is this opinion reliable yet? From my point of view, when the trend on the H1 chart turns bearish (Bear), I would enter short without hesitation, but NOT BEFORE! The volatility due to tariffs can MANIPULATE MATHEMATICS and therefore give us FALSE SIGNALS. And the fault won't lie with math, but with market manipulation, because math works perfectly in a stable market, but when there are people (Mr. TRUMP) who manipulate everything, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF HOURS OR MINUTES :-).
In short, we clearly see a BEAR PHASE in the EURUSD, which is also in favor of its weekly trend, so it could be strong and take us back to the 1.05000 zone.
Best regards, and I will update the PAR information in the coming days.
Forex
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025### **Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025**
#### **1. Overall Trend:**
- The chart represents a **15-minute timeframe** of Gold (XAU/USD).
- The price recently formed a **sharp move up**, followed by a **retracement**.
- There is a clear **zig-zag pattern**, indicating a recent **high-volatility** phase.
#### **2. Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone (~3,048 - 3,052):** Marked by a purple box, this area has acted as a **previous supply zone** where price reversed.
- **Support Zone (~3,032 - 3,036):** Another purple box highlights a **demand area** where buyers stepped in.
- **Intermediate Level (~3,038):** A blue horizontal line indicates a smaller **support/resistance flip zone**.
#### **3. Technical Patterns & Possible Moves:**
- A **double-bottom** or **bullish reversal pattern** is forming near the **support zone (~3,032-3,035)**.
- The price is currently **moving up with higher lows**, which suggests **bullish momentum**.
- **Projected Move:** The blue arrow suggests an anticipated move **toward the 3,048 - 3,052 resistance zone**.
- **Confirmation:** If the price breaks above 3,052, it could lead to a **further rally**.
#### **4. Trading Considerations:**
- **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above 3,038 and forms a breakout, **long positions** targeting 3,048+ could be viable.
- **Bearish Risk:** Failure to break resistance at 3,048 may lead to a **retracement toward support (~3,035)**.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term bullish recovery**, with resistance at **3,048 - 3,052** being the key level to watch. A breakout could push prices higher, while rejection might lead to another dip.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action & Key Levels – March 20, 2025### **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025**
#### **Chart Overview:**
- This chart represents the **15-minute timeframe** for **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **Bitstamp exchange**.
- The background is orange, with key price levels marked by **purple and blue horizontal zones**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Resistance Zone (~86,500 - 87,000):**
- Marked by a **purple box**, this area acted as a **strong supply zone**, causing price rejection.
- Price tested this zone and failed to break above, leading to a bearish move.
2. **Support Zone (~83,500 - 83,800):**
- Another **purple box** marks a **demand zone**, where price is currently testing.
- If this support holds, we might see a **bullish rebound**.
3. **Mid-Level (~85,143):**
- A **blue horizontal line** represents an intermediate support/resistance level.
- It previously acted as a consolidation area before the drop.
4. **Current Market Behavior:**
- The price is in a **downtrend**, with a recent **strong sell-off**.
- The green and red shaded area suggests a **potential retracement zone** for a pullback before further movement.
- If support holds, a bounce towards **85,143 or higher** is possible.
- If support breaks, price may drop **below 83,500**, extending the bearish trend.
### **Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Case:** Price rebounds from the support zone and heads back towards **85,143+**.
- **Bearish Case:** If Bitcoin fails to hold above **83,500**, further downside is likely.
AUD/USD trade plan **Chart Pattern & Analysis**
* *Pattern Identified:**
- The chart shows an **Ascending Triangle** pattern on the **AUD/USD 15-minute timeframe**.
- This is typically a **bullish continuation pattern**, indicating that price may break out to the upside.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance (Upper Trendline):** Around **0.6380**
- **Support (Lower Trendline):** Around **0.6365**
- **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):**
- 7 EMA: **0.63768** (Short-term trend)
- 21 EMA: **0.63785** (Medium-term trend)
- 50 EMA: **0.63774** (Long-term trend)
**Trading Strategy:**
- **Bullish Case (Buy Entry):**
- If price **breaks above the upper trendline** (~0.6380) with strong volume, it could continue upward.
- **Target:** Next resistance level (~0.6440)
- **Stop-loss:** Below **0.6365**
- **Bearish Case (Sell Entry):**
- If price **breaks below the lower trendline**, the trend may reverse.
- **Target:** ~0.6320 (Previous support)
- **Stop-loss:** Above **0.6380**
**Conclusion:**
- Watch for a breakout confirmation before entering a trade.
- Volume and EMA crossovers can provide additional signals.
EURCAD Breakdown: Major Reversal Incoming? Watch This Setup!In this video, we analyze a high-probability trade setup on EURCAD, breaking down key market structure shifts and potential reversal zones. 📊
🔹 Massive impulse move into key resistance – Is a pullback coming?
🔹 Breakdown of bullish structure – Signs of a trend shift?
🔹 Key entry & exit points mapped out – Waiting for confirmation at 1.5595
🔹 Targeting major liquidity zones – Potential downside to 1.5523, 1.5400, and 1.5155
If price rejects our marked resistance zone, we could see a strong move downward, stopping out euphoric buyers and creating new trading opportunities. But what if it breaks above? We discuss both scenarios and how to react accordingly.
📍 Watch until the end for a full breakdown and trade execution strategy!
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments! Do you see something different in this setup? Let’s discuss.
🚀 Like, share, and follow for more market insights!
USDCHF Correction Due To Produce A Reversal Pattern?OANDA:USDCHF has been in a Correction Wave since the beginning of January and we now see that Price may have finally found Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level of the Correction Wave.
With both Lows in March finding Support at the 1.809 Fibonacci Extension Level, Price is beginning to form what looks like a Reversal Pattern, the Double Bottom!
** Confirmation of Pattern will come when Price Breaks and Closes Above .8863, then we will be looking for a Long Opportunity to present itself as a Break and Retest Set-Up. The Retest will Validate the Trade Idea!
If we take the height of the Pattern and apply it to the Break of Confirmation, this puts the Potential Target at Previous Area of Support of the Correction Wave ( Point A ) in the .8975 area.
Fundamentals seem to Support the Bullish Idea with:
SNB Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Basis points from .5% to .25%
FED Holding Interest Rates @ 4.5% due to "Economic Uncertainty"
Unemployment Claims for USD came in as expected with no surprise and even 1K below Forecast ( Actual 223K / Forecast 224K )
Also Positive Outlook from Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Existing Home Sales see USD rise.
Next Weeks Final GDP on Thursday, March 27th will be the next big News Event to bring some light to how the economy is doing and if USD will continue strengthening!
NZDJPY: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇯🇵
I see a nice opportunity to buy NZDJPY after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I spotted the insidebar pattern with a breakout
of the upper boundary of its range.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.75
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AUDCAD: Long Signal Explained
AUDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDCAD
Entry - 0.9024
Sl - 0.8994
Tp - 0.9076
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPAUD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GBPAUD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPAUD
Entry Point - 2.0619
Stop Loss - 2.0692
Take Profit - 2.0483
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDNZD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0957 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1005
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0933
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURGBP.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 161.01
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 162.16
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURO - Price can decline to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it at once bounced down from $1.0415 level.
Then it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the channel in a short time, but soon fell back, making a gap also.
Euro rose to $1.0415 level and broke it, after which some time traded near it and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from a rising channel and reached $1.0825 level, broke it, and started to grow inside another channel.
In this channel, price reached resistance line, after which it corrected to support level and then continued to grow.
So, in my opinion, Euro can decline to support level and then it bounce up to $1.1050
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3031.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3042.3
My Stop Loss - 3025.2
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY 1D MA200 rejection. Channel Down sell signal.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern and the recent Bullish Leg got rejected yesterday on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If the 1D RSI closes below its MA trend-line, we will have the ideal sell confirmation signal.
Our Target is the top of the 4-month Support Zone at 188.550.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AUDCAD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
AUDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.9063 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9088
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 149.96 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 148.72
Recommended Stop Loss - 150.69
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 104.65
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 103.67
Safe Stop Loss - 105.27
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US500 Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,657.57.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,809.58.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVER Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,339.6.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,470.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDCAD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.437.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.446 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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